Section 2
The present study is a prospective molecular sub-analysis of our previously described cohort [ 8 ]. Of the 100 women with RPL enrolled in the parent study, 39—who met an additional criterion of having a mid-luteal Pipelle endometrial biopsy within the same diagnostic visit—formed the molecular subsample of the present study. All participants provided separate written informed consent for molecular analysis of biological material.
Inclusion criteria (identical to the previous study [ 8 ]): reproductive age 18–42 years; ≥2 documented spontaneous pregnancy losses before 24 weeks of gestation; regular menstrual cycle (24–35 days); absence of acute illness at enrollment. Additional criterion for the present sub-analysis: availability of a Pipelle endometrial biopsy obtained 7–9 days after the LH surge.
Exclusion criteria (identical to the previous study [ 8 ]): chromosomal abnormalities in either partner confirmed by karyotyping; clinically relevant somatic comorbidities (uncontrolled diabetes, decompensated thyroid disease, chronic kidney disease with eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m 2 , chronic liver disease, malignancy, documented systemic autoimmune disease meeting classification criteria); confirmed congenital uterine anomalies; acute infection at enrollment.
Pipelle endometrial biopsies were obtained on days 7–9 after the LH surge (urinary LH test; LH+7 ± 1), corresponding to the mid-secretory window of implantation. Tissue was immediately placed in RNAlater (Thermo Fisher Scientific, Waltham, MA, USA), stored at +4 °C for up to 24 h and then transferred to −80 °C. Total RNA was extracted using a column-based kit [RNeasy Mini Kit (Qiagen, Hilden, Germany) or equivalent] with on-column DNase I treatment. RNA concentration and 260/280 ratio were assessed on a NanoDrop ND-1000 spectrophotometer (Thermo Fisher Scientific, Waltham, MA, USA); RNA integrity was verified with a threshold of RIN ≥ 7.0.
cDNA was synthesized from 500 ng of total RNA (High-Capacity cDNA Reverse Transcription Kit, Applied Biosystems, Waltham, MA, USA). Quantitative PCR was performed on a StepOnePlus Real-Time PCR System (Applied Biosystems) using TaqMan Gene Expression Assays for ten transcripts, selected to capture three biologically distinct endometrial axes: (i) Decidualization and receptivity— HAND2 (master decidualization transcription factor), IL15 (uterine NK-cell support cytokine), VEGFB (angiogenesis); (ii) Inflammation— CXCL1 and IL8 (CXCL8) (neutrophil chemokines), IFNG (Th1), C4BPA (complement regulation); (iii) Extracellular matrix remodeling— MMP10 (matrix metalloproteinase 10) and TNC (Tenascin-C, an injury-associated glycoprotein).
Decidualization and receptivity— HAND2 (master decidualization transcription factor), IL15 (uterine NK-cell support cytokine), VEGFB (angiogenesis);
Inflammation— CXCL1 and IL8 (CXCL8) (neutrophil chemokines), IFNG (Th1), C4BPA (complement regulation);
Extracellular matrix remodeling— MMP10 (matrix metalloproteinase 10) and TNC (Tenascin-C, an injury-associated glycoprotein).
HPRT1 was treated here as one of the assayed panel transcripts. Normalization was performed against two reference genes, GAPDH and YWHAZ , using their geometric mean. Reactions were run in duplicate, with no-template and no-reverse-transcription controls. Cycling conditions were 95 °C for 10 min, followed by 40 cycles of 95 °C for 15 s and 60 °C for 60 s. Relative expression was calculated by the comparative ΔΔCt method, with modifications as described by Königshoff et al. (2009) [ 17 ]; values are reported as relative expression (ΔCt) on a log 2 scale, with more negative values indicating lower transcript abundance relative to the pooled calibrator.
Antiphospholipid antibody detection was performed by antiphospholipid 10 Dot line immunoblot (REF 5012; GA Generic Assays GmbH, Blankenfelde-Mahlow, Germany; IVD/CE-marked), described in detail in our earlier methodological review of antiphospholipid serology [ 9 ]. The kit simultaneously detects IgG and IgM antibodies against ten phospholipid antigens and protein cofactors: cardiolipin, phosphatidic acid, phosphatidylcholine, phosphatidylethanolamine, phosphatidylglycerol, phosphatidylinositol, phosphatidylserine, annexin V, β 2 -glycoprotein I and prothrombin. Assays were performed according to the manufacturer’s protocol with a final qualitative visual assessment of staining intensity relative to the control line. In addition to the immunoblot panel, all participants were tested for the classical Sydney criteria markers: lupus anticoagulant by the standard two-step coagulometric protocol and anti-β 2 GPI IgG/IgM by chemiluminescent immunoassay. The testing was performed once at enrollment; the limitations of this approach are discussed below.
The analysis was performed in IBM SPSS Statistics v26.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA), consistent with the parent study [ 8 ]. Continuous variables are presented as median and interquartile range—Md [IQR]—given non-normal distribution (Shapiro–Wilk test); categorical variables as n (%). Between-group comparisons used Mann–Whitney U for continuous and Fisher’s exact test for categorical variables. Effect size for non-parametric comparisons is expressed as rank-biserial correlation r. Correlations between continuous variables are reported as Spearman ρ. Multiplicity over the 10-gene panel was controlled by the Benjamini–Hochberg procedure (FDR = 0.10). The discriminative ability of HAND2 was assessed by ROC analysis with area under the curve (AUC) and 95% CIs (bootstrap, 2000 resamples); the optimal cut-off was determined by Youden’s J. Statistical significance was set at two-sided p < 0.05.
The sample size ( n = 39) provided ≥80% statistical power (two-sided α = 0.05) to detect a Cohen’s d ≥ 0.85 under the observed 9:30 group distribution. Analyses are framed as hypothesis-generating, with priority given to effect sizes and confidence intervals over p -values alone.
The molecular analysis was performed under the original ethics approval of the Ethics Committee of the Kazakhstan Medical University “Higher School of Public Health” (IRB-70-2023; approval date 6 May 2025), under the same protocol as the parent study. All participants signed informed consent for the use of biological material in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki.
Intro
Recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL), defined as two or more clinical losses, affects 1–3% of women of reproductive age and remains a diagnostically and psychologically challenging condition [ 1 , 2 ]. Up to 40–50% of cases are classified as “unexplained” after standard work-up according to the 2023 ESHRE guideline [ 1 ], reflecting the existence of yet unrecognized pathogenetic mechanisms.
Among the immune-mediated causes of RPL, antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) occupies a central place. The classical laboratory diagnosis of APS, according to the Sydney criteria [ 3 ] and the 2023 ACR/EULAR update [ 4 ], requires detection of at least one of three antibodies—lupus anticoagulant, anti-cardiolipin or anti-β 2 -glycoprotein I—confirmed twice with an interval of ≥12 weeks. Nevertheless, a substantial proportion of patients with a clinical APS phenotype, including RPL, remain seronegative for these criteria antibodies [ 5 , 6 , 7 ], which gave rise to the concept of seronegative obstetric APS.
A recently published study [ 8 ] assessed the diagnostic value of an extended panel of 10 antiphospholipid antibody markers in 100 women with recurrent miscarriages and 20 healthy controls with an uncomplicated obstetric history. The antiphospholipid antibodies were detected in 79.0% of women with RPL and were significantly associated with the condition. Three specificities reached statistical significance in univariate analysis: antibodies against prothrombin (OR 11.1; 95% CI 1.8–68.0; p = 0.022), antibodies against annexin V (OR 4.28; 95% CI 1.18–15.6; p = 0.023) and antibodies against β 2 -glycoprotein I (OR 3.31; 95% CI 1.18–9.28; p = 0.019) [ 8 ]. A composite immunological score showed moderate discriminative ability (AUC = 0.701; p = 0.005). These data supported the hypothesis that non-criteria antiphospholipid serology represents a clinically relevant, yet underrecognized, component of the diagnostic evaluation of RPL. The conceptual rationale for an extended panel of 10 antiphospholipid antibodies and their pathophysiological role in pregnancy complications is provided in a systematic review [ 9 ].
The altered expression of endometrial receptivity genes, particularly immune response genes, is one of the causes of reproductive disorders such as RPL and RIF [ 10 ]. The molecular mechanisms of obstetric APS, including complement activation, endothelial damage, and trophoblast dysfunction, may lead to impaired decidualization and be associated with genetic or epigenetic factors. However, within the “immunothrombosis” model, empirical confirmation using non-criterial antiphospholipid serology was lacking. Successful implantation requires coordinated stromal decidualization of the endometrium, driven by progesterone, cAMP, and a network of transcription factors [ 11 ]. Among them, the basic helix–loop–helix factor HAND2 (Heart and Neural Crest Derivatives expressed 2) is a master regulator of stromal decidualization: it suppresses stromal FGF expression, dampens proliferative epithelial ERK signaling and enables decidual reprogramming [ 12 , 13 ]. The conditional inactivation of HAND2 in the murine uterus produces a non-receptive endometrium and embryonic lethality [ 12 ]. In humans, reduced endometrial HAND2 expression has been described in endometriosis-associated infertility [ 13 , 14 ], in unexplained implantation failure [ 15 ], and in the setting of HAND2 -promoter hypermethylation in women with RPL [ 16 ]. To our knowledge, the HAND2 axis has not previously been explored in the context of antiphospholipid serology or in relation to the dominant anti-β 2 GPI specificity.
The present study is a molecular extension of our previous serological work [ 8 ]. Its aim is to describe the expression profile of ten endometrial genes spanning decidualization ( HAND2 , IL15 , VEGFB ), inflammation ( CXCL1 , IL8 , IFNG , MMP10 , C4BPA ) and extracellular matrix remodeling ( TNC ) axes in a subsample of 39 women with RPL who underwent endometrial biopsy and to determine which specific antibody specificity associates with any observed transcriptional shift. The accompanying markers were selected to span three biological axes implicated in endometrial receptivity and in the immunothrombosis model of obstetric APS. Within the decidualization axis, IL15 was included as a key regulator of uterine natural killer cells that support spiral-artery remodeling and trophoblast invasion [ 8 ], and VEGFB as a mediator of endometrial angiogenesis required for receptivity [ 8 , 9 ]. The inflammatory axis comprised the neutrophil chemokines CXCL1 and IL8 , whose endometrial up-regulation reflects a pro-inflammatory, receptivity-impairing milieu [ 10 ]; the Th1 cytokine IFNG , whose excess is linked to implantation failure and pregnancy loss [ 8 ]; and C4BPA , a complement regulator that connects the panel to the complement-mediated injury characterizing obstetric APS [ 8 , 9 , 10 ]. Finally, the extracellular-matrix axis was represented by MMP10 , involved in endometrial tissue remodeling and trophoblast invasion [ 10 ], and TNC (Tenascin-C), an injury-associated matrix glycoprotein up-regulated in a progesterone-resistant endometrium [ 9 ]. These transcripts were pre-specified to capture decidualization, inflammation and matrix remodeling around the central candidate HAND2 .
Results
Of the 100 patients with RPL described in the previous study [ 8 ], 39 (39.0%) underwent Pipelle endometrial biopsy followed by RNA extraction of sufficient quality (RIN ≥ 7.0) and formed the molecular subsample of the present study. Baseline clinical characteristics of the subsample are presented in Table 1 : median age 32 years (IQR 30–35), median BMI 22 kg/m 2 (IQR 21–25), median 2 (IQR 2–4) pregnancy losses—consistent with the profile of the parent cohort.
The prevalence of antiphospholipid antibodies in the subsample ( Table 2 ) was nearly identical to that in the parent 100-patient cohort: anti-β 2 GPI 74.4% vs. 73.0%; anti-annexin V 41.0% vs. 43.0%; anti-prothrombin 23.1% vs. 21.0%.
The distribution is closely reproduced; the three antibodies with the highest OR in the parent study [ 8 ] are listed first; the sum of any antibody is shown at the bottom.
The correlation between prevalences across all ten antibodies was Pearson r = 0.999, Spearman ρ = 0.991 ( Figure 1 ).
This high consistency confirms the representativeness of the subsample relative to the parent cohort [ 8 ] and ensures continuity of the serological signal for the molecular investigation.
Of the ten panel transcripts ( Table 3 ), HAND2 was the only gene that discriminated antibody-positive from antibody-negative women at a nominal significance level (uncorrected p = 0.037).
The median HAND2 ΔCt was −2.04 [IQR −2.45; −1.56] in ncAPL+ versus −1.30 [IQR −1.56; −0.48] in ncAPL− women (Mann–Whitney U p = 0.037; rank-biserial correlation r = −0.47, corresponding to a medium-to-large effect). VEGFB showed a co-directional but weaker signal (median ΔCt −3.19 vs. −2.89; p = 0.188; r = −0.30); the remaining eight transcripts had absolute |r| ≤ 0.18 ( Table 3 , Figure 2 A).
After a stringent Benjamini–Hochberg correction across the ten transcripts, the HAND2 signal did not survive the FDR threshold (q = 0.372). This result is interpreted in light of the limited subsample size and within the coherent biological framework discussed below ( Section 4 ); taken together, the effect size (r = −0.47), the consistent direction of effect across decidualization-related transcripts, and the large OR obtained in the categorical analysis (below) support a biologically plausible, hypothesis-generating association between HAND2 and ncAPL status that warrants confirmation in larger, independent cohorts.
To localize the HAND2 association within the ncAPL panel, we stratified HAND2 expression by each of the three antibodies that were associated with RPL in the parent study [ 8 ] ( Table 4 , Figure 2 B).
The association was specific to anti-β 2 GPI: median HAND2 ΔCt −2.02 [IQR −2.46; −1.55] in anti-β 2 GPI+ vs. −1.39 [IQR −1.94; −0.48] in anti-β 2 GPI− women ( p = 0.064; r = −0.40; AUC 0.700). Antibodies against annexin V ( p = 0.617) and prothrombin ( p = 0.803) did not show any signal with HAND2 (|r| ≤ 0.10).
This pattern is biologically meaningful: of the three antibodies associated with RPL in a serological study [ 8 ], only anti-β 2 GPI—directed against the dominant antigenic cofactor of APS [ 18 , 19 ]—is associated with a molecular marker of endometrial decidualization. Annexin V and prothrombin antibodies act mainly at the level of coagulation and trophoblast invasion [ 20 , 21 ], whereas β 2 -glycoprotein I—uniquely among the three—is exposed on anionic phospholipid surfaces of the decidual stroma [ 22 ] and signals via TLR4 in decidual cells [ 23 ], providing a direct link to the progesterone-dependent transcriptional program of HAND2 [ 24 ].
HAND2 expression discriminated antibody-positive from antibody-negative women with an AUC of 0.733 (95% CI 0.50–0.92) and anti-β 2 GPI+ status with an AUC of 0.700 (95% CI 0.47–0.90; Figure 2 D). Youden’s J identified an optimal cut-off of ΔCt = −1.60: women with HAND2 ΔCt ≤ −1.60 showed 73% sensitivity and 78% specificity for extended-panel antibody-positive status, with an odds ratio of 9.62 (95% CI 1.64–56.4; Fisher’s exact p = 0.015; PPV 92%, NPV 47%).
The overall expression-profile picture ( Figure 2 ) shows that (A) HAND2 is reduced in extended-panel antibody-positive at a nominal significance level and with a large effect size; (B) the signal is attributable specifically to anti-β 2 GPI; (C) the inter-gene correlation matrix reveals two coherent modules—a decidualization module ( HAND2–IL15–VEGFB ) and an inflammatory module ( IL8–MMP10–CXCL1–C4BPA ); and (D) HAND2 shows potential value as a candidate biomarker of antibody-positive status.
A patient-level expression heat map ( Figure 3 ), ordered by antibody status and HAND2 value, visually illustrates the separation of transcriptional patterns: antibody-positive women show a predominantly “cold” pattern in the decidualization module ( HAND2 , IL15 , VEGFB ), accompanied by elevated TNC. This dual pattern, reduced decidualization markers together with elevated Tenascin-C, an injury-associated matrix glycoprotein, is consistent with a progesterone-resistant state of the endometrium under an immune-mediated load.
Discussion
The present study extends our previous serological findings [ 8 ] to the molecular level. Three observations deserve particular emphasis. First, the subsample of 39 patients with endometrial biopsy is serologically indistinguishable from the full 100-patient cohort (Pearson r = 0.999 between the prevalences of all ten antibodies), which ensures continuity with the parent study and allows the molecular findings to be interpreted within the same serological framework. Second, of the ten panel transcripts, HAND2 is the only gene that is significantly reduced in antibody-positive women. Third, this signal is attributable specifically to antibodies against β 2 -glycoprotein I, and not to annexin V or prothrombin—biologically consistent with the specific role of β 2 GPI as the dominant antigenic cofactor with direct access to the decidual stroma [ 18 , 19 , 22 , 23 ].
In the “immunothrombosis” model, which combines complement activation (C3/C4) induced by antiphospholipid antibodies, endothelial injury, Th1/Th17 cell recruitment, and trophoblast dysfunction, these factors represent a single cascade. The present data on reduced HAND2 expression in anti-β 2 GPI-positive women add an endometrial component to this model. A biologically plausible mechanism links anti-β 2 GPI to suppression of HAND2 via the progesterone-resistance axis. Anti-β 2 GPI antibodies trigger TLR4/MyD88 signaling and a complement-mediated (C5a) inflammatory cascade in decidual cells with NF-κB activation [ 23 , 25 ]. NF-κB is a recognized antagonist of progesterone receptor signaling [ 26 ]; because HAND2 is a progesterone-dependent transcript [ 12 ], its suppression under anti-β 2 GPI-induced NF-κB activation follows logically from this chain. The fact that in our data the HAND2 signal is specific to β 2 GPI—and not to annexin V or prothrombin—supports a β 2 GPI-domain-specific signaling axis on the decidual stroma as the underlying mechanism.
The predominance of anti-β 2 GPI in our extended panel (74% in the subsample, 73% in the parent cohort [ 8 ]) is explained by three properties of β 2 -glycoprotein I. First, β 2 GPI is the true antigenic cofactor of “anti-cardiolipin” antibodies [ 18 , 19 ]: the immunogenic epitope is on the protein, not on the phospholipid. Second, β 2 GPI undergoes a conformational transition upon binding to anionic phospholipids—from a closed circular form to an open J-shaped form, exposing the Arg39–Arg43 epitope on domain I [ 22 , 27 , 28 ], which is the dominant pathogenic epitope. Third, during pregnancy, phosphatidylserine externalization during cytotrophoblast turnover [ 29 ] creates an extensive anionic surface for β 2 GPI in its open conformation, accompanied by a peak of antigen exposure—hence the specific enrichment of anti-β 2 GPI in obstetric APS phenotypes [ 30 , 31 , 32 , 33 ].
The HAND2 finding is coherent with prior data on endometrial-factor infertility. HAND2 has been characterized as a critical mediator of the antiproliferative action of progesterone in the uterus: uterine-specific deletion of HAND2 in mice produces a non-receptive endometrium and embryonic lethality [ 12 ]. In humans, reduced endometrial HAND2 expression has been described in endometriosis-associated infertility [ 13 , 14 ], in unexplained implantation failure [ 15 ] and in the setting of HAND2-promoter hypermethylation in women with RPL [ 16 ]. Our data extend this paradigm to an immune-mediated phenotype: antiphospholipid serology—in our case anti-β 2 GPI—may converge on the same final endometrial pathway.
The clustering of HAND2 with IL15 (ρ = 0.65) and VEGFB (ρ = 0.70) in our data reproduces the established progesterone-dependent decidualization module [ 11 ], which adds biological coherence to the HAND2 observation beyond a single-gene effect. The categorical cut-off HAND2 ΔCt ≤ −1.60, with OR 9.62, is a potential starting point for future studies of HAND2 as a functional biomarker of endometrial receptivity.
From the present work, taken together with our previous study [ 8 ], three practical implications follow (subject to independent confirmation). First, extended antiphospholipid testing—with priority emphasis on anti-β 2 GPI—is justified in the diagnostic work-up of unexplained RPL. Second, endometrial HAND2 is a candidate functional biomarker linking serology to a molecular endometrial read-out. Third, in anti-β 2 GPI-positive women with evidence of HAND2 deficiency, the mechanistic case for trialing standard APS therapy (low-dose aspirin ± LMWH ± hydroxychloroquine) is strengthened; hydroxychloroquine in particular restores the annexin V shield on trophoblast [ 21 , 34 ] and may be considered in antibody-stratified protocols.
Strengths: Continuity with the previous serological study [ 8 ] ensures a contiguous evidence base from the antibody level to the molecular endometrial phenotype; biopsies were timed synchronously to the cycle phase within the implantation window; the gene panel was biologically coherent and pre-specified; statistical multiplicity was addressed.
Limitations: (i) The subsample size ( n = 39)—the single-gene HAND2 association does not survive a stringent Benjamini–Hochberg correction (q = 0.372); the analysis is positioned as hypothesis-generating. (ii) The cross-sectional design does not link HAND2 expression to a subsequent pregnancy outcome—a critical prospective question. (iii) Progesterone and progesterone-receptor expression were not measured, which would directly test the proposed progesterone-resistance axis. (iv) Antibody testing was performed once, without 12-week confirmation—the same limitation as in [ 8 ]. (v) The immunoblot platform is semi-quantitative, with manufacturer-dependent thresholds, and is less standardized than ELISA—this limitation also carries over from [ 8 ]. (vi) Single-center recruitment limits generalizability; validation in independent cohorts using ELISA-based methods is required. (vii) Established markers of decidualization such as FOXO1 , PRL and IGFBP-1 were not assessed; the panel was deliberately restricted to a compact, hypothesis-driven set of receptivity, inflammation and matrix transcripts anchored on HAND2 , and assessment of these canonical markers is a priority for future targeted validation.
Conclusions
In women with recurrent pregnancy loss drawn from the previously characterized cohort, the subsample with endometrial biopsy ( n = 39) almost perfectly preserves the serological profile of the parent 100-patient cohort (Pearson r = 0.999). Among the three antibodies associated with RPL in our previous serological study—anti-prothrombin and anti-annexin V (both non-criteria) and the criterion antibody anti-β 2 -glycoprotein I—only antibodies against β 2 -glycoprotein I were associated, in this exploratory analysis, with reduced endometrial HAND2 expression, the master transcriptional regulator of stromal decidualization. These exploratory data outline a concrete molecular corridor linking the dominant antiphospholipid specificity (anti-β 2 GPI, a criterion antibody) to a defect in endometrial decidualization and support routine extended antibody testing in RPL as a clinically meaningful continuation of our previous work.
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