Establishment of a Diagnostic Model to Distinguish Coronavirus Disease 2019 From Influenza a Based on Laboratory Findings

Abstract BackgroundCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and Influenza A are common disease caused by viral infection. The clinical symptoms and transmission routes of the two diseases are similar. This study established a model of laboratory findings to distinguish COVID-19 from influenza A perfectly. MethodsIn this study, 56 COVID-19 patients and 54 influenza A patients were included. Laboratory findings, epidemiological characteristics and demographic data were obtained from electronic medical record databases. Elastic network models, followed by a stepwise logistic regression model were implemented to identify indicators capable of discriminating COVID-19 and influenza A. ResultsA monogram is diagramed to show the resulting discriminative model. The majority of hematological and biochemical parameters in COVID-19 patients were significantly different from those in influenza A patients. In the final model, albumin/globulin, total bilirubin and erythrocyte specific volume were selected as predictors. This model has been demonstrated to have a satisfactory predictive performance to discriminate between COVID-19 and influenza A (AUC=0.844) using an external validation set. ConclusionThe establishment of a diagnostic model on laboratory findings is of great significance for the identification of COVID-19 and influenza A.