Abstract
Background
Spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) is a significant adverse outcome of pregnancy.
Being able to identify and improve the management of those who may be at risk
requires robust screening methods. The use of circulating molecular markers
provides a promising and non-invasive solution to this problem to allow necessary
and successful intervention. The role of inflammation has been continuously
demonstrated to play a key role in the onset of sPTB with intrauterine inflammation
being a key driver. Here we sought out to explore the inflammatory proteome using a
nested case-control approach using samples from pregnant participants in the
INSIGHT cohort.
Objectives
To explore the maternal blood proteome in the second trimester using the Olink
Explore panel to identify inflammatory proteins associated with sPTB and assess
their predictive value, both independently and in combination with cell-free RNA
(cfRNA).
Study Design
We conducted a nested case-control study to investigate inflammatory protein
profiles during the second trimester of pregnancy. A total of 138 maternal blood
plasma samples were analyzed using a targeted proteomic assay quantifying 384
inflammation-related proteins. Differential expression analysis and a LASSO-logistic
regression model with Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation (LOOCV) were applied to
evaluate the association between inflammatory biomarkers and spontaneous
preterm birth (sPTB) outcomes.
Results
Using predictive modelling of the maternal blood proteome, 16 inflammation-related
proteins were identified as key discriminators of sPTB risk, with proteins such as
PGF, COL9A1, CST7, CXCL6 and GALNT3 emerging as major contributors for
predicting sPTB risk. Using inflammation-related maternal proteins alone to predict
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sPTB (<35 weeks) achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic
curve (AUC-ROC) of 0.76 (95% CI: 0.66–0.84). The incorporation of both cfRNA and
proteomic data into an integrated model, improved the area under the curve to 0.85
(95% CI: 0.78–0.92). The integrated model highlighted inflammatory biomarkers that
are not only implicated in preterm birth but also in essential physiological
mechanisms such as placental function, tissue remodelling, and extracellular matrix
composition, which are critical to maintaining pregnancy and preventing premature
labour.
Conclusions
These findings demonstrate that an integrated approach using both cfRNA and
proteomic signatures of the second trimester maternal blood plasma yields a more
comprehensive biomarker profile for predicting preterm birth risk. This multimodal
strategy not only enhances the predictive accuracy but also captures a broader array
of biological signals across multiple organ systems. Compared to relying solely on
inflammatory proteome markers, this multiomic method offers a deeper molecular
characterisation of preterm birth risk in the maternal blood plasma.
Key Words
Inflammation, preterm birth, proteomics, cell-free RNA, placenta, biomarker,
prediction, multiomics
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Introduction
Preterm birth, defined as birth occurring before 37 weeks’ gestation, affects an
estimated 13.4 million newborns globally each year and remains a significant global
health concern (1). For those born prematurely there is an increased risk of poor
healthcare outcomes with higher rates of mortality in comparison to infants born at
term (1–4). Preterm birth of spontaneous onset (sPTB) is a complex syndrome with
many aetiologies (5–8). Inflammation, however, appears to underlie many of the
mechanistic routes to sPTB (ref). (9–13). Exploitation of the maternal inflammatory
proteome could demonstrate value in the prediction of sPTB risk.
Currently, the identification and management of pregnancies at risk of sPTB is
challenged by the lack of a reliable prediction biomarkers to identify pregnancies that
may be at risk. The strongest clinical indicator of sPTB risk is a history of PTB,
where there is a ~30% chance of a subsequent preterm birth (14–16). Clinical tools
to assess sPTB risk have proved useful particularly for asymptomatic, high-risk
women, largely relying on measuring cervical length via ultrasound from 20 weeks’
gestation and/or quantitative fetal fibronectin (qfFN) and (17,18). The QUiPP app,
designed for second-trimester use, has successfully utilized obstetric history, cervical
length, qfFN, and where relevant labor symptoms to aid decision making in
asymptomatic and symptomatic women (19).Recently, however, the commonly used
commercial test for qfFN has been discontinued. This has left clinical history and
cervical length measurement as the key predictors available for use, with the QuIPP
algorithm able to utilise these in the absence of qfFN. Clearly, there is an urgent
need for new predictive markers. Identifying early biomarkers in the first or early
second trimester will improve early sPTB risk assessment for earlier intervention.
To improve our ability to predict sPTB, we must first deepen our understanding of the
underlying biological mechanisms. By studying the proteome, we have the potential
to gain valuable insights that can help refine and enhance multiomic models for
better risk assessment. Proteomic surveillance for biomarker discovery in sPTB
research, has leveraged high throughput methods and technologies, targeting
various maternal biofluids such as blood plasma, amniotic fluid, and cervicovaginal
secretions (20–27). Predictive modelling methodologies applied to such molecular
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data show promise in identifying biomarkers that correlate with sPTB risk within
these distinct environments. Notably, our group’s previous research has identified 25
cell-free RNA (cfRNA) transcripts with significant predictive potential for sPTB risk
(28). The immune system is highly adapted during pregnancy and has been
consistently shown that Inflammation is a major of role in the pathophysiology of PTB
(9,29,30). Our work aims to discover new biomarkers for the prediction of sPTB
utilising inflammation biomarkers. Measurement of inflammatory biomarkers offers a
window into how biological changes may contribute to PTB to help identify
pregnancies at risk during the earlier stages of pregnancy.
Olink proteomics utilises proximity extension assay (PEA) based technology to
perform targeted sequencing for protein targets of interest. Using this technology, we
aimed to explore the maternal plasma proteome during the second trimester of
pregnancy to identify inflammation-specific markers associated with sPTB. This
research aims to expand our understanding of the biology of sPTB and to develop
predictive models utilising inflammation-related proteins for identifying sPTB (<35
weeks) risk. This work also aims to build on previous work by integrating these
findings with previously identified cfRNA signatures.
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Materials and methods
Study Design and Cohort
The study population and sample collection procedures are consistent with those
described in the Camunas-Soler et al. 2022 study (28). Specifically, the INSIGHT
(Investigation into Biomarkers for the Prediction of Spontaneous Preterm Birth)
study, which is a longitudinal observational cohort designed to examine biomarkers
in both high-risk and low-risk populations for predicting sPTB (31). Ethical approval
for the study was granted by the London City and East Research Ethics Committee
(13/LO/1393), and informed consent was obtained from all participants. Women of
the INSIGHT cohort were recruited from four tertiary antenatal clinics in the United
Kingdom. A nested case-control study design was used and consisted of sPTB
cases each being matched with two term birth controls (1 high-risk and 1 low-risk
term control). The criteria for matching were based on ethnicity, BMI, smoking status
and maternal age. Blood plasma samples were obtained between 16-24 weeks
gestation from women having a singleton pregnancy. The categorisation of risk was
based on criteria including having one or more of the following: previous sPTB or late
miscarriage (16–37 weeks’ gestation), a history of cervical surgery, the presence of
uterine anomaly, or a cervical length of <25 mm as determined by transvaginal
ultrasound. If no risk-factors for sPTB were identified at the time of enrolment, these
women were characterised as low-risk. Women with multiple pregnancies, significant
fetal anomalies, membrane rupture, or vaginal bleeding at recruitment were excluded
from both risk groups. sPTB classification was assigned if they experienced
spontaneous labour or preterm premature rupture of membranes leading to delivery
before 37 weeks. To strengthen our study design and enhance discovery power, we
intentionally excluded individuals who delivered between 35 and 37 weeks, to allow
a clearer distinction between term and preterm births. No preeclampsia cases were
included in case or control groupings. Full details on participant recruitment and
selection criteria are available in (28).
Sample Collection
Blood samples were collected between 16–24 weeks gestation based on due dates
estimated by first-trimester ultrasound. Samples were collected in EDTA tubes and
processed within four hours of collection. After centrifugation (2500 g, 10 min, 4°C),
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plasma was aliquoted and stored at −80°C until analysis. A total of 176 blood plasma
samples assayed for inflammatory proteins. From this initial group, a subset of 138
samples with matching cfRNA data were selected to develop and validate a
predictive model for sPTB. This subset comprised 46 samples from sPTB cases and
92 samples from term birth controls, encompassing 46 high-risk and 46 low-risk
pregnancies.
Inflammation-related Proteomic Assay using the Olink Inflammation 384 panel
Targeted proteomic analysis was performed using the Olink Inflammation panel
which enables the identification of 368 inflammatory markers of interest. Olink uses
proximity extension assay (PEA) technology that involves each protein being
detected by a matched pair of antibodies tethered to DNA oligonucleotides. Antibody
binding allows oligonucleotides to be in proximity to target protein, hybridise and
extend which is then quantified by real-time qPCR to establish protein amounts.
Olink uses an arbitrary NPX (Normalised Protein eXpression) as a unit of
measurement where an increase of 1 NPX corresponds to a doubling of the relative
protein concentration (log2 scale). Final protein quantification is presented using
NPX where a high value corresponds to a high protein concentration. The complete
list of proteins (and full names) in the Olink Inflammation Panel is provided in
Supplementary Table 1.
Proteomic Assay Quality Control
Assays for proteins BID, MGLL and BCL211 were removed due to not meeting
Olink’s quality control criteria. Proteins that were measurable above the limit of
detection in at least 25% of the samples were included (Supplementary Table 2),
leaving 368 proteins for further analysis and model development.
Statistical Analysis
A nonparametric Mann-Whitney U test assessed significance across cohort
demographics, such as birth outcome groups and age, as well as pregnancy-related
details, including obstetric history. For ethnicity, a Chi-square test evaluated
significance. Differential protein expression between sPTB cases and term birth
controls was visualised using volcano plots. The ‘Olink® Analyze’ package facilitated
the exploration of differentially expressed proteins (DEPs) between preterm and term
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birth outcomes, which employs a Welch’s two-sample t-test for differential protein
expression analysis.
Predicative Model Development
To identify inflammation-related proteins with potential to predict sPTB risk, we
developed two predictive models. The first model incorporated only inflammation-
related proteomic markers. Protein selection for this model was guided by differential
expression analysis using t-tests, comparing sPTB cases to term birth controls. We
performed t-tests under two conditions: first, comparing all sPTB cases to all term
controls, and second, comparing all sPTB cases to only low-risk term controls. The
inclusion threshold for the model was proteins with a p-value <0.05, resulting in a
combined list of 27 proteins. Both models included characteristics regarding
maternal age and BMI at booking and gestational age at sample collection.
Biomarker selection and model performance utilised a leave-one-out cross-validation
(LOOCV) approach. In each LOOCV iteration, an L1-Lasso logistic regression model
was used to facilitate feature selection (32). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC)
curve confidence intervals (CI) were determined through bootstrapping. The second
model combined the selected 27 proteomic markers with 25 previously identified
cfRNA transcripts (28), using the same analysis workflow as the first model.
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Results
Cohort Demographics
A total of 138 maternal blood plasma samples taken from the second trimester were
successful analysed for this study. Of these samples, 46 were from pregnancies that
ended in a sPTB (gestation <35 weeks) and 92 were from pregnancies that ended in
a term birth (gestation
≥ 37 weeks). 46 of these term pregnancies were classified as
being at high risk of preterm birth at the time of their enrolment into the INSIGHT
study. Table 1 provides descriptive information regarding the characteristics of the
cohort; there were no missing data. Women who had a previous sPTB event or were
classified as high risk at enrolment had significantly higher rates (p<0.001
1) of sPTB
than those who did not. Gestational age at sampling for sPTB cases and term
controls were statistical different (p-value 0.003
1). Other demographic characteristics
including BMI, maternal age at enrolment and ethnicity showed no significant
differences between sPTB cases and term birth controls groups.
1 Mann-Whitney U
2 Pearson's chi-squared test
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Table 1. Descriptive characteristics of study cohort demographics, preterm
birth risk factors at enrolment, and length of gestation at delivery. P-value
derived from a Mann Whitney U test for all groups except for ethnicity where it was
derived using a Chi-Square test.
Overall Preterm Term P-Value
n 138 46 92
Outcome, n (%) Preterm 46 (33.3) 46 (100.0) <0.001
Term 92 (66.7) 92 (100.0)
Previous sPTB 37 weeks, n
(%)
No 105 (76.1) 28 (60.9) 77 (83.7) 0.006
Yes 33 (23.9) 18 (39.1) 15 (16.3)
Ethnicity, n (%) Asian 17 (12.3) 5 (10.9) 12 (13.0) 0.957
Black 42 (30.4) 14 (30.4) 28 (30.4)
Other 10 (7.2) 4 (8.7) 6 (6.5)
White 69 (50.0) 23 (50.0) 46 (50.0)
Low risk at enrolment, n (%) No 87 (63.0) 41 (89.1) 46 (50.0) <0.001
Yes 51 (37.0) 5 (10.9) 46 (50.0)
Gestation at delivery
(weeks), mean (SD)
35.3 (6.4) 27.7 (5.6) 39.1 (1.2) <0.001
BMI (kg/m2), mean (SD) 26.4 (5.8) 26.9 (6.0) 26.1 (5.8) 0.462
Maternal age (years), mean
(SD)
33.1 (5.8) 33.5 (6.0) 33.0 (5.7) 0.610
Primigravida, n (%) No 111 (80.4) 43 (93.5) 68 (73.9) 0.012
Yes 27 (19.6) 3 (6.5) 24 (26.1)
Gestational age at sample
collection (weeks), mean
(SD)
19.1 (1.9) 18.3 (1.8) 19.5 (1.8) 0.003
Differences in the Inflammatory Proteome by sPTB Outcome and Risk Type
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Two analyses of differential expression were performed to compare profiles of
inflammatory protein expression for case and control groups to identify potential
early biomarkers of sPTB. The first analysis compared samples from pregnancies
that went on to have a sPTB versus samples from all women who went on to have
term births. The second analysis compared samples from women who went on to
have a sPTB versus samples from women who went on to have term births who
were also classified as being at low risk of preterm birth at enrolment.
Comparing sPTB samples to all term samples, there were 14 differentially expressed
proteins (p<0.05
2), of these four were upregulated and 10 were downregulated in
sPTB samples compared to term samples (Figure 1A). Comparing sPTB samples to
only low-risk term samples we found there were 25 differentially expressed proteins
(p<0.05), of these 14 were upregulated and 11 were downregulated (Figure 1B).
Across these two comparisons a total of 27 different inflammatory proteins were
identified as being differentially expressed with eight proteins being common across
both analyses.
Predictive Modelling of sPTB Risk
To identify candidate inflammation-related proteins predictive of early sPTB risk (<35
weeks), an initial logistic regression model was developed and validated using a
LOOCV framework. From an initial set of 27 proteins of interest, 16 proteins
emerged as potential predictors of sPTB risk. Gestation at sample collection
contributed greatly to the model, with maternal age and BMI having smaller
contributions (Figure 3a). The proteomic-only model achieved an AUC-ROC of 0.76
(95% CI: 0.66–0.84) (Figure 2a). Figure 3 highlights the frequency of protein usage
in the model, with KLRD1, PGF, COL9A1, SIRPB1, AGER, LGALS4, CST7, IFNLR1,
GALNT3, BTN3A2 and ITGA11 being particularly predictive of sPTB risk. The
integrated cfRNA-proteomic model, which combined 25 cfRNA transcripts with the 27
proteins of interest, achieved a considerably higher AUC-ROC of 0.85 (95% CI:
0.78–0.92) (Figure 2a). All cfRNA transcripts consistently contributed to the
predictive capability of the model. Among inflammation-related proteins, CXCL6,
GALNT3, PGF, CST7, CLEC4D, KLRD1, LGALS4 and AGER were meaningful
predictors in this multiomic model. For this model, maternal characteristics had little
3 Welch's t-test
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influence (Figure 3b). The probability of sPTB risk ( <35 weeks' gestation), was
computed with the distribution of probabilities shown in Figure 2B and Figure 2C for
the respective models. The second model, which used an integrated omics
approach, demonstrated a greater separation in sPTB risk probabilities compared to
the proteomic-only model.
Discussion
This study explored the potential of the maternal plasma inflammatory proteome
alone, and in combination with previously identified cfRNAs (28) to predict sPTB risk.
Along with identifying inflammatory proteins associated with sPTB, the key finding
was that an integrated ‘omics approach improved the accuracy of predicting sPTB
risk <35 weeks of gestation compared to using proteomic markers in isolation. This
new model offers a more robust tool for early sPTB risk detection.
Recent efforts in predicting sPTB risk have utilised proteomic markers across various
biological fluids, including maternal blood, amniotic fluid, and cervicovaginal fluid, but
very few have been translated into widespread routine clinical use (33–37)
(20,22,23).
Multiomic approaches, integrating proteomics with other ‘omic data like cfRNA,
addresses the growing realisation that combining multi-biological pathways
enhances predictive power and improves early identification of at-risk pregnancies
(24,26). Studies incorporating machine learning models across multiomic datasets
show promising results (24,26), highlighting the need for a multifaceted approach
that accounts for the complexity of biological systems.
Notably, a recent longitudinal study suggested that plasma proteomic models
outperform transcriptomic approaches in predicting sPTB, when sampling between
27-33 weeks of gestation. This highlighted the potential of using even earlier
pregnancy quantification of the proteome for sPTB prediction (26)
,(10). In this earlier
window, proteomic models were not as good as cfRNA models alone (AUC 0.80,
(28)).
Our integrated model, which analysed plasma markers between 16-24 weeks'
gestation, achieved an AUC-ROC of 0.85. The model also identified several proteins
of interest early in gestation. We considered the role of maternal BMI, gestation at
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sample collection, and maternal age, as potential confounding factors. However,
neither BMI nor maternal age had a significant impact on the utility of both models for
predicting sPTB risk.
Both models highlighted some unique proteins which may have mechanistic
relevance. The protein GALNT3, for example, plays a key role in phosphate
homeostasis, which fluctuates during pregnancy and may reflect changes in
maternal metabolism. Women experiencing threatened preterm delivery have been
shown to exhibit serum deficiencies in total calcium, phosphorus, and magnesium,
potentially contributing to premature uterine contractions (38,39). The model also
incorporated PGF, which is essential for placental development and has established
potential as a biomarker for conditions such as preterm preeclampsia (40–42).
Several proteins, including GALNT3, PGF, CST7, CLEC4D, KLRD1, OSM, CCL23,
AGER and LGALS4, overlapped between the proteomic and multiomic models. The
pro-inflammatory protein CXCL6 was found to contribute to both the models
developed. CXCL6 is known to be expressed at the maternal-fetal interface and
implicated in pregnancy processes (43). CXCL6 is known to be found in the
amnionic fluid with higher levels associated with sPTB (44) with elevated levels
notable in cases with intra-amniotic infection. However, even in the absence of
infection CXCL6 levels remain higher in PTB cases in comparison to those who
deliver at term (44) – suggesting a potential role in PTB pathology. Although CXCL6
has not been directly linked to sPTB, its involvement in the immune response during
pregnancy warrants further investigation. Additionally, proteins like CLEC4D,
LGALS4 AND KLRD1, which play important roles in immune regulation, have not yet
been directly associated with sPTB, but further research could elucidate their role in
the inflammatory processes that may influence preterm birth risk.
The use of Olink proteomics for quantifying blood-based inflammatory biomarkers
holds significant promise for clinical applications. Integrating this high-throughput
proteomic technology with cfRNA profiles could potentially serve as a non-invasive
and cost-effective predictive tool for identifying women at risk for sPTB. For example,
clinical management algorithms such as those used by QUiPP app, which can
combine both clinical and quantitative biomarkers (19), could be enhanced by
integrating additional markers, such as those discussed here. These additional
biomarkers may significantly improve sPTB risk prediction.
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This study expands the scope of preterm birth research by incorporating a multiomic
framework, combining the inflammatory proteome with cfRNA transcripts to identify
biomarkers of sPTB risk. Understanding how these proteins contribute to health and
pathogenesis during pregnancy is essential for identifying complications that may
arise and may be associated with inflammatory states. This could also inform more
targeted immunotherapy approaches. Future research should continue to explore the
integration of different ‘omic layers, particularly focusing on how inflammation
interacts with other physiological processes that influence preterm birth.
A strength of this study is the diversity of participants used from the INSIGHT study,
which includes both high and low-risk pregnancies. This diversity enhances the
generalisability of the findings and ensures that the model can be applied to a wide
range of pregnancy phenotypes. Additionally, the analysis of samples taken between
16-24 weeks’ gestation provides valuable insight into the second trimester prior to
the development of pregnancy complications. The exploratory nature of the study
also allows for a more comprehensive understanding of the maternal inflammatory
proteome and its role in preterm birth.
While the Olink Explore 384 Inflammation panels allowed for the assessment of a
large number of proteins, which is useful for initial discovery, it was a targeted
approach. This means that other potentially important inflammatory markers equally
important during pregnancy are not covered in the panel. Additionally, while the
inflammatory proteome is likely to be a fundamental factor in preterm birth, it is only
one aspect of the complex pathophysiology leading to sPTB. As this study excluded
late preterm births (35-37 weeks), future research could validate findings in cohorts
that include these cases, providing further insights into the inflammatory profile
during this critical period. Future work should also explore additional biological
markers and consider broader, untargeted proteomic approaches that may capture a
wider range of relevant proteins.
Conclusion
In conclusion, the integration of cfRNA and protein markers offers a promising non-
invasive, multiomic approach for improving the prediction of sPTB risk. While
inflammatory proteins alone demonstrate moderate predictive performance,
combining them with cfRNA markers improves the model's accuracy and offers a
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more reliable tool for early detection. Further validation is needed, but this integrated
approach holds promise as a predictive tool for identifying those at risk for preterm
birth. As research in multiomics continues to evolve, such approaches may become
instrumental in refining predictive models and improving outcomes for both mothers
and newborns. Pregnancy is a highly dynamic process, and its complexity may not
be fully captured by focusing solely on proteomic inflammation during the second
trimester at single time point. If a single test is capable of predicting sPTB outcomes
it will likely need to be one which incorporates a multiomic approach so to
incorporate dynamic and mechanistic differences in pregnancy and sPTB.
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