Model-Free Predictive Control of Inverter Based on Ultra-Local Model and Adaptive Super-Twisting Sliding Mode Observer

Model predictive control (MPC) is significantly affected by parameter mismatch in inverter applications, whereas model-free predictive control (MFPC) avoids parameter dependence through the ultra-local model (ULM). However, the traditional MFPC based on the algebraic method needs to store historical data for multiple cycles, which results in sluggish dynamic response. To address the above problems, this paper proposes a model-free predictive control method based on the ultra-local model and an adaptive super-twisting sliding mode observer (ASTSMO). Firstly, the effect of parameter mismatch on the current prediction error of conventional MPC is analyzed through theoretical analysis, and a first-order ultra-local model of the inverter is established to enhance robustness against parameter variations. Secondly, a super-twisting sliding mode observer with adaptive gain is designed to estimate the unknown dynamic terms in the ultra-local model in real time. Finally, the superiority of the proposed method is verified through comparative validation against conventional MPC and the algebraic-based MFPC. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed method can significantly enhance robustness against parameter variations and shorten the settling time during dynamic transients.