The problem with the 'truth': rethinking ground truth for artificial intelligence in endometriosis diagnosis

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This commentary examines how the lack of a definitive gold standard for endometriosis diagnosis impacts AI model training and proposes new approaches to establishing ground truth.

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This commentary discusses how “ground truth” should be defined for AI models trained to diagnose endometriosis, arguing that endometriosis lacks a single clear gold standard as clinical guidelines have moved away from surgical confirmation. Drawing on the authors’ AI experience, the paper reviews three main reference modalities—imaging (ultrasound/MRI), surgery, and histology—and highlights key limitations affecting label quality, including false negatives for superficial disease in imaging, expert-dependence and inter-centre variation causing noisy labels, and surgical selection bias plus documentation variability; it also notes histology can be unavailable after ablation and may be compromised by sampling and processing issues. A major caveat is that the paper is not an empirical study of an AI model, but a conceptual discussion of ground-truth principles and candidate solutions rather than a test of performance. This paper is centrally about endometriosis — it focuses specifically on rethinking diagnostic “ground truth” for AI in endometriosis diagnosis.

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Abstract

Artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing how we practice medicine. In areas where we have traditionally struggled, such as diagnosing endometriosis, AI has significant potential to improve the breadth and accuracy of diagnostic services offering a great benefit to patient care. When developing AI models for diagnosis, the 'ground truth' refers to the reference standard used in the labelling of the data used to train the model. Conventionally, in clinical medicine, we correlate any new diagnostic tool to the established 'gold standard', which in the case of endometriosis is laparoscopic visualization of lesions and histological confirmation. This method however is increasingly recognized as imperfect. Acknowledgement of the limitations of surgery and recent improvements in the diagnostic capability of imaging technologies to detect endometriosis, has created a situation where endometriosis no longer has one clear 'gold standard' for diagnosis. In this commentary, we will explore the impact of this on AI-driven endometriosis diagnostic tools and propose novel ways this could be addressed in the context of creating ground truths for endometriosis diagnosis.
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The

A discussion of endometriosis diagnostics and ground truths would not be complete without simultaneously considering the challenge of noisy labelling. In the development of AI models, inconsistent or inaccurate labels create noise and bias in training data, a complication which is to be avoided as much as possible ( Karimi et al. , 2020 ). In other words, if the ‘truth’ you are training your AI on, whether it be expertly labelled imaging or surgical/histology findings, is incomplete, inconsistent, or just plain wrong, the AI will learn to match those mistakes ( Drukker et al. , 2020 ) and ultimately overfit the training data which will generalize poorly to previously unseen testing data. In the real world, however, there will always be some degree of difference in human interpretation, whether the modality be imaging, surgery, or histology ( Deslandes et al. , 2025a ), so dealing with ‘noisy labels’ is a common consideration in the field of machine learning (ML) and AI. Thus, in addition to strategies for refining the ground truth for endometriosis, consensus approaches to dealing with labelling noise are essential ( Plank, 2022 ; Deslandes et al. , 2025a ), and strategies to manage this are critical in the development of endometriosis diagnostics.

What

When developing AI models for diagnosis, the ‘ground truth’ refers to the reference standard use in the labelling of the data used to train the model ( Drukker et al. , 2020 ; Willemink et al. , 2020 ). For instance, if training an AI model to diagnose endometriosis from MRI with a supervised learning approach, it would be reasonable to have an expert radiologist review and ‘label’ the images. These labelled images would then be used to teach the model how to read the MRI and potentially replicate the opinion of that expert radiologist in every instance. In clinical studies, best practice dictates that the accepted ‘gold standard’ is used as the reference standard to which other tests should be compared. Therefore, our historical use of surgery (±histology) as the reference standard would dictate that this should be our reference standard in endometriosis diagnosis from MRI images. However, our current lack of clinical clarity around what is the ‘gold standard’, and the known limitation of surgery and histology, means the choice of ground truth needs a considered approach when it comes to the creation of AI tools for the purpose of endometriosis diagnosis.

Intro

Endometriosis is a common gynaecological condition believed to affect ∼190 million people globally ( World Health Organisation, 2025 ). It is widely acknowledged that diagnosis of endometriosis is challenging due to varying symptoms, a lack of non-invasive testing which can identify all subtypes accurately, and a historical reliance on surgery to confirm diagnosis. Much effort has been expended in recent years to improve endometriosis diagnostics, particularly non-invasive options like biomarkers and imaging tests ( Pascoal et al. , 2022 ). Given the numerous challenges in diagnosis, and the power of artificial intelligence (AI) in healthcare, it stands to reason that AI will have a role to play in diagnosis of endometriosis in the near future ( Sivajohan et al. , 2022 ; Avery et al. , 2024b ; Deslandes et al. , 2024 ). Although surgical visualization of lesions has long been considered the ‘gold standard’, recent updates to clinical practice guidelines from international societies like ESHRE and the Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Obstetrics and Gynaecology (RANZCOG) no longer specify this to be the case ( Becker et al. , 2022 ; Royal Australian and New Zealand College of Obstetrics and Gynaecology (RANZCOG) 2025 ). This change has largely been prompted by the improvement in imaging technologies and their diagnostic capabilities in recent years. It has however, created a situation where endometriosis no longer has one clear ‘gold standard’ for diagnosis ( Pascoal et al. , 2022 ), a problem which raises the question, what should constitute a ground truth in endometriosis diagnosis? In this commentary, we hope to shine a spotlight on the challenges of defining ground truth in endometriosis diagnosis, drawing on insights from our own AI research. By sharing potential solutions, we aim to spark a global conversation and drive the innovation needed to push endometriosis diagnostics into a new digital era.

Potential

Given each diagnostic approach has strengths and limitations, all hold potential to be used as a ground truth. Innovative solutions to overcome the limitations may present the solution. Importantly, selection bias represents a fundamental structural limitation across all currently available ground truth modalities in endometriosis research. Because endometriosis diagnosis follows a symptom-driven investigative pathway, imaging datasets are enriched for symptomatic individuals, and surgical datasets are further enriched for high-suspicion cases, leaving asymptomatic, early-stage, or atypical disease systematically under-represented. Consequently, AI models trained on existing data are likely to learn patterns of ‘investigation-worthy’ disease, with uncertain performance in the very cases where earlier detection may be most valuable. Innovative solutions to overcome the limitations may present the solution. This not only requires technological innovation however, but a shift in our traditional clinical and research thinking towards diagnostic accuracies and ‘gold standards’ ( Pascoal et al. , 2022 ). Here, we present several options we believe could be feasible and warrant consideration at a professional level. Whichever methods are eventually utilized going forward, it is imperative that their impact on any resultant algorithm trained with that ground truth is appreciated by the clinicians ultimately using them ( Drukker et al. , 2020 ; Alowais et al. , 2023 ). In a single modality ground truth approach, the relevant modality (e.g. imaging or surgery) would be used only as a ground truth to that modality. For example, the AI model is trained to diagnose endometriosis from an ultrasound with labels produced by an expert sonographer as they interpreted the ultrasound. This approach may be very well suited to application of AI diagnosis like developing image interpretation algorithms, where the labels of an expert in that modality can be used as the ground truth. The simplicity of this approach makes understanding the outputs for the clinicians using these tools relatively straightforward. Additionally, a single modality approach could theoretically optimize the diagnostic capability of that model for its specific intention and remove the risk of inherited biases or limitations from another modality (such as using a surgical ground truth for imaging models). This does however limit the ability to draw upon the strength of other modalities which could potentially optimize model performance if used correctly ( Zhang et al. , 2023 ). Furthermore, the tool will only be as good as the label used to build it. Although AI models can incorporate strategies to correct for labelling inconsistencies, the accuracy of any system ultimately remains constrained by the quality of the labels it is trained on. The tool can only be as reliable as its underlying annotations; therefore, any labelling errors have the potential to be propagated into the model itself, contributing to an inaccurate ground truth and limiting overall performance. As such, if the labeller makes an error, so will the tool, potentially creating an inaccurate ground truth. Rather than being reliant on one ‘gold standard’ as has traditionally been the case in clinical research, using a multiple modality consensus approach to creating a ground truth for AI models aiming to diagnose endometriosis may be a solution ( Yu et al. , 2020 ). Such an approach would combine multiple data points (e.g. MRI findings, TVUS findings, surgical findings, histological features, and clinical presentation [e.g. pain, infertility]) into a composite label. This approach replicates the work of human experts performing diagnosis more closely, as humans usually consider multiple variables (clinical symptoms, personal and family history, imaging, etc.) to form a diagnosis best matched to their expert opinion. AI models however lack the ability to reason like humans and do not appreciate that each presentation is nuanced ( Drukker et al. , 2020 ). This approach would almost certainly result in very ‘noisy’ labels. However, in the context of AI tool creation, more information is better and noise can be dampened using AI approaches. Solutions to deal with labelling noise include majority voting or weighted consensus methods ( Petashvili et al. , 2024 ). One such strategy specific to endometriosis diagnostics has been developed by Wang et al. (2024) called Human-AI Collaborative Multi-Modal Multi-Reader learning for endometriosis diagnosis (HAICOMM), which works to manage labelling inconsistencies in endometriosis imaging by combining multi-rater learning (to refine inconsistent/noisy clinician labels), multi-modal learning (to utilize T1/T2 MRI data), and human-AI collaboration. A multi-modality ground truth approach requires access to wide datasets which development teams may not have. One such approach to overcome this limitation and leverage the value of multi-modal algorithms without access to paired datasets was proposed by Zhang et al. (2025) . By training a multi-modal classifier on unpaired TVUS and MRI data, a model was created that could transfer knowledge across modalities, improving MRI-based classification of endometriosis signs while preserving the high accuracy of TVUS. A multi-modal approach also allows the approach used by Zhang et al. (2025) for implementation of AI techniques which can help to mitigate against the issue of noisy labels and ground truthing imperfections which will likely be unavoidable in endometriosis diagnostics. Techniques such as semi-supervised learning can be utilized to combine a small, well-labelled dataset from one modality (such as surgery) with larger unlabelled data (such as MRI) to generalize the findings of the smaller dataset to a broader population. One area in which ML is revolutionizing medicine is in predictive medicine ( Phillips et al. , 2022 ; Dixon et al. , 2024 ; Khalifa and Albadawy, 2024 ). By analysing data from a diverse range of sources, such as electronic health records and patient registries, then combining with ML, it is possible to create avenues that enhance disease prediction and personalize management ( Alhumaidi et al. , 2025 ). In the context of a ground truth for endometriosis diagnosis, a longitudinal outcomes approach would assess follow-up of symptom improvement as validation of initial diagnosis, rather than assessment of the initial ‘findings’. Given the challenges associated with endometriosis management, especially the lack of current curative treatment options, an ‘outcome’ based approach may be effective, especially as the diagnostic objective should be to facilitate appropriate and beneficial treatments ( Franye et al. , 2023 ; Fallon et al. , 2024 ). Conversely, it may be impractical to use in the context of endometriosis, where it is well appreciated that symptoms do not match disease stage/severity. Endometriosis is an exceedingly complex whole-body condition, with a range of implications and outcomes, so the feasibility of this approach is difficult to determine. Outcome-based approaches have not previously been applied in human-led endometriosis studies. However, they may ultimately be more clinically beneficial than traditional interpretation-focused methods used in clinical, imaging, or pathological diagnosis. It must be noted however that ethical deployment of any AI system, but especially one designed and modelled on a novel ground truth solution (or particularly noisy labelling) requires transparency around uncertainty, the measured outputs, and validation on patient-centred outcomes. It is vital that any tool undergo a rigorous external validation process, and that the clinicians ultimately using these tools to assist in their clinical decision-making are aware of the limitations they may be working with. Clinicians must also be comfortable explaining these to their patients to ensure informed consent to use such tools is given. While innovative approaches to developing ground truths are essential, the need for development and adoption structured reporting tools for routine clinical use cannot be overlooked. Methods such as the World Endometriosis Research Foundation Endometriosis Phenome and Biobanking Harmonisation Project (WERF EPHect) tools, have been developed to standardize reporting and create robust research databanks across centres. However, their use in daily clinical practice is limited at best. The WERF EPHect tools cover a range of endometriosis-related reporting (e.g. surgery, pain) however, it is imperative that moving forward, such tools map well to the development of AI models. This needs to be system-wide in imaging, surgery, and histology, as well as a consideration for any future diagnostic tools which may become mainstream like biomarkers ( Fassbender et al. , 2012 ; Bilibio et al. , 2014 ; Acimovic et al. , 2016 ; Joshi et al. , 2017 ; Ferrier et al. , 2023 ; Hon et al. , 2023 ; Schoeman et al. , 2025 ). While standardization of data will not solve all the problems, it will remove some of the current limitations which exists and undoubtably result in higher quality data for AI development, which will in turn lead to better performing models. While in medicine we feel most comfortable with diagnostic certainty and ‘confirmed’ diagnosis, in practice, the process of forming a diagnosis of endometriosis is rarely binary—especially given the limitations of our established ‘gold standards’. Imaging findings, surgical reports, and histology often diverge, and even experts will frequently describe levels of suspicion rather than absolute presence or absence. Some discrepancies reflect inter-observer variation, others reflect inherent differences between modalities (e.g. ultrasound vs MRI), and some reflect the biological complexity of the disease itself. Forcing such complex and sometimes conflicting information into a single ‘yes/no’ label risks oversimplification and reduces the clinical credibility of any AI system trained on it. An uncertainty aware approach would rather present a likelihood of endometriosis being present rather than an absolute yes/no result. Diagnostic uncertainties could be directly encoded into the ground truth. Rather than treating differences between modalities or experts as ‘noise’ to be removed, they can be represented as probabilistic or ‘soft’ labels that reflect diagnostic confidence. For example, if three radiologists interpret an ultrasound sign differently, the label could reflect the distribution of their opinions rather than a forced consensus ( Wang et al. , 2024 ; Deslandes et al. , 2025b ). Similarly, discrepancies between various modalities could be encoded as weighted likelihoods instead of discarded as inconsistency. This approach recognizes that uncertainty is an inherent feature of endometriosis diagnosis, not simply an error. Training AI models on such uncertainty-aware ground truths would allow the system to learn not only the likely diagnosis, but also the degree of confidence associated with it. This mirrors clinical practice more closely, where clinicians integrate likelihoods and confidence levels into their decision-making. Importantly, AI outputs that include confidence measures could also highlight cases where additional imaging or surgical confirmation may be warranted. In this way, encoding uncertainty makes AI systems more transparent, safer for clinical use, and better aligned with the way clinicians already think and work. In practice, adopting a likelihood ground truth would require an operational and cultural shift in how we approach our clinical workflow, not simply a change in how we annotate data. If such an approach were to be used, we would need to use reporting systems that allow confidence scoring, which our current infrastructure and systems often do not allow for in the field of endometriosis diagnostics. However, this is an approach commonly accepted in the imaging assessment of ovarian lesions, where accurately distinguishing benign from malignant can be challenging. Well-established diagnostic systems such as IOTA-ADNEX and O-RADS encourage reporting on probability of malignance (i.e. almost certainly benign, low risk, intermediate risk, high risk) ( Calster et al. , 2014 ; Strachowski et al. , 2023 ). These systems are universally accepted and have seen arguably good uptake into clinical practice to facilitate appropriate care and treatment. There is no reason similar systems could not be adopted for endometriosis to assist with prediction of not only the presence of endometriosis lesions, but also the likelihood of these being related to symptoms.

Authors’

A.D.: Conceived and led the manuscript concept; undertook the primary literature review; drafted the initial manuscript; integrated feedback from all co-authors; coordinated revisions; and provided substantial critical intellectual input. Y.Z.: Contributed to manuscript conception and design, particularly regarding AI methodology; provided technical input on preliminary data interpretation; critically revised the manuscript for important intellectual content; and approved the final version. M.L.: Contributed to conception and clinical context; provided specialist input on gynaecological ultrasound, surgery and endometriosis; reviewed and revised the manuscript critically for clinical accuracy; and approved the final version. H.-T.C.: Provided technical expertise in AI design and implementation; assisted in interpretation of preliminary study data; revised the manuscript critically for technical accuracy; and approved the final version. G.C.: Contributed to AI technical aspects; critically revised the manuscript for intellectual content; and approved the final version. J.A.: Contributed to study design and interpretation; provided preliminary data analysis and evidence synthesis; revised the manuscript critically; and approved the final version. G.C.: Provided clinical expertise in endometriosis, surgery and ultrasound; contributed to study design and interpretation; critically revised the manuscript; and approved the final version. S.K.: Provided clinical expertise in endometriosis and MRI; revised the manuscript critically for accuracy; and approved the final version. M.L.H.: Provided expertise in endometriosis, reproductive medicine and research design; contributed to the conception and interpretation of findings; critically revised the manuscript for intellectual content; and approved the final version. All authors meet the four ICMJE authorship criteria: (i) substantial contributions to conception/design/data; (ii) drafting/revising; (iii) final approval; and (iv) accountability for accuracy and integrity.

Conclusion

Endometriosis is a complex condition which creates challenges not only in clinical care but in AI tool development. Given the current lack of a clear, perfect ‘gold standard’ it is essential to discuss what a suitable ground truth in AI for endometriosis diagnosis looks like. Increasingly, the size and quality of our datasets will iteratively improve the robustness of predictive algorithms and ultimately provide accuracy assessments of both imaging and surgical findings. Collaboration between clinicians, data scientists, and patients to ensure AI models are clinically meaningful, not just technically impressive will be essential. It is our opinion that addressing the challenges involved in developing accurate and predictive non-invasive diagnostic tools for endometriosis is most likely to integrate a multimodal approach. Already, inconsistencies between modalities are questioning our historical concept that surgical reporting is ‘gold standard’ when it, like imaging reporting, has always been subject to human bias. Although highly influenced by the quality of imputed data, this will rapidly improve over time and AI can provide an objective data-driven approach to diagnostics, likely to reduce diagnostic delay for 190 million people globally affected by endometriosis. We believe AI will be a revolution in endometriosis management, but ultimately the skills and clinical decision-making that only humans can bring, will still be needed in developing a clear pathway to a better quality of life.

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Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Endometriosis Endometriosis Endometriosis

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