The use of voting ensembles to improve the accuracy of deep neural networks as a non-invasive method to predict embryo ploidy status
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Voting ensembles combining convolutional neural networks with clinical parameters improved the accuracy of non-invasive embryo ploidy prediction compared to image analysis alone in a cohort of 699 blastocysts.
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Abstract
PURPOSE: To determine if creating voting ensembles combining convolutional neural networks (CNN), support vector machine (SVM), and multi-layer neural networks (NN) alongside clinical parameters improves the accuracy of artificial intelligence (AI) as a non-invasive method for predicting aneuploidy.
METHODS: A cohort of 699 day 5 PGT-A tested blastocysts was used to train, validate, and test a CNN to classify embryos as euploid/aneuploid. All embryos were analyzed using a modified FAST-SeqS next-generation sequencing method. Patient characteristics such as maternal age, AMH level, paternal sperm quality, and total number of normally fertilized (2PN) embryos were processed using SVM and NN. To improve model performance, we created voting ensembles using CNN, SVM, and NN to combine our imaging data with clinical parameter variations. Statistical significance was evaluated with a one-sample t-test with 2 degrees of freedom.
RESULTS: When assessing blastocyst images alone, the CNN test accuracy was 61.2% (± 1.32% SEM, n = 3 models) in correctly classifying euploid/aneuploid embryos (n = 140 embryos). When the best CNN model was assessed as a voting ensemble, the test accuracy improved to 65.0% (AMH; p = 0.1), 66.4% (maternal age; p = 0.06), 65.7% (maternal age, AMH; p = 0.08), 66.4% (maternal age, AMH, number of 2PNs; p = 0.06), and 71.4% (maternal age, AMH, number of 2PNs, sperm quality; p = 0.02) (n = 140 embryos).
CONCLUSIONS: By combining CNNs with patient characteristics, voting ensembles can be created to improve the accuracy of classifying embryos as euploid/aneuploid from CNN alone, allowing for AI to serve as a potential non-invasive method to aid in karyotype screening and selection of embryos.
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