and biologically informative endpoint, or the return of
endometriosis-associated pain symptoms, which is more relevant to patient
management.
1Group of Biomedical Research in Gynaecology, Vall d ’ Hebron Institute of Research (VHIR), CIBERONC, Barcelona, Spain. 2Department of Biochemistry and
Molecular Biology, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona (UAB), Bellaterra, Spain. e-mail:
[email protected]
npj Women's Health | (2026) 4:4 1
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1234567890():,;
Although they often overlap, lesion regrowth and symptom relapse are
not always equivalent15–17. This lack of correlation is generally reflected in the
recurrent rates reported for both outcomes, where pain recurrence is typi-
cally higher than lesion recurrence. For example, in a retrospective study of
115 patients with deep infiltrating endometriosis (DIE), relapse of pain 3
and 5 years after surgery was 20.5 and 43.5%, and the lesion recurrence rates
were 9 and 28%, respectively
18. Similarly, another retrospective study of 401
patients reported pain recurrence at 34% and lesion recurrence detected by
transvaginal ultrasonography (TVUS) at 16%, both within a median follow-
up of 24 months
19.
This highlights that endometriosis-associated symptoms can be driven
by pathways unrelated to anatomical lesion regrowth, such as central sen-
sitization, pain comorbidities, or factors secondary to the surgical procedure
itself, including fibrosis or the formation of new adhesions 1,20,21.C e n t r a l
sensitization refers to an increased exc itability of central pain pathways,
leading to pain amplification and persistence even in the absence of per-
ipheral noxious stimuli. This mechanism has been associated with poor
response to surgery and hormonal therapies, and may contribute to post-
operative pain recurrence in the absence of visible disease
20.A d d i t i o n a l l y ,
persistent symptoms can be related to undetected peritoneal implants not
removed during surgery
22. It is also worth noting that studies often fail to
differentiate between symptom persist ence (indicating initial treatment
failure) and relapse (the return of pain after a period of relief, potentially
linked), further complicating the understanding of these outcomes from a
pathophysiological standpoint.
Conversely, lesion reappearance does not always entail symptom
relapse: retrospective studies on recurrent endometriomas have reported
that 24-30% of patients with imaging-con firmed recurrence remained
asymptomatic
19,23. Therefore, recurrence should be considered a multi-
dimensional phenomenon involving both lesion regrowth and symptom
reappearance, which likely involve distinct underlying mechanisms
24.
Measuring recurrence in endometriosis: proxies and
methodological variability
The lack of consensus in de fining, assessing, and consequently
reporting recurrence is a persistent methodological challenge fre-
quently highlighted by systematic reviews and meta-analyses
25–27.
Notably, Ceccaroni et al. 28 systematically compiled the de finitions used
across observational studies and clini cal trials, illustrating this hetero-
geneity and the limited comparabilit y across studies. There is currently
no commonly agreed, well-de fined, and consistently applied set of
outcomes to evaluate postoperativ er e c u r r e n c ei ne n d o m e t r i o s i s .
Instead, a diverse range of clinical and imaging-based assessment cri-
teria are used, each with its own limitations.
Imaging modalities such as TVUS and magnetic resonance imaging
(MRI) are the most widely used tools to assess lesion reappearance. As in the
diagnostic process, the accuracy of these tools depends on subtype, lesion
localization and size, and operator expertise
29.S i n c eb o t hT V U Sa n dM R I
are highly reliable in detecting ovarian endometriosis, it is the most studied
subtype in terms of postoperative recurrence, although specificc y s ts i z ec u t -
offs and sonographic features re main variable between studies 27,30,31.A
recent meta-analysis by Veth et al.31 has demonstrated a progressive increase
in endometrioma recurrence risk over time, with rates of 4% at 3 months
post-surgery, 14% at 6 months, 17% at 17 months, and 27% at 24 months
when not using postoperative hormonal treatment.
However, as in diagnosis, a negative imaging result does not necessarily
rule out the presence of disease, so histological con firmation of endome-
triotic lesions is the most rigorous approach to confirm lesion recurrence,
although highly invasive and unsuit able for longitudinal assessment.
Additionally, repeated surgeries are generally discouraged due to the asso-
ciated loss of ovarian reserve, poten tial surgical complications, and the
formation of new adhesions
4,32–34. Consequently, not all recurrence cases are
managed surgically, and recurrence rates might be underestimated.
Beyond imaging, the longitudinal assessment of endometriosis recur-
rence is further limited by the absence of a reliable, non-invasive biomarker
that could serve as a dynamic indicator of disease activity over time. In a
chronic condition likeendometriosis, where repeated surgical verification is
neither feasible nor ethical, such a biomarker would be key to monitoring
recurrence and disease progression.
Symptom recurrence is usually assessed through patient-reported
outcomes, primarily pain scores. Whilethese are clinically meaningful, they
are inherently subjective and prone to reporting and attrition bias, especially
in long-term follow-up studies 7.D e finitions vary widely: some studies
dichotomize pain as“present” or “absent,” while others use changes in visual
analog scale scores or relative improvement thresholds35.
Both lesion and symptom recurrence can prompt subsequent changes
in clinical management, and many retrospective studies rely on reoperation
or starting a second-line hormonal therapy as indirect indicators of
recurrence
25,36,37. Although practical, these proxies cannot distinguish
between treatment failure and true recurrence after remission and usually
do not con firm the presence of lesions histologically, so they should be
interpreted carefully.
The inconsistent use of diverse outcomes to assess recurrence across
studies severely limits comparability and complicates the interpretation of
recurrence rates, risk factors, and therapeutic outcomes. Moreover, recur-
rence estimates are influenced by cohort characteristics, disease subtype and
severity, surgical technique, follow-up length, and the use (or absence) of
postoperative hormonal therapy. Col lectively, this variability not only
explains the wide range of recurrence rates reported in the literature
11 but
also limits our understanding of the b iological and clinical dynamics of
recurrence.
Risk factors for lesion and symptom recurrence
Understanding which factors predi spose patients to postoperative
recurrence is essential to identify p atients at higher risk of recurrence,
to ultimately guide individualized management. However, as
emphasized above, the substantial heterogeneity in how recurrence is
defined across the literature complicates the interpretation and com-
parison of findings. Table 1 summarizes the main clinical, surgical,
and patient-related determinants in fluencing the likelihood of recur-
rence reported in the literature, dis tinguishing between risk factors for
lesion and symptom recurrence, and including studies using broader
definitions as well. Because imaging reliably detects ovarian endo-
metriomas, it has naturally become the most extensively studied
subtype in terms of recurrence, and this predominance should be
considered when interpreting risk factors.
Nevertheless, several consistent patterns can be identified across stu-
dies. Younger age at the time of surgery is associated with a higher risk of
recurrence
38. Although the absolute differences in mean age between
recurrent and non-recurrent groups are small, this consistent trend9,18,19,39–51
suggests a biologically meaningful eff ect likely related to longer lifetime
estrogen exposure. Preoperative pain symptoms, including dysmenorrhea
and chronic pelvic pain, have been linked to both lesion
reappearance
19,43,52–56 and pain persistence and recurrence 19,47,57, possibly
reflecting pre-existing inflammatory and nociplastic factors not resolved by
surgery.
Disease-related factors such as extensive adhesions 49,54,58,59,l a r g e r
cysts42,54,55,60–65, coexistent deep infiltrating lesions61,66 and adenomyosis47,66
or higher preoperative revised AmericanS o c i e t yf o rR e p r o d u c t i v eM e d i c i n e
(rASRM) scores18,19,24,39,41,42,48,50,58,59,67–70 are associated with increased lesion
recurrence risk mainly, likely due to incomplete lesion resection.
Surgical approach and postoperative care also impact outcomes.
Conservative surgery is widely associated with earlier
recurrence
25,41,48,52,58,71–74. Conversely, the use of postoperative hormonal
therapy has been consistently fou nd as a protective factor against
recurrence9,26,50,69,70,75–77. However, an insuf ficient duration or poor adher-
ence to treatment over the long term can diminish the protective effects of
these therapies
10,44,61,74,78–82. Similarly, achieving pregnancy after surgery
appears to lower recurrence risk, likely due to prolonged ovarian
suppression
19,40,41,44,48,51,56,59,63,67,70,81,83.
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The role of postoperative hormonal treatment in
recurrence prevention and management
Among the risk factors for endometr iosis recurrence mentioned above,
periods of ovarian suppression or amenorrhea, whether pharmacologically
induced or occurring during pregnancy and lactation, are associated with a
reduced risk of both lesion and symptom recurrence. In this hypo-
estrogenic environment, the growth of residual lesions is suppressed, new
lesion development is prevented, and associated pain symptoms persisting
or reappearing after surgery are controlled.
Postoperative medical therapy represents a cornerstone in endome-
triosis recurrence prevention. Systematic reviews and meta-analyses have
reported that the risk of lesion reappearance is reduced by 59 –70%, and
symptom recurrence by 30% after 12 months, if using hormonal treatment
postoperatively, compared to surgery alone
7,26. Comparative studies asses-
sing different hormonal agents and regimens for recurrence prevention have
reported heterogeneous results 26,60,79,82,84–87. Variability in study design,
inclusion criteria, treatment duration, adherence, and f ollow-up compli-
cates comparisons and limits definitive conclusions. Overall, no hormonal
agent has been consistently demonstrated to be better than others,
suggesting that the protective effect primarily derives from sustained
ovarian suppression rather than from a specific drug class. In line with this, a
randomized controlled trial by Seracchioli et al.10 demonstrated that con-
tinuous oral contraceptive use was associated with lower rates of dysme-
norrhea relapse and severity compared to cyclic use. Accordingly, the
European Society of Human Reproduction and Embryology guideline on
endometriosis recommends the long-term use of continuous combined oral
contraceptives or levonorgestrel-releasing intrauterine systems following
laparoscopy for the prevention of dysmenorrhea relapse
6.
Despite its bene fits, hormonal therapy is not without limitations.
Symptom relapse occurs shor tly after discontinuation60, and recurrence
rates among patients treated for less than 12 months are similar to those of
untreated individuals within 1–2y e a r s
88.T h i ss u g g e s t sap r e d o m i n a n t l y
suppressive effect, requiring sustained use to maintain bene fit. However,
long-term use is associated with relevant side effects and is not appropriate
for patients with immediate pregnancy desire, so discontinuation rates are
high
89–91. Additionally, treatment failure in this context may be amplified by
the fact that patients referred to surgery may be less responsive to medical
therapy as a first-line approach
4,92.
Table 1 | Risk factors for endometriosis postoperative recurrence
Risk factor References
Lesion recurrence Symptom recurrence Other de finitions
Patient-related risk factors
Young age Coccia et al. 19
OMA: Liu et al. 39, Sengoku et al. 40, Yuan et al. 41, Moini
et al.42, Han et al. 43, Choi et al. 44
DIE: Nirgianakis et al. 45
Vignali et al. 18, Vercellini et al. 9,
Uccella et al. 46, Yang et al. 47
Busacca et al. 48, Yun
et al.49
OMA: Su and Xie 50
DIE: Fedele et al. 51
Preoperative pain Coccia et al. 19, Zhong et al. 52
OMA: Chon et al. 53, Küçükbas et al. 54, Yu et al. 56, Han
et al.55
Coccia et al. 19, Yang et al. 47 Ngernprom et al. 74
OMA: Li et al. 83, Huang
et al.67
Disease-related risk factors
Presence of adhesions Holdsworth-Carson et al. 58
OMA: Porpora et al. 59, Küçükbas et al. 54
Porpora et al. 59 Yun et al. 49
Larger cyst size a OMA: Koga et al.63, Moini et al.42, Küçükbas et al.54, Lee
et al.62, Candiani et al. 61, Han et al. 55
OMA: Saleh et al. 64,
Busacca et al. 65
Bilaterality of cysts OMA: Han et al. 55 Yun et al. 49
OMA: Su and Xie 50
Coexistent adenomyosis OMA: Sun et al. 66 Yang et al. 47
Higher preoperative staging (rASRM or
rAFS scores)
Busacca et al. 48, Coccia et al. 19, Holdsworth-Carson
et al.58
OMA: Liu et al. 39, Takamura et al. 69, Porpora et al. 59,
Hayasaka et al. 70, Moini et al. 42, Yuan et al. 41, Tobiume
et al.24, Li et al. 68
Liu et al. 39 OMA: Huang et al. 67,S u
and Xie50
Management-related risk factors
Conservative surgical technique Zhong et al. 52, Holdsworth-Carson et al. 58
OMA: Yuan et al. 41
DIE: Bendifallah et al. 71, Xu et al. 72
Afors et al. 73 Busacca et al. 48
OMA: Ngernprom et al. 74
Prior surgery for endometriosis OMA: Porpora et al. 59 Fedele et al. 51, Porpora et al. 59 Busacca et al. 65
DIE: Fedele et al. 51
Absence, poor adherence, or insuf ficient
duration of postoperative hormonal therapy
Vercellini et al. 9
OMA: Vercellini et al. 79, Takamura et al. 69, Seracchioli
et al.78, Hayasaka et al. 70, Seong et al. 80, Choi et al. 44
DIE: Yela et al. 75
Vercellini et al. 76, Sesti et al. 77,
Seracchioli et al.10, Candiani et al.61
Ngernprom et al. 74, Kwok
et al.81
OMA: Del Forno et al.82,S u
and Xie50
Pregnancy and/or breastfeeding
(protective)
Coccia et al.
19
OMA: Koga et al. 63, Porpora et al. 59, Hayasaka et al. 70,
Segonku et al. 40, Yuan et al. 41, Yu et al. 56, Choi et al. 44
Fedele et al. 51, Porpora et al. 59 Busacca et al. 48, Kwok
et al.81
OMA: Li et al. 83, Huang
et al.67
DIE: Fedele et al. 51
Lesion recurrence refers to radiologic or surgical con firmation of lesion reappearance; symptom recurrence refers to postoperative pain relapse; other de finitions include studies reporting recurrence
through mixed (e.g., lesion and/or pain recurrence) or unspeci fied criteria (e.g., management change). Within each cell, studies including all endometriosis subtypes are listed first, followed by those
specifically focused on ovarian endometriomas (OMA) or deep in filtrating endometriosis (DIE).
OMA endometrioma, DIE deep infiltrating endometriosis, rASRM revised American Society for Reproductive Medicine, rAFS revised American Fertility Society.
aLarger cyst size: De fined variably across studies: some report larger mean cyst diameters in recurrent cases (Koga et al. 63; Küçükbas et al. 54; Moini et al. 42), while others apply size cut-offs of 5 cm (Han
et al.55; Candiani et al. 61) or 5.5 cm (Lee et al. 62).
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Beyond adherence and tolerance, growing evidence suggests that some
patients may develop resistance to postoperative hormonal therapy, parti-
cularly progestins93,94.T h i sm a yr eflect lesion-level progesterone resistance
or, in the case of persistent pain, the predominance of centrally mediated
mechanisms that are less responsive to hormonal suppression. Because
hormonal therapy primarily acts on le sion-related, peripheral pain path-
ways, its benefit may be limited in such patients.
Therefore, long-term managemen t of endometriosis recurrence
remains an important challenge. As mentioned above, reoperation is
increasingly discouraged due to th e associated risks and the fact that a
history of previous endometriosis-related surgeries is itself a risk factor for
future recurrence
51,59,65,95,96, creating a vicious cycle that further complicates
long-term management97.
These challenges highlight the need to identify new preventive and
therapeutic strategies to manage endometriosis recurrence, ideally beyond
hormonal suppression. To develop such strategies and better tailor the long-
term management of endometriosis, itis essential to better understand the
biological basis of recurrence and to develop tools to identify patients at
higher risk.
Predicting recurrence: clinical models and emerging
biomarkers
Accurately predicting postoperative recurrence in endometriosis is key to
advancing personalized care and guiding long-term treatment strategies. A
limited number of predictive models have been developed based on clinical,
surgical, and molecular variables, but their performance and applicability
Table 2 | Potential biomarkers for endometriosis postoperative recurrence published in the literature
Biomarker Reference Sample N (R/NR) Measurement
technique
Recurrence assessmenta Follow-up
(months)b
Expression
(p value)
lncRNA UCA1 Huang
et al.
100
Serum 98 (28/70) qRT-PCR Pelvic exam 24 ↓ (p < 0.05)
lncRNA
LINC01465
Song
et al.101
Serum 80 (40/40) qRT-PCR Pelvic exam 36 ↓ (p < 0.01)
miR-20a Abdoli
et al.103
Endometrioma
tissue
20 (9/11) qRT-PCR TVUS or MRI 24 ↑ (p < 0.001)
NANOG Abdoli
et al.
103
Endometrioma
tissue
20 (9/11) qRT-PCR TVUS or MRI 24 ↑ (p 35 U/mL
• Ultrasonography
24 ↑ (p = 0.001)
EV-LGMNP1 Sun et al. 102 Serum 52 (15/37) qRT-PCR Pelvic exam or CA125 > 35 U/mL or
Ultrasonography
46 ± 13 ↑ (p < 0.001)
COX2 Yuan
et al.105
Endometrioma
tissue
109
(53/56)
IHC Ultrasonography or Laparoscopy 32 ↑ (p < 0.001)
NFkB-p65 Shen
et al.
106
Endometrioma
tissue
109
(53/56)
IHC TVUS or Laparoscopy 32 ↑ (p = 0.001)
Han et al.
111 Endometrioma
tissue
134
(27/107)
IHC TVUS 24 ↓ (p < 0.05)
PRB Shen
et al.106
Endometrioma
tissue
109
(53/56)
IHC TVUS or Laparoscopy 32 ↓ (p = 0.01)
Han et al.
111 Endometrioma
tissue
134
(27/107)
IHC TVUS 24 ↑ (p < 0.05)
Tarumi
et al.112
Endometrioma
tissue
132
(36/96)
IHC Ultrasonography or MRI 24 ↓ (p < 0.01)
ROBO1 Shen
et al.
107
Endometrioma
tissue
88 (43/45) IHC TVUS or Laparoscopy 32 ↑ (p < 0.05)
SLIT Shen
et al.
107
Endometrioma
tissue
88 (43/45) IHC TVUS or Laparoscopy 32 ↑ (p < 0.01)
Ki-67 Yalcin
et al.
113
Endometrioma
tissue
50 (24/26) IHC TVUS 6 ↑ (p < 0.01)
E-cadherin Wu et al.
114 Endometrioma
tissue
49 (34/15) IHC NA Max. 80 ↓ (p < 0.05)
MMP9 Wu et al. 114 Endometrioma
tissue
49 (34/15) IHC NA Max. 80 ↑ (p = 0.001)
EMMPRIN Wu et al. 114 Endometrioma
tissue
49 (34/15) IHC NA Max. 80 ↑ (p < 0.05)
uPA Wu et al. 114 Endometrioma
tissue
49 (34/15) IHC NA Max. 80 ↑ (p < 0.05)
S100A8 Zhu et al. 115 Endometrioma
tissue
50 (25/25) IHC Symptomatic
TVUS
24 ↑ (p < 0.01)
S100A9 Zhu et al. 115 Endometrioma
tissue
50 (25/25) IHC Symptomatic
TVUS
24 ↑ (p < 0.01)
R recurrent, NR non-recurrent, TVUS transvaginal ultrasonography, IHC immunohistochemistry, qRT-PCR real-time quantitative PCR, NA not reported.
aSymptomatic refers to the return of pelvic pain to the same or higher intensity levels as before surgery, after an initial postoperative relief.
bFollow-up refers to the minimum time of observation required before patients were classi fied in recurrent and non-recurrent, unless otherwise speci fied.
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npj Women's Health | (2026) 4:4 4
remain modest, partly due to the variable criteria used to define recurrent
patients.
Most clinically based models rely on established risk factors, such as
adhesions or high rASRM scores, and their use primarily relates to the risk of
lesion recurrence, since they re flect the anatomical severity of endome-
triosis. For example, Huang et al. 67 proposed a logistic regression model
using rASRM >70 as a single predictor (AUC = 0.79), but its applicability is
constrained by a short follow-up and a strict recurrence definition, requiring
lesion recurrence (detected by TVUS and pelvic exam), high CA125 levels,
and symptom return. Broader criteria are used by Su and Xie
50,w h oc o m -
bined clinical and inflammatory parameters and achieved higher accuracy
(AUC = 0.895) in detecting symptomatic recurrence, supported by either
high CA125 levels, pelvic exam, or TVUSfindings. However, the inclusion
of CA125 as a predictor in these models limits their reliability, given its low
specificity and poor sensitivity in early-stage disease
28,98, and considering
that recent clinical guidelines discourage its use for detecting endometriosis
in routine practice99. Lastly, a model by Li et al.68 showed good performance
(AUC = 0.80), which still requires validation in larger cohorts and with
longer follow-up durations.
Looking ahead, the growing availability of large-scale electronic health
record data provides an opportunity to develop machine learning-based
predictive scores for endometriosis outcomes with excellent statistical
power. For example, Mustard et al.
57 used national and research databases to
develop predictive models of pain reduction following endometriosis sur-
gery, identifying the removal of ovarian and uterosacral ligament endo-
metriosis as important predictors of pain relief, although pending on
external validation. Although still in early stages and focused on pain out-
comes, integrating such datasets with molecular and imaging data could
open promising avenues for individualized recurrence risk assessment.
In parallel, exploratory studies have identi fied candidate RNA and
protein biomarkers differing between recurrent and non-recurrent patients
in serum or endometrioma tissue (Table2). Although promising, none of
these biomarkers have yet been validated in independent cohorts, and their
utility in predicting recurrence remains to be established.
At the RNA level, decreased circulating levels of the long non-coding
RNAs UCA1
100 and LINC01465101 have been linked to a higher risk of
recurrence at 2 –3 years post-surgery, whereas elevated serum LGMNP1
carried by extracellular vesicles in recurrent patients achieved an AUC of
0.869, and was shown to promoteM2 macrophagepolarization102.I nl e s i o n
samples, overexpression of miR-20 a, the stemness-associated gene
NANOG103, and lncRNA H19 have been associated with recurrence, with
H19 achieving an AUC of 0.728104. However, many of these studies did not
control for important confounders like the use of postoperative therapy,
which limits their interpretation.
Tissue-based immunohistochemical (IHC) biomarkers have also
shown potential. Studies from Prof. Guo ’sg r o u pi d e n t ified differential
expression of COX2, NFkB-p65, PRB, SLIT, and ROBO1 in recurrent
endometriomas, which served to develop predictive models with high
reported sensitivity and speci ficity (up to 86% and 87%, respectively)
(Table 3)
105–107. Building on these results, perioperative treatment with non-
specific β-blockers or NFκB inhibitors reduced recurrence rates in mouse
models, suggesting therapeutic relevance 108,109. Additionally, Slit2
Table 3 | Predictive models for endometriosis postoperative recurrence published in the literature
Recurrence
predictive model
Sample size
(R/NR)
Recurrence assessmenta Follow-upb
(months)
Parameters included in
the model
Sens.
(%)
Spec.
(%)
AUC Accur.
(%)
Based on patient characteristics
Holdsworth-Carson
et al.58
503 (221/282) Laparoscopy (with self-reported previous laparoscopy) NA Age
ER attendance
Adhesions
Eczema
Pararectal space lesion
NA NA 0.668 NA
Holdsworth-Carson
et al.
58
382 (94/288) Laparoscopy NA Adenomyosis
Diastolic blood pressure
Uterine fibroids
Adhesions
Age of menarche
NA NA 0.617 NA
Huang et al.
67 289 (49/240) Symptomatic
Pelvic exam
CA125 > 35 U/mL
TVUS
12 rASRM score 57.1 94.2 0.79 87.9
Su and Xie
50 212 (36/176) Symptomatic, supported by pelvic exam or ultrasonography
or CA125 increase
24 Age
Bilateral cysts
rASRM staging
TNFα serum levels
Postop. medication
89.4 83.7 0.895 NA
Li et al.68 164 (46/118) TVUS
Pelvic exam
12 History of abortion
Abnormal uterine bleeding
rASRM staging
Posterior fornix tenderness
71 76 0.802 73
Incorporating proteomic biomarkers
Shen et al.
106 109 (53/56) TVUS or Laparoscopy 32 PRB levels (IHC)
NFκB-p65 levels (IHC)
80 82 NA NA
Shen et al.107 88 (43/45) TVUS or Laparoscopy 32 SLIT levels (IHC)
Presence of adhesions
PRB levels (IHC)
NFκB-p65 levels (IHC)
86 87 NA NA
Yuan et al.105 109 (53/56) Ultrasonography or Laparoscopy 32 COX2 levels (IHC)
Previous medication
Presence of adhesion
72.5 72.4 NA NA
R recurrent; NR non-recurrent; Sens. sensitivity; Spec. specificity; AUC area under the curve; Accur. accuracy; TVUS transvaginal ultrasonography; IHC immunohistochemistry; ER emergency room;
rASRM revised American Society for Reproductive Medicine, NA not reported.
aSymptomatic refers to the return of pelvic pain to the same or higher intensity levels as before surgery, after an initial postoperative relief.
bFollow-up refers to the minimum time of observation required before patients were classi fied in recurrent and non-recurrent.
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npj Women's Health | (2026) 4:4 5
overexpression increased lesion size and vascularization in mice, supporting
its role in endometriosis angiogenesis 110. However, independent studies
have reported opposite expression patterns of NF κB-p65 and PRB in
recurrent lesions, likely reflecting differences in study design, marker loca-
lization (epithelial vs stromal), and patient characteristics111,112. This high-
lights the urgent need for harmonized protocols and replication in larger,
well-characterized cohorts, ideally in corporating single-cell and spatial
omics technologies to capture the cellular heterogeneity of endometriotic
tissue.
Additional candidates include markers of proliferation (Ki-67)
113,a n d
adhesion and extracellular matrix remodeling (E-cadherin, uPA, MMP9,
and EMMPRIN)114,a sw e l la si n flammatory mediators (S100A8/A9)115,
assessed in endometriomas by IHC. Although biologically plausible, these
findings are preliminary, as they have been performed in small cohorts and
their predictive performance remains untested.
Developing robust prognostic tools for recurrence risk prediction will
be essential to stratify patients, optimize postoperative care, and improve
long-term outcomes. Beyond risk prediction, validated biomarkers may also
reveal biological mechanisms driving recurrence and serve as novel ther-
apeutic targets.
The role of incomplete surgery and minimal residual
disease in endometriosis lesion recurrence
The mechanisms driving the reappearance of endometriotic lesions after
surgery are not fully understood and are likely multifactorial. While surgical
factors are well-established contributors to recurrence, it may also result
from biological processes intrinsic to the disease and its interaction with the
host environment. Figure 1 presents a visual summary of the main
mechanisms contributing to endometriosis lesion recurrence described in
the following sections.
Incomplete surgical removal is one of the most established contributors
to recurrence18,116. Minimal residual disease, whether due to conservative
approaches or incomplete surgery, significantly increases the risk of recur-
rence across all endometriosis subtypes (reviewed in refs.11,109,117). Fac-
tors influencing the completeness of excision, such as lesion location, disease
severity, the presence of adhesions, and surgical expertise118,119 have been
discussed above. And even when surgery seems macroscopically complete,
residual microscopic implants may go undetected, which may partly explain
why recurrent lesions often appearin the same anatomical location
23,120.
This is particularly relevant in the case of DIE, where the complexity of
surgery can make complete excision challenging. Some studies have iden-
tified positive resection margins in DIE as a major risk factor for early
recurrence, especially when lesions are located in anatomically complex
areas such as the bowel
25,45,58,71,72. However,findings from Roman et al. point
out that small palpable satellite noduleslocated near the resection site, rather
than microscopic occult endometriosis at bowel resection margins, carry
greater clinical relevance
121,122. Surgical complications may further increase
this risk72. Similarly, conservative procedures to treat ovarian endometriosis
are associated with higher recurrence rates. A recently updated Cochrane
review
123 reported that cystectomy of endometriomas significantly reduced
lesion recurrence (from 37 to 5 –17%) and pain recurrence (from 49 to
10–34%) rates compared to more conserv ative approaches. Nevertheless,
ultrasound-guided ethanol sclerotherapy has gained interest as a less inva-
sive alternative, with recent series using standardized protocols reporting
recurrence rates comparable to cystectomy
124,125.
Altogether, thesefindings support the widely accepted interpretation
that residual disease is responsible for early lesion recurrence and lesion-
related pain relapse observed within months after surgery126. These minimal
or invisible lesions can remain dormant for some time, especially if post-
operative hormonal suppression is used briefly. Once hormonal treatment is
Minimal residual disease
Recurrence due to de novo lesionsRecurrence due to surgical factors
Unintentional
dissemination of viable
endometrial material
Impaired immune
clearance of remaining
tissue debris
Surgical scars as favorable
implantation sites
Invisible peritoneal
lesions
Incomplete
excision of tissue
Spillage of
endometrioma
Stem cell
involvement
Main theories and mechanisms
proposed to explain primary disease
Immune
dysregulation
Retrograde
menstruation
Stem-like
endometriotic cells
Immunotolerant
peritoneal niche
Fig. 1 | Potential biological mechanisms of endometriosis recurrence. The left
panel illustrates surgery-related mechanisms contributing to lesion recurrence,
including minimal residual disease (resulting from incomplete excision, invisible
peritoneal lesions, or impaired immune clearance of remaining endometriotic cells
as a result of surgical transient immunosuppression) as well as the unintentional
dissemination of viable endometrial material with the capacity to implant in the
peritoneal cavity and give rise to recurrent lesions. The right panel depicts potential
mechanisms of de novo lesion formation, integrating several hypotheses described
in the literature. Surgical scars are also represented as favorable implantation sites for
disseminated endometriotic cells or menstrual debris, potentially facilitating lesion
establishment. Created in BioRender. Delgado, R. (2026) https://BioRender.com/
1s91uhu.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44294-026-00128-9 Review
npj Women's Health | (2026) 4:4 6
discontinued, dormant cells may re- grow, leading to recurrence in the
medium term. Indeed, while many experts support continuous hormonal
suppression, it is often acknowledged that such treatments may only delay,
rather than prevent, recurrence
34,60,117,127.
The temporal dynamics of recurrence reinforce this view11. Recurrence
commonly shows an early peak, and then enters a plateau of apparent
stability, probably representing successful interventions, and rises again in
the long term. However, this pattern is difficult to assess consistently in the
literature due to the heterogeneity i n follow-up durations and reporting,
with most studies providing only short- to medium-term follow-up, typi-
cally up to 2 years, although median time to repeat surgery has been reported
between 30 and 36 months
39,120.
These observations suggest that recurrence due to incomplete or
suboptimal surgery tends to manifest earlier, while later recurrences may
reflect the slow progression of residual disease or the formation of new
lesions.
Other recurrence-promoting effects of surgery
Beyond residual disease, the surgical procedure itself may contribute to
lesion reappearance. Some authors have suggested that the dissemination of
viable endometrial cells during surgery may facilitate the development of
new lesions. For example, spi llage of endometrioma cyst fluid during
excision has been shown to release endometrial cells capable of implanting
on surrounding tissues, potentially forming new lesions
128.
Similarly, uterine trauma, such as that caused by cesarean section, has
been associated with increased risk of endometriosis development129,130,a n d
in patients with a prior diagnosis of endometriosis, with a two-fold higher
risk of recurrence compared to vaginal births131. This may be a consequence
of the intra-abdominal dissemination of endometrial cells131, together with
the protective effect of cervical dilat ion and enhanced uterine drainage
occurring in vaginal delivery, reducing retrograde menstruation132.
This association has led researche rs to consider the role of surgical
trauma and wound healing in lesion formation. It has been proposed that
newly formed surgical scars may provide a favorable microenvironment for
endometriotic lesion development, facilitating cell adhesion and prolifera-
tion through extracellular matrix remodeling, angiogenesis, and the release
of growth factors
133. Incisional endometriosis (i.e., endometriosis appearing
in the cesarean section, episiotomy, or trocar site scars) is a well-
documented phenomenon supporting this hypothesis52,134–136.T h e s ea r e a s
of surgical trauma could be potential sites where endometrial cells, either
spread during surgery or regurgitated in retrograde menstruation, could
implant and develop into new lesions
109,128,135.
Coincidentally, perioperative immune suppression, triggered by sur-
gical stress, may further impair the body’s ability to clear minimal residual
disease and disseminated endometrial tissue109. Together, transient immu-
nosuppression and local trauma may s ynergistically create a permissive
environment for lesion establishment and recurrence137.
De novo lesion formation as a potential contributor to
late endometriosis recurrence
Surgical factors alone cannot fully explain why some patients experience
delayed or multiple recurrences despite apparently complete excision.
Recurrence rates remain high over time despite advances in surgical
techniques
138–140, raising the possibility thatsome recurrent lesions may not
stem from residual disease, but rather form de novo. Since surgery does not
address the underlying pathophysiology of endometriosis, it is plausible that
the disease reappears through the same mechanisms that led to its initial
development, representing a progression of the natural course of the disease
in susceptible individuals, rather than merely a consequence of incomplete
treatment.
S e v e r a lo b s e r v a t i o n ss u p p o r tt h eh y p o t h e s i so fd en o v ol e s i o nf o r m a -
tion. First, recurrent lesions can appear in previously unaffected anatomical
sites, including the contralateral ovary or other pelvic locations
18,23,120. Sec-
ond, recurrence rates tend to increase with longer follow-up periods25,44,120.
This long-term progression has b een interpreted by some authors as
supporting de novo lesion formation, hypothesizing that endometriosis may
eventually recur in all operated patients128,141. However, there is currently no
consensus on whether reported timeframes are enough for the full devel-
opment of new lesions and symptoms
11,39. Lastly, the association between
younger age and increased recurrence risk also supports this view, as it
implies a longer time period for lesions to reappear before menopause38.
Assuming that endometriotic lesion recurrence not necessarily stems
from residual disease shifts the focus towards the biological processes
implicated in lesion initiation. Sampson’s theory of retrograde menstruation
remains the most widely accepted explanation for the development of
endometriotic lesions
142 and is compatible with de novo recurrence.
Mechanisms proposed to explain primary disease in this context, such as
immune dysregulation
143, stem cell involvement 144, or pro-angiogenic,
immunotolerant peritoneal niche145,146, may also be relevant in the context of
recurrence. In this setting, implantation of regurgitated menstrual debris in
the peritoneal cavity may be further facilitated by the permissive local
environment created by tissue trauma and transient immunosuppression,
as discussed above. From this perspective, late recurrence may re flect an
individual’s biological predisposition to lesion formation.
Future directions: recurrence as a conceptual window
into endometriosis pathophysiology
Current evidence indicates that endometriosis recurrence is a result of
multiple, overlapping processes, including residual disease, surgery-related
effects, and de novo lesion formation, whose relative contributions may vary
depending on each patient’s surgical context and baseline biology. Under-
standing the biological basis of disease recurrence is essential to move
beyond its clinical characterization and towards identifying the core pro-
cesses sustaining endometriosis. T o date, however, most research has
focused on surgical determinants, leaving these underlying susceptibilities
largely unexplored.
It is plausible that women prone to recurrence may harbor intrinsic
biological traits that favor lesion re-establishment, such as impaired
immune clearance of menstrual debris
143, epigenetic alterations that
enhance cell survival and adhesion 147, increased presence of endometrial
stem cells 144, and a peritoneal microenvironment more permissive to
implantation145,146. These mechanisms, proposed as contributors to disease
onset, may similarly promote lesion reappearance in biologically susceptible
individuals, a hypothesis that warrants future investigation.
Hence, viewed through this lens, recurrence becomes not just a clini-
cally relevant outcome, but also a c onceptual and biological model for
investigating the core processes of endometriosis. Patients who develop
recurrence despite apparently complete excision may represent an infor-
mative subgroup in whom disease drivers remain active or re-emerge after
surgery. Their disease course could provide insights into key drivers of lesion
initiation, including microenvironmental, immunological, or molecular
alterations that facilitate the growth of residual cells or the implantation of
disseminated or regurgitated endometrial cells. Understanding these path-
ways could help clarify whether recurrence is more a reflection of disease
progression than surgical failure, and whether some patients exhibit a more
aggressive disease phenotype.
A deeper understanding of the biological basis of recurrence could also
inform prevention and treatment strategies. If early postoperative or base-
line characteristics could predict recurrence, they might guide surgical
decisions, follow-up intensity, and duration of hormonal suppression.
Moreover, identifying mechanistically relevant molecular signatures may
provide not only predictive tools but also functional biomarkers, enabling
patient stratification, precise monitoring of disease progression, and the
development of targeted, mechanism-based therapies, potentially beyond
hormonal treatment.
In this light, recurrence of endometriosis lesions should be reframed
not only as a clinical challenge, but also as a conceptual opportunity to
investigate the pathogenic mechanisms of endometriosis: a natural stress
test that reveals the processes most essential to lesion survival and reap-
pearance, opening a window into the pathogenesis of the disease itself.
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