Recurrence risk and risk factors for monozygotic twin and triplet birth in over 65,000 single-embryo transfers.

PurposeTo determine the recurrence risk and risk factors for monozygotic splitting after elective single-embryo transfers (eSET).MethodsA retrospective cohort study was performed investigating 65,664 eSET cycles that resulted in a clinical pregnancy as reported in the Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology (SART) Clinical Outcomes Reporting System (CORS) between 2004 and 2017. Monozygosity was defined as more than one fetal heart tone by the first-trimester ultrasound and concordant sex at live birth. The primary outcome was recurrence risk, with recurrence defined as one patient having two or more cycles of eSET resulting in monozygotic multiples. The secondary objective was to identify factors associated with smonozygotic splitting, using a multivariable logistic regression model and a stepwise purposeful model selection.ResultsThere were 1355 (2.05%) pregnancies that resulted in two or more fetal heart tones after SET, including 840 monozygotic twins and triplets at birth. Recurrence occurred in two cases-0.0001% of patients with multiple eSET cycles. One case resulted from embryos created from a single cohort with intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI), assisted hatching (AH), and blastocyst transfers. The second case resulted from donor egg embryos with ICSI and blastocyst transfers. Risk factors associated with monozygotic live birth were blastocyst transfer (OR 1.23, 95% CI 1.04-1.47, P = 0.0176) and AH (OR 1.23, 95% CI 1.05-1.44, P = 0.0081).ConclusionRecurrence of monozygotic live births in eSET was very rare. Blastocyst transfer and AH were confirmed to be risk factors for monozygotic live births, while ICSI, PGT, and FET do not appear to be associated.