Enhanced genetic analysis of type 1 diabetes by selecting variants on both effect size and significance, and by integration with autoimmune thyroid disease

For polygenic traits, associations with genetic variants can be detected over many chromosome regions, owing to the availability oflarge sample sizes. Most variants, however, have small effects on disease risk and, therefore, unravelling the causal variants, target genes, and biology of these variants is challenging. Here, we define the Bigger or False Discovery Rate (BFDR) as the probability that either a variant is a false-positive or a randomly drawn, true-positive association exceeds it in effect size. Using the BFDR, we identified 302 previously unreported signals with larger effect associations with type 1 diabetes and autoimmune thyroid disease. Out of 239 genome-wide significant signals in both diseases, only 66 (28%) show evidence for having a large effect using the BFDR, further demonstrating how using a combination of effect size and significance, rather than significance alone, is important in identifying SNPs and candidate genes for further investigation.