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Different genetic liabilities to neuropsychiatric conditions in suicides with no prior suicidality | medRxiv /* */ /* */ <!-- <!-- /*! * yepnope1.5.4 * (c) WTFPL, GPLv2 */ (function(a,b,c){function d(a){return"[object Function]"==o.call(a)}function e(a){return"string"==typeof a}function f(){}function g(a){return!a||"loaded"==a||"complete"==a||"uninitialized"==a}function h(){var a=p.shift();q=1,a?a.t?m(function(){("c"==a.t?B.injectCss:B.injectJs)(a.s,0,a.a,a.x,a.e,1)},0):(a(),h()):q=0}function i(a,c,d,e,f,i,j){function k(b){if(!o&&g(l.readyState)&&(u.r=o=1,!q&&h(),l.onload=l.onreadystatechange=null,b)){"img"!=a&&m(function(){t.removeChild(l)},50);for(var d in y[c])y[c].hasOwnProperty(d)&&y[c][d].onload()}}var j=j||B.errorTimeout,l=b.createElement(a),o=0,r=0,u={t:d,s:c,e:f,a:i,x:j};1===y[c]&&(r=1,y[c]=[]),"object"==a?l.data=c:(l.src=c,l.type=a),l.width=l.height="0",l.onerror=l.onload=l.onreadystatechange=function(){k.call(this,r)},p.splice(e,0,u),"img"!=a&&(r||2===y[c]?(t.insertBefore(l,s?null:n),m(k,j)):y[c].push(l))}function j(a,b,c,d,f){return q=0,b=b||"j",e(a)?i("c"==b?v:u,a,b,this.i++,c,d,f):(p.splice(this.i++,0,a),1==p.length&&h()),this}function k(){var a=B;return a.loader={load:j,i:0},a}var l=b.documentElement,m=a.setTimeout,n=b.getElementsByTagName("script")[0],o={}.toString,p=[],q=0,r="MozAppearance"in l.style,s=r&&!!b.createRange().compareNode,t=s?l:n.parentNode,l=a.opera&&"[object Opera]"==o.call(a.opera),l=!!b.attachEvent&&!l,u=r?"object":l?"script":"img",v=l?"script":u,w=Array.isArray||function(a){return"[object Array]"==o.call(a)},x=[],y={},z={timeout:function(a,b){return b.length&&(a.timeout=b[0]),a}},A,B;B=function(a){function b(a){var a=a.split("!"),b=x.length,c=a.pop(),d=a.length,c={url:c,origUrl:c,prefixes:a},e,f,g;for(f=0;f<d;f++)g=a[f].split("="),(e=z[g.shift()])&&(c=e(c,g));for(f=0;f<b;f++)c=x[f](c);return c}function g(a,e,f,g,h){var i=b(a),j=i.autoCallback;i.url.split(".").pop().split("?").shift(),i.bypass||(e&&(e=d(e)?e:e[a]||e[g]||e[a.split("/").pop().split("?")[0]]),i.instead?i.instead(a,e,f,g,h):(y[i.url]?i.noexec=!0:y[i.url]=1,f.load(i.url,i.forceCSS||!i.forceJS&&"css"==i.url.split(".").pop().split("?").shift()?"c":c,i.noexec,i.attrs,i.timeout),(d(e)||d(j))&&f.load(function(){k(),e&&e(i.origUrl,h,g),j&&j(i.origUrl,h,g),y[i.url]=2})))}function h(a,b){function c(a,c){if(a){if(e(a))c||(j=function(){var a=[].slice.call(arguments);k.apply(this,a),l()}),g(a,j,b,0,h);else if(Object(a)===a)for(n in m=function(){var b=0,c;for(c in a)a.hasOwnProperty(c)&&b++;return b}(),a)a.hasOwnProperty(n)&&(!c&&!--m&&(d(j)?j=function(){var a=[].slice.call(arguments);k.apply(this,a),l()}:j[n]=function(a){return function(){var b=[].slice.call(arguments);a&&a.apply(this,b),l()}}(k[n])),g(a[n],j,b,n,h))}else!c&&l()}var h=!!a.test,i=a.load||a.both,j=a.callback||f,k=j,l=a.complete||f,m,n;c(h?a.yep:a.nope,!!i),i&&c(i)}var i,j,l=this.yepnope.loader;if(e(a))g(a,0,l,0);else if(w(a))for(i=0;i (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];var j=d.createElement(s);var dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.src='//www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;j.type='text/javascript';j.async=true;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-P4HH5NV'); Skip to main content Home About Submit ALERTS / RSS Search for this keyword Advanced Search Different genetic liabilities to neuropsychiatric conditions in suicides with no prior suicidality View ORCID Profile Hilary Coon , Andrey A. Shabalin , Eric T. Monson , Emily DiBlasi , Seonggyun Han , Lisa M. Baird , Erin A. Kaufman , Doug Tharp , Michael J. Staley , Zhe Yu , Qingqin S. Li , View ORCID Profile Sarah M. Colbert , View ORCID Profile Amanda V. Bakian , Anna R. Docherty , View ORCID Profile Andrew M. McIntosh , View ORCID Profile Heather C. Whalley , Dierdre Amaro , David K. Crockett , Niamh Mullins , Brooks R. Keeshin doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.05.02.25326877 Hilary Coon a Department of Psychiatry & Huntsman Mental Health Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine , Salt Lake City, UT PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Hilary Coon For correspondence: hilary.coon{at}utah.edu Andrey A. Shabalin a Department of Psychiatry & Huntsman Mental Health Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine , Salt Lake City, UT PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Eric T. Monson a Department of Psychiatry & Huntsman Mental Health Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine , Salt Lake City, UT MD,PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Emily DiBlasi a Department of Psychiatry & Huntsman Mental Health Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine , Salt Lake City, UT PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Seonggyun Han a Department of Psychiatry & Huntsman Mental Health Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine , Salt Lake City, UT PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Lisa M. Baird a Department of Psychiatry & Huntsman Mental Health Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine , Salt Lake City, UT MS Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Erin A. Kaufman a Department of Psychiatry & Huntsman Mental Health Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine , Salt Lake City, UT PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Doug Tharp a Department of Psychiatry & Huntsman Mental Health Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine , Salt Lake City, UT Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Michael J. Staley b Utah State Office of the Medical Examiner, Utah Department of Health and Human Services , Salt Lake City, UT PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Zhe Yu MS Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Qingqin S. Li d Neuroscience Therapeutic Area, Janssen Research and Development , Titusville, NJ. (former) e CHDI Management, Inc . Princeton, NJ. (current) Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Sarah M. Colbert f Department of Psychiatry, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai , New York, NY g Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai , New York, NY h Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai , New York, NY MS Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Sarah M. Colbert Amanda V. Bakian a Department of Psychiatry & Huntsman Mental Health Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine , Salt Lake City, UT PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Amanda V. Bakian Anna R. Docherty a Department of Psychiatry & Huntsman Mental Health Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine , Salt Lake City, UT PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Andrew M. McIntosh i Division of Psychiatry, Centre for Clinical Brain Sciences, The University of Edinburgh , Edinburgh, Scotland MD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Andrew M. McIntosh Heather C. Whalley i Division of Psychiatry, Centre for Clinical Brain Sciences, The University of Edinburgh , Edinburgh, Scotland j Generation Scotland, Centre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh , Edinburgh, Scotland PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Heather C. Whalley Dierdre Amaro b Utah State Office of the Medical Examiner, Utah Department of Health and Human Services , Salt Lake City, UT MD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site David K. Crockett k Clinical Analytics, Intermountain Health , Salt Lake City, UT PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Niamh Mullins f Department of Psychiatry, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai , New York, NY g Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai , New York, NY h Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai , New York, NY PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Brooks R. Keeshin a Department of Psychiatry & Huntsman Mental Health Institute, University of Utah School of Medicine , Salt Lake City, UT l Department of Pediatrics, University of Utah , Salt Lake City, UT m Primary Children’s Hospital Center for Safe and Healthy Families , Salt Lake City, UT n Department of Public Health and Caring Science, Child Health and Parenting (CHAP), Uppsala University , Uppsala, Sweden MD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Abstract Full Text Info/History Metrics Supplementary material Data/Code Preview PDF ABSTRACT Importance. Though suicide attempt is the most robust predictor of suicide death, few who attempt go on to die by suicide (<10%), and ∼50% of all suicide deaths occur in the absence of evidence of prior attempts. Risks in this latter group are particularly poorly understood. Objective. Data from the Utah Suicide Mortality Risk Study (USMRS) were used to study underlying polygenic liabilities among suicide deaths without evidence of prior nonfatal suicidal thoughts or behaviors (SD-N) compared to suicide deaths with prior nonfatal suicidality (SD-S). Design. We used an analysis of covariance design, comparing SD-N to SD-S and to population controls with similar genetic ancestry from the United Kingdom. Setting. We selected 12 source studies to generate descriptive quantitative polygenic scores (PGS) reflecting neuropsychiatric conditions. Analysis of covariance was used to evaluate suicide mortality subsets and controls adjusted for sex, age, and genetic ancestry effects. Participants. Suicide deaths were population-ascertained through a 25-year collaboration with the Utah State Office of the Medical Examiner. Evidence of suicidality was determined from diagnoses and clinical notes, yielding 1,364 SD-N and 1,467 SD-S deaths, compared to 20,368 controls. Main Outcomes. The tested PGS spanned 12 psychiatric, neurodevelopmental, and neurodegenerative conditions. Results. SD-N were significantly more male (82.33% vs. 67.76%) and older at death (47.26 years vs. 41.36 years) than SD-S. Controls were significantly less male than both suicide subsets (43.71%). Genetic ancestry was similar across suicide subsets and controls (% European: 96.77%, 96.81%, and 97.38%). Comparing SD-N to SD-S revealed significantly lower PGS in SD-N for: MDD (p=0.0015), neuroticism (p=0.0016), anxiety (p=0.0048), Alzheimer’s (p=0.011), depressed affect (p=0.015), schizophrenia (p=0.020), PTSD (p=0.023), and bipolar disorder (p=0.028). This attenuation in SD-N was particularly pronounced for depressed affect, neuroticism, and Alzheimer’s, where PGS were not different from controls. Sex-specific analyses suggested attenuation of PGS in SD-N was driven by males for MDD, anxiety, and PTSD, and by females for bipolar disorder, neuroticism, and Alzheimer’s. Conclusions and Relevance. SD-N have significantly different genetic liabilities from SD-S, particularly regarding neuropsychiatric conditions. Results have far-reaching implications both for future research and for preventions for those at highest risk of mortality. Question What are underlying genetic liabilities related to neuropsychiatric conditions in the roughly half of suicide deaths with no evidence of prior nonfatal suicidal thoughts or behaviors (SD-N), a group that has not previously been accessible for study? Findings These suicide deaths with no prior nonfatal suicidality showed significantly attenuated underlying polygenic liabilities associated with mental health traditionally thought to be core features of suicide mortality risk, and justifies additional studies of underlying risks associated with non-psychiatric conditions and behaviors. Meaning These differences in underlying liabilities between suicide deaths with and without prior suicidality suggest departure from the traditional mental health risks that have been the focus of suicide risk discovery, and impel new directions for future research and prevention efforts. INTRODUCTION Suicide death is a significant public health crisis, with 49,449 deaths reported in 2022 in the U.S. 1 and >700,000 per year worldwide. 2 Risks specific to suicide mortality remain largely elusive. 3 – 4 The most robust predictor of suicide mortality is a prior attempt, but few individuals who make suicide attempts go on to die by suicide, with estimates ranging from 2.5% - 7%. 5 – 7 In addition, more than half of suicide deaths occur in the absence of evidence of prior suicidal thoughts or behaviors, 8 – 10 and a more than half also show no evidence of psychiatric diagnoses. 11 – 13 These results suggest that while prior attempts and psychopathology are important, they are insufficient predictors of suicide death. Our prior study using Utah Suicide Mortality Risk Study (USRMS) 15 resources showed that prevalence of 32 neuropsychiatric diagnoses was significantly attenuated among suicide deaths with no evidence of prior suicidality (SD-N) when compared to suicides with prior non-lethal suicidality (SD-S). Such results could be attributed to poor mental health screening, poor access to mental health care or to low care-seeking behaviors. However, results could also be due to differences in underlying liabilities to these disorders, a plausible hypothesis given the increasing body of evidence outlined above. USMRS data resources can address this knowledge gap. We have studied Utah suicides classified as either SD-N or SD-S, using polygenic scores (PGS) as proxies for underlying risks of 12 conditions spanning the neuropsychiatric spectrum. We calculated the PGS using summary statistics from 12 recent studies selected for size and for matching of ascertainment and genetic ancestry to the USMRS resource using a pre-registered study design. 16 METHODS Suicide death sample This study used data from a subset of 4,251 suicide deaths from the USMRS sample with electronic health records, clinical notes for natural language processing (NLP), and genome-wide array genotyping data. The USMRS resource has been described in detail elsewhere. 17 – 18 Briefly, biosamples were collected from suicide deaths through a long-term collaboration with the Utah State Office of the Medical Examiner (OME). Suicide determination was made by the OME following detailed investigation of the scene and circumstances of the death. Because the state of Utah has a single central OME, all deaths in this study were evaluated by the same office/processes, providing a consistent approach to suicide determination, an advantage over states with decentralized systems. When sufficient sample amounts were available, high quality DNA was extracted. Identifiers from suicide deaths were securely transferred to staff at the Utah Population Database (UPDB), a state-wide database that contains over 27 million data records on over 11 million individuals, including demographics and comprehensive health records data. 19 UPDB staff linked health records and supplied clinical notes to an NLP algorithm that detects suicidality mentions (see below for details). For this study, identifiers were stripped, rare diagnoses and demographic groups were aggregated, and NLP results were collapsed into ratings of positive/negative suicidality before data were given to the research team. This study was approved by Institutional Review Boards from the University of Utah, Intermountain Health, and the Utah Department of Health and Human Services. Population controls Control genotype data was used from population cohorts similar to the Utah suicide cohort regarding genetic ancestry, including data (N=20,368) from the UK10K resource 20 and unrelated individuals from the Generation Scotland resource. 21 Molecular data from these control resources represents broad population ascertainment, although the UK10K resource includes some enrichment for individuals with common and rare health conditions, and may therefore be somewhat conservative as a comparison group. Available control data consisted only of genetic information; assessment or exclusion of suicidality was not possible. Demographic and clinical data on suicide deaths Demographic and clinical data defining the USMRS suicides included age at death, sex, and clinical notes and diagnoses from electronic health records. Suicides were categorized as having evidence of prior nonfatal suicidality based on diagnostic data through ICD-9 or ICD-10 diagnostic codes according to the National Center for Health Statistics definition. 22 Diagnoses that occurred within one week prior to death were excluded so that diagnostic codes associated with the final fatal suicide attempt were not mis-attributed to prior nonfatal suicidality. Because suicidality is not well captured in diagnostic data, we supplemented the SD-N and SD-S subtype definition using data from a validated NLP algorithm to detect suicidality in clinical notes. 15 We applied a broad definition of suicidality from this NLP such that the SD-S subtype comprised suicide deaths with any mention of prior suicidal ideation or behavior in order to make the SD-N as accurate as possible for absence of prior suicidality. As found previously, 15 using this approach of incorporating the NLP information increased the number of SD-S by 32% above using a definition from diagnostic codes alone. Genotyping of suicide deaths Genotyping on suicide deaths was done using the Illumina Infinium PsychArray, 23 which includes 560,000 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). Genotyping quality control was performed using SNP clustering in the Illumina GenomeStudio software. 24 SNPs were retained if the GenTrain score was >0.5 and the cluster separation score was >0.4. SNPs with >5% missing genotypes were removed; samples with a call rate <95% were removed. The SNPs assayed in both suicides and controls were combined and jointly imputed. Genetic ancestry was estimated with a modification of the kgp2anc algorithm 25 using 1000Genomes data 26 as a reference. Computation of polygenic scores (PGS) Polygenic scores (PGS) were computed for SD-N (N=1,364), SD-S (N=1,467), and controls (N=20,368) using available summary statistics from 12 studies spanning the neuropsychiatric spectrum (Supplementary Table S1, source sample N’s ranged from 31,880-1,126,563). These recent, large studies were chosen to match to the USMRS regarding ancestry (primarily European) and ascertainment (population rather than military cohorts), and pre-registered as part of our study design. 16 PRSice 2.0 27 was used to calculate individual PGS. PGS are weighted quantitative summary scores reflecting genetic liability to a trait or diagnosis rather than the binary presence or absence of that trait. A score for an individual in the target sample is the summation of dosage of minor alleles for each SNP multiplied by the effect size of that allele at that SNP in the discovery GWAS. We did not apply any p-value cut-off to select SNPs from the source studies to be inclusive of all genetic data. PGS in this study are descriptive, broadly associated with underlying polygenic liabilities to the diagnoses and also any additional pleiotropic genetic liabilities. 28 Analyses Analysis of covariance was used to compare SD-N (N=1,364) to SD-S (N=1,467) and each subset to controls (N=20,368), adjusting for age, sex, and 20 residual genetic ancestry principal components (PCs), and controlling for multiple testing through the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure (false discovery rate method). 14 For ease of interpretation, PGS from the suicide mortality subsets for each PGS outcome were normalized to controls. Because many neuropsychiatric conditions have strong sex differences, tests were stratified by sex. Within males, there were 1,123 SD-N, 994 SD-S, and 8,902 controls. Suicide death is heavily dominated by males; therefore, the female suicide sample sizes were smaller, with 241 SD-N, 473 SD-S, and 11,466 controls. Within-sex analyses were performed as described above concerning covariates, multiple testing adjustment, and normalizing to controls. RESULTS Table 1 shows descriptive characteristics of Utah suicide death subtypes and controls. Suicide deaths without evidence of prior nonfatal attempts (SD-N, N=1,364) included significantly more males with an older mean age at death compared to suicides with evidence of prior nonfatal attempts (SD-S, N=1,467). The two suicide death subtypes were not significantly different in terms of genetic ancestry; both were predominantly European. Matching population expectations, 1 , 2 the UK ancestry-matched control data (N=20,333, 97.38% European ancestry) included significantly more females (56.29%) than either of the suicide death subtypes, which were both predominantly male. View this table: View inline View popup Download powerpoint Table 1. Demographic characteristics of suicide death subtypes Polygenic score comparisons Table 2 and Figure 1 show results of differences across the SD-N and SD-S subsets. For ease of interpretation, all results are normalized to the UK controls, giving the UK controls mean PGS scores of zero for each trait. Of note, PGS showed similar 95% confidence intervals across tested phenotypes ( Figure 1 ). Results indicated significantly lower PGS in the SD-N vs. SD-S subtype comparison for bipolar disorder, major depressive disorder (MDD), depressed affect, anxiety, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), neuroticism, schizophrenia, and Alzheimer’s disease (AD). Comparisons of the SD-N subtype to the UK controls showed that for depressed affect, neuroticism, and AD, the SD-N subtype was indistinguishable from the control standard mean of zero. In addition, though scores for autism, ADHD, and alcohol were not significantly different in the SD-N vs. SD-S test, they showed modestly significant and similar elevations over the control PGS in both SD-N and SD-S subtypes. Download figure Open in new tab Figure 1. Polygenic score (PGS) analysis of covariance results for suicide mortality subtypes. Results for suicide subtypes are normalized to the UK controls, which are represented by the zero line in the graph. All tests were adjusted for sex, age, and 20 genetic ancestry principal components. SD-N = suicide deaths with no evidence of prior nonfatal suicidality. SD-S = suicide deaths with evidence of prior nonfatal suicidality. MDD = major depressive disorder. PTSD = post-traumatic stress disorder. ADHD = attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. View this table: View inline View popup Download powerpoint Table 2. Polygenic score (PGS) analysis of covariance results comparing suicide death subsets Sex-specific tests Comparisons of SD-N vs. SD-S and to UK controls were done within sex, as shown in Table 3 and Figure 2a and 2b . Again, results were normalized to controls PRS. Results showed significantly lower PGS in the male SD-N vs. SD-S subtype comparisons for MDD and anxiety (FDR<0.05), and also for PTSD, neuroticism, and schizophrenia (FDR<0.10). In the male SD-N subtype, PGS for depressed affect, neuroticism, autism, and AD were not significantly different from controls. The PGS for smoking was elevated over controls only in SD-N, and the PGS for autism was only elevated over controls only in SD-S. Download figure Open in new tab Figure 2. Polygenic score (PGS) analysis of covariance results for suicide mortality subtypes in males only (a) and females only (b). Results for suicide subtypes are normalized to the UK controls, which are represented by the zero lines in the graphs. All tests were adjusted for sex, age, and 20 genetic ancestry principal components. SD-N = suicide deaths with no evidence of prior nonfatal suicidality. SD-S = suicide deaths with evidence of prior nonfatal suicidality. MDD = major depressive disorder. PTSD = post-traumatic stress disorder. ADHD = attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. View this table: View inline View popup Download powerpoint Table 3. Sex-specific polygenic score (PGS) analysis of covariance results comparing suicide death subsets For females, the PGS was significantly lower in the SD-N vs. SD-S subtype test for bipolar disorder (FDR<0.05), and for neuroticism and AD (FDR<0.1). Compared to controls, the female SD-N subtype was significantly elevated for PTSD, schizophrenia, and autism (FDR<0.05), and for MDD and anxiety (FDR<0.1). The female SD-S subtype showed elevated PGS for all diagnoses except autism, ADHD, and depressed affect. Interestingly, the PGS for autism in females was elevated over controls for SD-N but not SD-S, opposite of the result for autism in males. For females, the smoking PGS was elevated over controls only in SD-S, again opposite the smoking result in males. DISCUSSION Prior nonfatal suicidality is the most robust predictor of suicide mortality, 5 – 7 but the association with this predictor is far from perfect, and a substantial proportion of suicide deaths occur in its absence. 8 – 10 Previous work in the Utah Suicide Mortality Risk Study (USMRS) 15 showed that suicides without prior nonfatal suicidality (SD-N) have significantly fewer diagnoses associated with neuropsychiatric conditions than those with prior nonfatal suicidality (SD-S). Prior thinking in suicidality research would place high likelihood that these differences would be due to less care-seeking or care access in the SD-N subtype, but assume that underlying liability to psychopathology would be a ubiquitous underlying factor in risk of suicide death. 29 However, it is possible that suicide deaths without prior suicidality may have differences in underlying genetic liabilities to mental health. This study tests this hypothesis with polygenic scores associated with liabilities to neuropsychiatric conditions for 1,364 population-ascertained suicide deaths in the SD-N group. These suicide deaths were compared to 1,467 suicides with prior suicidality (SD-S). Evidence of suicidality included not only diagnostic codes, but also any mention of suicidal ideation or behaviors in clinical notes to ensure that the SD-N subtype was as accurate as possible. This study also included genetic data from 20,368 controls matched to the Utah suicides for genetic ancestry. Demographic comparisons showed that the SD-N subtype was significantly younger and more male than the SD-S subtype; all analyses adjusted for these significant covariates. Polygenic scores (PGS) were tested from 12 common neuropsychiatric conditions with available summary statistics from recent published studies selected for size and similarity of genetic ancestry and ascertainment to the USMRS; this study design was preregistered to minimize bias. 16 Results revealed significantly lower PGS (FDR<0.05) in SD-N vs. SD-S across the spectrum of neuropsychiatric conditions, including bipolar disorder, MDD, depressed affect, anxiety, PTSD, neuroticism, schizophrenia, and AD. In addition, for depressed affect, neuroticism, and AD, the SD-N subtype was not significantly different from the controls. These results indicate a substantially lower degree of underlying genetic liability to many aspects of mental health in the SD-N subtype. Results have implications for future research and also clinical interventions; namely, all suicides do not have similar elevation of underlying liability to neuropsychiatric conditions. For research, combining suicide deaths with and without evidence of prior nonfatal suicidality will mix two substantially different genetic subtypes, therefore weakening results specific to suicide mortality. Regarding clinical interventions, results suggest a focus solely on mental health risks when designing screening and interventions may be less effective for those for whom this underlying liability may be substantially attenuated. Further understanding of both clinical characteristics and underlying genetic liabilities in SD-N will likely be required to direct more targeted, effective screening and interventions. Our analyses also indicated that while many conditions showed attenuation of PGS in SD-N, PGS for ADHD and alcohol were instead equally elevated over controls in both suicide subtypes. These results suggest these underlying genetic liabilities, and behaviors associated with them such as poor impulse regulation, 30 , 31 may be common to suicide mortality risk regardless of the presence of prior suicidality. PGS for autism and smoking were also not attenuated in SD-N vs. SD-S in the combined analysis. However, sex-specific results suggested a potentially more complex picture for these traits. For smoking, PGS was elevated only in SD-S vs. controls in females, suggesting aspects of smoking PGS risk in female suicide may be more closely associated with genetic risks of psychopathology. In men, the PGS for smoking was elevated over controls only in SD-N, suggesting non-psychiatric aspects of the smoking PGS may be more tied to risk of suicide mortality in men. For autism, PGS was elevated in males only for SD-S, suggesting that for males with neurodevelopmental genetic risk, co-occurring psychopathology may be important for risk of suicide death. Conversely, for females, autism PGS was elevated only in the SD-N subset, suggesting studies in females with neurodevelopmental risks should perhaps address a broader range of characteristics beyond psychopathology (e.g., physical health liabilities, or basic behavioral traits associated with autism, such as cognitive rigidity or social and communication deficits). 32 Other sex differences suggested that males may drive the overall attenuation of PGS in SD-N for MDD and anxiety, and also to a lesser degree, PTSD and schizophrenia. In contrast, lower PGS in SD-N for bipolar disorder, AD, and, to a lesser extent, neuroticism may be more driven by females. Finally, the PGS showing the most significant elevation over controls was schizophrenia, and while there was substantial attenuation in SD-N vs. SD-S, PGS for schizophrenia in SD-N still showed the largest elevation over controls of any of the tested traits. Interestingly, in previously studied clinical data in these subsets in our data resource, rates of overt schizophrenia diagnoses in SD-S were high (12.8%), but for SD-N rates of clinically diagnosed schizophrenia were only modestly elevated over controls who had no evidence of lifetime suicidality (1.5%). 15 The clinical data therefore did not indicate a high rate of overt schizophrenia in the SD-N subtype. While it is possible that the SD-N group may have some individuals with undiagnosed schizophrenia, it is also possible this PGS elevation in SD-N represents additional sensitivity of the schizophrenia PGS to detect significant subclinical liability, or that the elevation represents other aspects of physical or behavioral traits included in the score reflecting genetic liability to schizophrenia 33 , 34 that are associated with suicide mortality. Overall, the results suggest that pooling PGS across sex may dampen statistical signals of risk, especially when associations show effects in opposite directions by sex (e.g.,, smoking and autism). Sex-specific findings suggest that there may be underlying genetic liabilities leading to suicide mortality that differ substantially by sex for certain clinical mental health outcomes. Future genetic liability risk discovery efforts investigating both psychiatric and non-psychiatric outcomes leading to suicide mortality should stratify both by presence of prior nonfatal suicidality and also by sex. Limitations While the NLP of all clinical notes to identify suicidality greatly improved the capture of individuals in the SD-S group, it remains possible that some in the SD-N group had prior suicidality not represented either in diagnostic codes or the NLP. However, such individuals would more closely resemble the SD-S group, resulting in more conservative SD-N vs. SD-S outcomes. In addition, controls are unscreened for suicidality, again resulting in potential lessening of differences between controls and suicide subsets. The USMRS study, while population-ascertained, has individuals of predominantly European ancestry, limiting generalizability. Sample sizes of each suicide death subset are relatively small, requiring replication and extension with future larger data resources. Small samples were particularly apparent for sex-specific analyses, where results should be interpreted with caution. Our study also included only pre-registered PGS associated with psychopathology to control for bias. A more general screen of PGS across additional psychiatric and medical conditions in these interesting suicide death subsets is warranted. In addition, while our results stratified by sex, it is likely that other demographic stratifications may also reveal important results. Finally, our study did not address mediating or moderating effects of social and environmental exposures, which will be critical to achieve a fuller understanding of mortality risk. Conclusions While these limitations suggest our knowledge of risks leading to suicide mortality is far from complete, this study provides important first steps in determining underlying risks in suicide deaths with no evidence of prior nonfatal suicidality, a large subtype previously unavailable for study. Results of this work show that previously demonstrated dramatically reduced evidence of neuropsychiatric diagnoses in clinical data in this suicide subset is due, at least in part, to attenuation of underlying polygenic liabilities associated with neuropsychiatric conditions rather than simply a lack of access to care. Results also justify additional studies of non-psychiatric characteristics, and indicate that future studies within sex will be essential. In summary, suicide deaths without evidence of prior nonfatal suicidality, who represent roughly half of those who die, appear to have significantly different genetic etiology from suicide deaths who do have the robust risk predictor of prior suicidality. These findings have far-reaching implications both for future research and for identification and intervention for those at highest risk of mortality. Data Availability All data produced in the present study are available upon request to the authors with the additional required approvals for disclosure of the data by the Utah Department of Health and Human Services and the University of Utah. Conflicts Dr. Qingqin Li previously was employed in the Neuroscience Therapeutic Area, Janssen Research and Development, Titusville, NJ. She is now Scientific Director of Human Genetics / Genomics at CHDI, Cure Huntington’s Disease Initiative. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This work was supported by the National Institute of Mental Health (HC, grant number R01MH122412, R01MH123489; AVB, grant number R01ES032028; AD, grant number R01MH123619), a research contract from Janssen Research & Development, LLC (HC, QL); the American Foundation for Suicide Prevention (ED, grant number BSG-1-005-18), the Brain & Behavior Research Foundation--NARSAD (ED, grant number 28132; AS grant number 28686; EM grant number 31248); and the Clark Tanner Foundation (HC, AS, EM, AVB). We thank the Utah Population Database (UPDB) staff of the Huntsman Cancer Institute, University of Utah (funded in part by the Huntsman Cancer Foundation) for their role in the ongoing collection, maintenance, and support of the UPDB, and we acknowledge partial support of the UPDB through grant P30 CA2014 from the National Cancer Institute and through the Huntsman Cancer Institute. We thank University of Utah Health Data Science Services for data and analytics support, and the University of Utah Pedigree and Population Resource and the University of Utah Health Enterprise Data Warehouse for establishing the Master Subject Index between the Utah Population Database and the University of Utah Health Sciences Center (NCRR, R01RR021746) with additional support from the Utah Department of Health and Human Services. We also thank data experts at the Intermountain Data Warehouse particularly for their assistance with data linking and with the natural language processing pipeline used for this study. DNA extraction from Utah suicide deaths was performed by the University of Utah Center for Clinical and Translational Science supported by the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences of the NIH (grant number UL1TR002538). Genotyping of Utah suicide deaths was performed by the University of Utah Genomic Core (UL1TR002538) and by Illumina, Inc. with support from Janssen Research & Development, LLC. The support and resources from the Center for High Performance Computing at the University of Utah are also gratefully acknowledged. Generation Scotland received core support from the Chief Scientist Office of the Scottish Government Health Directorates [CZD/16/6] and the Scottish Funding Council [HR03006] and is currently supported by the Wellcome Trust [216767/Z/19/Z]. Genotyping of the GS:SFHS samples was carried out by the Genetics Core Laboratory at the Edinburgh Clinical Research Facility, University of Edinburgh, Scotland and was funded by the Medical Research Council UK and the Wellcome Trust (Wellcome Trust Strategic Award “STratifying Resilience and Depression Longitudinally” (STRADL) Reference 104036/Z/14/Z). REFERENCES 1. ↵ Curtin MA , Garnett MF , Ahmad FB . 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Your Email * Your Name * Send To * Enter multiple addresses on separate lines or separate them with commas. You are going to email the following Different genetic liabilities to neuropsychiatric conditions in suicides with no prior suicidality Message Subject (Your Name) has forwarded a page to you from medRxiv Message Body (Your Name) thought you would like to see this page from the medRxiv website. Your Personal Message CAPTCHA This question is for testing whether or not you are a human visitor and to prevent automated spam submissions. Share Different genetic liabilities to neuropsychiatric conditions in suicides with no prior suicidality Hilary Coon , Andrey A. Shabalin , Eric T. Monson , Emily DiBlasi , Seonggyun Han , Lisa M. Baird , Erin A. Kaufman , Doug Tharp , Michael J. Staley , Zhe Yu , Qingqin S. Li , Sarah M. Colbert , Amanda V. Bakian , Anna R. Docherty , Andrew M. McIntosh , Heather C. Whalley , Dierdre Amaro , David K. Crockett , Niamh Mullins , Brooks R. Keeshin medRxiv 2025.05.02.25326877; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.05.02.25326877 Share This Article: Copy Citation Tools Different genetic liabilities to neuropsychiatric conditions in suicides with no prior suicidality Hilary Coon , Andrey A. Shabalin , Eric T. Monson , Emily DiBlasi , Seonggyun Han , Lisa M. Baird , Erin A. Kaufman , Doug Tharp , Michael J. Staley , Zhe Yu , Qingqin S. Li , Sarah M. Colbert , Amanda V. Bakian , Anna R. Docherty , Andrew M. McIntosh , Heather C. Whalley , Dierdre Amaro , David K. Crockett , Niamh Mullins , Brooks R. 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