Dynamic nexus between poverty and indicators for sustainable transportation in MENA countries: Evidence from panel PMG-ARDL approach

Dynamic nexus between poverty and indicators for sustainable transportation in MENA countries: Evidence from panel PMG-ARDL approach | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Dynamic nexus between poverty and indicators for sustainable transportation in MENA countries: Evidence from panel PMG-ARDL approach Manel Ouni, Khaled Ben Abdallah This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3647520/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Sustainable transportation indicators have attracted significant attention from policymakers, engineers, and academics. This heightened interest can be attributed to the transportation industry's impact on economic growth, poverty alleviation, and the environment. While numerous studies have explored the relationships between the transportation sector, poverty, economic growth, and environmental degradation on a global scale, there is a noticeable research gap concerning the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. This study addresses this gap by investigating the nexus between poverty, transportation-related CO2 emissions, economic growth, trade openness, urbanization, road infrastructure and transportation energy consumption in 14 MENA regions from 1983 to 2021. To achieve this objective, this investigation employs the panel pooled mean group-autoregressive distributed lag (PMG-ARDL) model to explore the long-term relationships among these variables. The findings, as revealed by the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality, show a reciprocal relationship between poverty, transportation-related CO2 emissions and economic growth. Moreover, the study identifies a unidirectional relationship running from road infrastructure to poverty. Additionally, a unidirectional causality runs from both economic growth and poverty to transportation-related energy consumption. Furthermore, a bidirectional causality exists between trade openness and transport CO2 emissions, and a unidirectional causality running from trade openness to economic growth. These findings emphasize the importance of policymakers to adopt strategies that equally prioritize poverty alleviation, environmental sustainability, and economic development to attain sustainable transportation in MENA region. Environmental sustainability Indicators for sustainable transportation MENA countries PMG-ARDL model Poverty Clean environment Full Text Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-3647520","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":305429916,"identity":"999a19e6-607e-4322-a41e-8cec6fa891b9","order_by":0,"name":"Manel Ouni","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAAA9klEQVRIiWNgGAWjYLCCB0DMxsDY+OADjw0DgwQxWhLAWpibDWfIpJGghYGBvU2ax+YwYS267WcPPkioOJzHx8AI1JJzPrF/dvPBBww1NtG4tJidyUs2SDhzuBjol2bLOWduJ864cyzZgOFYWm4DLi0HcswkEtsOJ7YBvX/jbc/txIYbQBHGhsO4tZx/Y/4DqqVBgvffucT5BLUAFTBAtTRJ8vAcSNxAWMsbY4mEM+mJbcyMwEDmSTbeeCMN6Dt8fjmfY/jhQ4V14vz29ofAqLSTnXcj+eCDDzU2OLUgADOEcgSrTCCoHAnYk6J4FIyCUTAKRgYAABZGYSRLJmyUAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0004-5745-9637","institution":"Higher Institute of Transport and International Logistics: Institut Superieur du Transport et de la Logistique Internationale","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Manel","middleName":"","lastName":"Ouni","suffix":""},{"id":305429917,"identity":"adb43515-7eae-4b4b-8f00-fab5d8fefd5c","order_by":1,"name":"Khaled Ben Abdallah","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Higher Institute of Transport and International Logistics: Institut Superieur du Transport et de la Logistique Internationale","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Khaled","middleName":"Ben","lastName":"Abdallah","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2023-11-22 08:24:04","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-3647520/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3647520/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":68432563,"identity":"7e7534be-3878-402f-b506-41302965f384","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2024-11-07 08:12:10","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":446942,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"fullmanuscript.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-3647520/v1_covered_d9a73c9b-55ed-44c5-954a-b63459802556.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"","formattedTitle":"Dynamic nexus between poverty and indicators for sustainable transportation in MENA countries: Evidence from panel PMG-ARDL approach","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"Environmental sustainability, Indicators for sustainable transportation, MENA countries, PMG-ARDL model, Poverty, Clean environment","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-3647520/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3647520/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eSustainable transportation indicators have attracted significant attention from policymakers, engineers, and academics. This heightened interest can be attributed to the transportation industry's impact on economic growth, poverty alleviation, and the environment. While numerous studies have explored the relationships between the transportation sector, poverty, economic growth, and environmental degradation on a global scale, there is a noticeable research gap concerning the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. This study addresses this gap by investigating the nexus between poverty, transportation-related CO2 emissions, economic growth, trade openness, urbanization, road infrastructure and transportation energy consumption in 14 MENA regions from 1983 to 2021. To achieve this objective, this investigation employs the panel pooled mean group-autoregressive distributed lag (PMG-ARDL) model to explore the long-term relationships among these variables. The findings, as revealed by the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality, show a reciprocal relationship between poverty, transportation-related CO2 emissions and economic growth. Moreover, the study identifies a unidirectional relationship running from road infrastructure to poverty. Additionally, a unidirectional causality runs from both economic growth and poverty to transportation-related energy consumption. Furthermore, a bidirectional causality exists between trade openness and transport CO2 emissions, and a unidirectional causality running from trade openness to economic growth. These findings emphasize the importance of policymakers to adopt strategies that equally prioritize poverty alleviation, environmental sustainability, and economic development to attain sustainable transportation in MENA region.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"Dynamic nexus between poverty and indicators for sustainable transportation in MENA countries: Evidence from panel PMG-ARDL approach","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2024-06-03 15:15:24","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-3647520/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"b6609a8e-faae-4808-9f19-08c5197e8e33","owner":[],"postedDate":"June 3rd, 2024","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"posted","subjectAreas":[],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2024-11-07T08:04:02+00:00","versionOfRecord":[],"versionCreatedAt":"2024-06-03 15:15:24","video":"","vorDoi":"","vorDoiUrl":"","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-3647520","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-3647520","identity":"rs-3647520","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"qtupq5eGEP_6zYnWcrvyt","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}