When will the Covid-19 Pandemic End?Levitt’s Metric on Indian Data

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Abstract

When will the Covid-19 pandemic end? This paper seeks to answer this important question using the metric proposed by Michael Levitt in Mar 2020. We plot the metric for data corresponding to various Indian cities and states, and compare it with the plots for places like Italy and Spain, where the pandemic has “ended”. The projection is that Covid-19 deaths will become “insignificant”, by early Aug in Mumbai and Delhi. Similar projections can be made and are likely to be useful for other regions.

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europepmc
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License: CC-BY-4.0