UK Livestock Futures: Co-designing Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

UK Livestock Futures: Co-designing Shared Socioeconomic Pathways | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article UK Livestock Futures: Co-designing Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Kirsty Blair, Isabel Fletcher, Jay Burns, Peter Alexander, Dominic Moran This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-8311257/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract The UK livestock sector faces complex socio-economic, political, and environmental challenges, requiring approaches for exploring trade-offs and resilience across a range of plausible futures. To address these challenges, this study develops the UK Livestock Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (UK-Livestock-SSPs) through an iterative, stakeholder-driven co-design process that incorporates UK livestock sector realities. Engaging diverse actors from policy, industry, academia, and civil society, we co-produce narratives, visual summaries, and semi-quantitative trends that capture sector-specific dynamics while remaining consistent with the global and regional SSP frameworks. Visual and interactive methods supported the co-design process by helping stakeholders articulate and examine their values, trade-offs, and priorities. The resulting five scenarios highlight interactions between governance, societal, and production drivers, emphasising the diversity of plausible futures, uncertainties, and potential trade-offs facing the sector. The scenario outputs support the exploration of alternative futures, and have the potential to inform policy, research, and decision making to assess sector vulnerabilities, mitigation and adaptation options, and resilience building strategies. Livestock Futures Shared Socioeconomic Pathways Participatory Co-design Narrative Scenarios Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Supplementary Files SupplementaryMaterial1DriversofChangeSSPMappingandKeyWorkshopOutcomes.pdf SupplementaryMaterial2NarrativesandVisualSummaries.pdf SupplementaryMaterial3SystemDiagrams.pdf SupplementaryMaterial4SemiQuantitativeTrends.pdf Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. 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Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-8311257","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":557654451,"identity":"72c36c3c-6023-477f-91ce-11e9b27be176","order_by":0,"name":"Kirsty 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