D2.2 Good practice criteria for multi-variable risk reduction from restoration/ESS at the Pilots, as a function of projection horizon and domain scale, as enablers to introduce risk products in coastal governance

2025 · doi:10.3897/arphapreprints.e182902
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Abstract

nature-based approaches, while reinforcing connectivity from river basins to the sea. Deliverable D2.2 is the second technical output of Work Package 2 (WP2), building upon the storm-based modelling work presented in D2.1. While D2.1 focused on current hazard conditions and model calibration, this deliverable explores future scenarios of sea level rise, changing sediment dynamics, and increasing storm impacts. It evaluates the long-term performance of Nature-Based Solutions (NbS) through integrated hydromorpho-eco modelling and assesses their contribution to ESS delivery across seven REST-COAST pilot sites. This report supports the development of adaptive restoration strategies tailored to local contexts, while contributing to broader coastal management frameworks under climate change. By combining physical process modelling with ecological indicators and socio-economic relevance, D2.2 provides robust evidence to guide nature-based adaptation pathways across Europe’s diverse coastal systems.
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Preprint ARPHA Preprints https://doi.org/10.3897/arphapreprints.e182902 (19 Dec 2025) https://doi.org/10.3897/arphapreprints.e182902 (19 Dec 2025) Submitted to Research Ideas and Outcomes Other versions: - Preprint InfoPreprint Info - CiteCite - MetricsMetrics - CommentComment - RelatedRelated - CitedCited ARPHA Preprints doi: 10.3897/arphapreprints.e182902 First posted 19 Dec 2025 Authors Manuel Espino - Corresponding author Laboratori d'Enginyeria Marítima, Barcelona, Spain Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya - BarcelonaTech (UPC), Barcelona, Spain Polytechnic University of Catalonia, Barcelona, Spain Polytechnic University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change, Lecce, Italy CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Lecce, Italy CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change, Lecce, Italy CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change, Lecce, Italy CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change, Lecce, Italy IBW PAN, Gdands, Poland Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Geesthacht, Germany Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Geesthacht, Germany Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Geesthacht, Germany Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Geesthacht, Germany Deltares, Delft, Netherlands Deltares, Delft, Netherlands Coastal Research Station, Lower Saxony Government (FSK-NLWKN), Hannover, Germany Coastal Research Station, Lower Saxony Government (FSK-NLWKN), Hannover, Germany University of Catania, Catania, Italy University of Catania, Catania, Italy Institute of Oceanology, Varna, Bulgaria Institute of Oceanology, Varna, Bulgaria Institute of Oceanology, Varna, Bulgaria Institute of Oceanology-BAS, Varna, Bulgaria Institute of Oceanology – Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Varna, Bulgaria Egis Water & Maritime, Montpellier, France Egis Water & Maritime, Montpellier, France Egis Water & Maritime, Montpellier, France Egis Water & Maritime, Montpellier, France Agustín Sánchez-Arcilla - Corresponding author Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain Conflict of interest The authors have declared that no competing interests exist. This is an open access preprint distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

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