Interplay Of Serum Bilirubin and Tobacco Smoking with Lung and Head and Neck Cancers in a Diverse, EHR-linked Los Angeles Biobank

Structured Abstract Background Bilirubin is a potent antioxidant with a protective role in many diseases. We examined the relationships between serum bilirubin (SB) levels, tobacco smoking (a known cause of low SB), and aerodigestive cancers, grouped as lung (LC) and head and neck (HNC). Methods We examined the associations between SB, LC and HNC using data from 393,210 participants from UCLA Health, employing regression models, propensity score matching, and polygenic scores. Results Current tobacco smokers showed lower SB (-0.04mg/dL, 95% CI: [-0.04, -0.03]), compared to never-smokers. Lower SB levels were observed in HNC and LC cases (-0.10 mg/dL, [-0.13, -0.09] and -0.09 mg/dL, CI [-0.1, -0.07] respectively) compared to cancer-free controls with the effect persisting after adjusting for smoking. SB levels were inversely associated with HNC and LC risk (ORs per SD change in SB: 0.64, CI [0.59,0.69] and 0.57, CI [0.43,0.75], respectively). Lastly, a polygenic score (PGS) for SB was associated with LC (OR per SD change of SB-PGS: 0.71, CI [0.67, 0.76]). Conclusions Low SB levels are associated with an increased risk of both HNC and LC, independent of the effect of tobacco smoking with tobacco smoking demonstrating a strong interaction with SB on LC risk. Additionally, genetically predicted low SB (from polygenic scores) is negatively associated with LC. Impact These findings suggest that SB could serve as a potential early biomarker for LC and HNC.