Innovative Trend Analysis for Annual and Monthly Total Precipitation in Calabar, Southern Nigeria Between 1980-2021

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Abstract The effect of the variations of precipitation has its effects on various areas of life including ecology and even the economy, etc. This study utilizes the new innovative trend analysis (ITA) method to investigate the annual and monthly total precipitation trends in Calabar, a city located in southern Nigeria, between the years 1980 and 2021. Total monthly and annual precipitation data were collected from NASA POWER and analyzed using the ITA method which was compared to the conventional MK test. The ITA method which shows results in respect to the low, medium, and high precipitation levels is more advantageous than the MK test which detects significant trends for only monotonic trends. The ITA results indicate an increase in precipitation for the low precipitation values over the study period, as well as an increase for the high precipitation values. These findings are significant as they provide valuable insight into the changing precipitation patterns in Calabar, which can inform effective water resource management and help to mitigate the impact of extreme weather events in the region. The ITA method employed in this study is a useful tool for researchers, policymakers, and stakeholders in accurately analyzing precipitation trends and identifying appropriate adaptation measures to address the potential effects of climate change on water supplies in the region, especially across data ranges.
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Innovative Trend Analysis for Annual and Monthly Total Precipitation in Calabar, Southern Nigeria Between 1980-2021 | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Innovative Trend Analysis for Annual and Monthly Total Precipitation in Calabar, Southern Nigeria Between 1980-2021 Moses. A. Okono, Ewona. I. Igwe This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-4855096/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract The effect of the variations of precipitation has its effects on various areas of life including ecology and even the economy, etc. This study utilizes the new innovative trend analysis (ITA) method to investigate the annual and monthly total precipitation trends in Calabar, a city located in southern Nigeria, between the years 1980 and 2021. Total monthly and annual precipitation data were collected from NASA POWER and analyzed using the ITA method which was compared to the conventional MK test. The ITA method which shows results in respect to the low, medium, and high precipitation levels is more advantageous than the MK test which detects significant trends for only monotonic trends. The ITA results indicate an increase in precipitation for the low precipitation values over the study period, as well as an increase for the high precipitation values. These findings are significant as they provide valuable insight into the changing precipitation patterns in Calabar, which can inform effective water resource management and help to mitigate the impact of extreme weather events in the region. The ITA method employed in this study is a useful tool for researchers, policymakers, and stakeholders in accurately analyzing precipitation trends and identifying appropriate adaptation measures to address the potential effects of climate change on water supplies in the region, especially across data ranges. Precipitation Innovative trend analysis (ITA) Mann-Kendall test climate change Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. 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