A Science-Policy Framework for a Green Economic Recovery After the COVID-19 Pandemic

Abstract As current production and consumption patterns of humanity exceed planetary boundaries, many opinion leaders have stressed the need to adopt green economic stimulus policies in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. Here, we provide an integrated multi-stakeholder framework to design an economic recovery strategy aligned with sustainability objectives. We first employ quantitative energy and economic models and then design a multi-criteria decision process in which we engage social actors from government, enterprises, and civil society. As a case study, we select green recovery measures that are relevant for a European Union country and assess their appropriateness with numerous criteria related to socio-economic and environmental sustainability and resilience. Results highlight trade-offs between immediate and long-run effects, between economic and environmental objectives, and between expert evidence and societal priorities. Importantly, we find that a ‘return-to-normal’ economic stimulus is not only environmentally unsustainable but also economically inferior to most green recovery schemes.