Results
In the most recent period (2013–2017), ASRs of OC were highest in Eastern Europe, followed by Central Europe and Southern Europe ( Table 1 and Fig. 1 ). For specific countries, the highest ASRs of OC occurred in Latvia (15.53 per 100,000 person-years), followed by Lithuania (13.28). Intermediate ASRs of OC were seen in Northern Europe, Western Europe, Oceania, North America, and South America, with one exception being Ireland (10.78). Conversely, the lowest ASRs of OC were detected in Africa and Asia, except for Brunei, the Philippines, and Singapore (12.20, 11.12, and 10.10, respectively). The lowest ASR of OC was recorded in Benin (3.26). When describing international patterns of OC incidence by HDI, we found that the highest ASR of OC occurred in very high HDI regions (8.22), while the lowest ASR was seen in regions with medium HDI values (5.52). Table 1 Age-standardized ovarian cancer incidence rates per 100,000 person-years from 1988–2002 to 2013–2017, by countries and human development indices. a Historical period Recent period (2013–2017) APC (95% CI) Cases ASR Cases ASR Asia Bahrain 46 (1998–2002) 6.17 107 7.73 1.37 (−1.18, 3.97) Brunei – – 128 12.20 – China 1270 (1988–1992) 5.54 33,780 5.50 −0.58 (−1.64, 0.49) India 384 (1988–1992) 5.02 20,191 5.24 −0.44 (−2.37, 1.53) Iran – – 231 5.09 – Israel 1310 (1988–1992) 10.70 1772 6.83 −1.98 (−2.42, −1.54) Japan 2749 (1988–1992) 6.17 30,949 9.22 1.90 (1.32, 2.50) Kuwait 63 (1998–2002) 5.27 237 4.45 −0.59 (−4.27, 3.24) The Philippines 690 (1988–1992) 9.05 1674 11.12 0.18 (−1.10, 1.48) Qatar – – 36 7.42 – South Korea 1445 (1993–1997) 5.38 12,720 6.61 1.18 (0.82, 1.53) Singapore – – 1489 10.10 – Thailand 149 (1988–1992) 4.32 2615 5.89 0.58 (−0.18, 1.35) Turkey 676 (1998–2002) 5.70 3139 6.52 0.64 (−1.36, 2.68) Africa Algeria – – 161 5.21 – Benin – – 25 3.26 – Kenya – – 289 8.03 – Mauritius – – 278 6.53 – Morocco – – 559 4.72 – Seychelles – – 16 5.49 – South Africa – – 56 3.37 – Uganda 73 (1993–1997) 5.50 225 6.26 −0.14 (−2.64, 2.43) Zimbabwe – – 274 8.31 – North America Canada 7146 (1988–1992) 10.29 13,395 8.55 −0.80 (−1.03, −0.56) Costa Rica 289 (1988–1992) 5.07 508 4.88 −0.29 (−0.79, 0.21) Trinidad and Tobago – – 255 9.67 – The USA 12,134 (1988–1992) 11.06 107,319 7.90 −1.47 (−1.71, −1.23) South America Argentina – – 726 8.86 – Brazil 99 (1993–1997) 5.10 1827 6.19 −0.38 (−3.29, 2.63) Chile 79 (1998–2002) 8.32 141 5.88 −2.10 (−4.75, 0.62) Colombia 266 (1988–1992) 8.49 1026 7.15 −1.00 (−1.91, −0.08) Ecuador 131 (1988–1992) 5.89 957 6.54 −0.08 (−1.36, 1.21) Peru – – 1271 7.82 – Uruguay – – 1124 8.20 – Northern Europe Denmark 2823 (1988–1992) 13.73 2539 9.10 −1.65 (−2.43, −0.86) Finland – – 2356 7.92 – Iceland 90 (1988–1992) 11.29 81 5.98 −2.87 (−4.80, −0.90) Norway 2159 (1988–1992) 13.28 1959 8.60 −1.71 (−2.56, −0.85) Sweden – – 2990 6.90 – Western Europe Belgium – – 3913 7.04 – France 1754 (1988–1992) 9.62 5436 7.10 −1.37 (−1.89, −0.85) Ireland 1167 (1994–1997) 12.30 1988 10.78 −0.70 (−1.33, −0.07) The Netherlands 4496 (1989–1992) 10.01 5796 6.95 −1.75 (−2.86, −0.63) The UK 2869 (1988–1992) 13.40 29,675 9.46 −1.36 (−1.53, −1.19) Eastern Europe Belarus – – 4298 10.66 – Estonia 772 (1988–1992) 12.29 749 10.60 −0.56 (−1.04, −0.09) Latvia – – 1518 15.53 – Lithuania 2000 (1993–1997) 13.94 1981 13.28 −0.31 (−1.20, 0.59) The Russian Federation – – 5807 11.50 – Ukraine – – 17,392 11.43 – Southern Europe Croatia 1807 (1988–1992) 10.00 2122 10.23 0.10 (−1.69, 1.91) Cyprus 189 (1998–2002) 8.08 308 8.75 0.93 (−2.94, 4.94) Italy 1133 (1988–1992) 8.85 17,447 8.40 −0.46 (−0.78, −0.15) Malta 159 (1993–1997) 12.16 188 9.06 −1.35 (−2.59, −0.09) Portugal – – 53 7.44 – Spain 1366 (1988–1992) 7.50 3276 7.62 −0.17 (−0.71, 0.38) Central Europe Austria 299 (1988–1992) 12.69 3463 7.87 −2.40 (−3.22, −1.57) Czech Republic 4912 (1988–1992) 12.91 5174 10.14 −1.15 (−2.50, 0.21) Germany 514 (1988–1992) 9.92 24,640 8.63 −1.15 (−1.93, −0.37) Liechtenstein – – 14 8.29 – Poland 532 (1998–2002) 11.28 638 11.12 0.05 (−3.12, 3.31) Slovenia 736 (1988–1992) 10.16 788 7.67 −0.80 (−1.89, 0.30) Switzerland 718 (1988–1992) 10.35 2898 7.68 −1.22 (−1.58, −0.86) Oceania Australia 4164 (1988–1992) 8.98 6790 6.81 −1.07 (−1.34, −0.79) New Zealand 1151 (1988–1992) 10.51 1369 7.01 −1.66 (−2.35, −0.96) Human development index Very High – – 313,791 8.22 – High – – 60,118 6.57 – Medium – – 22,713 5.52 – Low – – 524 6.90 – APC, annual percent change; ASR, age-standardized rate; UK, United Kingdom; USA, United States of America. a Values in bold indicate statistically significant results. Fig. 1 Glob al age-standardized rates of ovarian cancer in recent periods (A) and historical periods (B) and annual percent change of ovarian cancer incidence (C) .
Age-standardized ovarian cancer incidence rates per 100,000 person-years from 1988–2002 to 2013–2017, by countries and human development indices. a
APC, annual percent change; ASR, age-standardized rate; UK, United Kingdom; USA, United States of America.
Values in bold indicate statistically significant results.
Glob al age-standardized rates of ovarian cancer in recent periods (A) and historical periods (B) and annual percent change of ovarian cancer incidence (C) .
Different trends in ASRs of OC were detected among populations in Europe, the Americas, Asia, and Oceania ( Table 1 and Fig. 1 , Fig. 2 ). During the period 1988–2017, significant decreases in ASRs of OC were noted in 19 out of 40 countries, with APC ranged from −0.46 to −2.87. For all countries examined in Northern Europe, Western Europe, and Oceania, ASRs decreased from high to intermediate rates, with marked declines in Iceland (APC: −2.87, 95% CI: −4.80, −0.90) from 11.29 in 1988–1992 to 5.98 in 2013–2017, the Netherlands (APC: −1.75, 95% CI: −2.86, −0.63) from 10.01 in 1989–1992 to 6.95 in 2013–2017, and New Zealand (APC: −1.66, 95% CI: −2.35, −0.96) from 10.51 in 1988–1992 to 7.01 in 2013–2017. The ASRs in Eastern Europe, North America and South America tended to be steadily decreasing over time; there were substantial reductions in Estonia (APC: −0.56, 95% CI: −1.04, −0.09), Canada (APC: −0.80, 95% CI: −1.03, −0.56), the USA (APC: −1.47, 95% CI: −1.71, −1.23), and Colombia (APC: −1.00, 95% CI: −1.91, −0.08). Fig. 2 Trends in ovarian cancer ASRs (per 100,000 person-years) by continent s and countr ies from 1988–1992 to 2013–2017. A, Asia; B, North America; C, South America; D, Western Europe; E, Southern Europe; F, Central Europe; G, Eastern/Northern Europe; H, Other.
Trends in ovarian cancer ASRs (per 100,000 person-years) by continent s and countr ies from 1988–1992 to 2013–2017. A, Asia; B, North America; C, South America; D, Western Europe; E, Southern Europe; F, Central Europe; G, Eastern/Northern Europe; H, Other.
In Southern Europe and Central Europe, the temporal trends of ASRs varied, with some countries maintaining a steady trend while others experiencing significant declines. Noteworthy decreases were observed in Italy (APC: −0.46, 95% CI: −0.78, −0.15), Malta (APC: −1.35, 95% CI: −2.59, −0.09), Austria (APC: −2.40, 95% CI: −3.22, −1.57), Germany (APC: −1.15, 95% CI: −1.93, −0.37), and Switzerland (APC: −1.22, 95% CI: −1.58, −0.86). In contrast, Asian regions mostly exhibited stable temporal trends, although several countries showed significant upward trends, including Japan (APC: 1.90, 95% CI: 1.32, 2.50) and South Korea (APC: 1.18, 95% CI: 0.82, 1.53). Distinctly, Israel demonstrated a significant decrease in ASR of OC from 1988–1992 to 2013–2017 (APC: −1.98, 95% CI: −2.42, −1.54). In the sensitivity analysis, the overall trend of OC incidence remained consistent in most countries ( Supplementary Table S1 ).
Among all histological subtypes of OC, serous carcinomas consistently exhibited the highest ASRs in most countries assessed ( Table 2 ). Especially in Europe, ASRs of serous carcinomas were relatively high, with Lithuania recording the highest ASR at 6.59 per 100,000 person-years. ASRs of mucinous carcinomas were relatively high in several Asian countries such as Brunei (2.59), the Philippines (1.12), and Singapore (1.12), with Brunei having the highest ASR of mucinous carcinomas globally. Furthermore, ASRs of endometrioid and clear cell carcinomas were also higher in Asian regions, with Singapore displaying the highest ASRs for both endometrioid (1.53) and clear cell carcinomas (2.01). Table 2 Age-standardized ovarian cancer incidence rates per 100,000 person-years by histological subtypes, countries, and human development indices, 2013–2017. Serous Mucinous Endometrioid Clear cell NOS a Other EOC SCST GCT Other Cases ASR Cases ASR Cases ASR Cases ASR Cases ASR Cases ASR Cases ASR Cases ASR Cases ASR Asia Bahrain 15 1.22 11 0.70 6 0.40 5 0.31 38 2.95 13 0.89 6 0.38 6 0.35 7 0.53 Brunei 23 2.34 29 2.59 14 1.31 6 0.52 22 2.14 11 1.04 1 0.09 9 0.76 13 1.40 China 7964 1.28 1767 0.31 1250 0.21 1323 0.21 7015 1.11 3305 0.54 320 0.05 1127 0.29 9709 1.50 India 3566 0.93 1038 0.26 325 0.08 238 0.06 5326 1.39 3780 0.98 182 0.05 742 0.19 4994 1.30 Iran 71 1.63 20 0.41 5 0.10 0 0 25 0.58 26 0.54 4 0.09 14 0.32 66 1.44 Israel 1057 4.05 62 0.27 101 0.43 27 0.11 146 0.51 164 0.59 26 0.11 59 0.30 130 0.45 Japan 7462 2.16 2747 0.94 4124 1.42 5535 1.88 2883 0.66 1124 0.34 124 0.04 1069 0.74 5881 1.04 Kuwait 117 2.31 20 0.21 4 0.04 8 0.10 20 0.43 21 0.44 6 0.07 11 0.11 30 0.75 The Philippines 307 2.10 181 1.12 144 0.95 98 0.64 90 0.62 285 1.97 4 0.03 38 0.22 527 3.47 Qatar 12 2.18 0 0 1 0.33 2 0.33 13 2.97 3 0.84 0 0 2 0.22 3 0.55 South Korea 5452 2.69 1394 0.81 925 0.49 1189 0.62 731 0.31 638 0.30 335 0.19 605 0.61 1451 0.58 Singapore 471 3.03 155 1.12 221 1.53 301 2.01 73 0.41 81 0.53 16 0.14 63 0.77 108 0.57 Thailand 493 1.08 221 0.51 316 0.68 440 0.95 305 0.65 154 0.34 38 0.09 140 0.49 508 1.11 Turkey 1661 3.41 168 0.35 187 0.40 134 0.28 153 0.31 272 0.55 63 0.14 129 0.35 372 0.73 Africa Algeria 63 2.13 7 0.21 17 0.57 0 0 27 0.84 9 0.29 4 0.14 8 0.20 26 0.83 Benin 0 0 1 0.07 0 0 0 0 10 1.15 2 0.33 0 0 0 0 12 1.71 Kenya 59 1.82 13 0.15 2 0.07 1 0.05 54 1.58 28 1.01 9 0.19 16 0.18 107 2.97 Mauritius 21 0.49 9 0.21 3 0.07 3 0.07 60 1.41 106 2.53 5 0.12 3 0.10 68 1.54 Morocco 167 1.38 64 0.54 23 0.18 9 0.07 119 1.02 79 0.68 24 0.20 10 0.09 64 0.55 Seychelles 0 0 2 0.62 0 0 2 0.89 2 0.47 3 0.91 2 0.40 2 1.14 3 1.08 South Africa 7 0.39 6 0.35 0 0 0 0 5 0.20 34 2.20 1 0.07 2 0.10 1 0.06 Uganda 15 0.64 8 0.23 0 0 3 0.08 34 0.90 20 0.52 4 0.13 17 0.15 124 3.61 Zimbabwe 55 1.88 19 0.56 2 0.05 2 0.07 35 1.29 10 0.30 15 0.38 21 0.35 115 3.42 North America Canada 6437 4.03 734 0.58 1125 0.85 810 0.59 1115 0.55 959 0.61 122 0.09 370 0.45 1723 0.79 Costa Rica 136 1.35 26 0.25 11 0.11 11 0.10 42 0.39 32 0.31 3 0.02 28 0.29 219 2.06 Trinidad and Tobago 55 2.18 10 0.35 7 0.31 1 0.04 9 0.36 49 1.84 3 0.12 6 0.25 115 4.23 The USA 48,298 3.43 5692 0.50 8779 0.75 5429 0.45 11,065 0.65 10,926 0.79 2576 0.25 2938 0.40 11,616 0.68 South America Argentina 221 2.75 70 0.89 61 0.80 10 0.13 105 1.25 84 1.01 19 0.26 29 0.45 127 1.32 Brazil 490 1.67 152 0.53 65 0.22 45 0.15 406 1.38 162 0.54 18 0.07 48 0.25 441 1.39 Chile 65 2.75 12 0.52 6 0.24 3 0.13 16 0.61 11 0.39 8 0.35 6 0.36 14 0.53 Colombia 329 2.37 70 0.49 42 0.29 26 0.18 88 0.60 117 0.80 29 0.21 41 0.37 284 1.85 Ecuador 317 2.23 94 0.62 31 0.21 18 0.13 135 0.95 86 0.60 12 0.08 123 0.78 141 0.94 Peru 360 2.27 114 0.69 75 0.46 68 0.43 92 0.57 88 0.56 10 0.06 62 0.41 402 2.37 Uruguay 417 3.17 136 1.13 60 0.51 32 0.29 91 0.67 85 0.55 16 0.14 29 0.36 258 1.36 Northern Europe Denmark 1604 5.41 192 0.90 180 0.67 90 0.38 187 0.53 25 0.08 30 0.12 55 0.40 155 0.40 Finland 1185 3.84 180 0.81 202 0.81 112 0.45 113 0.25 81 0.24 99 0.47 38 0.33 346 0.72 Iceland 47 3.63 5 0.47 8 0.65 1 0.08 3 0.17 9 0.40 1 0.09 2 0.31 5 0.18 Norway 476 2.01 141 0.75 148 0.78 105 0.52 660 2.68 82 0.34 87 0.46 48 0.42 212 0.64 Sweden 1681 3.62 245 0.65 291 0.71 210 0.53 165 0.30 60 0.11 164 0.49 77 0.32 97 0.17 Western Europe Belgium 2461 4.29 283 0.62 270 0.53 187 0.37 162 0.20 156 0.28 50 0.11 88 0.33 256 0.31 France 3029 3.94 320 0.55 325 0.49 181 0.27 674 0.68 257 0.31 69 0.13 130 0.39 451 0.34 Ireland 933 5.13 129 0.86 167 1.04 93 0.59 266 1.27 98 0.53 3 0.02 41 0.37 258 0.96 The Netherlands 3079 3.59 460 0.71 395 0.55 338 0.46 816 0.71 129 0.17 47 0.07 142 0.35 390 0.33 The UK 13,894 4.34 2019 0.83 2136 0.83 1441 0.55 3018 0.82 2247 0.62 463 0.19 666 0.45 3791 0.82 Eastern Europe Belarus 1508 3.93 319 0.80 281 0.73 117 0.28 1208 2.75 179 0.42 306 0.84 67 0.32 313 0.58 Estonia 415 5.96 61 0.99 41 0.75 11 0.21 45 0.50 41 0.55 21 0.35 11 0.34 103 0.95 Latvia 342 3.95 107 1.21 23 0.27 12 0.14 392 4.02 239 2.60 37 0.47 15 0.33 351 2.54 Lithuania 921 6.59 67 0.54 124 0.98 53 0.46 203 1.29 84 0.58 30 0.24 25 0.36 474 2.23 The Russian Federation 1163 2.33 292 0.61 261 0.54 73 0.16 2511 4.91 483 0.93 292 0.63 79 0.32 653 1.07 Ukraine 2985 2.09 973 0.69 485 0.32 233 0.15 6391 4.14 2263 1.51 844 0.62 238 0.32 2980 1.58 Southern Europe Croatia 754 3.83 80 0.43 103 0.58 60 0.34 212 0.93 135 0.73 54 0.37 34 0.39 690 2.63 Cyprus 151 4.39 21 0.67 26 0.75 3 0.11 56 1.42 13 0.30 5 0.16 8 0.41 25 0.55 Italy 7477 3.77 854 0.48 1351 0.79 653 0.37 1692 0.70 1672 0.71 136 0.09 294 0.38 3318 1.11 Malta 56 2.50 20 1.07 14 0.83 8 0.49 47 2.02 14 0.77 1 0.15 4 0.41 24 0.82 Portugal 17 2.18 5 0.84 6 0.80 2 0.31 9 1.24 5 0.77 1 0.28 1 0.16 7 0.85 Spain 1530 3.68 223 0.59 318 0.84 197 0.52 301 0.57 237 0.48 23 0.06 71 0.38 376 0.50 Central Europe Austria 1421 3.39 120 0.35 155 0.42 56 0.14 547 1.13 262 0.54 36 0.09 55 0.31 811 1.49 Czech Republic 2571 5.19 303 0.66 338 0.74 126 0.29 542 1.02 381 0.73 131 0.32 63 0.23 719 0.98 Germany 12,132 4.37 1111 0.49 1400 0.59 551 0.24 2447 0.74 2307 0.69 352 0.16 320 0.28 4020 1.07 Liechtenstein 9 4.47 0 0 0 0 1 0.74 2 0.70 1 0.47 0 0 1 1.91 0 0 Poland 307 5.24 33 0.52 52 1.09 27 0.53 82 1.27 33 0.49 14 0.29 13 0.59 77 1.11 Slovenia 503 5.07 33 0.36 69 0.75 26 0.31 40 0.31 36 0.28 2 0.01 10 0.17 69 0.41 Switzerland 1557 4.16 175 0.54 219 0.71 123 0.42 313 0.60 121 0.27 39 0.12 62 0.38 289 0.48 Oceania Australia 3274 3.20 505 0.61 528 0.62 388 0.44 615 0.46 436 0.36 137 0.17 279 0.51 628 0.43 New Zealand 617 3.05 93 0.60 142 0.84 74 0.45 104 0.43 60 0.33 19 0.13 45 0.44 215 0.75 HDI Very High 136,877 3.50 19,636 0.62 25,194 0.77 18,811 0.57 33,912 0.75 24,324 0.60 5970 0.20 8075 0.43 40,971 0.79 High 13,236 1.45 3461 0.40 2300 0.25 2169 0.24 14,593 1.55 6385 0.70 1290 0.15 1836 0.33 14,848 1.51 Medium 4099 1.00 1296 0.30 494 0.12 346 0.08 5589 1.35 4172 1.02 219 0.05 806 0.19 5692 1.40 Low 70 1.15 28 0.37 2 0.02 5 0.06 79 1.11 32 0.40 19 0.24 38 0.23 251 3.32 ASR, age-standardized rate; EOC, epithelial ovarian cancer; GCT, germ cell tumor; HDI, human development index; SCST, sex cord-stromal tumor; UK, United Kingdom; USA, United States of America. a NOS represents adenocarcinoma, NOS.
Age-standardized ovarian cancer incidence rates per 100,000 person-years by histological subtypes, countries, and human development indices, 2013–2017.
ASR, age-standardized rate; EOC, epithelial ovarian cancer; GCT, germ cell tumor; HDI, human development index; SCST, sex cord-stromal tumor; UK, United Kingdom; USA, United States of America.
NOS represents adenocarcinoma, NOS.
With respect to adenocarcinoma NOS, the highest ASRs occurred in Eastern Europe, with the Russian Federation recording the highest ASR (4.91), followed by Ukraine (4.14) and Latvia (4.02). For other EOC, the highest ASR was noted in Latvia (2.60). Notably, the ASRs of SCST and GCT were generally lower than those of the EOC. Belarus recorded the highest ASR for SCST (0.84), while Liechtenstein had the highest ASR for GCT (1.91). The highest ASR for other tumors was observed in Trinidad and Tobago (4.23), followed by Uganda (3.61) and the Philippines (3.47).
Regarding human development, in very high HDI regions, serous carcinomas (3.50) remained the most common histological subtypes, followed by other tumors (0.79), endometrioid carcinomas (0.77), and adenocarcinoma NOS (0.75) ( Table 2 and Fig. 3 ). In high HDI regions, adenocarcinoma NOS had the highest ASR (1.55), followed by other tumors (1.51) and serous carcinomas (1.45). Notably, in region with medium or low HDI values, other tumors were the most frequent subtype with ASRs of 1.40 and 3.32, respectively. The second most frequent subtypes were adenocarcinoma NOS with an ASR of 1.35 in medium HDI regions and serous carcinomas with an ASR of 1.15 in low HDI regions. Fig. 3 ASRs (per 100,000 person-years) of ovarian cancer by histological subtype s and human development indices , 2013–2017. HDI, human development index.
ASRs (per 100,000 person-years) of ovarian cancer by histological subtype s and human development indices , 2013–2017. HDI, human development index.
The ASRs of histological subtypes as proportions of the total OC ASR by continents and countries are illustrated in Fig. 4 . Globally, serous carcinomas constituted 37.66% of the total OC ASR, followed by other tumors (13.17%), adenocarcinoma NOS (12.77%), other EOC (8.64%), endometrioid carcinomas (7.76%), mucinous carcinomas (7.00%), clear cell carcinomas (5.94%), GCT (4.78%), and SCST (2.25%). Fig. 4 Proportion of the ASRs (per 100,000 person-years) of ovarian cancer by histological subtype s across regions and countries, 2013–2017 .
Proportion of the ASRs (per 100,000 person-years) of ovarian cancer by histological subtype s across regions and countries, 2013–2017 .
In Asian region, several countries exhibited distinctly higher proportions of mucinous, endometrioid, and clear cell carcinomas compared to the global distribution. Specifically, Brunei had a higher proportion of mucinous carcinomas, while Japan, Singapore, and Thailand presented higher proportions of both endometrioid and clear cell carcinomas. The proportions of other EOC and other tumors in Africa were noticeably higher than the global distribution, with South Africa showing a higher proportion of other EOC, and Uganda and Benin exhibiting higher proportions of other tumors.
The proportions of each subtype in South America, North America, and Oceania were largely similar to the global distribution, except for elevated proportions of other tumors in Costa Rica and Trinidad and Tobago. Regarding European regions, the proportion of serous carcinomas exceeded the global distribution, especially in Northern, Western, and Central Europe. Additionally, in Eastern Europe, the proportions of adenocarcinoma NOS and SCST in some nations were visibly higher than the global distribution, with the Russian Federation displaying a higher proportion of adenocarcinoma NOS and Belarus showing a larger proportion of SCST.
Fig. 5 shows the ASRs of histological subtypes as proportions of the total OC ASR by HDI. Regions with very high HDI values exhibited markedly elevated proportions of serous, endometrioid, and clear cell carcinomas compared to regions with high, medium, and low HDI. Conversely, the proportion of adenocarcinoma NOS was notably reduced in very high HDI regions compared to the other three regions. The highest proportion of mucinous carcinomas was observed in very high HDI regions, followed by high, low and medium HDI regions, respectively. Other EOC was most prevalent in medium HDI regions, followed by high, very high, and low HDI regions. The proportions of SCST in medium HDI regions was obviously lower than in the other three regions. The proportions of GCT were comparable in very high and high HDI regions and exceeded those in medium and low HDI regions. Although the proportion of other tumors was distinctly higher in low HDI regions than that in very high, high, and medium HDI regions, it remained relatively elevated in high and medium HDI regions. Fig. 5 Proportion of the ASRs (per 100,000 person-years) of ovarian cancer by histological subtype s across human development indices , 2013–2017. HDI, human development index.
Proportion of the ASRs (per 100,000 person-years) of ovarian cancer by histological subtype s across human development indices , 2013–2017. HDI, human development index.
Notable temporal trends in histological subtypes were observed across the countries examined ( Table 3 ). In populations from Asia, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Southern Europe, and Central Europe, significant increases in the ASRs of serous carcinomas were recorded over time ( Supplementary Fig. S1 ). The most pronounced rise in ASRs for serous carcinomas occurred in Croatia (APC: 6.69, 95% CI: 1.18, 12.50), followed by South Korea (APC: 3.33, 95% CI: 2.47, 4.20). Conversely, the ASRs of mucinous carcinomas exhibited significant decreases in Asia, North America, Europe, and Oceania, with the most rapid decline in Austria (APC: −7.73, 95% CI: −10.99, −4.34), followed by Malta (APC: −5.51, 95% CI: −8.42, −2.51) and New Zealand (APC: −5.32, 95% CI: −9.76, −0.67) ( Supplementary Fig. S2 ). Table 3 The annual percent change (APC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) in ovarian cancer incidence by histological subtypes from 1988 to 2017. b Serous Mucinous Endometrioid Clear cell NOS a Other EOC SCST GCT Other Asia Bahrain (1998) −0.74 (−24.10, 29.82) 58.27 (−71.38, 775.25) −3.63 (−15.70, 10.16) 69.00 (−93.08, 4025.11) 1.42 (−8.93, 12.94) 1.80 (−21.15, 31.44) −0.40 (−17.44, 20.16) −1.32 (−17.74, 18.38) 3.82 (−11.58, 21.91) China (1993) 4.24 (−5.26, 14.70) −2.10 (−12.11, 9.05) −8.66 (−22.68, 7.90) −6.05 (−26.31, 19.77) 3.19 (−4.37, 11.35) 9.19 (2.72, 16.06) 2.31 (−8.39, 14.25) 0.65 (−12.13, 15.30) −6.71 (−10.10, −3.19) India (1988) 2.01 (0.64, 3.39) 0.17 (−2.95, 3.39) −0.42 (−5.53, 4.97) −0.11 (−4.50, 4.48) −0.99 (−3.09, 1.16) 0.84 (−4.25, 6.20) −4.01 (−5.64, −2.35) −2.26 (−4.71, 0.26) −1.86 (−3.40, −0.29) Israel (1988) −0.14 (−1.07, 0.80) −4.19 (−6.65, −1.67) −4.54 (−6.78, −2.25) −2.20 (−4.95, 0.62) −4.75 (−6.18, −3.30) −2.68 (−3.86, −1.48) −0.62 (−6.40, 5.51) −0.38 (−2.05, 1.33) −3.88 (−6.64, −1.04) Japan (1988) 2.57 (2.07, 3.08) 0.94 (−0.22, 2.12) 6.09 (5.01, 7.18) 6.35 (5.09, 7.63) −2.08 (−3.49, −0.65) 0.34 (−0.25, 0.92) −0.07 (−1.94, 1.83) 3.72 (2.55, 4.90) −2.05 (−4.06, 0.00) South Korea (1993) 3.33 (2.47, 4.20) −1.21 (−4.68, 2.38) 0.37 (−1.07, 1.84) 6.25 (3.25, 9.34) −2.47 (−4.27, −0.65) −0.38 (−1.70, 0.95) 2.68 (−2.15, 7.74) 1.80 (1.09, 2.51) −2.70 (−3.97, −1.42) Kuwait (1998) 4.29 (−0.18, 8.95) −4.08 (−17.85, 11.98) −16.53 (−28.98, −1.90) −1.68 (−86.96, 641.21) −5.79 (−11.00, −0.28) −4.08 (−27.48, 26.85) 47.86 (−81.93, 1109.87) −5.60 (−25.18, 19.11) 2.95 (−26.71, 44.62) The Philippines (1988) 1.67 (−0.19, 3.56) −1.74 (−4.45, 1.04) −3.13 (−7.63, 1.59) 1.20 (−2.16, 4.69) −1.98 (−2.85, −1.09) −0.31 (−5.70, 5.37) −8.10 (−16.14, 0.73) −2.05 (−6.01, 2.07) 2.11 (−1.77, 6.15) Thailand (1988) 1.02 (−0.91, 3.00) −4.22 (−6.17, −2.24) 2.52 (−0.53, 5.66) 5.56 (3.49, 7.67) 0.63 (−1.42, 2.73) 2.37 (0.74, 4.03) −0.80 (−4.20, 2.72) 0.83 (−0.61, 2.30) −0.05 (−1.16, 1.08) Turkey (1998) 2.81 (0.97, 4.69) −3.02 (−12.62, 7.63) −5.00 (−10.49, 0.83) −0.05 (−8.95, 9.73) −1.89 (−8.71, 5.45) 1.70 (−4.43, 8.21) 1.43 (−10.12, 14.46) 0.21 (−0.88, 1.31) −0.01 (−11.32, 12.75) Africa Uganda (1993) 86.58 (−25.69, 368.43) 47.03 (−39.02, 254.48) 0.00 (−0.00, 0.00) 80.00 (−44.74, 486.30) −3.03 (−11.21, 5.90) −3.24 (−9.13, 3.04) 27.57 (−67.84, 406.03) −0.90 (−11.72, 11.24) 0.62 (−2.35, 3.67) North America Canada (1988) 0.26 (−0.95, 1.47) −3.69 (−5.95, −1.39) −1.77 (−3.29, −0.23) 0.54 (−0.15, 1.23) −3.74 (−5.95, −1.48) −0.02 (−2.00, 2.00) −2.07 (−4.87, 0.80) 0.60 (−0.20, 1.40) 0.19 (−3.98, 4.53) Costa Rica (1988) 0.87 (−0.97, 2.74) −1.36 (−5.90, 3.39) −2.32 (−7.70, 3.38) −0.79 (−7.44, 6.34) −1.79 (−4.79, 1.31) −3.09 (−6.26, 0.18) −6.64 (−11.46, −1.56) −1.26 (−3.61, 1.16) 1.72 (−2.07, 5.66) The USA (1988) −0.64 (−1.29, 0.02) −3.02 (−4.47, −1.55) −2.75 (−3.49, −2.01) −0.01 (−0.61, 0.60) −5.46 (−6.10, −4.82) −0.91 (−2.50, 0.70) 1.74 (0.23, 3.27) 0.11 (−0.74, 0.97) 0.36 (−1.20, 1.94) South America Brazil (1993) 3.47 (−4.34, 11.93) −1.55 (−9.04, 6.55) −2.83 (−9.31, 4.12) −0.83 (−9.18, 8.29) −4.21 (−7.01, −1.33) −4.17 (−8.49, 0.35) −1.85 (−7.55, 4.21) 1.60 (−4.66, 8.26) 5.41 (1.64, 9.33) Chile (1998) 3.36 (−1.25, 8.19) −2.89 (−21.96, 20.84) −13.21 (−24.27, −0.53) −6.96 (−17.88, 5.42) −0.76 (−5.66, 4.39) −4.72 (−7.43, −1.94) −2.91 (−22.53, 21.68) −1.38 (−13.12, 11.93) −5.17 (−7.58, −2.69) Colombia (1988) 0.17 (−0.39, 0.73) −2.04 (−5.52, 1.56) −4.09 (−9.02, 1.11) 1.39 (−3.87, 6.93) −2.98 (−6.42, 0.59) −1.39 (−2.11, −0.65) 1.41 (−0.85, 3.73) 0.49 (−0.64, 1.63) −0.99 (−4.14, 2.28) Ecuador (1988) 2.25 (−0.48, 5.06) 2.77 (−0.32, 5.96) −0.95 (−6.76, 5.23) 0.31 (−2.47, 3.17) −2.48 (−4.76, −0.14) −3.39 (−5.57, −1.16) −5.47 (−11.08, 0.48) 3.69 (0.74, 6.72) −1.46 (−4.97, 2.18) Northern Europe Denmark (1988) 0.38 (−0.51, 1.27) −2.63 (−4.04, −1.21) −3.79 (−5.73, −1.80) −1.74 (−3.55, 0.11) −4.84 (−7.92, −1.66) −7.23 (−10.34, −4.01) −3.46 (−9.54, 3.02) −0.18 (−2.29, 1.98) −1.46 (−3.91, 1.05) Iceland (1988) −1.69 (−4.03, 0.70) −4.91 (−8.70, −0.96) −1.50 (−6.71, 4.00) −4.16 (−10.20, 2.28) −7.49 (−11.00, −3.85) −2.92 (−10.59, 5.40) −33.77 (−73.79, 67.33) −3.99 (−12.63, 5.51) −4.11 (−9.07, 1.12) Norway (1988) −2.80 (−10.52, 5.59) −2.89 (−4.39, −1.37) −2.55 (−4.22, −0.86) −2.94 (−4.87, −0.98) −4.69 (−11.39, 2.52) −2.41 (−4.09, −0.69) 0.28 (−5.62, 6.55) 1.48 (−1.64, 4.69) −0.59 (−1.73, 0.57) Western Europe France (1988) 0.42 (−0.35, 1.20) −3.33 (−4.46, −2.19) −2.35 (−5.25, 0.64) 0.64 (−0.69, 1.99) −4.96 (−6.35, −3.55) −4.34 (−5.20, −3.48) 0.28 (−1.78, 2.38) 1.47 (−1.25, 4.26) −0.87 (−1.89, 0.16) Ireland (1994) 2.02 (1.41, 2.63) −3.44 (−4.96, −1.89) 0.38 (−1.50, 2.29) 1.52 (−4.10, 7.47) −4.17 (−5.95, −2.36) −2.66 (−6.39, 1.22) −4.52 (−16.70, 9.45) 1.55 (−0.87, 4.03) −2.22 (−3.75, −0.67) The Netherlands (1989) 2.70 (−0.09, 5.56) −3.83 (−4.87, −2.77) −2.25 (−4.04, −0.41) −0.11 (−0.50, 0.27) −5.98 (−7.08, −4.87) −5.14 (−6.68, −3.57) −3.34 (−5.39, −1.24) 0.91 (−0.79, 2.64) −1.39 (−2.69, −0.07) The UK (1988) 1.78 (1.41, 2.16) −2.77 (−4.34, −1.18) −2.10 (−3.66, −0.52) 0.55 (−0.82, 1.94) −5.62 (−8.02, −3.16) −5.10 (−7.23, −2.91) 1.35 (−2.05, 4.87) 2.47 (1.32, 3.64) 0.23 (−0.30, 0.77) Eastern Europe Estonia (1988) 2.00 (0.29, 3.74) −0.12 (−3.36, 3.23) 2.16 (−0.23, 4.60) −1.05 (−4.12, 2.11) −4.04 (−5.97, −2.06) −1.52 (−6.55, 3.79) −2.12 (−5.68, 1.56) −0.71 (−3.58, 2.24) −5.63 (−7.95, −3.25) Lithuania (1993) 9.83 (−2.84, 24.16) 3.23 (−8.55, 16.53) 7.56 (−4.91, 21.68) 7.88 (4.00, 11.90) −7.45 (−14.64, 0.34) −7.30 (−9.85, −4.68) −3.08 (−6.53, 0.50) 0.85 (−3.09, 4.96) −3.89 (−7.91, 0.30) Southern Europe Croatia (1988) 6.69 (1.18, 12.50) 0.73 (−6.12, 8.09) 2.39 (−5.00, 10.35) 9.62 (0.46, 19.61) −2.61 (−6.24, 1.16) −5.39 (−9.99, −0.57) 6.69 (2.49, 11.07) 1.20 (−3.29, 5.90) −1.14 (−4.07, 1.87) Cyprus (1998) 3.13 (−1.87, 8.39) 0.76 (−5.10, 6.99) 1.00 (−13.29, 17.65) −3.14 (−22.12, 20.46) −0.26 (−2.03, 1.55) −5.16 (−6.32, −3.98) −8.57 (−24.78, 11.13) 3.59 (−4.19, 12.01) 0.16 (−7.46, 8.41) Italy (1988) 1.75 (1.31, 2.20) −3.01 (−4.47, −1.53) −0.47 (−2.40, 1.49) 2.28 (0.66, 3.93) −5.17 (−6.72, −3.59) −1.30 (−2.18, −0.42) −2.69 (−5.60, 0.31) 0.93 (−0.58, 2.46) −0.18 (−1.37, 1.02) Malta (1993) −1.38 (−2.16, −0.61) −5.51 (−8.42, −2.51) 1.25 (−10.78, 14.91) −2.30 (−7.56, 3.25) −0.37 (−3.25, 2.61) 1.21 (−2.11, 4.64) −23.98 (−77.64, 158.47) −3.04 (−6.18, 0.20) 0.24 (−4.25, 4.95) Spain (1988) 2.32 (1.64, 3.02) −2.98 (−3.87, −2.08) −0.59 (−1.81, 0.64) 1.96 (0.40, 3.53) −3.06 (−4.92, −1.15) −1.79 (−3.19, −0.37) −1.18 (−2.45, 0.10) 0.30 (−1.53, 2.16) −1.57 (−3.67, 0.56) Central Europe Austria (1988) 0.03 (−1.22, 1.30) −7.73 (−10.99, −4.34) −4.17 (−6.40, −1.90) −0.27 (−4.43, 4.08) −5.28 (−8.72, −1.71) −6.21 (−11.48, −0.63) −2.28 (−9.33, 5.32) −1.96 (−5.36, 1.55) 2.48 (0.08, 4.93) Czech Republic (1988) 1.23 (0.58, 1.89) −4.13 (−6.70, −1.49) −1.47 (−5.59, 2.84) 1.30 (−0.48, 3.11) −1.59 (−4.87, 1.79) −2.64 (−5.99, 0.83) −2.82 (−4.52, −1.08) −1.70 (−3.54, 0.17) −3.18 (−3.97, −2.38) Germany (1993) 1.30 (0.15, 2.47) −3.74 (−7.59, 0.27) −0.80 (−2.06, 0.48) 1.75 (0.10, 3.43) −6.75 (−12.56, −0.56) −7.64 (−14.04, −0.77) 2.63 (−4.49, 10.27) −0.44 (−4.70, 4.01) −1.08 (−11.25, 10.26) Poland (1998) 3.60 (−0.58, 7.97) −2.38 (−14.15, 11.00) −0.12 (−9.02, 9.65) 3.87 (−15.14, 27.15) −4.61 (−9.90, 0.99) 2.00 (−6.03, 10.73) −4.35 (−10.19, 1.88) −1.18 (−12.69, 11.86) −2.88 (−4.91, −0.81) Slovenia (1988) 1.85 (−0.07, 3.80) −1.93 (−5.52, 1.80) −1.71 (−4.73, 1.41) 0.14 (−2.37, 2.72) −8.22 (−9.70, −6.70) −4.26 (−6.68, −1.77) −4.46 (−11.85, 3.55) −0.44 (−6.12, 5.58) −0.73 (−2.59, 1.17) Switzerland (1988) 0.19 (−0.76, 1.15) −3.05 (−5.34, −0.71) −1.57 (−4.36, 1.30) −0.00 (−1.94, 1.97) −4.85 (−7.34, −2.29) −3.75 (−6.77, −0.63) −0.05 (−2.82, 2.79) 1.16 (0.15, 2.18) −0.99 (−3.37, 1.46) Oceania Australia (1988) −0.13 (−1.03, 0.79) −3.01 (−4.89, −1.09) −1.16 (−1.51, −0.81) −0.60 (−1.09, −0.10) −4.44 (−5.45, −3.42) −2.15 (−3.35, −0.93) 1.35 (−2.79, 5.68) 1.58 (0.55, 2.63) −0.27 (−2.83, 2.36) New Zealand (1993) 0.42 (−2.49, 3.42) −5.32 (−9.76, −0.67) −0.20 (−2.09, 1.73) 0.98 (−3.24, 5.39) −6.65 (−8.52, −4.74) −6.25 (−11.05, −1.20) 0.66 (−8.45, 10.67) −0.01 (−3.99, 4.15) −3.53 (−7.27, 0.36) APC, annual percent change; CI, confidence interval; EOC, epithelial ovarian cancer; GCT, germ cell tumor; SCST, sex cord-stromal tumor; UK, United Kingdom; USA, United States of America. a NOS represents adenocarcinoma, NOS. b Values in bold indicate statistically significant results.
The annual percent change (APC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) in ovarian cancer incidence by histological subtypes from 1988 to 2017. b
APC, annual percent change; CI, confidence interval; EOC, epithelial ovarian cancer; GCT, germ cell tumor; SCST, sex cord-stromal tumor; UK, United Kingdom; USA, United States of America.
NOS represents adenocarcinoma, NOS.
Values in bold indicate statistically significant results.
The ASRs of endometrioid carcinomas also significantly decreased in Asian, American, Northern European, Western European, Central European, and Oceanian regions, except for Japan, which exhibited an increase (APC: 6.09, 95% CI: 5.01, 7.18) ( Supplementary Fig. S3 ). The most substantial declines were seen in Kuwait (APC: −16.53, 95% CI: −28.98, −1.90). There were variable trends in the ASRs of clear cell carcinomas across Asia, Northern Europe, Eastern Europe, Southern Europe, Central Europe, and Oceania ( Supplementary Fig. S4 ). For instance, Croatia showed a substantial increase in ASRs (APC: 9.62, 95% CI: 0.46, 19.61), whereas Norway exhibited a significant decrease (APC: −2.94, 95% CI: −4.87, −0.98).
For adenocarcinoma NOS, ASRs demonstrated a steady decline over time in 24 out of 40 countries, with Slovenia experiencing the fastest decrease (APC: −8.22, 95% CI: −9.70, −6.70) ( Supplementary Fig. S5 ). With respect to other EOC, temporal trends of ASRs varied. There was a substantial increase in China (APC: 9.19, 95% CI: 2.72, 16.06), in contrast to a notable reduction in Germany (APC: −7.64, 95% CI: −14.04, −0.77) ( Supplementary Fig. S6 ). Similar to other EOC, SCST showed variable trends across different countries. The most striking increase in ASR occurred in Croatia (APC: 6.69, 95% CI: 2.49, 11.07), whereas the most rapid decline was observed in Costa Rica (APC: −6.64, 95% CI: −11.46, −1.56) ( Supplementary Fig. S7 ).
The ASRs of GCT showed significant upward trends in Asia, South America, Western Europe, Central Europe, and Oceania, with Japan experiencing the largest rise (APC: 3.72, 95% CI: 2.55, 4.90), followed by Ecuador (APC: 3.69, 95% CI: 0.74, 6.72) ( Supplementary Fig. S8 ). As for other tumors, the ASRs increased most rapidly in Brazil (APC: 5.41, 95% CI: 1.64, 9.33), while China showed the most pronounced decline (APC: −6.71, 95% CI: −10.10, −3.19) ( Supplementary Fig. S9 ). In the sensitivity analysis of temporal trends across nine subtypes, the overall trends in most countries and subtypes remained consistent with the main findings ( Supplementary Tables S2–S10 ). However, when a joinpoint was included, we observed significant increasing trends for endometrioid carcinomas in Italy and clear cell carcinomas in Costa Rica, contrasting with non-significant declining trends without a joinpoint. Conversely, for GCT in the USA, a non-significant increasing trend was noted without a joinpoint, but a significant declining trend emerged when a joinpoint was allowed.
The international incidence rates of OC (per 100,000 person-years) by histological subtypes and age groups are depicted in Fig. 6 . The incidence rates for all subtypes remained relatively low until the age group of 35–39 years. The incidence rates of serous carcinomas exhibited a steady increase with age, reaching a peak of 16.30 in women aged 70–74, followed by a slight decline to 8.06 in women aged 85+. Similarly, steady increases with age were observed in adenocarcinoma NOS, other EOC, and other tumors. The incidence rates for adenocarcinoma NOS peaked at 6.48 in the age group of 80–84, while other EOC and other tumors peaked at 4.11 and 15.96, respectively, in the oldest age group. The age-specific incidence rates for mucinous carcinomas, endometrioid carcinomas, and clear cell carcinomas followed similar patterns, initially increasing and then decreasing, and the decline nodes occurred at ages 65–69, 50–54, and 55–59, respectively. For both SCST and GCT, the incidence rates were consistently low across all age groups. Fig. 6 Age-specific incidence (per 100,000 person-years) of ovarian cancer by histological subtype s and 5-year age group s , 2013–2017 .
Age-specific incidence (per 100,000 person-years) of ovarian cancer by histological subtype s and 5-year age group s , 2013–2017 .
When further classified by the HDI, the results are depicted in Supplementary Fig. S10 . The age-specific incidence rates of all subtypes in very high HDI regions generally aligned with the international incidence trends described above. For example, the incidence rates of serous carcinomas, adenocarcinoma NOS, other EOC, and other tumors increased steadily with age, all peaking in the oldest age groups. Similarly, the incidence rates of mucinous carcinomas, endometrioid carcinomas, and clear cell carcinomas first increased and then declined with age, while the incidence rates for SCST and GCT remained low.
However, in high HDI regions, the incidence rates for all subtypes, except GCT and other tumors, exhibited a pattern of increasing with age and then declining. The incidence rates of GCT peaked in the youngest age groups and subsequently declined, while the incidence rates for other tumors increased steadily with age. Notably, the incidence rates for all subtypes, except GCT, increased with age and then declined, peaking at ages 50–59 or 60–69, in the medium HDI regions. In contrast, GCT incidence peaked in the 0–39 age group and subsequently declined. Due to the inclusion of only three countries and the small number of OC cases, detailed age-specific incidence trends in low HDI regions were not described.
Discussion
This population-based analysis provided the most recent global estimations of patterns and trends in OC incidence overall and by histological subtypes. The global incidence of OC exhibited substantial variability across different regions, countries, and socioeconomic strata. This disparity might arise from a multitude of factors, including genetic predispositions, reproductive behaviors, and the accessibility of healthcare resources. Within regions categorized by different HDI values, notable variations in ASRs of OC were observed. This variability might be partially attributed to fewer diagnostic facilities and inadequate healthcare infrastructures in regions with medium or low HDI values. 24 , 25 In addition, higher women’s health awareness in very high HDI regions might partly account for the higher ASRs of OC compared with medium or low HDI regions, as increased health awareness could promote earlier diagnosis of OC, potentially leading to statistically higher incidence rates. Given the vital role of early diagnosis and timely treatment in improving outcomes, public health education to enhance health awareness is critical, especially in areas with medium and low HDI values. 26 , 27
ASRs of OC also varied across regions and countries, with higher levels in Eastern, Central and Southern Europe and relatively lower levels in Africa and Asia. These disparities might reflect regional differences in screening and diagnostic practices, reproductive factors (such as fertility rates and contraceptive use), genetic susceptibility, and lifestyle factors. 28 , 29 , 30 , 31
Temporal trends in ASRs of OC might reflect changes in the prevalence of risk factors. Increased use of oral contraceptives and shifts in reproductive behaviors might partially explain the declines of ASRs observed in several regions. For example, the widespread use of oral contraceptives in the UK during the 1960s coincided with substantial reductions in OC incidence over time. 32 Although the protective effect of oral contraceptives wanes over time since last use, benefits are still seen at least 30 years after discontinuation. 33 Parity is a protective factor against OC risk, 34 so a lower ASR of OC might be seen in countries with more live births per woman such as India and China. 35
There is convincing evidence that infertility increases the risk of OC. 36 , 37 In the current analysis, gradual increases in ASRs of OC were noticed in Japan and South Korea over time, which paralleled a decline in the total fertility rate during the same period. 38 Furthermore, menopausal hormone therapy use is associated with increased OC risk, 39 and its decreased use might have contributed to the decline in ASRs of OC in recent years. For instance, the dramatic reduction in menopausal hormone therapy use following the Women’s Health Initiative report in 2002 has been linked to a significant decline in OC incidence in the USA. 40 Prophylactic surgeries, such as bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy and salpingectomy, can effectively reduce the risk of OC. 41 , 42 In several developed countries, such as the USA and the Netherlands, the declining trends in ASRs of OC might be partially attributable to the increased rate of prophylactic surgeries. 43 , 44
Histological subtypes of OC also exhibit distinct patterns across geographic areas and HDI levels. These variations might be attributable to the heterogeneity in genetic and lifestyle risk factors within different populations, which differentially affect each histological subtype. For genetic factors, particularly BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations, have been identified as risk factors for high-grade serous carcinomas. 45 , 46 Although serous carcinomas could not be subdivided into high or low grade in the present analysis, approximately 90% of serous carcinomas cases were high-grade. 47 Thus, the notably higher ASRs and proportions of serous carcinomas in Israel than other Asian countries might still be attributed to the large proportion of Ashkenazi Jews in Israel, who have a higher prevalence of BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations. 48 , 49 , 50
In terms of mucinous carcinomas, the ASR was relatively high in several Asian countries, such as Brunei, the Philippines, and Singapore. This might be related to unhealthy lifestyle habits (such as smoking and alcohol consumption) and increasing body mass index in these regions. 51 , 52 , 53 , 54 Additionally, with improved diagnostic criteria and techniques for mucinous carcinomas, a high proportion of cases previously classified as mucinous OC is now believed to be metastases from other anatomical sites (usually the gastrointestinal tract, e.g., Krukenberg tumors). This might partly explain the significant reduction in ASRs of mucinous carcinomas in most countries. 55 , 56 , 57
Other risk factors such as endometriosis might also influence the distribution of histological subtypes, particularly endometrioid and clear cell carcinomas. 12 In this analysis, the relatively low ASR and proportion of serous carcinomas were offset by higher rates of endometrioid and clear cell carcinomas in Japan and Singapore. This phenomenon might be partly attributed to the higher prevalence of endometriosis among Asian women. 58 Of note, the significance of endometriosis as a risk factor for both endometrioid and clear cell carcinomas might elucidate the observed age-specific incidence patterns, wherein the incidence of these histological subtypes reached the highest around menopausal age.
Non-EOC, particularly GCTs, are typically diagnosed at a younger age, which is consistent with the age-specific incidences depicted in our study. The ASRs and proportions of non-EOC in Northern European and Eastern European regions were much higher than those in other regions, which might be due to distinct gene mutations and a younger age distribution within these populations. 59 Regarding other tumors, the ASRs and proportions in the Netherlands were notably lower than those in other countries, potentially indicating a more accurate classification of OC. This was supported by the temporal trends observed in the Netherlands, where the ASRs of other tumors have significantly decreased over time.
Differences in the ASRs and proportions of histological subtypes across four HDI regions might be partly explained by disparities in the availability and accessibility of healthcare services, diagnostic technologies, and lifestyle factors. For instance, in regions with lower HDI values, limited healthcare resources might lead to a higher proportion of diagnoses classified as other EOC and other tumors. 25 Additionally, poor diagnostic technologies and healthy lifestyle related to lower HDI values, such as pathological diagnostic technique, obesity rates, and smoking status, might explain gradually decreased the proportion of mucinous carcinomas across four HDI levels. 25 , 60 , 61
When considering the temporal trends in ASRs of subtypes, due to insufficient data in the Joinpoint model, trend estimates for certain time periods and subtypes in some countries might be unstable, including Uganda, China, Bahrain, Kuwait, Iceland, and Malta, thus requiring special attention when interpreting these results. In Uganda and China (1993–1997), cases of most subtypes were rare or absent, possibly due to the small number of regional registries, only one for Uganda and two for China (1993–1997). The sparse number of cases for Bahrain (mucinous and clear cell carcinomas) and Kuwait (clear cell carcinomas, SCST, and other tumors) might be attributed to the low incidence of these cancers themselves or to the fact that only Bahrainis and Kuwaitis, respectively, were included in these datasets, ignoring other foreign residents. Regarding the rare case of SCST in Iceland and Malta, this was likely caused by the low incidence of this subtype in these two regions.
Given the instability of trend estimates due to sparse data, as observed in certain subtypes and countries within our study, it might be beneficial to consider alternative statistical methods that are more robust in the presence of limited data, such as Bayesian models, non-parametric models, and spline models. A more common approach is the use of Bayesian methods, which are advantageous for handling sparse datasets by incorporating prior information and borrowing strength across parameters or time periods. Bayesian models might provide more stable estimates in situations with small sample sizes and allow for a probabilistic interpretation of the results, naturally accounting for uncertainty. 62 For example, Bayesian joinpoint regression models have been developed to detect changes in trends while appropriately accounting for uncertainty in the number and locations of joinpoints, which is especially beneficial with sparse data. 63 Such models might improve the reliability of trend analyses in regions with limited case numbers and provide clearer insights into the epidemiology of these subtypes. Future studies could explore the application of Bayesian modeling to our data, potentially enhancing the robustness of our findings in areas where traditional joinpoint models might be unstable due to data limitations.
The strengths of the present study lie in its extensive data coverage and detailed subtype analysis. Firstly, the study utilized the CI5 database, which covers high-quality OC incidence data from five continents, thereby providing comprehensive patterns and trends of OC incidence on a global scale. Secondly, the study not only analyzed the overall incidence of OC by regions and HDI, but also explored in depth the incidence patterns and temporal trends of different histological subtypes. This was crucial for understanding the etiology and potential risk factors for specific subtypes and tailoring prevention and treatment strategies. Furthermore, examining the variation in OC incidence across different HDI regions could inform targeted public health interventions and resource allocation.
However, the study also has several limitations. One major limitation was the relatively small sample size in trend analyses of subtypes for certain countries such as Uganda, Bahrain, and Kuwait, which might result in instability of trend estimation and wide 95% CIs. Therefore, these findings should be interpreted with caution. Additionally, data for low HDI regions included only three countries, potentially compromising the comprehensiveness and representation of results for these regions. Third, in a limited number of countries, such as Chile, Israel, the Philippines, and Uganda, cases in the 80–84 or 85+ age groups were excluded due to the absence of corresponding person-years at risk, which might lead to an underestimation of incidence in these countries. Nevertheless, the effect of this underestimation might be negligible owing to the very limited number of cases in these age groups. Fourth, although histological grade was very important for serous carcinomas, we were unable to subdivide the serous subtype into high-grade and low-grade serous carcinomas due to the deficiencies in the CI5 database. Fifth, there were only 6 continuous observations for trend analyses in this study, potentially introducing bias in the estimation of APC. Despite advancements in diagnostic level and technology of OC over time with scientific and technological progress, pathological diagnosis remains the definitive diagnostic criterion. 64 Consequently, the diagnostic criteria for OC have not changed significantly, which might alleviate concerns about this bias. The study was also limited by the absence of national cancer registries in several countries. In these countries, regional cancer registries were combined to approximate the national profiles, which might result in relative underrepresentation for these countries.
In summary, there were notable variations in ASRs of OC across countries, with higher ASRs identified in Latvia, Lithuania, Brunei, and the Russian Federation and lower ASRs in Benin, South Africa, Kuwait, and Morocco. Although the ASR of OC has remained relatively stable globally, marked declines were observed among European, American, and Oceania populations, while certain Asian countries (Japan and South Korea) have experienced increases. Globally, serous carcinomas remain the most common histological subtype of OC. Despite the stability in worldwide ASRs of subtypes, most countries exhibited consistent increases in serous carcinomas and GCT, while mucinous carcinomas and adenocarcinoma NOS demonstrated consistent declines.
The higher incidence rates of OC and its histological subtypes observed in this study might be partially explained by genetic predispositions, reproductive behaviors, healthcare resources, and health awareness. It is suggested that countries with high incidence should strengthen public health education, actively screen for susceptibility genes, address adverse reproductive factors and lifestyles, and improve medical conditions to achieve primary and secondary prevention of OC. Further research is necessary to definitively identify the specific factors driving these variations in OC incidence across different countries, ultimately enabling the development of region-specific prevention and control strategies to effectively mitigate the global burden of this disease.