The importance of small island populations for the long-term survival of endangered large-bodied insular mammals

Island populations of large vertebrates have experienced higher extinction rates than mainland populations over long timescales due to demographic stochasticity, genetic drift and inbreeding. Conversely, small island populations often experience relatively less anthropogenic habitat degradation than populations on larger islands, making them potential targets for conservation interventions such as genetic rescue to improve their overall genetic diversity. Here we determine the consequences and conservation implications of long-term isolation and recent human activities on genetic diversity of island populations of two forest-dependent mammals endemic to the Wallacea archipelago: the anoa ( Bubalus spp.) and babirusa ( Babyrousa spp.). Using genomic analyses and habitat suitability models, we show that, compared to closely related species, populations on mainland Sulawesi exhibit low heterozygosity, high inbreeding, and a high proportion of deleterious alleles. In contrast, populations on smaller islands possess fewer deleterious mutations despite exhibiting lower heterozygosity and higher inbreeding. Site frequency spectra indicate that these patterns reflect stronger, long-term purging in smaller island populations. Our results thus suggest that conservation efforts should focus on protecting small island habitats and avoiding translocations from mainland populations. This study highlights the crucial role of small offshore islands for the long-term survival of Wallacea’s iconic and indigenous mammals in the face of development on the mainland. Significance statement Within tropical archipelagos, such as the Wallacea biodiversity hotspot, larger islands experience greater resource exploitation compared to smaller ones, highlighting the potential of smaller islands as refuges for conservation. To investigate the genetic health of populations on small islands, we used genomic, occurrence, and environmental data from a system of replicated populations of anoa and babirusa across islands of varying sizes. In contrast to larger islands like Sulawesi, our results demonstrate that smaller offshore islands not only provide higher-quality habitats but also support populations that have efficiently purged harmful mutations. Thus, despite their known vulnerability over geological time-frames, small island populations can provide long term insurance against human-driven extinction and conservation efforts should prioritise habitat management over translocations.