Methods
We obtained data from the NHANES, which is conducted by the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), a part of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The data included information from four survey cycles spanning the years 2013–2014, 2015–2016, 2017–2018, and 2019–2020, with a total of 44,960 participants from the United States. We selected a final sample of 2,796 participants based on the following exclusion criteria: (1) Male; (2) Age 44; (3) Missing data on physical activity; (4) Missing data on infertility; (5) Pregnant women; (6) Not having sexual intercourse in the past 12 months; (7) Women with no sexual experience; (8) Women with a history of oophorectomy or hysterectomy; (9) Women with any consume of alcohol; (10) Women with abnormal extreme values (> 150 h/week) for physical activity total time. The participant recruitment flow chart is shown in Fig. 1 . All study methods in NHANES were conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and the NHANES database is publicly accessible and allows other researchers to replicate the study, so no additional ethical approval is required. The study design and data from the NHANES can be accessed at https://www.cdc.gov/nhcs/nhanes/ .
Fig. 1 Flow chart for participants recruitment, NHANES 2013–2020
Flow chart for participants recruitment, NHANES 2013–2020
Data on PA from the NHANES database consists of three components self-reported from the Physical Activity Questionnaire: work activity, recreational activity, and walk or bicycle for transportation. Work activity was defined as paid or unpaid work, housework, and yard work. Recreational activity is related to sports, fitness and recreation. Walk or bicycle for transportation means walking or bicycling for travel, such as on the way to school, shopping, or work. The types of PA were further subdivided into moderate and vigorous activity, where vigorous activity was directed to induce substantial increases in heart rate and respiration. Participants were queried regarding the duration of time allocated to each category of PA during a typical week. Detailed information for collecting data on physical activity can be accessed through the NHANES website: https://wwwn.cdc.gov/nchs/nhanes/Default.aspx . According to the calculation of energy expenditure rate in the Compendium of Physical Activities, [ 20 ] we converted vigorous PA time to moderate PA time in a ratio of 2:1. In the subsequent study, the time spent in various types of PA was considered both as a continuous and categorical variable, with the categories grouped into tertiles based on the distribution.
Data on infertility were obtained from the NHANES Reproductive Health Questionnaire (RHQ074). The question was, “Have you ever attempted to become pregnant over a period of at least a year without becoming pregnant?“. Participants who answered “yes” would be considered infertile.
Covariates were collected including age (RIDAGEYR), race (RIDRETH3), body mass index (BMXBMI), educational level (DMQ.141), poverty-to-income ratio (INDFMPIR), smoking status (SMQ.040), marital status (DMDMARTZ), age at menarche (RHQ010), menstrual regularity (RHQ031), history of birth control pills using (RHQ420), history of hormones using (RHQ540), history of hypertension (BPQ020) and diabetes (DIP010). Race, education level, marital status, menstrual regularity, history of birth control pills using, history of hormones using, history of hypertension and diabetes were considered as categorical variables, and age, body mass index (BMI), poverty-to-income ratio (PIR), age at menarche were treated as continuous variables. Individuals with a history of smoking were classified as never smokers, former smokers or current smokers. Information of alcohol consumption (g/day) was also collected and participants with any consume of alcohol (daily alcohol consumption > 0 g/d) were excluded from this study.
Appropriate weights were were employed during data analysis to ensure the conclusions reflect the broader U.S. population accurately. Participants were stratified into two groups based on infertility status, and their baseline clinical characteristics were delineated. For continuous variables with normal distribution, data are presented in the form of “Mean ± SD” with p -values obtained by t-test. For continuous variables with abnormal distribution, data are presented in the form of “Median (Q1-Q3)” with p -values obtained by Mann-Whitney U test. For categorical variables, data are presented as in the form of “sample size (%)” with p -value obtained by χ2 test. The logistic regression model was constructed to analyze the association between PA and infertility. Firstly, PA was analyzed as a continuous variable, and then PA was divided into three groups according to tertiles to further verify the association between PA and the probability of infertility. We presented different adjusted models to assess the association between PA and infertility according to the recommendations of Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement [ 21 ]. Covariates need to be adjusted when they met the following criteria: (1) Covariate when was included or excluded from the model, the odd ratio changes by at least 10%; [ 22 ] (2) Covariate was associated with both PA and the probability infertility based on clinical practice; and (3) Covariate was adjusted in previous similar studies [ 23 , 24 ]. The nonlinear relationship between recreational activity and female infertility was explored by smooth curve fittings. In order to determine whether the threshold existed or not, we performed a loglikelihood ratio test on the one-line (non-segmented) model according to the piecewise regression model. In addition, the subgroup analyses were performed using stratified linear regression models. Tests for effect modification by subgroup used interaction terms between subgroup indicators, followed by the likelihood ration test. Data analysis was performed using R (The R Foundation; http://www.r-project.org ; version 4.2.0) and EmpowerStats ( www.empowerstats.net , X&Y solutions, Inc. Boston, Massachusetts). A two-sided P value of less than 0.05 was considered to indicate statistical significance.
Results
As shown in Fig. 1 , the total number of participants in the NHANES program from 2013 to 2020 was 44,960. Participants who were male ( n = 22,173), with age 44 ( n = 16,516), with missing data on physical activity ( n = 1366) or infertility ( n = 731), pregnant ( n = 144), not having sexual intercourse in the past 12 months ( n = 26), with no sexual experience ( n = 149), had a history of oophorectomy ( n = 33) or hysterectomy ( n = 102), current drinker ( n = 904) and with PA total time > 150 h/week were excluded, leaving 2796 participants for subsequent analysis.
The baseline characteristics of the study population are shown in Table 1 . There were 2483 participants in the fertile group and 313 in the infertile group. Compared with the fertile group, the infertile group had an older age (33.91 years vs. 29.99 years, P < 0.0001), a higher BMI (32.15 kg/m 2 vs. 28.88 kg/m 2 , P = 0.0063), a higher proportion of individuals with previous hormone use (9.87% vs. 2.07%, P = 0.0075), as well as a higher prevalence of diabetes (19.76% vs. 11.49%, P = 0.0362) and hypertension (9.11% vs. 2.80%, P < 0.0001).
Table 1 Weighted demographic characteristics of selected participants from the NHANES 2013–2020 Fertile Infertile P -value Numbers of participants 2483 313 Recreational activity time (hours/week) 7.26 (6.43, 8.09) 8.77 (6.68, 10.86) 0.21 Work activity time (hours/week) 20.27 (18.78, 21.76) 27.64 (20.00, 35.27) 0.05 Walk or bicycle time (hours/week) 4.22 (3.45, 4.98) 3.31 (2.45, 4.16) 0.10 Age (years) 29.99 (29.37, 30.61) 33.91 (32.34, 35.47) < 0.01 Age (%) < 0.01 < 30 years 50.05 (45.62, 54.48) 29.20 (20.94, 39.12) 30–35 years 18.15 (15.22, 21.49) 19.18 (12.05, 29.15) ≥ 35 years 31.80 (27.80, 36.08) 51.61 (40.00, 63.05) Race (%) 0.90 Non-Hispanic Black 14.42 (11.23, 18.32) 14.47 (9.39, 21.63) Non-Hispanic White 53.24 (47.00, 59.37) 56.04 (43.87, 67.52) Mexican American 14.59 (11.14, 18.88) 12.16 (6.62, 21.28) Others 17.75 (14.76, 21.20) 17.34 (11.06, 26.12) BMI (kg/m 2 ) 28.88 (28.18, 29.58) 32.15 (29.99, 34.30) < 0.01 BMI (%) < 0.01 < 25 kg/m 2 36.81 (32.78, 41.04) 28.37 (18.67, 40.60) 25–30 kg/m 2 26.72 (23.80, 29.87) 14.89 (7.80, 26.58) ≥ 30 kg/m 2 36.47 (32.96, 40.13) 56.74 (43.64, 68.96) Educational level (%) 0.74 Less than 9th grade 2.07 (1.29, 3.29) 1.41 (0.40, 4.83) High school or equivalent 27.42 (23.09, 32.23) 25.55 (18.11, 34.76) College or over 70.51 (65.60, 74.98) 73.04 (63.65, 80.74) PIR 2.56 (2.36, 2.75) 2.67 (2.38, 2.97) 0.53 Smoking status (%) 0.05 Never 71.99 (69.07, 74.74) 63.68 (57.52, 69.43) Former 10.22 (8.49, 12.25) 14.88 (9.66, 22.22) Current 17.79 (15.45, 20.39) 21.44 (15.59, 28.74) Marital status (%) 0.15 Widowed/Divorced/Separated/Never Married 40.63 (36.71, 44.67) 31.57 (21.04, 44.42) Married/Living with Partner 59.37 (55.33, 63.29) 68.43 (55.58, 78.96) Age at menarche (years) 12.52 (12.38, 12.67) 12.43 (12.06, 12.79) 0.63 Menstrual regularity (%) 0.98 No 7.03 (5.20, 9.43) 7.07 (3.58, 13.51) Yes 92.97 (90.57, 94.80) 92.93 (86.49, 96.42) History of birth control pills using (%) 0.63 No 29.76 (26.21, 33.57) 27.39 (19.17, 37.49) Yes 70.24 (66.43, 73.79) 72.61 (62.51, 80.83) History of hormones using (%) < 0.01 No 97.93 (95.81, 98.99) 90.13 (74.63, 96.59) Yes 2.07 (1.01, 4.19) 9.87 (3.41, 25.37) Hypertension (%) 0.04 No 88.51 (85.72, 90.82) 80.24 (70.17, 87.51) Yes 11.49 (9.18, 14.28) 19.76 (12.49, 29.83) Diabetes (%) < 0.01 No 97.20 (96.44, 97.80) 90.89 (86.19, 94.10) Yes 2.80 (2.20, 3.56) 9.11 (5.90, 13.81) Data in the table: For continuous variables: survey-weighted mean (95% confidence interval), P -value was by survey-weighted linear regression (svyglm). For categorical variables: survey-weighted percentage (95% confidence interval), P -value was by survey-weighted Chi-square test (svytable) BMI Body mass index, PIR Poverty-to-income ratio
Weighted demographic characteristics of selected participants from the NHANES 2013–2020
Data in the table: For continuous variables: survey-weighted mean (95% confidence interval), P -value was by survey-weighted linear regression (svyglm). For categorical variables: survey-weighted percentage (95% confidence interval), P -value was by survey-weighted Chi-square test (svytable)
BMI Body mass index, PIR Poverty-to-income ratio
Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were applied to explore the association between different types of PA duration and female infertility (Table 2 ). In the fully adjusted model (adjusted for age, race, BMI, educational levels, marital status, smoking status, history of hormones using, hypertension and diabetes), recreational activity and work activity were significantly associated with infertility (OR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.08, P = 0.01; OR = 1.01, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.02, P = 0.02). When treating recreational activity time as categorical variables, a similar trend was seen (p for the trend was 0.02), but work activity became not significantly associated with infertility. In addition, walking or bicycle was not associated with infertility in any of the three models. We also performed sensitivity analyses by dividing various PA time into quartiles, and the results remained stable (Supplementary Table 1).
Table 2 Relationship between physical activity (tripartite grouping) and female infertility in different models Exposure Crude Model Model I Model II Model III OR (95% CI) P value OR (95% CI) P value OR (95% CI) P value OR (95% CI) P value Recreational activity time (hours/week) (continuous) 1.02 (0.99, 1.05) 0.20 1.03 (1.00, 1.02) 0.04 1.04 (1.01, 1.08) 0.01 1.05 (1.01, 1.08) 0.02 (tertile) ≤ 3.00 Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. 3.00–7.50 0.83 (0.42, 1.65) 0.60 0.87 (0.43, 1.76) 0.71 0.93 (0.46, 1.86) 0.84 0.90 (0.47, 1.73) 0.76 ≥ 7.50 1.73 (0.93, 3.20) 0.09 1.98 (1.02, 3.85) 0.05 2.37 (1.22, 4.59) 0.02 2.38 (1.02, 4.71) 0.02 P for trend 0.10 0.06 0.02 0.03 Work activity time (hours/week) (continuous) 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) 0.02 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) 0.01 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) 0.01 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) 0.02 (tertile) ≤ 6.00 Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. 6.00–24.00 1.26 (0.65, 2.44) 0.49 1.27 (0.66, 2.45) 0.48 1.30 (0.66, 2.56) 0.45 1.18 (0.55, 2.50) 0.67 ≥ 24.00 1.68 (0.83, 3.42) 0.16 1.63 (0.78, 3.37) 0.20 1.65 (0.79, 3.44) 0.19 1.58 (0.72, 3.45) 0.26 P for trend 0.16 0.20 0.20 0.26 Walk or bicycle time (hours/week) (continuous) 0.97 (0.92, 1.01) 0.18 0.98 (0.94, 1.03) 0.46 0.98 (0.93, 1.03) 0.45 0.98 (0.94, 1.03) 0.51 (tertile) ≤ 1.50 Ref. Ref. Ref. Ref. 1.50–3.50 1.62 (0.53, 4.91) 0.40 1.49 (0.52, 4.28) 0.46 2.14 (0.75, 6.10) 0.17 2.08 (0.72, 6.00) 0.19 ≥ 3.50 0.65 (0.24, 1.77) 0.41 0.73 (0.28, 1.92) 0.53 0.77 (0.29, 2.05) 0.60 0.80 (0.29, 2.20) 0.67 P for trend 0.38 0.54 0.60 0.70 Model I adjusted for age and race Model II adjusted for age, race, BMI, educational level, marital status and smoking status Model III further adjusted for history of hormones using, hypertension, diabetes OR Odds radio, CI Confidence interval, Ref. Reference, BMI Body mass index
Relationship between physical activity (tripartite grouping) and female infertility in different models
Model I adjusted for age and race
Model II adjusted for age, race, BMI, educational level, marital status and smoking status
Model III further adjusted for history of hormones using, hypertension, diabetes
OR Odds radio, CI Confidence interval, Ref. Reference, BMI Body mass index
We additionally explored the potential for a non-linear relationship between recreational activity duration and infertility through the utilization of smooth curve fits (Fig. 2 ). After adjusting age, race, BMI, educational level, marital status and smoking status, we found that the relationship between recreational activity time and female infertility was nonlinear. Using a two-piecewise linear regression model, we were able to identify that the inflection point was located at 5.38 h/week (Table 3 ). On the left side of the inflection point, there was no significant association between recreational activity time and infertility (OR = 0.93, 95% CI: 0.86 to 1.02, P = 0.1146), but on the right side of the inflection point, there was a positive association between recreational activity time and the risk of infertility (OR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.06, P = 0.0008).
Fig. 2 Adjusted associations of recreational activity time with female infertility. A non-linear relationship was found. Red line represents the smooth curve fit between variables. Blue bands represent the 95% of confidence interval from the fit. Adjusted: age, race, BMI, educational level, marital status and smoking status. BMI, body mass index
Adjusted associations of recreational activity time with female infertility. A non-linear relationship was found. Red line represents the smooth curve fit between variables. Blue bands represent the 95% of confidence interval from the fit. Adjusted: age, race, BMI, educational level, marital status and smoking status. BMI, body mass index
Table 3 Threshold effect analysis of physical activity and female infertility using two-piecewise linear regression Models Effect size (OR) 95% CI P value Recreational activity time (hours/week) Model 1 One line effect 1.02 1.00 to 1.04 0.02 Model 2 Inflection point < 5.83 0.93 0.86 to 1.02 0.11 ≥ 5.83 1.04 1.02 to 1.06 < 0.01 P value for LRT test* 0.03 Model 1, linear analysis; Model 2, non-linear analysis Adjusted: age, race, BMI, educational levels, marital status and smoking status OR Odds radio, CI Confidence interval, BMI Body mass index, LRT Logarithm likelihood radio test * P < 0.05 indicates Model 2 is significantly different from Model 1
Threshold effect analysis of physical activity and female infertility using two-piecewise linear regression
Model 1, linear analysis; Model 2, non-linear analysis
Adjusted: age, race, BMI, educational levels, marital status and smoking status
OR Odds radio, CI Confidence interval, BMI Body mass index, LRT Logarithm likelihood radio test
* P < 0.05 indicates Model 2 is significantly different from Model 1
To further test the stability of the results, we performed subgroup analyses by age, BMI, marital status, smoking status, history of diabetes and hypertension as shown in Fig. 3 . After adjusting age, race, BMI, educational level, marital status and smoking status, the test for interactions were not significant in each subgroup (all P values for interactions were larger than 0.05).
Fig. 3 Effect size of recreational activity time on female infertility in subgroups analysis. Each stratification adjusted for all the factors (age, race, BMI, educational level, marital status and smoking status) except the stratification factor itself. OR, odds radio; CI, confidence interval; BMI, body mass index
Effect size of recreational activity time on female infertility in subgroups analysis. Each stratification adjusted for all the factors (age, race, BMI, educational level, marital status and smoking status) except the stratification factor itself. OR, odds radio; CI, confidence interval; BMI, body mass index
Discussion
Our research identified a non-linear association between recreational activity time and the risk of female infertility, pinpointing an inflection point at 5.83 h/week (moderate intensity). Beyond this inflection point, as the duration of recreational activity extends, the risk of infertility correspondingly escalates (OR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.06, P < 0.01). However, there was no similar association between work activity time, walking or bicycle time and infertility. In the results of the subgroup analysis, we observed that the association between recreational activity duration and infertility remained unaffected by these stratified variables, demonstrating its stability. In the study population that met our exclusion criteria, after adjusting for age, race, BMI, educational levels, marital status and smoking status, our finding suggested different associations between different types of physical activity and infertility.
Distinguishing our study from previous research, we specifically excluded female participants who were current alcohol consumers. This decision was based on the clear understanding that habitual alcohol consumption negatively impacts female reproductive function [ 25 ] and is typically avoided by women intending to conceive. Based on this exclusion criterion, our study identified a positive correlation between prolonged periods of recreational activity and the risk of infertility. This is consistent with the findings of a previous study, which demonstrated that high intensity and frequency of physical activity have a negative impact on female reproductive health [ 14 ]. However, other studies have discovered no significant link between physical activity and female infertility, [ 16 – 19 ] or have indicated that physical activity may actually act as a protective factor against infertility [ 15 ]. We believe that the divergence in research findings is likely due to the studies not considering the independent effects that different types of physical activity may have on the human body, as well as the lack of adjustment for certain confounding factors or the selection of appropriate inclusion criteria.
To the best of our knowledge, our study represents the first attempt to explore the relationship between various forms of physical activity and infertility. Our findings indicate that the relationship between various types of physical activity and infertility is not uniform. In our study, recreational activities had a more stable association with infertility than work activities, whereas traffic-related activities had no significant association with infertility. Two prior studies have similarly indicated that various types of physical activity exert distinct effects on the body, which supported the physical activity paradox [ 26 , 27 ]. The variation observed might be attributed to self-determined motivation [ 28 ]. Recreational activity represent those chosen by individuals to engage in during their leisure time, whereas work activity are obligations that individuals must fulfill during their working hours. Consequently, recreational activity possess a more subjective nature compared to work activity. Moreover, distinct types of physical activity exhibit varying characteristics. Recreational activity predominantly involve high-intensity and short-duration exercises, whereas work activity tend to consist of prolonged periods of low-intensity and static tasks.
Engaging in high-intensity recreational activities for prolonged durations may result in infertility through various mechanisms. On the one hand, high-intensity physical activity may interact with additional psychosocial and metabolic stressors, prompting physiological stress responses. This can disrupt the pulsatile secretion of hypothalamic gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH), which, via the hypothalamic-pituitary-ovarian (HPO) axis, impedes the production of estrogen and progesterone - pivotal hormones for ovulation and conception [ 29 ]. On the other hand, it can induce infertility by causing negative energy balance and impeding the necessary processes for ovulation [ 30 ].
Our study possesses several notable strengths. Firstly, we leveraged data from the NHANES database, which offers comprehensive coverage across all regions of the United States and ensures strong representativeness. Secondly, our investigation separately examined the relationship between various types of physical activity and infertility, uncovering a non-linear correlation between recreational activity time and infertility. Thirdly, by employing threshold effect analysis, we identified the inflection point of moderate intensity recreational activity time at 5.83 h/week, thereby offering valuable recommendations for the weekly exercise duration for women of childbearing age. Lastly, through subgroup analysis, we revealed that the relationship between recreational activity duration and infertility remained stable and unaffected by the stratified variables.
However, there are some limitations to our study. First, despite revealing a correlation between physical activity and infertility, establishing causation is not possible due to the cross-sectional nature of the study. Future prospective studies are required to investigate the causal relationship between the two factors. Second, our study is based on self-reported data, which includes information on infertility and physical activity. It is important to consider that self-reporting may introduce recall bias, as women might either overestimate or underestimate their exercise levels and misjudge their infertility status. Third, the NHANES dataset did not contain information on the precise length of infertility or the fertility status of their partners. Fourth, due to the lack of data on conditions such as polycystic ovary syndrome and endometriosis, which can have an impact on female fertility, within the NHANES database, we cannot exclude the influence of these potential factors on our results. Lastly, as the dataset originates from a nationwide survey in the United States, further validation is needed to confirm its generalizability across different racial groups.
In conclusion, our findings indicate a non-linear correlation between recreational activity duration and infertility, and the relationship between different types of physical activity and female infertility varies, which offering valuable insights for establishing healthy physical activity guidelines for women of childbearing age. However, because this study was a cross-sectional study, more prospective cohort studies are needed in the future to explore causality.