Quantifying Assets for the Geopolitics of Climate Change Mitigation

Quantifying Assets for the Geopolitics of Climate Change Mitigation | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Article Quantifying Assets for the Geopolitics of Climate Change Mitigation Guanna Pan, Ulrike Kornek, Chen Chris Gong, Edna Molina Bacca, and 2 more This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7818191/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Under Review Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract How do climate change mitigation efforts redistribute economic assets in the low-carbon transition? We present a comprehensive quantification of climate-related assets at the national level and across four dimensions: fossil fuel production value, climate change damages, renewable energy potential, and land carbon sequestration capacity. We combine integrated assessment models, climate projections, economic damage functions, and biosphere datasets to assess asset changes under multiple mitigation scenarios. Using k-means clustering, we group countries into five clusters based on their economic, energy, and environmental stakes, revealing disparities in economic losses and mitigation benefits. A similarity analysis identifies structural commonalities across countries based on our four assets, even when political alignment or governance differ. Notably, the USA, the EU, and China fall into the moderate-impact cluster, concentrating economic power in countries without the strongest asset-based incentives for decarbonization. Our framework provides input for integrating institutional, political, and socio-economic factors in future analyses of opportunities and challenges for global climate cooperation. Earth and environmental sciences/Environmental social sciences/Environmental economics Earth and environmental sciences/Environmental social sciences/Climate-change mitigation Full Text Additional Declarations There is NO Competing Interest. Supplementary Files SupplementaryData1.xlsx Supplementary Data 1 SupplementaryData2.xlsx Supplementary Data 2 SupplementaryInformation.pdf Supplementary Information Cite Share Download PDF Status: Under Review Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. 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Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-7818191","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":546225782,"identity":"3296bf6b-e33d-48c6-b89b-0e3ac5ceb4eb","order_by":0,"name":"Guanna 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