Asymmetric Macroeconomic Determinants of Energy Intensity In China: New Empirical Insights

Asymmetric Macroeconomic Determinants of Energy Intensity In China: New Empirical Insights | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Asymmetric Macroeconomic Determinants of Energy Intensity In China: New Empirical Insights Hai Lan, Chengping Cheng, Muhammad Afaq Haider Jafri, Sidra Sohail This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-930495/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Under Review Version 1 posted 4 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Previously, several studies have tried to analyze the various determinants of energy intensity for different countries and regions. However, none of the studies have focused on the asymmetric determinants of energy intensity in the context of China. Therefore, the primary aim of this study is to investigate the asymmetric determinants of energy intensity in China. We have gathered data for China over the period 1985-2019 and applied linear and nonlinear ARDL models. Both energy prices and technological shocks help to reduce the energy intensity in the long run in the nonlinear models. However, in the linear model, only energy prices reduce the energy intensity in the long-run. On the other side, energy prices reduce the energy intensity in the short run, while the technological shocks increase the energy intensity. Moreover, the long-run effects of both energy prices and technology are asymmetric on the energy intensity, while asymmetric effects were only observed for technological shocks in the short run. Clearly, the results are asymmetric in nature; hence, the policymakers should consider both positive and negative shocks in energy prices and technology while making any policy with regards to lowering energy intensity. Environmental Engineering Energy intensity Energy price Technology China Full Text Cite Share Download PDF Status: Under Review Version 1 posted Editorial decision: Major Revision 23 Nov, 2021 Reviews received at journal 02 Nov, 2021 Editor assigned by journal 23 Sep, 2021 First submitted to journal 21 Sep, 2021 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-930495","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":57096833,"identity":"c829475c-a516-4c98-84d9-f67db5f5d13c","order_by":0,"name":"Hai Lan","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Academy of Development of Wuhan University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Hai","middleName":"","lastName":"Lan","suffix":""},{"id":57096834,"identity":"aff71f18-2566-48fe-972b-50f78bee2582","order_by":1,"name":"Chengping Cheng","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Academy of Development of Wuhan University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Chengping","middleName":"","lastName":"Cheng","suffix":""},{"id":57096835,"identity":"1506677d-cbd1-4524-bccc-665ba9107d10","order_by":2,"name":"Muhammad Afaq Haider Jafri","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Beijing University of Technology","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Muhammad","middleName":"Afaq Haider","lastName":"Jafri","suffix":""},{"id":57096836,"identity":"04a34aef-cc6c-4d8a-b86d-f27e43d5293c","order_by":3,"name":"Sidra Sohail","email":"data:image/png;base64,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","orcid":"","institution":"Pakistan Institute of Development Economics (PIDE) Islamabad","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Sidra","middleName":"","lastName":"Sohail","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2021-09-23 15:44:21","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-930495/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-930495/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":14731957,"identity":"7a8a5bb2-67d1-4bce-8193-3f4473203ac8","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-10-20 20:18:19","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":427500,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"ESPRPaper.23Sep.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-930495/v1_covered.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"","formattedTitle":"\u003cp\u003eAsymmetric Macroeconomic Determinants of Energy Intensity In China: New Empirical Insights\u003c/p\u003e","fulltext":[{"header":"Full Text","content":"This preprint is available for \u003ca href='/article/rs-930495/latest.pdf' target='_blank'\u003edownload as a PDF\u003c/a\u003e."}],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":false,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":true,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":true,"isPdf":false,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"environmental-science-and-pollution-research","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"espr","sideBox":"Learn more about [Environmental Science and Pollution Research](https://www.springer.com/journal/11356)","snPcode":"11356","submissionUrl":"https://submission.nature.com/new-submission/11356/3","title":"Environmental Science and Pollution Research","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"em","reportingPortfolio":"Springer Hybrid","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":false},"keywords":"Energy intensity, Energy price, Technology, China","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-930495/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-930495/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003ePreviously, several studies have tried to analyze the various determinants of energy intensity for different countries and regions. However, none of the studies have focused on the asymmetric determinants of energy intensity in the context of China. Therefore, the primary aim of this study is to investigate the asymmetric determinants of energy intensity in China. We have gathered data for China over the period 1985-2019 and applied linear and nonlinear ARDL models. Both energy prices and technological shocks help to reduce the energy intensity in the long run in the nonlinear models. However, in the linear model, only energy prices reduce the energy intensity in the long-run. On the other side, energy prices reduce the energy intensity in the short run, while the technological shocks increase the energy intensity. Moreover, the long-run effects of both energy prices and technology are asymmetric on the energy intensity, while asymmetric effects were only observed for technological shocks in the short run. Clearly, the results are asymmetric in nature; hence, the policymakers should consider both positive and negative shocks in energy prices and technology while making any policy with regards to lowering energy intensity.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"Asymmetric Macroeconomic Determinants of Energy Intensity In China: New Empirical Insights","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2021-10-20 20:18:13","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-930495/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0},{"type":"decision","content":"Major Revision","date":"2021-11-23T14:10:24+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2021-11-02T12:50:06+00:00","index":0,"fulltext":""},{"type":"editorAssigned","content":"","date":"2021-09-23T05:52:58+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"submitted","content":"Environmental Science and Pollution Research","date":"2021-09-22T02:24:15+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"environmental-science-and-pollution-research","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"espr","sideBox":"Learn more about [Environmental Science and Pollution Research](https://www.springer.com/journal/11356)","snPcode":"11356","submissionUrl":"https://submission.nature.com/new-submission/11356/3","title":"Environmental Science and Pollution Research","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"em","reportingPortfolio":"Springer Hybrid","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":false}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"632dd8cd-39ce-446a-906e-2d5c421525df","owner":[],"postedDate":"October 20th, 2021","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"under-review","subjectAreas":[{"id":7979266,"name":"Environmental Engineering"}],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2022-01-31T12:19:03+00:00","versionOfRecord":[],"versionCreatedAt":"2021-10-20 20:18:13","video":"","vorDoi":"","vorDoiUrl":"","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-930495","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-930495","identity":"rs-930495","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"_2-kVJe1T_tPrBINL-cwx","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}