Implementation of Solar Particle Event Nowcast Approach for Real Time Application

Implementation of Solar Particle Event Nowcast Approach for Real Time Application | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Short Report Implementation of Solar Particle Event Nowcast Approach for Real Time Application Vyacheslav Burov, Yuri Ochelkov, Andrey Kondratov, Kirill Kholodkov This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-4365730/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract This short report describes the method of forecasting solar proton events (SPEs) in real time. The implementation monitors electromagnetic flux (particularly, X-ray flux) to pinpoint phases of SPE evolution and possibly predict the oncoming particles tens of minutes beforehand. This approach utilizes statistical methods to provide an algorithm that describes X-ray change vs. time dependency. The implementation is mounted for evaluation in the Russian Segment of China-Russia Consortium - a Global Space Weather Center. As solar maximum is approaching we expect the method to show it's potention in this cycle. Geophysics solar proton event forecasting space weather space weather monitoring real time Full Text Additional Declarations The authors declare no competing interests. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. 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