Governance and poverty in sub-Saharan Africa: A Random Forest approach
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Governance and poverty in sub-Saharan Africa: A Random Forest approach | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Governance and poverty in sub-Saharan Africa: A Random Forest approach Kouassi Sylvain Assienin, Auguste K. Kouakou, Christian K. N’da This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-8316101/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Our study applies Random Forest classifier which challenges Logit to investigate the relationship between governance and multidimensional poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa using Afrobarometer 2022 data from multiple countries. The findings reveal that negative perceptions of governance such as high perceived corruption, dissatisfaction with public services, disapproval of political leadership significantly increase the probability of falling into higher poverty categories, while factors like higher education, urban residence, and access to public services reduce it. The results suggest that improving governance transparency, investing in education and health services, and promoting inclusive policies targeting rural and vulnerable populations are critical to reducing poverty. Classification JEL : I30, O15, C60 Development Economics governance subjective poverty random forest shapley value explainability Full Text Additional Declarations The authors declare no competing interests. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-8316101","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":557529404,"identity":"565a10df-d3ad-45b1-9a0a-4499d2ec3ff0","order_by":0,"name":"Kouassi Sylvain Assienin","email":"data:image/png;base64,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","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0005-5704-4711","institution":"Jean Lorougnon Guede University","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Kouassi","middleName":"Sylvain","lastName":"Assienin","suffix":""},{"id":557529405,"identity":"79c30d4c-20d9-4031-bc8d-71720f8d0308","order_by":1,"name":"Auguste K. 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