OSov: An Interactive Web Server to Evaluate Prognostic Biomarkers for Ovarian Cancer.

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Abstract

Ovarian cancer is one of the most aggressive and highly lethal gynecological cancers. The purpose of our study is to build a free prognostic web server to help researchers discover potential prognostic biomarkers by integrating gene expression profiling data and clinical follow-up information of ovarian cancer. We construct a prognostic web server OSov (Online consensus Survival analysis for Ovarian cancer) based on RNA expression profiles. OSov is a user-friendly web server which could present a Kaplan-Meier plot, forest plot, nomogram and survival summary table of queried genes in each individual cohort to evaluate the prognostic potency of each queried gene. To assess the performance of OSov web server, 163 previously published prognostic biomarkers of ovarian cancer were tested and 72% of them had their prognostic values confirmed in OSov. It is a free and valuable prognostic web server to screen and assess survival-associated biomarkers for ovarian cancer.
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Section 2

The datasets in OSov were collected from NCBI Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), according to the following two criteria: (1) the dataset is from primary ovarian cancer, not from other cancers or metastatic cancer; (2) the dataset has both gene expression profiles and outcome data. The risk factors were from the clinical data and long-term follow-up information. The clinicopathological features returned contained many factors based on previous studies [ 5 , 6 , 7 , 8 ], such as age, histological type, etc. Age is a worse predictor in ovarian cancer development and survival [ 7 ]. Histology is another key risk factor in estimating clinical outcome and clinical management, including serous, clear cells, mucinous, etc. [ 9 ]. Indeed, those clinical factors are useful information to stratify the risk of ovarian cancer patients and to estimate clinical outcomes based on the traditional therapy. Additionally, the roles of others clinical features were stated everywhere and so will no longer be enumerated one by one. The clinical data are listed in Table 1 and Table 2 . OSov was designed to estimate ovarian cancer survival as our previously prognostic web servers with minor modification [ 34 , 35 , 36 , 37 , 38 , 39 ]. Briefly, the OSov is deployed on Windows server system by Java and adopts Browser/Server architecture. The server side is composed of five components: (1) Raw RNA-profiles: ovarian cancer RNA-expression-profiles from TCGA and GEO databases; (2) Backend-database: The gene-expression-profiles and clinical information were stored in the “SQL Server” as a backend database; (3) Middleware: the OSov is accessed by JDBC software to link the “SQL Server” and Java ; (4) Computations: the middleware is developed by R package “Rserve” ( https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=Rserve (accessed on 20 December 2021)) to connect R and Java to produce interface side. The association between gene expression and clinical survival outcomes is calculated by R packages (“survminer”, “ggplot2”and “survival”), which generate Kaplan–Meier (KM) survival curves with log-rank p value and calculate Hazard Ratio and 95% Confidence Intervals (HR and 95%CI); (5) User interface: The OSov employs JSP, HTML and JavaScript for front-end page to retrieve user input and displays forest-plot analysis, uni/multi-factor-survival analysis, KM plot and nomogram analysis. R package “forest-plot” is adopted to generate the forest plot for input gene in OSov. Univariate and multi-variate Cox regression analysis are used to estimate the prognostic values of the risk-factors and the query gene. In addition, risk variables in univariate analysis ( p < 0.2) were subject to multivariate analysis and nomogram analysis. To further build ovarian cancer patients risk model, “rms” package is applied to develop nomogram which provides visualized risk prediction based on the variables screened from univariate Cox analysis [ 40 ]. The output page can display the forest plot and survival analysis table. The subordinate page can display the KM plot figure, nomogram model and uni/multi-variate prognostic table for the input gene. All the figures could be as the “. JPEG” style. The OSov system flowchart was almost similar to our previous prognostic web server described [ 38 , 41 ]. The OSov can be publicly accessed at http://bioinfo.henu.edu.cn/OV/OVList.jsp (accessed on 20 December 2021). Previously published prognostic biomarkers were collected from NCBI PubMed to test the performance of OSov, using following keywords: “ovarian cancer” and “biomarker” and “survival” and “prognostic”. We finally collected 163 reported prognostic biomarkers according to the following criteria: (1) prognostic biomarkers of the primary ovarian cancer were identified by immunohistochemistry staining (IHC) or qPCR; (2) the association between biomarkers and clinical outcomes was significant ( p < 0.05); (3) the full manuscript could be accessed and published in English. Six prognostic biomarkers from other cancer types were reported: TUBB6 (tubulin beta 6 class V, colorectal cancer prognostic biomarker) [ 42 ], SFRP4 (secreted frizzled related protein 4, pancreatic cancer prognostic biomarker) [ 43 ], NUAK1 (NUAK family kinase 1, hepatocellular carcinoma prognostic biomarker) [ 44 ], MFAP2 (microfibril associated protein 2, gastric cancer prognostic biomarker) [ 45 ], PLIN1 (perilipin 1, breast cancer prognostic biomarker) [ 46 ], EFNB2 (ephrin B2, oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma prognostic biomarker) [ 47 ]. Those genes were evaluated by OSov with 25% cutoff. The association of clinicopathological factors and clinical outcomes was analyzed by GraphPad-prism 8. The Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to analyze the association between ovarian cancer expression profiles and prognosis based on the R package “survival”. Prognostic value was assessed by KM plot analysis and log-rank test. p value < 0.05 is regarded as statistically significant.

Intro

As one of the most aggressive gynecological cancers with a high fatality rate, the effective screening regimen for ovarian cancer is yet to be established, and the long-term prognosis has not dramatically changed in the past 20 years [ 1 , 2 ]. Ovarian cancer has four histological subtypes, including serous, endometrioid, clear cell and mucinous carcinoma. Notably, high-grade serous carcinoma comprises 70% of ovarian cancers with the worst survival rate, present in older women with advanced disease (stage III or IV) and TP53 mutations. Conversely, low-grade serous carcinoma is present in young women with a better prognosis, responding poorly to chemotherapy. Endometrioid adenocarcinoma and clear cell carcinoma representatively display histological stage I/II and are frequently related to pelvic endometriosis. Mucinous carcinoma is a fairly uncommon tumor with highly variable outcome [ 3 ]. Therefore, there is an urgent need to develop prognostic biomarkers for ovarian patients to predict clinical outcome, identify high-risk patients and guide clinical management. Analyzing gene expression profiles of tumors with patient clinical follow-up information is a valuable way to facilitate the development of prognostic biomarkers. However, a major bottleneck for researchers with limited bioinformatics skills is how to analyze and integrate these high dimension profiling data. Additionally, previous reports showed that several bioinformatics tools can quickly measure the association between gene expression and patients’ outcomes, such as a Kaplan–Meier plot (KM plot) for ovarian cancer, containing 2190 patients from 15 cohorts in 2017 version [ 4 ]. However, the measurement of independent cross-validation with forest plot and translational function of nomogram are unfortunately lacking in KM plot, although these two functions are most important for prognostic biomarker development and future clinical application. Herein, an online prognostic analysis tool (named OSov) for ovarian cancer was constructed, containing 3238 ovarian cancer cases with clinical follow-up data from 22 independent cohorts collected from TCGA (The Cancer Genome Atlas) and NCBI GEO databases. The OSov can perform the Kaplan–Meier plot, forest plot, uni/multi-variates Cox regression analysis and nomogram analysis to assess the prognostic value of query gene in ovarian cancer. To test the performance of OSov, more than a hundred previously reported biomarkers were checked in OSov. In summary, OSov can not only quickly assess the value of the prognostic molecular biomarkers, but also can provide the opportunities to screen potential therapeutic targets for ovarian cancer patients.

Results

Herein, we have collected 3238 ovarian cancer cases with gene expression profiles and clinical information from TCGA (1 cohort) and NCBI GEO (21 cohorts) to develop the prognostic web server for forecasting the relationship between gene expression and ovarian cancer prognosis. The summary of clinicopathological features of total ovarian cancer cases were presented in Table 1 and Table 2 , showing that 75% ovarian cancer patients are diagnosed with serous cancer, which exhibits the worst overall prognostic survival than that of other histological types ( Table 1 and Figure 1 A). Additionally, patients with high/advanced stages (III and IV) and grades (3 and 4) also accounted for the majority of serous histological type in ovarian cancer with worst overall survival ( Figure 1 A–C and Table 1 ) [ 1 , 48 ]. Age is a worse prognostic factor in ovarian cancer [ 49 ], suggesting that elder patients have the shortest overall survival than patients younger than 50 years ( Figure 1 D). The utmost challenge for researchers without bioinformatics skills is that o f how to discover potential tumor prognostic biomarkers based on the high dimensional gene expression profiles and associated clinical factors. To overcome this challenge, we established a prognostic web server, named as O nline consensus S urvival for Ov arian cancer (OSov), which adopts the Kaplan–Meier plot, forest plot, uni/multi-variates analysis and nomogram to explore the association of gene expression profiles and follow-up information, and eventually evaluate the prognostic value of interesting gene in ovarian cancer. In brief, OSov contains 22 cohorts and implants a set of confounding clinical factors to help users perform whole or subgroup outcome analysis for ovarian cancer. To use OSov, users first need to type an official gene symbol into the textbox, then select either a specific or all cohort(s), and choose an appropriate cutoff value of gene expression to split the ovarian cancer patients into subgroups. Additionally, by then clicking the “survival analysis” button, the home page will display a forest plot and a survival summary table for each independent cohort to quickly evaluate the prognostic abilities of the query gene in ovarian cancer. Additionally, the survival summary analysis table displays uni/multi-variates analysis results for the query gene and confounding risk factors for ovarian cancer patients, such as age, stage, histological type, etc. For special needs from certain researchers, such as subgroup analysis, users can limit the analysis in a subgroup of ovarian cancer patients with particular factors, such as race, stage, etc. OSov can also provide the nomogram for query gene and prognostic clinical factors to forecast the risk for each individual cancer patient by a pre-built risk model if multivariate Cox regression is established and a sufficient sample size is available. The most valuable function of the OSov web server is providing a platform for researchers to screen, develop and validate potential prognostic biomarkers across independent ovarian cancer cohorts, which is essential and critical for the success of biomarker development. To exhibit usage and measure the performance of OSov, we collected 163 previously published prognostic biomarkers of ovarian cancer identified by IHC or qPCR to assess the function of OSov. As a demonstration, Tan et al. reported that CRYAB is a poor prognostic biomarker for ovarian cancer, with higher expression in ovarian cancer tissue than normal tissue [ 50 ]. Open the OSov homepage ( http://bioinfo.henu.edu.cn/OV/OVList.jsp (accessed on 20 December 2021)), type “CRYAB” into the gene symbol textbox (cutoff value: Upper25%) and press the “Survival analysis” button; then the homepage will display a forest plot ( Figure 2 A) and a uni/multi-variate survival summary table for CRYAB gene ( Figure 2 B). The OSov results showed that ovarian cancer cases with high expression of gene CRYAB were significantly associated with poor overall survival in forest plot and the survival analysis summary table ( Figure 2 A,B), containing seven significant cohorts ( Figure 3 A–G): GSE3149 [ p = 0.0004, HR(95%CI) = 2.36 (1.47~3.81)], GSE13876 [ p = 0.0021, HR(95%CI) = 1.49 (1.15~1.92)], GSE8841 [ p = 0.0037, HR(95%CI) = 4.83 (1.67~13.96)], GSE9891 [ p = 0.0086, HR(95%CI) = 1.76 (1.15~2.69)], GSE17260 [ p = 0.0187, HR(95%CI) = 2.12 (1.13~3.96)], GSE49997 [ p = 0.0249, HR(95%CI) = 1.87 (1.08~3.23)], and GSE32063 [ p = 0.0323, HR(95%CI) = 2.89 (1.09~7.66)]. Furthermore, the additional multivariate analysis showed that CRYAB is not an independent ovarian cancer prognostic biomarker and its prognostic role may be because of the close association with other prognostic clinical factors, such as age, grade or race ( Figure 2 B). The clinical features played an essential role to predict ovarian cancer patients’ survival. However, the risk weight of those factors compared with gene expression was still puzzled for clinicians in precise treatment. The risk model-nomogram as an important component of modern medicine is essential and valuable for precise decision making. By OSov, user can build nomogram for query gene and clinical meaning factors, as present in Figure 3 H, I, nomogram for gene CRYAB in GSE2619 and GSE9891 shows similar 1-year, 3-year and 5-year survival rate. In addition, the CRYAB gene is less risk than that of stage or histology to predict ovarian cancer survival. The above results suggest that CRYAB gene could be an unfavorable prognosis biomarker for ovarian cancer, in line with the original report [ 50 ]. To measure the reliability of OSov, 163 reported ovarian cancer prognostic biomarkers were re-evaluated by OSov. Of 163 previously reported prognostic biomarkers tested by OSov, approximate 72% of reported biomarkers (117/163) were consistent with the original studies. Nevertheless, 21 of 163 biomarkers (13%) showed inconsistent prognosis; in other words, some cohorts exhibit good prognostic survival but some cohorts show poor clinical outcome, such as PLG gene ( Figure S1 and Table S1 ). Unfortunately, the remaining 11% (18/163) and 4% (7/163) of ovarian cancer prognostic biomarkers have opposite and non-significant prognostic roles in OSov, respectively. Several reasons may bring about opposite and non-significant results in OSov with previous reports, such as different testing sample types or methods ( NOP14 was tested by blood using qPCR method in original study, not tissues) [ 51 ], stage (High SQSTM1/p62 protein is associated with worse prognosis in high advanced stage ovarian cancer [ 52 ], but are not significantly associated with prognosis in the whole cohort with mixed stages in OSov; however, when limiting analysis in a subgroup at an advanced stage, the SQSTM1 gene can predict an unfavorable outcome in GSE26193 cohort by OSov), etc. The OSov could not only analyze the prognostic ability of potential biomarkers, but also help researchers excavate novel prognostic biomarkers for ovarian cancer. As an example, Mariani M et al. reported that TUBB6 gene is overexpressed in colorectal tumor tissue and can predict poor outcome in colorectal cancer [ 42 ]. Unsurprisingly, decreased TUBB6 expression was significantly associated with increased overall survival in five independent ovarian cancer cohorts ( GSE9891 , GSE30161 , GSE3149 , GSE13876 and GSE49997 ) in OSov ( Figure 4 A). However, the multivariate analysis showed that the prognostic role of TUBB6 may be caused by its association with other prognostic clinicopathological features such as stage ( GSE26193 , GSE32062 , GSE49997 , GSE51088 , GSE53963 , GSE63885 , GSE73614 , GSE9891 , and TCGA. Data not shown). Subsequently, the remaining prognostic biomarkers from other cancer types were also assessed by OSov, which demonstrated that these genes ( SFRP4 , NUAK1 , MFAP2 , PLIN1 and EFNB2) exhibited good performance in predicting ovarian cancer patient outcome ( Figure 4 B–F). In summary, the OSov is a user-friendly web server to help researchers to mine potential prognostic biomarkers for ovarian cancer.

Discussion

Prognostic biomarkers not only can predict ovarian cancer clinical outcome, but also can stratify cancer patients with different risks and guide further clinical management. Currently, there are a couple of established prognostic web tools for ovarian cancer, such as KM plotter for ovarian cancer with 2190 samples [ 4 ] and GEPIA for ovarian cancer with 426 samples [ 53 ]. The KM plotter is a comprehensive prognostic tool for serval tumor types, such as ovarian cancer, breast cancer, etc. GEPIA is developed by Zhang lab to prognose cancer patients based on only TCGA expression profiles of dozens of cancer types, including ovarian cancer. More details of prognostic web tools could be seen in the review by Zheng H et al. [ 54 ]. However, the main limitations of those tools are that they do not have multivariate analysis adjusted for other clinical factors, lack forest plot for multi-cohorts’ analysis, and nomogram for clinical application. In this study, we developed a prognostic analysis web server for ovarian cancer, named OSov, using 22 high-throughput expression profiles with long-term follow-up information. The OSov not only screens, evaluates and validates prognostic biomarkers for ovarian cancer, but also provides the opportunities for quick translation of biomarker candidates by providing three new functions beyond previous Kaplan–Meier plot [ 4 , 53 ], including: (1) forest plot, a way of visualization of gene-related clinical outcomes across multi-cohorts with HR and 95%CI; (2) multi-variates analysis, which test the independence of prognostic biomarkers with other clinical factors; (3) nomogram, which could predict the risk for each individual cancer patient by a pre-built risk model. The nomogram model not only estimates the risk values of gene expression, but also can help clinicians to predict the survival outcomes for patients based on the clinical features risk; and (4) cross-validation, the utmost advantage of each-cohort estimation could provide broad cross-validation from multi-cohorts to develop potential prognostic biomarkers. Some of the clinical factors have been reported to play key roles in ovarian cancer prognosis [ 6 , 55 ]. For example, histological types of ovarian cancer are key risk factors for ovarian cancer and are used to estimate the patients’ survival, such as serous tumor showing higher risk than non-serous tumor [ 56 ]. Epidemiological investigation showed that the risk significantly increases once age is above 40 in ovarian cancer [ 6 , 56 ], as shown in Figure 1 D. Figure 1 showed that the clinical factors are important risk factors to predict ovarian cancer patients’ survival, such as serous type associated with shortest survival time compared with the other histological types. As a result, the risk clinical factors and input gene were used for the nomogram risk model construction [ 40 , 57 ]. The OSov system also implanted outcome analysis functions for clinical features, including age, histology, stage, race, and others. As presented in the CYRAB gene nomogram model, the risk score of gene expression was less important than that of clinical factors, such as stage and histology ( Figure 3 H,I). The role of the clinical features can be displayed in a visual predictive nomogram, which can help clinicians to stratify the ovarian cancer patients based on the nomogram risk. In this study, we collected hundreds of previously prognostic biomarkers for ovarian cancer to test the reliability for estimating the ovarian cancer survival. The results showed that majority biomarkers were according to original researches ( Table S1 ). However, some previously reported prognostic biomarkers are nonsignificant in OSov, are insignificant as well by other prognostic tools (data not shown). The mRNA-expression profiles were used in OSov while some of these reported ovarian cancer biomarkers were prognosed based on protein-level (immunohistochemical method), resulting in partial, inconsistent prognostic values. The OSov can also help researchers discover prognostic biomarker candidates for ovarian cancer. Herein, we also tested the prognosis potency of six prognostic biomarkers from other cancer types in ovarian cancer. For example, TUBB6 is overexpressed and associated with the poor survival in colorectal cancer [ 42 ]; Yang et al. reported SFRP4 was highly expressed in pancreatic tumor lesions and predicted poor prognosis for pancreatic cancer patients [ 43 ]; NUAK1 was reported as a worse prognostic biomarker for hepatocellular carcinoma [ 44 ]; MFAP2 gene as a poor prognostic oncogene promotes motility via the MFAP2/integrin α5β1/FAK/ERK pathway in gastric cancer [ 45 ]; the silencing prognostic PLIN1 and EFNB2 inhibited tumorigenicity and extended patient survival in breast cancer [ 46 ] and oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma [ 47 ], respectively. The analysis of above six genes in OSov showed that they could be as potential prognostic biomarkers for ovarian cancer ( Figure 4 ). In this version, we utilized a quartile cutoff value to estimate ovarian cancer patients’ survival, such as upper 25% vs. other 75% cutoff, 50% cutoff, etc. OSov provides users a wide range of cutoff points and expectations to best assess survival. Indeed, ROC analysis would help us to select a better cutoff from above survival analysis; however, ROC analysis is not currently available in OSov and will be implanted in OSov in the near future. In addition, we only utilized transcriptome data to predict the ovarian cancer patients’survival. In the near future, multi-omics data will be utilized to forecast the ovarian cancer patients’ clinical outcomes.

Conclusions

OSov is a user-friendly and valuable web server for evaluating prognostic biomarkers for ovarian cancer based on independent RNA expression profiles by incorporating clinical factors. This tool displays multiple prognostic analysis results, such as forest-plot, univariate and multi-variate survival analysis, KM plot and nomogram analysis. Additionally, OSov can be easily accessed at http://bioinfo.henu.edu.cn/OV/OVList.jsp (accessed on 20 December 2021).

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