Study on the Coupling Coordination Relationship and Driving Mechanisms between Land Use and Ecosystem Service Value in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration

Study on the Coupling Coordination Relationship and Driving Mechanisms between Land Use and Ecosystem Service Value in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Article Study on the Coupling Coordination Relationship and Driving Mechanisms between Land Use and Ecosystem Service Value in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration Jiali Zhang, Lede Niu This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-8422239/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Under Review Version 1 posted 14 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Research Content: This study analyzes the spatial temporal evolution and coupling mechanisms of land use and ecosystem service value (ESV) in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration from 2010 to 2024, providing decision support for sustainable development.Research Methods: Based on multi-period remote sensing data, this study employed methods including land use conversion matrices, land use dynamics and comprehensive intensity quantification, ESV equivalent factor assessment, coupling coordination degree models, trend degree models, and geographic detectors. Key findings include : (1) The overall land use structure remained stable, but construction land expansion encroached on farmland, squeezing ecological space. (2) Total ecosystem service value increased significantly from 1.95×10⁸ yuan to 2.29×10⁹ yuan, with regulatory services contributing the most. Ecosystem service value exhibited a spatial distribution pattern characterized by “higher values in the center and lower values in the periphery.” (3) Coordination between land use and ecosystem service value markedly improved during the study period, with most areas transitioning from mild imbalance to coordination. However, coordination levels in Kunming's core area remained relatively low. (4) Driving mechanisms shifted from natural factors like slope and NDVI to socioeconomic factors such as GDP and urbanization rates, revealing significant interactions. NDVI emerged as a pivotal hub in this process. (5) This study reveals a regional development phenomenon within the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration where the expansion of construction land coexists with an increase in the total value of ecosystem services. This phenomenon stems partly from the substantial growth in ecological land use—particularly water bodies—achieved through major engineering interventions and their high service value coefficients. However, it also serves as a warning that value growth models reliant solely on expanding single land categories may harbour long-term ecological risks. This underscores both the necessity and complexity of achieving a balance between ecological benefits and socio-economic development through refined spatial management during urbanisation. (6) The research further clarifies the spatiotemporal trajectory of the transition from ‘disharmony’ to “coordination” in the coupling relationship between land use and ecosystem service value in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration. It reveals the dynamic process of the driving mechanism evolving from ‘dominated by natural factors’ to ‘synergistic interaction between natural and socio-economic factors’, providing mechanistic insights for understanding and guiding the coordinated development of human-land systems. Biological sciences/Ecology Earth and environmental sciences/Ecology Earth and environmental sciences/Environmental sciences Earth and environmental sciences/Environmental social sciences Ecosystem Service Value (ESV) Coupling Coordination Degree Model keyword Human-Land System Coordination Mechanism Land Use Change Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Under Review Version 1 posted Editorial decision: Revision requested 29 Jan, 2026 Reviews received at journal 24 Jan, 2026 Reviews received at journal 23 Jan, 2026 Reviews received at journal 16 Jan, 2026 Reviews received at journal 15 Jan, 2026 Reviewers agreed at journal 14 Jan, 2026 Reviewers agreed at journal 14 Jan, 2026 Reviewers agreed at journal 14 Jan, 2026 Reviewers agreed at journal 14 Jan, 2026 Reviewers invited by journal 14 Jan, 2026 Editor invited by journal 07 Jan, 2026 Editor assigned by journal 07 Jan, 2026 Submission checks completed at journal 07 Jan, 2026 First submitted to journal 07 Jan, 2026 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. 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Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-8422239","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":575969851,"identity":"aee6debd-1f5d-4ff0-83be-c900f34a6461","order_by":0,"name":"Jiali Zhang","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Yunnan Normal University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Jiali","middleName":"","lastName":"Zhang","suffix":""},{"id":575969852,"identity":"1f5280b5-cfe1-46a4-9d65-9848daef05a3","order_by":1,"name":"Lede 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Agglomeration","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":false,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":true,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"scientific-reports","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"scirep","sideBox":"Learn more about [Scientific Reports](http://www.nature.com/srep/)","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"","title":"Scientific Reports","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"stoa","reportingPortfolio":"Scientific Reports","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"Ecosystem Service Value (ESV), Coupling Coordination Degree Model, keyword, Human-Land System Coordination Mechanism, Land Use Change","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-8422239/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-8422239/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eResearch Content:\u003c/strong\u003eThis study analyzes the spatial temporal evolution and coupling mechanisms of land use and ecosystem service value (ESV) in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration from 2010 to 2024, providing decision support for sustainable development.Research\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eMethods:\u003c/strong\u003e Based on multi-period remote sensing data, this study employed methods including land use conversion matrices, land use dynamics and comprehensive intensity quantification, ESV equivalent factor assessment, coupling coordination degree models, trend degree models, and geographic detectors.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eKey findings include\u003c/strong\u003e: (1) The overall land use structure remained stable, but construction land expansion encroached on farmland, squeezing ecological space. (2) Total ecosystem service value increased significantly from 1.95×10⁸ yuan to 2.29×10⁹ yuan, with regulatory services contributing the most. Ecosystem service value exhibited a spatial distribution pattern characterized by “higher values in the center and lower values in the periphery.” (3) Coordination between land use and ecosystem service value markedly improved during the study period, with most areas transitioning from mild imbalance to coordination. However, coordination levels in Kunming's core area remained relatively low. (4) Driving mechanisms shifted from natural factors like slope and NDVI to socioeconomic factors such as GDP and urbanization rates, revealing significant interactions. NDVI emerged as a pivotal hub in this process. (5) This study reveals a regional development phenomenon within the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration where the expansion of construction land coexists with an increase in the total value of ecosystem services. This phenomenon stems partly from the substantial growth in ecological land use—particularly water bodies—achieved through major engineering interventions and their high service value coefficients. However, it also serves as a warning that value growth models reliant solely on expanding single land categories may harbour long-term ecological risks. This underscores both the necessity and complexity of achieving a balance between ecological benefits and socio-economic development through refined spatial management during urbanisation. (6) The research further clarifies the spatiotemporal trajectory of the transition from ‘disharmony’ to “coordination” in the coupling relationship between land use and ecosystem service value in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration. It reveals the dynamic process of the driving mechanism evolving from ‘dominated by natural factors’ to ‘synergistic interaction between natural and socio-economic factors’, providing mechanistic insights for understanding and guiding the coordinated development of human-land systems.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"Study on the Coupling Coordination Relationship and Driving Mechanisms between Land Use and Ecosystem Service Value in the Central Yunnan Urban Agglomeration","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2026-01-19 08:46:01","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-8422239/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0},{"type":"decision","content":"Revision requested","date":"2026-01-29T18:51:12+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2026-01-24T18:58:34+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2026-01-23T14:25:07+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2026-01-16T12:19:57+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2026-01-15T09:43:19+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"155656783220007596945265783694297458727","date":"2026-01-14T15:24:53+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"189213357111908037262954249496547209554","date":"2026-01-14T14:28:15+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"45501108399092524963941025793135560888","date":"2026-01-14T14:03:43+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"202532797832411090347887943195707336536","date":"2026-01-14T14:01:37+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewersInvited","content":"","date":"2026-01-14T13:52:25+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvited","content":"","date":"2026-01-07T11:37:40+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorAssigned","content":"","date":"2026-01-07T11:35:53+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"checksComplete","content":"","date":"2026-01-07T10:10:03+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"submitted","content":"Scientific Reports","date":"2026-01-07T09:58:19+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"scientific-reports","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"scirep","sideBox":"Learn more about [Scientific Reports](http://www.nature.com/srep/)","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"","title":"Scientific Reports","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"stoa","reportingPortfolio":"Scientific Reports","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"2af3c2ee-5555-4eca-a3b4-f7498eb31434","owner":[],"postedDate":"January 19th, 2026","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"under-review","subjectAreas":[{"id":61285990,"name":"Biological sciences/Ecology"},{"id":61285991,"name":"Earth and environmental sciences/Ecology"},{"id":61285992,"name":"Earth and environmental sciences/Environmental sciences"},{"id":61285993,"name":"Earth and environmental sciences/Environmental social sciences"}],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2026-03-24T18:54:37+00:00","versionOfRecord":[],"versionCreatedAt":"2026-01-19 08:46:01","video":"","vorDoi":"","vorDoiUrl":"","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-8422239","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-8422239","identity":"rs-8422239","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"XKTyCvWXoU3ODBz1xrDgd","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}