The date predicted 200.000 cases of Covid-19 in Spain using SutteARIMA
preprint
OA: gold
CC-BY-NC-ND-4.0
Abstract
The aim of this study is predicted 200.000 cases of Covid-19 in Spain. Covid-19 Spanish confirmed data obtained from Worldometer from 01 March 2020 – 17 April 2020. The data from 01 March 2020 – 10 April 2020 using to fitting with data from 11 April – 17 April 2020. For the evaluation of the forecasting accuracy measures, we use mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Based on the results of SutteARIMA fitting data, the accuracy of SutteARIMA for the period 11 April 2020 - 17 April 2020 is 0.61% and we forecast 20.000 confirmed cases of Spain by the WHO situation report day 90/91 which is 19 April 2020 / 20 April 2020.
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License: CC-BY-NC-ND-4.0