Results
Differentially expressed miRNAs in endometriosis patients
In the discovery cohort of samples co llected during the secretory phases
(Supplementary Data 1), we identified a total of 85 differentially expressed
miRNAs between the patient group and the control group (Fig. 1Aa n d
Supplementary Data 2). Among these, 55 miRNAs were signi ficantly
upregulated in the disease group, while 30 were downregulated, indicating a
distinct molecular signature associated with endometriosis. Interestingly,
some subjects exhibited higher expression levels of specificm i R N A sc o m -
pared to others within the same group. This variability is likely attributable
to the heterogeneous nature of endometriosis, which can manifest differ-
ently across individuals in terms of severity, symptom presentation, and
molecular profiles. Notably, several miRNAs previously implicated in the
pathogenesis and progression of en dometriosis were found to be highly
dysregulated in the disease group compared to the control group (Fig.1A,
B). These included miR-9-5p and miR-21-5p, both of which have been
reported to play critical roles in regulating in flammatory signaling path-
ways, a key mechanism underlying the development and progression of
endometriosis. Notably,miR-21-5p has been reported by several studies to
be dysregulated in women suffering from endometriosis, underscoring its
reproducibility as a potential biomarker
26,45.
To further investigate the origin a nd functional relevance of these
differentially expressed miRNAs, we performed a hypergeometric over-
representation analysis using miRNet46,47. This analysis revealed that the
majority of these miRNAs predominantly originated from the bone marrow
and cervix (Fig.1C). The bone marrow association reflects the serum origin
of the miRNA data. The cervix, on the other hand, is relevant as it points to
the anatomical regions where endometriosis lesions can be found in
proximity, providing confidence that the observed molecular signals are
indeed linked to the disease. This suggests that the serum circulating
miRNAs may serve as biomarkers for s ystemic changes associated with
endometriosis.
Additionally, we conducted a hypergeometric test using the gene tar-
gets of the differentially expressed miRNAs against the Kyoto Encyclopedia
of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) database to identify enriched molecular
pathways
47. This analysis highlighted that the top non-tumor-speci fic
molecular processes included various signaling pathways and focal adhe-
sion, which are strongly associated with endometriosis (Fig. 1C). For
instance, focal adhesion is a critical process in the pathogenicity of endo-
metriosis, as it involves cell –matrix interactions that contribute to the
attachment, survival, and invasion of endometrial cells outside the uterus
48.
Similarly, dysregulation in signaling pathways, such as the mitogen-
activated protein kinase (MAPK signaling pathway, has been observed in
endometrial cells, leading to enhan ced cell proliferation, endometriosis
lesion establishment, and disease persistence49. Furthermore, MAPK sig-
naling is implicated in pain sensitization, suggesting a role in the chronic
pelvic pain experienced by manypatients with endometriosis50.
Assessment of differentially expressed miRNAs for the predic-
tion of endometriosis using machine learning
To evaluate whether the identified differentially expressed miRNAs possess
predictive value in distinguishing individuals with endometriosis from
control subjects, we implemented and assessed three distinct random forest
models, each utilizing a different dataset.
For the first model (Model #1), we constructed a random forest clas-
sifier using all 85 differentially expressed miRNAs. To rigorously assess its
performance, we employed a 30-fold repeated subsampling cross-validation
approach. Model #1 demonstrated strong predictive capability, achieving an
overall sensitivity of 0.91, specificity of 0.88, and an area under the curve
(AUC) of 0.95 (Fig. 2A). To further refine the model and enhance inter-
pretability, we explored feature selection based on importance scores
derived from the initial model. Speci fically, we developed two additional
models with reduced feature sets: Model #2, which utilized the top 40 most
informative miRNAs, and Model #3, which incorporated only the top 20
(Supplementary Data 3). These refined models were constructed using the
same random forest framework and evaluated with the identical repeated
subsampling cross-validation procedure. By focusing on the most predictive
miRNAs, we aimed to improve classi fication accuracy while eliminating
noise introduced by less informative features.
The results indicated that both red uced-feature models exhibited
slightly improved performance compared to Model #1. Model #2, incor-
porating the top 40 miRNAs, achieved a sensitivity of 0.93, a specificity of
0.89, and an AUC of 0.97 (Fig.2B). Model #3, which was restricted to the top
20 miRNAs, further enhanced predictive accuracy, yielding a sensitivity of
0.95, a speci ficity of 0.90, and an AUC of 0.98 (Fig. 2C). These findings
suggest that a substantial proportion of the differentially expressed miRNAs
may not meaningfully contribute to disease classi fication and instead
introduce noise into the predictive model. The improved performance of the
reduced-feature models underscores the value of feature selection in
enhancing both the robustness and interpretability of machine learning-
based biomarker discovery in endometriosis.
Selection of miRNA biomarkers and endogenous controls for
non-NGS clinical diagnostics
The translation of NGS discovery findings into actionable clinical diag-
nostics is essential for improving patient care. While NGS provides com-
prehensive molecular insights, clinical diagnostic applications often rely on
qPCR due to their faster turnaround time, lower costs, and suitability for
IVD implementation without requiring the complex bioinformatics infra-
structure necessary for NGS analysis
28–30. Given these advantages, we
explored the feasibility oftranslating our NGS-basedfindings into a qPCR-
based diagnostic assay.
One of the primary considerations in this transition is the limit of
detection of qPCR. The 85 differentially expressed miRNAs identified in our
NGS analysis exhibit a wide range of expression levels across samples,
spanning from as few as 10 normalized read counts (e.g.,miR-4710)t oo v e r
1,000,000 (e.g.,miR-21-5p) (Supplementary Data 2). Based on initial qPCR
assessments, we determined that reliable detection in qPCR is achieved for
miRNAs with an average NGS normalized read count exceeding 500.
Applying this threshold, 38 of the dif ferentially expressed miRNAs fell
below the cutoff and were deemed unreliable for qPCR-based detection (Fig.
3A). This left 47 differentially expressed miRNAs that met the detection
threshold for further investigation (Supplementary Data 4).
To assess the predictive potential of these 47 miRNAs in a qPCR
setting, we constructed two random forest models. Thefirst model incor-
porated all 47 differentially expressed miRNAs, while the second utilized a
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44294-025-00116-5 Article
npj Women's Health | (2025) 3:67 3
reduced feature set consisting of the20 most informative miRNAs selected
from this pool. Notably, many of the miRNAs identified as top contributors
in the previous analysis using all 85 markers—such as miR-21-5p, miR-17-
5p,a n dmiR-15b-5p—remained among the top-ranked features, suggesting
that key predictive biomarkers identified via NGS may indeed be transla-
table to a clinical qPCR assay.
Performance evaluation of these models revealed that thefirst model
(using all 47 miRNAs) achieved an AUC of 0.78 (Fig. 3B), whereas the
second model (using the top 20 miRNAs) exhibited improved performance
w i t ha nA U Co f0 . 8 4( F i g .3C). As observed previously, reducing the feature
set led to a slight increase in performance, likely due to the removal of
uninformative or noisy variables. However, it is important to note that these
qPCR-based models demonstrated lower overall performance compared to
the models trained on all 85 differentially expressed miRNAs in the NGS
dataset. This suggests that some of the most informative miRNAs are
expressed at low levels in the samples, such asmiR-9-5p,w h i c hw a sr a n k e d
as the most predictive but had an average normalized read count of only
~350. The inability of qPCR to reliably detect miRNAs with low expression
presents a challenge for clinical translation. Addressing this limitation may
require optimizing primer designs, adopting ddPCR for enhanced sensi-
tivity, or incorporating target capture methods to improve miRNA
detection.
A second critical factor in transitioning to a qPCR-based assay is the
selection of a suitable endogenous co ntrol or reference marker for data
normalization. Inappropriate reference markers can introduce variability,
leading to unreliable quantification of expression and potentially skewing
diagnostic outcomes. To address th is, we implemented a bioinformatic
pipeline for identifying disease-specific endogenous controls (Ref. “Meth-
ods”). Brie fly, we selected miRNAs that display minimal inter-group
variability in expression to be used as endogenous references
(Supplementary Data 5). One such candidate, miR-92a-3p (Fig. 3D),
demonstrated consistent expression levels between individuals with endo-
metriosis and control subjects. Notably,miR-92a-3p has been validated in
prior studies as a reliable endogenous control in blood-based miRNA
analyses
51.
To further refine our models, we performed in silico normalization of
the 47 differentially expressed miRNAs againstmiR-92a-3p, simulating the
clinical qPCR diagnostic work flow. Following normalization, we re-
evaluated the performance of our random forest models. This approach
led to noticeable improvements in predictive accuracy, with the model using
all 47 miRNAs achieving an AUC of 0.80, and the reduced model using the
top 20 miRNAs attaining an AUC of 0.88 (Fig. 3E, F). These findings
underscore the importance of proper normalization strategies in enhancing
the robustness of qPCR-based diagnostics and further support the potential
clinical applicability of our NGS-derived biomarker panel.
Experimental assessment for diagnostic qPCR assays
To evaluate the potential of translating our NGS discoveryfindings into a
clinically viable qPCR diagnostic assay, we selectedfive candidate miRNAs
—miR-21-5p, miR-15b-5p, miR-17-5p, miR-19b-3p,a n d miR-23a-3p—for
experimental validation using qPCR (Fig.4). These miRNAs were chosen
based on their differential expression patterns observed in the NGS dataset,
as well as their biological relevance to endometriosis. In addition,miR-92a-
3p w a si n c l u d e da sa ne n d o g e n o u sc o n t r o lf o rn o r m a l i z a t i o n ,g i v e ni t s
demonstrated stability across endometriosis and control samples in both
our dataset and prior studies.
For this validation study, we conducted qPCR assays on 90 serum
samples, comprising 65 patients with endometriosis and 25 control subjects
whose disease status was confirmed via laparoscopic surgery (Supplemen-
tary Data 6). The goal was to determi ne whether the expression patterns
A B C
AUC Sensitivity Specificity
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
AUC Sensitivity Specificity AUC Sensitivity Specificity
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.000.95 0.91 0.88
0.97 0.93 0.89
0.98 0.95 0.90
Cross validation #10 (Representative)
0.2
0.4
0.6
1.0
0.8
True positive rate
False positive rate
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Model 1: All DE miRNAs Model 2: Top 40 DE miRNAs Model 2: Top 20 DE miRNAs
0.2
0.4
0.6
1.0
0.8
True positive rate
0.2
0.4
0.6
1.0
0.8
True positive rate
False positive rate
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
False positive rate
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
AUC = 0.93 AUC = 0.94 AUC = 0.94
Cross validation #12 (Representative) Cross validation #12 (Representative)
Fig. 2 | Diagnostic performance of NGS-identi fied differentially expressed
miRNAs using machine learning. The diagnostic utility of differentially expressed
miRNAs was assessed through machine learning analysis. Performance metrics
represent the mean of 30 iterations of repeated subsampling cross-validation, with
error bars indicating variability across iterations. A Using the full set of differentially
expressed miRNAs, the model achieved an AUC of 0.95, with a sensitivity of 0.91 and
specificity of 0.88. A representative ROC curve from iteration #10 is shown.
B Limiting the model to the top 40 most informative miRNAs improved perfor-
mance, yielding an AUC of 0.97, sensitivity of 0.93, and specificity of 0.89. The ROC
curve displayed corresponds to iteration #12. C Further refinement using the top 20
most informative miRNAs resulted in the highest diagnostic performance, with an
AUC of 0.98, sensitivity of 0.95, and speci ficity of 0.90. The representative ROC
curve is also from iteration #12.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44294-025-00116-5 Article
npj Women's Health | (2025) 3:67 4
observed in the NGS discovery datasetcould be reliably recapitulated using
qPCR, a crucial step in transitioning towards a clinically deployable assay.
Analysis of the qPCR results revealed that two of thefive selected biomarkers
(miR-21-5pand miR-15b-5p) displayed statistically significant differences in
normalized expression between the endometriosis and control groups.
These findings are consistent with our NGS discovery dataset, reinforcing
their potential utility as diagnos tic biomarkers. Additionally, miR-17-5p
exhibited a discernible trend of differential expression between disease and
control samples, as visualized in the boxplot analysis. However, this dif-
ference did not reach statistical signi ficance, suggesting that, while this
marker may hold some biological relevance, additional optimization—such
as larger sample sizes or re fined qPCR conditions—may be necessary to
establish its diagnostic value. In contrast, the remaining two miRNAs,miR-
19b-3p and miR-23a-3p, did not show clear delineation between patients
and controls, indicating that their differential expression in the NGS dataset
may not translate robustly into a qP CR-based assay. This discrepancy
underscores the complexities of biomarker translation and highlights the
need for rigorous validation and opti mization at the experimental level.
Factors such as primer design, ampli fication efficiency, RNA extraction
variability, and technical noise could all contribute to differences between
NGS and qPCR results, emphasizing the importance of careful assay
development. Notwithstanding, the data suggest that qPCR-based assays
could provide meaningful diagnostic utility with proper refinement.
Discussion
S m a l lR N A ss u c ha sm i R N A sh a v eb e e ns h o w nt op l a yp i v o t a lr o l e si n
numerous physiological and pathological processes, influencing gene reg-
ulation in both normal and disease states. Altered miRNA expression
profiles have been extensively documented in the plasma and serum of
patients with various conditions, including diffuse large B cell lymphoma,
ovarian cancer, and type 2 diabetes
52,53.T h e s efindings underscore the
potential of circulating miRNAs as no n-invasive biomarkers for disease
detection and monitoring. In this s tudy, we demonstrate that miRNAs
circulating in serum can potentially serve as reliable biomarkers for the
diagnosis of endometriosis. The ability to analyze serum miRNA levels in a
standardized manner presents a promising approach in disease detection.
The fluctuations in specific circulating miRNAs offer a quanti fiable and
reproducible means of identifying en dometriosis, potentially improving
early diagnosis and clinical management.
Using serum miRNAs as diagnostic biomarkers offers several key
advantages over conventional diagnostic methods in endometriosis. Cur-
rently, the gold standard for endometriosis diagnosis relies on laparoscopy
A B C
D E F
Detectable
via qPCR
Not detectable
via qPCR
log2(average expression)
DE miRNAs
0
5
10
15
20
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
AUC Sensitivity Specificity
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
AUC Sensitivity Specificity
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
AUC Sensitivity Specificity AUC Sensitivity Specificity
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
All qPCR detectable miRNAs Top 20 qPCR detectable miRNAs
All qPCR detectable miRNAs
normalized with miR-92a-3p
Top 20 qPCR detectable miRNAs
normalized with miR-92a-3p
0.78
0.66 0.69
0.84
0.68
0.74
0.80
0.70 0.68
0.88
0.77
0.70
Controls Endometriosis
500000
750000
1000000
1250000Normalized read count
miR-92a-3p
Fig. 3 | Diagnostic performance of differentially expressed miRNAs is reliably
quantifiable by qPCR, assessed using machine learning. Performance metrics
represent the mean of 30 iterations of repeated subsampling cross-validation, with
error bars indicating variability across iterations. A Violin plot illustrating the
expression distribution of differentially expressed miRNAs based on normalized
NGS read counts. miRNAs shown in blue represent those with expression levels too
low for reliable qPCR detection, while those in red indicate miRNAs with suf ficient
expression for reliable quanti fication by qPCR. The dotted red line marks the
expression threshold of 500 normalized reads, used to distinguish between the two
groups. B Predictive performance of a machine-learning model using all 47 miRNAs
deemed reliably detectable by qPCR, resulting in an average AUC of 0.78, with a
sensitivity of 0.66 and specificity of 0.69.C Model performance using the top 20 most
informative miRNAs from the qPCR-detectable set, showing a modest improvement
with an average AUC of 0.84, sensitivity of 0.68, and specificity of 0.74. D Boxplot of
miR-92a-3p, a potential endogenous control candidate in this disease setting,
demonstrating consistent expression with minimal variability between patient and
control groups. The box ’s lower and upper hinges correspond to the 25th and 75th
percentiles, respectively, with the median indicated by the line inside the box. The
whiskers extend to the most extreme data points within 1.5 times the interquartile
range below the 25th percentile and above the 75th percentile. E Predictive per-
formance using all 47 reliably detectable miRNAs after in silico normalization
against miR-92a-3p, yielding an average AUC of 0.80, with sensitivity of 0.70 and
specificity of 0.68. F Model performance using the top 20 most informative miRNAs
following in silico normalization with miR-92a-3p, showing further improvement
with an average AUC of 0.88, sensitivity of 0.77, and speci ficity of 0.68.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44294-025-00116-5 Article
npj Women's Health | (2025) 3:67 5
with direct visualization, an invasive surgical procedure. A serum-based
miRNA biomarker assay could provide anon-invasive alternative, enabling
comprehensive disease assessment without the need for surgery. This is
particularly valuable for early detection and for patients who may not have
immediate access to specialized surgical evaluation. Secondly, compared to
invasive diagnostic procedures, aserum-based miRNA test is significantly
more cost-effective. The process involves routine blood collection and
standard laboratory processing, making it more accessible for widespread
clinical implementation. Additiona lly, standardizing miRNA detection
protocols could facilitate large-scal e screening efforts, improving early
diagnosis and patient outcomes.
In this study, we investigated serum miRNA expression pro files in
individuals with endometriosis and identified a distinct set of circulating
miRNAs that may serve as potential biomarkers for disease detection. To
minimize variability associated with hormonal changes during the men-
strual cycle, particularly those impacting female-speci fic physiological
processes, serum samples were collected exclusively during the secretory
phase. Our results add to the growing evidence supporting the use of serum
miRNA signatures as non-invasive diagnostic tools for endometriosis
19–33.
In particular, we experimentally validated miR-21-5p and miR-15b-5p,
which contain significant information delineating endometriosis patients
from the control population. Both miR-21-5p and miR-15-5p have been
previously reported to be dysregulated in a variety of pathological condi-
tions, particularly those characterized by in flammation or aberrant cell
proliferation. For example,miR-21-5pis widely considered as an‘oncomiR’
with roles in cancer, immune activation, and angiogenesis
54,55. Likewise,
miR-15-5p has been associated with tissue fibrosis and immune
modulation56,57. The presence of these miRNAs across multiple disease
contexts underscores their lack of disease speci ficity. However, their
reproducible dysregulation in endometriosis is biologically plausible given
the in flammatory and fibrotic microenvironment that characterizes this
disease, and may serve as important components of a multi-biomarker
panel, capturing the inflammatory and remodeling milieu of endometriosis
when combined with other biomarkers.
Nonetheless, despite their promise, several key challenges remain
before miRNA-based assays can be translated into clinically reliable diag-
nostic applications. One of the primary obstacles lies in the choice of
detection platform. While NGS provides a comprehensive assessment of the
miRNA landscape, its high cost per sample and dependence on complex
bioinformatics infrastructure render it impractical for routine clinical
diagnostics and IVD applications. Consequently, there is a need to transi-
tion toward more practical methodol o g i e s ,s u c ha sq P C Ro rd d P C R ,w h i c h
offer lower costs, faster turnaround times, and compatibility with IVD
requirements. Another potential challenge in clinical miRNA diagnostics is
the selection of appropriate endogenous controls for normalization, as the
commonly usedmiR-16-5pcan exhibit instability in blood-based assays
58.I n
our study,miR-92a-3pemerged as a more reliable endogenous control based
on empirical comparison betweenthe patient and control groups51,w h e r e a s
miR-16-5pshowed greater variability. It should be noted that bothmiR-16-
5p and miR-92a-3pare linked to inflammatory processes59,60,w i t hmiR-92a-
3p implicated in neuroin flammation60,61. While our results support the
suitability ofmiR-92a-3pas an endogenous control in this context, valida-
tion in larger, independent cohorts is necessary to con firm its broader
applicability.
Our findings suggest that convertingNGS-based miRNA discoveries
into clinically applicable assays is achievable, though it necessitates experi-
mental refinement. Despite using a limited qPCR panel with only five
miRNA biomarkers, we demonstrated valu a b l ed i a g n o s t i cp o t e n t i a l ,a l b e i t
with a need for further optimization. This highlights both the promise and
the technical challenges of implementing miRNA-based diagnostics in
clinical practice.
To improve the reliability and diagnostic accuracy of a qPCR-based
test, several key strategies should be c onsidered. (a) Primer optimization:
refining primer designs to enhance amplification efficiency and specificity,
particularly for low-abundance miRNAs. (b) Adopting ddPCR for
enhanced sensitivity: ddPCR offers improved precision and sensitivity,
making it a suitable alternative for detecting low-expressed miRNAs that
may be missed by qPCR. (c) Expanding sample size: increasing the number
of clinical samples analyzed will im prove statistical power and ensure
robustness across diverse patient populations. (d) Developing a multiplex
assay: creating a multiplexed qPCR panel would allow for the simultaneous
detection of multiple miRNA biomarkers, streamlining work flow and
improving diagnostic efficiency.
While initial qPCR validation of selected miRNAs shows promise,
further refinement is necessary and underway to enhance assay reprodu-
cibility and clinical performance. Future studi es will focus on validating
these biomarkers in larger, independent cohorts, optimizing detection
methods, and standardizing protocol s to ensure reproducibility across
clinical testing laboratories. These efforts will be critical in bridging the gap
between high-throughput discovery research and real-world clinical
application, ultimately paving the way for a clinically deployable serum
miRNA-based diagnostic test for endometriosis.
Methods
Specimen collection
Peripheral blood samples were collected prospectively from women aged
18–49 years who presented with mild-to-severe symptoms, including pelvic
pain and/or menstrual bleeding. This is a single-center study, and the par-
ticipants were enrolled under an approved institutional review board (IRB)
of the Women ’s Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine in
accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki, with informed consent
obtained from all individuals. The IRB number is IRB-20240110-R. The
Fig. 4 | Boxplot of qPCR performance for selected
differentially expressed miRNAs. All miRNAs
were normalized against miR-92a-3p using qPCR.
Of the five miRNAs tested, two ( miR-21-5p and
miR-15b-5p) showed a signi ficant difference in
expression between patients and controls, replicat-
ing the direction of effect observed in the NGS dis-
covery dataset. miR-17-5p exhibited a concordant
trend, with a p value of 0.065, approaching statistical
significance. The remaining two miRNAs, miR-19b-
3p and miR-23a-3p, did not show a statistically sig-
nificant difference between patients and controls.
The boxplot’s lower and upper hinges represent the
25th and 75th percentiles, respectively, with the
median indicated by the line inside the box. The
whiskers extend to the most extreme data points
within 1.5 times the interquartile range below the
25th percentile and above the 75th percentile.
miR-21-5p miR-15b-5p miR-17-5p miR-19b-3p miR-23a-3p
2.7
3.0
3.3
3.6
-log2(Delta CT)
miRNAs normalized with miR-92a-3p
p = 0.029 p = 0.032 p = 0.073 p = 0.729 p = 0.692
Controls
n = 25
Endometriosis
n = 65
3.9
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44294-025-00116-5 Article
npj Women's Health | (2025) 3:67 6
participants included in this study were collected from March 2024 to
December 2024. All participants were clinically suspected of a gynecologic
abnormal condition and were scheduled to undergo laparoscopy with his-
topathological confirmation for endometriosis. A subset of participants in
our study cohort presented with co-morbidities such as adenomyosis and
leiomyoma. These conditions frequently co-exist with endometriosis and
may present overlapping clinical features, making it dif ficult to fully dis-
entangle their individual contributions. It is therefore acknowledged that the
potential influence of these co-morbidities on the observed outcomes can-
not be ruled out, and this represents alimitation of the study that should be
considered when interpreting the results. Detailed clinical information for
a l le n r o l l e dp a r t i c i p a n t si sp r o v i d e di nt h eS u p p l e m e n t a r yD a t a .T oa c c o u n t
for potential variations in miRNA e xpression due to different menstrual
cycle phases, blood samples were collected exclusively from women in the
secretory phase of their menstrual cycle. The menstrual phase was initially
determined by physicians or surgeons based on self-reported cycle days and
clinical assessment. However, relying solely on calendar-based timing may
not provide sufficient accuracy. To strengthen the reliability of our sample
selection, this secretory classification was further validated through serum
progesterone measurements using the protein assay from Kangrun Biotech
Co., Ptd (Guangdong, China), with levels exceeding 1.08 ng/mL serving as a
biochemical confirmation of the secretory phase according to the manu-
facturer’s protocol. This appr oach minimized the in fluence of hormonal
fluctuations on biomarker expression, thereby enhancing the reliability of
our findings. We acknowledge that serum progesterone levels alone may not
precisely distinguish between early, mid, and late secretory phases. For
example, a progesterone concentration of 2 ng/mL could represent early or
late secretory windows due to the cyclical nature of the hormone level, where
dynamic changes in progesterone signaling, immune cell infiltration, and
stromal remodeling are well docume nted. Therefore, we recognize that
residual heterogeneity due to broad secretory phase classification is a lim-
itation of the study and may confound interpretation of the data. Given the
constraints of patient recruitment a nd sample availability, we adopted a
pragmatic approach that combined calendar-based cycle staging with bio-
chemical validation using serum progesterone to ensure all participants
were indeed in the secretory phase. Future studies with larger cohorts and
additional markers of endometrial dating will be needed to minimize this
source of heterogeneity. In this study, a total of 40 symptomatic women were
included in the NGS discovery cohort, with 10 mL of blood drawn into
standard red-top blood collection tubes prior to the laparoscopic surgery.
Among them, 20 women were confirmed to have endometriosis based on
both laparoscopic findings and histopathology (disease group), while the
remaining 20 had no evidence of endometriosis and served as the control
group. Serum was isolated using a two-step centrifugation protocol. First,
samples underwent a low-speed centrifugation at 3000 rpm for 10 min at
4 °C to remove cellular components. This was then followed by a second
high-speed centrifugation at 16,000 ×g for 10 min at 4 °C to ensure com-
plete removal of debris and platelets. The isolated serum was then aliquoted
and stored at −80 °C for subsequent RNA extraction and downstream
processing.
RNA isolation and miRNA-seq
Total RNA was isolated from 300 μL of serum using the Norgen RNA
extraction kit following the manufacturer’s instructions. Total RNAs were
ligated to 3’ adapters by denaturation at 70 °C for 2 min, and then incubated
at 16 °C for over 8 h using NEB T4 RNA Ligase 2. Afterwards, 5’ adapters
were incubated with the previous product using NEB T4 RNA Ligase 1 at
37 °C for 60 min. Ligated RNA was reverse transcribed in a thermocycler
using SuperScript II Reverse Transcriptase from ThermoFisher Inc. under
the following conditions: an initial incubation at 50 °C for 60 min, followed
by a heat inactivation step at 80 °C for 10 min. Following complementary
DNA (cDNA) synthesis, library preparation was performed using the NEB
Phusion High-Fidelity DNA Polymerase, adhering strictly to the manu-
facturer’s guidelines. The final libraries were then subjected to high-
throughput sequencing to profile the miRNA expression by LC Biosciences.
NGS miRNA differential expression profiling endogenous control
selection
The raw FASTQ data obtained from miRNA sequencing underwent pre-
processing and analysis using the miRge362 software pipeline. Initially, the
sequences were quality-trimmed, and adapter sequences were removed
using a Cutadapt63 wrapper integrated within miRge3. The trimmed reads
were then aligned to the miRBase 64 reference database using Bowtie 65
optimized for short reads. Following alignment, miRge3 generated a com-
prehensive count table summarizing the abundance of each miRNA across
the samples. This count table served as the input for downstream differential
expression analysis using the DESeq2
66 package in R. DESeq2 was employed
to identify miRNAs that exhi bited statistically significant differences in
expression between the patient and con trol groups. After identifying the
differentially expressed miRNAs, hy pergeometric over-representation
analyses were conducted using the miRNet platform 46. In this analysis,
two distinct queries were performed: first, the differentially expressed
miRNAs were compared against the miRNA-tissue origin database in
miRNet to infer potential tissue-speci fic origins or associations of these
miRNAs; second, the predicted gene targets of these miRNAs were mapped
to the KEGG database
47 to identify statistically enriched biological pathways.
This dual-level approach enabled th e contextualization of the miRNA
expression patterns in terms of both tissue relevance and functional pathway
involvement.
Endogenous control selection for in silico normalization and
qPCR experimental validation
To bridge the findings from the next-generation sequencing (NGS) dis-
covery cohort into clinically applicable diagnostic tools, we further aimed to
identify condition-specific endogenous control miRNAs. These controls are
essential for normalizing qPCR or ddPCR assays, ensuring accurate and
reproducible quantification of target miRNA expression. The selection of
endogenous controls was guided by stringent criteria. Speci fically, we
evaluated the expression stability of candidate miRNAs by assessing their
dispersion estimates and imposing constraints on log2 fold-change (|
log2FC| < 0.02) between the patient andcontrol groups. This ensured that
the selected controls exhibited minimal variability across conditions.
Additionally, candidates were filtered based on an adjusted p-value
threshold (≥0.8), ensuring that their expression was not influenced by the
experimental conditions or disease state.
Disease prediction model construction using a random forest
classifier
To assess the predictive capability of the differentially expressed miRNAs
and determine the extent to which they could accurately classify patients
with endometriosis, we constructed a random forest classifier using all the
differentially expressed miRNAs identi fied in the discovery cohort. To
ensure a robust evaluation of the model’s performance, we performed 30
iterations of repeated random subsampling cross-validation, where in each
iteration, the data was split into an 80:20 ratio for training and testing,
respectively. This repeated holdout validation approach allowed us to
account for variability in model performance due to random data parti-
tioning and provided a reliable estimate of the model’s predictive accuracy.
During model construction, any missing values were imputed using the
median of the corresponding feature.
Following the initial model construction, we conducted feature selec-
tion to identify the most informative miRNAs for predicting endometriosis.
This was achieved by evaluating the feature importance scores generated by
the random forest algorithm. Based on these scores, we created two distinct
feature sets: one comprising the top 40 most important miRNAs and
another consisting of the top 20 most important miRNAs. These reduced
feature sets were then used to generate and assess new models using the
same repeated random subsampling cross-validation procedure described
above. Reducing the feature set is crucial for the assessment of model per-
formance and interpretability. A smaller, more informative subset of
miRNAs helps prevent overfitting, ensuring the model generalizes well to
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44294-025-00116-5 Article
npj Women's Health | (2025) 3:67 7
new data. Additionally, focusing on the most important miRNAs reduces
noise, leading to more reliable predictions. A reduced feature set also
facilitates translation into clinical diagnostics, where the informative miR-
NAs can be assayed using qPCR and/or ddPCR instead of NGS.
RNA extraction and qPCR experimental validation
Total RNA was extracted from 200μL serum using the miRNeasy Serum/
Plasma Advanced Kit from Qiagen, following the manufacturer’s recom-
mended protocol. Subsequently, targeted miRNAs were reverse transcribed
into cDNA using the FastKing RT Kit II from TianGen Inc. The reverse
transcription reaction was carried out in a thermocycler under the following
conditions: an initial incubation at 42 °C for 15 min to facilitate cDNA
synthesis, followed by a heat inactivation step at 95 °C for 1 min to terminate
the reactions. The synthesized cDNA was subjected to qPCR analysis of the
five miRNA markers. The PCR reaction mixtures were prepared by miR-
CURY LNA miRNA SYBR Green PCR Kit from Qiagen. qPCR ampli fi-
cation was performed in the QuantStudio qPCR system following an initial
denaturation at 95°C for 2 min, followed by 40 cycles with denaturation at
95 °C for 10 s and annealing at 56 °C for 60 s.
Statistical analyses
Differential expression analysis was performed using DESeq2, which
models NGS count data with a negative binomial distribution to assess
statistical differences between patients and controls. For machine learning-
based predictions, sensitivity, specificity, and AUC were evaluated using
Python’s scikit-learn package. Pairwise expression comparisons between
patients and controls were assessed using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test.
Study approval
The participants were enrolled under an approved institutional review
board protocol (IRB-20240110-R) at the Women ’sH o s p i t a lo fZ h e j i a n g
University School of Medicine, with i nformed consent obtained from all
individuals.
Data availability
Sequencing data were deposited into Genome Sequence Archive under the
accession number HRA011242 and can be accessed viahttps://ngdc.cncb.
ac.cn/search/specific?db=hra&q=HRA011242.
Code availability
Scripts used for feature selection, random forest model construction, and
figure plotting have been deposited in the GitHub repository (https://github.
com/Heranova-Lifesciences/endometriosis_miRNAseq_manuscript).
Received: 4 May 2025; Accepted: 13 November 2025;
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Acknowledgements
The authors wish to express their gratitude to Jonathan Zhao and Frank
Zhang (both from Heranova Lifesciences) for their valuable input on the study
design and contributions to the development of the manuscript. This study
was funded by the internal R&D budget of Heranova Lifesciences.
Author contributions
Y. Yu and W.H. Wong led the research group, analyzed the data, and wrote
the manuscript. Y. Yu, W.H. Wong, X. Zhang, and F.Z. Bischoff
conceptualized the study. X. Zhang and L. Zhu provided the samples while S.
Lu coordinated sample collection between the hospital and the laboratory.
W.H. Wong and Y. Hu performed random forest analysis. Y. Yu, Y. Shen, and
X. Xu performed molecular experiments.
Competing interests
All authors, except X.Z. and L.Z., are employees of Heranova Lifesciences, a
company engaged in the commercial development of a non-invasive test for
endometriosis. F.Z.B. holds stock options of Heranova Lifesciences. The
authors declare no other conflicts of interest, financial or otherwise.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s44294-025-00116-5 Article
npj Women's Health | (2025) 3:67 9
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