Level measurement, regional differences and dynamic evolution of new quality productivity in the Yellow River Basin

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Abstract

Abstract New quality productivity (NQP) is an important driving force for China's high-quality development and an important support for promoting ecological civilization in the Yellow River Basin (YRB). Based on the characteristics of "high technology, high quality and high efficiency" of the NQP, a "three productivity" measurement index system is constructed, and the global principal component - entropy weight method is used to measure the NQP of the YRB from 2009 to 2022, and the evolution law of NQP is discussed from multiple dimensions. The results show that: (1) The overall development index fluctuates greatly, but the regional imbalance. The downstream index is higher than the upstream index. Shandong, Inner Mongolia and Shaanxi ranked the top three, with central cities such as Jinan and Lanzhou ranking high. (2) The overall Gini coefficient fluctuated between 0.015 and 0.035, and the regional differences narrowed in the later period, but the growth rate slowed down. The average annual decline in the upper, middle and lower reaches is 4.3% to 5.8%, of which the lower reaches have the largest decline. Supervariable density (contributing up to 61.3%) is the primary disparity source, while inter-group differences rise to 7.58%. Markov chain analysis reveals "high-low polarization" in state stability, with increasing leapfrog potential. σ-convergence is observed basin-wide, most notably in midstream regions. (3) A gradient coordination mechanism is proposed to enhance downstream-upstream synergy. Priorities include strengthening tech innovation, optimizing resource-manufacturing-market industrial chains, and improving factor allocation through talent sharing and digital infrastructure. These measures aim to bolster NQP’s coordinated development across the YRB.
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Level measurement, regional differences and dynamic evolution of new quality productivity in the Yellow River Basin | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Article Level measurement, regional differences and dynamic evolution of new quality productivity in the Yellow River Basin Weixian XUE, Yanzhi JIN This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-6863695/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Under Review Version 1 posted 9 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract New quality productivity (NQP) is an important driving force for China's high-quality development and an important support for promoting ecological civilization in the Yellow River Basin (YRB). Based on the characteristics of "high technology, high quality and high efficiency" of the NQP, a "three productivity" measurement index system is constructed, and the global principal component - entropy weight method is used to measure the NQP of the YRB from 2009 to 2022, and the evolution law of NQP is discussed from multiple dimensions. The results show that: (1) The overall development index fluctuates greatly, but the regional imbalance. The downstream index is higher than the upstream index. Shandong, Inner Mongolia and Shaanxi ranked the top three, with central cities such as Jinan and Lanzhou ranking high. (2) The overall Gini coefficient fluctuated between 0.015 and 0.035, and the regional differences narrowed in the later period, but the growth rate slowed down. The average annual decline in the upper, middle and lower reaches is 4.3% to 5.8%, of which the lower reaches have the largest decline. Supervariable density (contributing up to 61.3%) is the primary disparity source, while inter-group differences rise to 7.58%. Markov chain analysis reveals "high-low polarization" in state stability, with increasing leapfrog potential. σ-convergence is observed basin-wide, most notably in midstream regions. (3) A gradient coordination mechanism is proposed to enhance downstream-upstream synergy. Priorities include strengthening tech innovation, optimizing resource-manufacturing-market industrial chains, and improving factor allocation through talent sharing and digital infrastructure. These measures aim to bolster NQP’s coordinated development across the YRB. Business and commerce/Economics Social science/Development studies Social science/Environmental studies Social science/Science technology and society new quality productivity Yellow River basin regional difference dynamic evolution Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Under Review Version 1 posted Editorial decision: Revision requested 16 Dec, 2025 Reviews received at journal 21 Oct, 2025 Reviews received at journal 20 Oct, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 14 Oct, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 14 Oct, 2025 Reviewers invited by journal 14 Oct, 2025 Editor assigned by journal 11 Sep, 2025 Submission checks completed at journal 14 Aug, 2025 First submitted to journal 14 Aug, 2025 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. 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