How the land use conflicts will change in Wuhan Metropolitan Area in 2030?

How the land use conflicts will change in Wuhan Metropolitan Area in 2030? | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article How the land use conflicts will change in Wuhan Metropolitan Area in 2030? Yu Wang, De Yu, Luyi Tong, Shougeng Hu This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7395406/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Under Review Version 1 posted 17 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract The construction of urban areas will cause land use changes, and the changes will produce conflicts. Land use conflicts often reveal problems and irrationalities in the current of land use layout. It can prompt to re-examine the land resources allocation and promote the its optimization and adjustment. We analyze the intensity and spatial distribution of land use conflicts in the Wuhan Metropolitan Area (WMA) from 1990 to 2020 at the township (street) level. Then, we set up four scenarios to forecast the potential land use conflict intensity and distribution for 2030. Over whole period, the intensity of land use conflicts shows an inverted U-shaped curve, with high-level conflict areas mainly concentrated in the core region. Under four scenarios, the intensity of land use conflicts still conforms to an inverted U-shaped structure, with the lowest conflict intensity observed in the ecological priority scenario. Currently, under the strategy of ecological civilization, the land use pattern in the WMA has been moving towards reducing land use conflicts and optimizing the allocation of land resources. Assessing and predicting the intensity and spatial distribution of land use conflicts in the WMA can provide scientific support for the land use policy development. Land Use Conflict Wuhan Metropolitan Area Multi-scenario Prediction Ecological Protection Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Under Review Version 1 posted Editorial decision: Revision requested 06 Oct, 2025 Reviews received at journal 06 Oct, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 05 Oct, 2025 Reviews received at journal 04 Oct, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 04 Oct, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 02 Oct, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 01 Oct, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 30 Sep, 2025 Reviews received at journal 22 Sep, 2025 Reviews received at journal 03 Sep, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 01 Sep, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 01 Sep, 2025 Reviewers invited by journal 28 Aug, 2025 Editor invited by journal 27 Aug, 2025 Editor assigned by journal 25 Aug, 2025 Submission checks completed at journal 25 Aug, 2025 First submitted to journal 17 Aug, 2025 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. 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Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-7395406","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":509453847,"identity":"5c4f8c81-d2d3-4a1f-9dc4-c744b06ff022","order_by":0,"name":"Yu Wang","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"China University of Geosciences","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Yu","middleName":"","lastName":"Wang","suffix":""},{"id":509453848,"identity":"4fb1fd06-12f0-4055-ade1-73fd61677713","order_by":1,"name":"De Yu","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Hunan Agricultural University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"De","middleName":"","lastName":"Yu","suffix":""},{"id":509453849,"identity":"44876b80-5b40-4658-a178-db6e7d9fa835","order_by":2,"name":"Luyi Tong","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"China University of Geosciences","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Luyi","middleName":"","lastName":"Tong","suffix":""},{"id":509453850,"identity":"6af41922-ff2c-4de3-891d-b51b67e03da8","order_by":3,"name":"Shougeng Hu","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAAA70lEQVRIiWNgGAWjYBACAwYGNiiT+QCEPkC8FrYEkrXwGBCnxVwi/dmDj221cub8az5+5vnFIMd3I4HxcwEeLZYzcswNZ7YdN7ac8XazNG8fg7HkjQRm6Rn4HHYjh02at+1Y4oYbZ7cx8/YwABkJbMw8eLWkPwNpqd9w48wzkJZ6IrQkmAG11CQYnO8BqvzBkGBAUMuZN2aSM84dMNxwg81Ycm6DhOHMMw+bpfFqOZ7+TOJDWZ28wfnDDz+8+WMjz3c8+eBnfFqg4DADg0QCAwNjmwSQw9hAWAMDQx0DA/8BIP2HGMWjYBSMglEw0gAAHSJQswa+ldAAAAAASUVORK5CYII=","orcid":"","institution":"China University of Geosciences","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Shougeng","middleName":"","lastName":"Hu","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2025-08-18 03:38:19","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7395406/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7395406/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":90553181,"identity":"d404ea3d-f8b3-4bee-bb32-76c5c55d14fc","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2025-09-04 03:44:47","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":2278314,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"MANUSCRIPT66.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-7395406/v1_covered_7b3d4f7b-a9de-43ec-b982-b54a73962f66.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"No competing interests reported.","formattedTitle":"How the land use conflicts will change in Wuhan Metropolitan Area in 2030?","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":false,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":true,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"discover-cities","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"Learn more about [Discover Cities](https://www.springer.com/journal/44327)","snPcode":"44327","submissionUrl":"https://submission.springernature.com/new-submission/44327/3","title":"Discover Cities","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"stoa","reportingPortfolio":"Discover Series","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"Land Use Conflict, Wuhan Metropolitan Area, Multi-scenario Prediction, Ecological Protection","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7395406/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7395406/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eThe construction of urban areas will cause land use changes, and the changes will produce conflicts. Land use conflicts often reveal problems and irrationalities in the current of land use layout. It can prompt to re-examine the land resources allocation and promote the its optimization and adjustment. We analyze the intensity and spatial distribution of land use conflicts in the Wuhan Metropolitan Area (WMA) from 1990 to 2020 at the township (street) level. Then, we set up four scenarios to forecast the potential land use conflict intensity and distribution for 2030. Over whole period, the intensity of land use conflicts shows an inverted U-shaped curve, with high-level conflict areas mainly concentrated in the core region. Under four scenarios, the intensity of land use conflicts still conforms to an inverted U-shaped structure, with the lowest conflict intensity observed in the ecological priority scenario. Currently, under the strategy of ecological civilization, the land use pattern in the WMA has been moving towards reducing land use conflicts and optimizing the allocation of land resources. Assessing and predicting the intensity and spatial distribution of land use conflicts in the WMA can provide scientific support for the land use policy development.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"How the land use conflicts will change in Wuhan Metropolitan Area in 2030?","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2025-09-04 03:20:40","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7395406/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0},{"type":"decision","content":"Revision requested","date":"2025-10-06T11:12:02+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2025-10-06T08:50:04+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"253881702604820365447784916014781336062","date":"2025-10-05T13:12:43+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2025-10-04T11:17:41+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"240711676827330293761931446300122103054","date":"2025-10-04T07:08:03+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"310049752430042429965324541958255717624","date":"2025-10-02T15:24:05+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"115967330592629650124836549352911391389","date":"2025-10-01T06:31:49+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"48696577017226628607599940216623156247","date":"2025-09-30T17:43:12+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2025-09-22T04:44:44+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvitedReview","content":"","date":"2025-09-03T06:02:10+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"25490425621232674984634532689081982585","date":"2025-09-01T08:17:13+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewerAgreed","content":"22746264476690506399301735777933716667","date":"2025-09-01T06:10:52+00:00","index":"hide","fulltext":""},{"type":"reviewersInvited","content":"","date":"2025-08-28T04:36:38+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorInvited","content":"","date":"2025-08-27T16:46:33+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"editorAssigned","content":"","date":"2025-08-25T09:46:15+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"checksComplete","content":"","date":"2025-08-25T09:45:36+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""},{"type":"submitted","content":"Discover Cities","date":"2025-08-18T03:36:51+00:00","index":"","fulltext":""}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"discover-cities","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":false,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"Learn more about [Discover Cities](https://www.springer.com/journal/44327)","snPcode":"44327","submissionUrl":"https://submission.springernature.com/new-submission/44327/3","title":"Discover Cities","twitterHandle":"","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":true,"editorialSystem":"stoa","reportingPortfolio":"Discover Series","inReviewEnabled":true,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"fbf00141-a96a-4e12-93ea-9cedbc258859","owner":[],"postedDate":"September 4th, 2025","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"under-review","subjectAreas":[],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2026-01-06T05:39:19+00:00","versionOfRecord":[],"versionCreatedAt":"2025-09-04 03:20:40","video":"","vorDoi":"","vorDoiUrl":"","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-7395406","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-7395406","identity":"rs-7395406","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"8U1c8b4HqxoKbykW_rLl7","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}