Strain-stream model of epidemic spread in application to COVID-19

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Abstract

The recently developed model of the epidemic spread of two virus stains in a closed population is generalized for situation typical for the couple of strains delta and omicron, when there is high probability for omicron infection enough soon after recovering from delta infection. This model can be considered as some kind of weave of SIR and SIS models for the case of competition of two strains of the same virus having different contagiousness in a population. PACS number(s) 02.50.-r, 05.60.-k, 82.39.-k, 87.19.Xx

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License: CC-BY-NC-ND-4.0