Economic Evaluation of the Climate Changes on Food Security: Application of CGE Model

Economic Evaluation of the Climate Changes on Food Security: Application of CGE Model | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Economic Evaluation of the Climate Changes on Food Security: Application of CGE Model Akram Javadi, Mohammad Ghahremanzadeh, Maria Sassi, Ozra Javanbakht, and 1 more This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1286503/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Under Review Version 1 posted 4 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract The present study aims to examine the economic effects of changing climate variables on two elements of food security in Iran, namely availability and access to food. Here, wheat and rice as the two important food products of the country were considered as representative of food security. A CGE model was developed to achieve the goals of the study. In this context, a stochastic model based on Monte Carlo simulation was used to provide the scenarios indicating likely changes in climate variables. The results showed that food supply and consumption of commodities and services has been decreased and food security will face serious challenges. Therefore, due to the negative effect of climate variables change on food security and people's livelihood, there is a need to review the policies in place in the country. Among the effective solutions are research and development to introduce drought-resistant varieties, and adopting appropriate strategies compatible with climate change. Improving farmers' incomes is among the solutions for reducing the effects of climate change. Agriculture Section Climate Variables CGE Model Food Security Social Accounting Matrix Full Text Cite Share Download PDF Status: Under Review Version 1 posted Reviews received at journal 23 Apr, 2022 Reviewers invited by journal 26 Mar, 2022 Editor assigned by journal 27 Jan, 2022 First submitted to journal 22 Jan, 2022 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-1286503","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":93855704,"identity":"17d7d990-af54-4683-a19d-997b1fe7dd81","order_by":0,"name":"Akram 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