Results
Worldwide, in 2019, cardiovascular diseases were responsible for 393 million DALYs and 18.6 million deaths in both sexes ( 23 ). In EMR, the high number of NCDs deaths was attributed to CVDs (1,464,672 million) in 2019. Pakistan recorded the highest number (449,905) followed by Egypt (252,650), Iran (157,018) then Morocco (126,562) ( 6 ) ( Table 1 ).
Number of deaths and probability of death attributed to CVDs, diabetes, and cancer among adults in EMR ( 6 ).
Diabetes, smoking, high blood pressure, high BMI, stress, high cholesterol levels, poor nutrition, and insufficient physical exercise are all considered risk factors responsible for the incidence of CVDs ( 24 ). According to Franklin and Wong, hypertension is the main cause of cardiovascular disease, which worsens with age and may be the world's leading cause of mortality ( 25 ).
A cross-sectional study conducted among the local population of 53 cities in Punjab, Pakistan, reported that CVDs impacted 17.5% of the population, with females having a higher incidence rate than males and start occurring at a younger age. An inactive lifestyle, low level of activity and family history of disease could be disease risk factors ( 26 ). CVDs are also responsible for 40% and 37% of deaths in Egypt and Saudi Arabia, respectively. A comparative cross-sectional study involved students from two medical of both sexes from Saudi Arabia and Egypt revealed a relatively high prevalence of a sedentary life style, obesity, and abdominal obesity. Saudi students revealed a significantly higher prevalence of obesity while male Egyptian students recorded a significantly higher prevalence of hypertension. Both populations were at an elevated risk of acquiring fatal cardiovascular disease within 10 years (23.9% of Saudi students and 16.7% of Egyptian students) ( 27 ). In Iran despite the slight recession in the number of smokers, total cholesterol, and blood pressure, adverse trends in physical activity, unhealthy diet, obesity, and fasting plasma glucose must be addressed immediately at a public health level in order to battle the advancement of CVDs ( 28 ).
According to the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, ischemic heart disease is the most common reason for death in EMR and it is the first reason for death in 19 countries in EMR (Afghanistan, Bahrain, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Oman, Palestine, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Syrian Arab Republic, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen) ( 13 ). Globally, on concomitant ischemic heart disease was the leading cause of death in people aged between 30 and 70 years in 146 (83%) countries for men and 98 (55.7%) for women. For men, the risk reached as high as 20% and for women as high as 13% in some countries. Other regions that suffer from this high risk of dying from ischemic heart disease were eastern Europe, central Asia, and south Asia ( 29 ). The highest increase in the ischemic heart disease percentage between 2009 and 2019, in the EMR, was reported in UAE (130.6%) followed by Jordan (86.3%) then Djibouti (67.9 %) and Egypt (62.9 %). Stroke is the second reason for death in nine countries (Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Palestine, Syrian Arab Republic, and Tunisia). The highest increase in stroke percentage between 2009 and 2019, was reported in UAE (105.2%) followed by Jordan (78.5%) then Djibouti (52.7%) ( 13 ).
In 2019, diabetes mellitus caused 70.9 million (2.8%) of total global DALYs ( 30 ). 9.3 percent (463 million people) was the conservative estimate for the prevalence of diabetes in 2019 which is expected to rise by 2030 to 10.2% (578 million) and by 2045 to 10.9% (700 million). The prevalence is higher in urban (10.8%) than rural (7.2%) areas, and in high-income (10.4%) than low-income countries (4.0%). Nearly, half of people (51%) living with diabetes are not aware of that they are diabetics. Impaired glucose tolerance affected 7.5% of the world's population (374 million) in 2019, rising to 8.0% (454 million) by 2030 and 8.6% (548 million) by 2045 ( 31 ). Notably, in 2019 the prevalence of diabetes was the highest in the EMR (11.96%) compared with all other regions. Sudan, Qatar, Iran, Bahrain, Somalia, and Djibouti revealed the highest percentage of Diabetes among individuals aged 20–80 years (22.1, 19.9, 17.2, 16.3, 15.8, and 15.6%, respectively) ( 32 ) ( Table 2 ; Figure 2 ).
Obesity, raised fasting blood glucose, raised blood pressure, diabetes prevalence, and cancer trends in EMR ( 6 ).
Diabetes prevalence among adults in different regions ( 6 ).
In EMR, the total number of fatalities due to diabetes was 186,841 thousand in 2019. Pakistan recorded the highest number (80,976) followed by Egypt (26,844), Iran (157,018) then Morocco (17,947) ( 6 ) ( Table 1 ). According to the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study, diabetes is the second cause of death in two countries (Bahrain and Jordan) and the third reason for death in three countries (Iraq, Palestine, and Qatar) in the region. The highest increase in diabetes percentage between 2009 and 2019 in EMR was reported in UAE (124.2%) followed by Palestine (89.1%) then Bahrain (88.1%), Iran (80.8%), and Jourdan (69.7%) ( 13 ).
The mortality rate due to diabetes in Bahrain was 14% in 2016. A cross sectional study reported that type 2 diabetes exerts a significant pressure on Bahrain's healthcare system—primarily due to costly diabetes-related complications. Thereby, reducing the risk factors for diabetes is mandatory to minimize disabling and expensive complications ( 33 ). Additionally, multivariate analysis for a wide community-based survey in Pakistan using glycated hemoglobin revealed a significant link between type 2 diabetes and old age. Increase in body mass index, central obesity, positive family history, and having hypertension with type 2 diabetes were inversely related to education ( 34 ).
Egypt has been identified by the International Diabetes Federation as the ninth leading country in the world for the number of type 2 diabetes patients. The frequency of type 2 diabetes has nearly tripled in the last two decades in Egypt. This dramatic increase could be due to an increase in the typical risk factors for type 2 diabetes, such as obesity and physical inactivity, as well as a shift in dietary habits, or to other risk factors specific to Egypt. Increased exposure to environmental risk factors such as pesticides and a higher prevalence of chronic hepatitis C are two examples ( 35 ).
In a population-level mathematical model among Qatari, the baseline scenario revealed that type 2 diabetes prevalence would be upregulated from 16.7% in 2016 to 24.0% in 2050. By lowering obesity prevalence by 10–50%, type 2 diabetes prevalence would reduced by 7.8–33.7%, while by reducing physical inactivity prevalence by 10–50%, type 2 diabetes prevalence would reduced by 0.5–6.9% by 2050 ( 36 ).
Globally in 2019, total cancers recorded 23.6 million incident cases, 10.0 million deaths, and 250 million DALYs. Total cancers were the second-ruling reason for death and DALYs in 2019 worldwide ( 13 ). Globally in 2020, an estimated 19.3 million new cancer cases (18.1 million excluding non-melanoma skin cancer) and almost 10.0 million cancer deaths (9.9 million excluding non-melanoma skin cancer) occurred ( 37 ). According to long-term projections, the EMR countries will suffer from a disturbing rise in the number of cancer patients reaching a 1.8 fold by 2030 ( 38 ). The highest number of cancer cases in EMR in 2020 has been recorded in Pakistan (170,668) thousand individuals followed by Egypt (129,577), then Iran (127,548) ( 9 ) ( Table 2 ). Bahrain, Qatar, Iran, and Lebanon reported a 16% mortality rate due to cancers, Kuwait reported 15% while Egypt reported 13% ( 4 ).
Bahrain, which is among the high income gulf countries, suffers from a rising burden of cancer ( 39 , 40 ). Breast, colorectal, and lung cancers, followed by non-Hodgkin lymphoma and leukemia, are the five most frequently diagnosed cancers in Bahrain ( 41 ). Obesity, smoking, a sedentary lifestyle, and a high-fat/low-fiber diet are among the significant risk factors for colorectal cancer in Bahrain. Nearly one-third of the population of Bahrain is overweight or obese ( 42 , 43 ).
A systematic review investigating the epidemiological aspects of gastric cancer in Iran based on articles published during the years 1970–2020 showed that poor levels of economic position and food insecurity raised the probabilities of stomach cancer by 2.42- and 2.57-times, respectively. Moreover, there was a link between dairy products, processed red meat, fruit juice, legumes, smoked and salty fish, salt, strong as well as hot tea consumption with the risk of stomach cancer. There was also an inverse link between fresh fruit, citrus, and garlic consumption and stomach cancer ( 44 ).
The global age-standardized rate as reported by the American Institute for Cancer Research, 2018 for all cancers (including non-melanoma skin cancer) for both genders was 197.9 per 100,000 in 2018. Men revealed a higher rate (218.6 per 100,000) than women (182.6 per 100,000) ( 45 ). Most of the EMR countries revealed a relatively high rate of cancer incidence as nine countries in the region have cancer rates of more than (200 per 100,000). The highest cancer rates as revealed in 2020 have been reported in Egypt (258 per 100,000) followed by Lebanon (252.5 per 100,000) then Jordan (251.8 per 100,000) then Iran (245.2 per100,000) followed by Syria (241.5 per 100,000), and then Morocco (238.8 per 100,000) ( 9 ) ( Table 2 ).
In EMR, the total number of fatalities due to cancer (431,312) in 2019. Pakistan recorded the highest number (124,328) followed by Egypt (85,226), Iran (61,063), then Morocco (33,845) ( 6 ) ( Table 1 ). By 2050, a three-fold increase in cancer incidence relative to 2013 was estimated to occur in Egypt ( 46 ). The highest increase in cancer percentage between 2009 and 2019 in EMR was reported in the UAE (241.7% increase in pancreatic cancer) followed by Jordan and Qatar (103.7 and 95.2%, respectively increase in lung cancer) ( 13 ).
A dramatic increase in NCDs-related risk factors has been reported in the EMR in the past 10 years ( 13 ). The risk factors of NCDs comprise metabolic-physiological-related conditions (including obesity, high blood pressure, high fasting plasma glucose, high blood cholesterol) as well as behavioral-related activities (including smoking, low physical activity, unhealthy diet consumption, excessive use of alcohol). An analytic review published in 2019 reported that individuals who followed healthy lifestyle practices including regular physical activity, sound nutrition, weight management, and non-smoking revealed a significant downregulation of CVDs risk by >80% and diabetes by >90% ( 47 ). Additionally, another study outlined that around 40% of cancer cases could be prevented by reducing exposure to cancer risk factors including diet, nutrition, and physical activity ( 45 ).
Dietary risk is defined as eating a diet low in whole grains, nuts, seeds, fruit, vegetables, fibers, legumes, omega-3 fatty acids, PUFA, milk, and calcium as well as a diet high in sodium, trans fats, red or processed meat, and sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB). Globally in 2019, dietary risks were responsible for 188 million DALYs and 7.94 million deaths among adults aged 25 and older. It was the fifth-ruling risk factor for attributable DALYs ( 48 ). Dietary risk is the third risk factor in Syria and the fourth risk factor in 6 countries in the EMR (Afghanistan, Morocco, Oman, Pakistan, KSA, and Yemen) responsible for the most deaths and disabilities. The highest increase in dietary risk percentage between 2009 and 2019 in EMR was reported in UAE (136.9%), followed by Jordan (84.7%) then Qatar (66.8%) ( 13 ), as shown in Table 5 .
An adequate daily intake of fruits and vegetables is associated with reduced risks of CVDs ( 49 ), stroke ( 50 ), type 2 diabetes ( 51 ), and certain types of cancer ( 52 , 53 ), which are the major causes of mortality and morbidity in the EMR. The 2002 Joint FAO/WHO Expert Consultation on Diet, Nutrition and the Prevention of Chronic Diseases recommends a minimum of 400 g per day of fruits and vegetables, an equivalent of ≥5 servings of fruits and vegetables per day, excluding starchy roots ( 54 ).
In 2013, the rate of fruits and vegetables intake among individuals living in the EMR was 280 g per day, which is lower than WHO recommendation for the prevention of NCDs. Furthermore, it has been reported that the mean daily intake of fruits in the Middle East and North Africa region was <130 g per day, and the mean intake of vegetables was less than 200 g per day ( 2 ). According to the food balance sheets 2019, the mean fruits and vegetables intake among EMR countries is 32 kg/capita/year ( 10 ), see Table 3 . It is noteworthy, that data concerning fruits and vegetables intake in EMR are limited.
Food consumption in EMR (2019) ( 10 ).
Most individuals living in the EMR have an insufficient intake of fruits and vegetables. It has been established that only 7.3% of individuals from Saudi Arabia aged 15–64 years were consuming the WHO-recommended five servings of fruits and vegetables per day and only 2.6% met the CDC guidelines for daily consumption of fruits and vegetables ( 55 ). In a more recent cross-sectional study conducted on 1,437 individuals, aged ≥ 18 years, 88% of the subjects recorded low intake of fruits and vegetables with a significant increase in fast food consumption ( 56 ). The relationship between food consumption patterns and expenditure was investigated in village Kabal in rural areas of Pakistan, using a sample size of 100 households. The study outlined that an adult consumes nearly 74.68 g of meat, 166.34 g of milk, 372.51 g of flour, 70.29 g of rice, 28.31 g of pulses, 177.12 g of vegetables, 66.39 g of fruits, 6.76 g of black tea, 53.60 g of fats, and 73.21 g of sugar daily ( 57 ). Furthermore, an assessment of fruits and vegetables consumption among 473 medical students in Egypt outlined that 8.2% of students knew the recommended five daily servings for fruits and vegetables, and 23.26% consumed the five daily servings. Healthy food items were tried by only 35.7% of students ( 58 ).
Fat consists of trans-fatty acids (TFAs), saturated fatty acids (SFA), and unsaturated fatty acids ( 59 ). Saturated fatty acids can be found in animal products like milk, butter, cheese, as well as most plant oils, particularly palm and coconut oil, which are high in SFA. Lauric acid, myristic acid, and palmitic acid (PA) are all major sources of SFA, and they all raise low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c) ( 60 ). Increased inflammation, oxidative stress, and decreased nitric oxide and insulin signaling is some of the impacts of PA, which is found in palm oil ( 61 , 62 ). The American Heart Association recommends a healthy dietary pattern that achieves 5–6% of calories from saturated fat (about 13 g of saturated fat per day). In EMR, three countries have exceeded 13% of energy from saturated fats, Djibouti (15.2% of energy) followed by Yemen (13.9% of energy), and KSA (13.5% of energy) ( 63 ) (see Table 4 ). In Saudi Arabia, a significant positive association was found between the intake of fats, protein, and calories and the risk of breast cancer. Adjusted odds ratios for the highest quartile of intake versus the lowest were 1.88 for cholesterol, 2.12 for polyunsaturated fat, 2.25 for animal protein, 2.43 for saturated fat, and 2.69 for total energy from dietary intake ( 64 ).
Salt, fat, and sugar-sweetened beverage consumption in EMR ( 4 , 11 , 12 , 63 ).
A diet high in trans-fatty acids is defined as any intake (in percentage daily energy) of trans fat from all sources, primarily partially hydrogenated vegetable oils and ruminant products. TFAs are typically found in processed food, fast food, snack food, fried food, pies, cookies, margarine, and spreads ( 59 ). In 2019, a diet high in TFAs was responsible for 14.2 million DALYs and 645,000 deaths. It was the seventh-ruling dietary risk factor for attributable DALYs ( 65 ).
The consumption of TFAs increases the risk of death from any cause by 34% and coronary heart disease by 28% ( 66 ). An increase in coronary heart disease mortality estimated by 12% occurs as a result of every 1% increase in daily energy obtained from TFAs ( 67 ). Industrial TFAs intake has also been related to an increased risk for other NCDs and associated conditions such as ovarian cancer ( 68 ), infertility, endometriosis, Alzheimer's disease, diabetes, and obesity ( 59 , 69 ). Higher consumption of hydrogenated vegetable oils was associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction in a cohort study conducted among an Iranian population ( 70 ).
Despite WHO recommendations that total trans fat intake should not exceed 1% of total energy intake, which translates to >2.2 g/day for a 2,000-calorie diet ( 71 ), in 2010, four countries in the region have exceeded this level (Iran, Bahrain, Pakistan, and Egypt) ( 63 ) ( Table 4 ). Laboratory analysis was conducted for profiling TFAs, saturated, and unsaturated fatty acids in the products that are mostly consumed in the major governorates in Egypt. On average, 34% of the products exceeded the TFAs limit (more than 2 g TFA/100 g of fat). The study revealed that around one third of products in the Egyptian market have a high TFAs content ( 72 ). Iran has achieved a marked improvement in the reduction of TFAs as early studies recorded 12.3 g as a mean intake in 2007, while in 2013 this has been reduced to 1.42 and 1.5 g in 2018 ( 73 – 76 ).
The 2019 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Guideline on the Primary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease concluded that a diet containing reduced amounts of cholesterol and sodium could be beneficial to decrease atherosclerotic CVDs risk ( 77 ). Every increase in dietary cholesterol by 100 mg/day predicted an increase in LDL-c from 1.90 to 4.58 mg/dl depending on the model ( 78 ). The 2015 National Lipid Association Recommendations for Patient-Centered Management of Dyslipidemia, recommend limiting dietary cholesterol to <200 mg/d to lower LDL-c and non–high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c) concentrations, however, insufficient evidence among populations doesn't exist ( 79 ). Within EMR, all of the countries are beyond the previous recommended level, particularly Egypt where the recorded dietary cholesterol level was 402 mg/day, followed by Iraq 288 mg/day, then Lebanon 287 mg/day, then KSA and Tunisia 286 mg/day ( 63 ) ( Table 4 ).
The term “sugars” includes intrinsic sugars, from intact fruit and vegetables; milk, as well as free sugars, which are added to foods and beverages, and sugars naturally present in honey, syrups, fruit juices, and fruit juice concentrates ( 80 ).
There is uprising worry regarding the free sugars' intake, particularly in the form of SSB that increases the overall energy consumption and may reduce healthy food items' intake. This leads to unhealthy dietary habits, subsequent weight gain, and increased risk of NCDs ( 54 , 81 – 83 ). Another concern is the association between intake of free sugars and dental caries ( 54 , 84 – 86 ). Dental diseases are the most prevalent NCDs globally ( 87 , 88 ).
The established dietary goal for free sugars' intake is <10% of total energy but ideally less than 5% of total energy intake. This 10% ratio is equivalent to 50 g for a person of healthy body weight consuming about 2,000 calories per day ( 54 ).
A diet high in SSB is defined as any intake (in grams per day) of beverages with ≥50 kcal per 226.8 g serving, including sodas, carbonated beverages, energy drinks, and fruit drinks, but excluding 100% fruit and vegetable juices. In 2019, a diet high in sugar-sweetened beverages was responsible for 6.31 million DALYs and 242 000 deaths. It was the 13th-leading dietary risk factor for DALYs ( 89 ).
The average consumption of raw sugar in EMR is 80 g per day, while the recommended amount of sugar is equivalent to 50 g. The highest mean consumption of SSB among EMR countries has been recorded in Djibouti 0.78 serving/day followed by Lebanon 0.72, then Jordan 0.64, then Sudan 0.62, then Syria 0.52, and Bahrain 0.51. The highest juice intake in EMR has been recorded in KSA 0.34 serving/day followed by Iran 0.31, then UAE 0.25 and Bahrain 0.24 ( 12 ) (as outlined in Table 4 ).
A review of the literature reveals that SSBs contribute partly to the obesity epidemic, as reported by epidemiologic studies, which emphasized the link between SSB consumption and long-term weight gain, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and CVDs risk. It is hypothesized that SSB contribute to weight gain due to their high added sugar content, low satiety, and potential partial compensation for total energy leading to increased energy intake ( 90 , 91 ). In addition, because of their large consumed quantities besides their high contents of rapidly absorbable carbohydrates such as different forms of sugar and high-fructose corn syrup, SSB could be responsible for increased type 2 diabetes mellitus and CVDs incidence. Independent of obesity, SSB could serve as a contributor to a high dietary glycemic load leading to inflammation, insulin resistance, and impaired ß-cell function ( 92 ). Fructose from any sugar or high-fructose corn syrup may also increase blood pressure, and enhance the cumulative effects of visceral adiposity, dyslipidemia, and ectopic fat precipitation due to upregulated hepatic de novo lipogenesis ( 93 ).
Salt consumption within the WHO-recommended level for adults is <5 g per person per day (2 g per day of sodium). Excessive salt consumption is linked to adverse health outcomes, such as the increased risk of hypertension (raised blood pressure), which in turn leads to stroke and heart disease ( 94 ). The current salt intake in the Region averages more than 10 g per person per day, which is double the recommended level set by WHO. In 2010, within EMR countries the highest mean salt intake has been recorded in Bahrain (14 g/day) followed by Libya, Morocco, Qatar, Syria, and Tunisia (11 g/day) ( 11 ) (see Table 4 ). Conversely, according to more recently collected data based on urinary excretion, the highest level of salt intake was observed in Morocco (10.6 g/day), while the lowest was observed in Lebanon (5.6 g/day) and the UAE (6.8 g/day) ( 19 ). Based on dietary assessment questionnaires, the highest levels of salt intake were observed amongst Iranian children and adolescents (14.3–16.2 g/day) and adults in Bahrain (9.3–13.3 g/day) and Lebanon (10.9 g/day). Per capita estimates were also high in Oman (11.5 g/day) and Tunisia (10.2 g/day) ( 19 ). Sodium is an essential nutrient necessary for the maintenance of plasma volume, acid-base balance, the transmission of nerve impulses, and normal cell function ( 95 ). In our diet, the main source of sodium is salt, despite it can be attained from sodium glutamate, used as a food additive in many processed foods ( 95 ). In 2019, a diet high in sodium (more than 3 g) was responsible for 44.9 million DALYs and 1.89 million deaths. It was the leading dietary risk factor for causing DALYs ( 96 ). The highest mean sodium intake has been recorded in Bahrain (5.8 g/day) followed by Tunisia (4.43 g/day), then Morocco (4.31 g/day), Libya (4.24 g/day), Qatar (4.21 g/day), Syria (4.18 g/day), and Jordan (4.13 g/day) ( 11 ) (see Table 4 ).
The EMR population should be aware of how much salt they consume as the disease burden of CVDs, resulting mainly due to salt and subsequent high blood pressure, is very high in the region ( 97 ). In a recent study, the salt intake levels were estimated in 15 out of the 22 countries in EMR, national salt reduction initiatives were identified in 13 countries including Bahrain, Egypt, Iran, Jordan, KSA, Kuwait, Lebanon, Morocco, Oman, Palestine, Qatar, Tunisia, and the UAE. The majority of countries were discovered to be implementing complex reduction measures, which included two or more implementation strategies. Taxation was the least popular implementation option, whereas reformulation was the most popular (100%), followed by consumer education (77%), initiatives in specialized situations (54%), and front-of-pack labeling (46%) ( 19 ).
The prevalence of obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m 2 ) has almost tripled worldwide since 1975. There were 650 million obese adults aged 18 years in 2016, with a global prevalence of nearly 13%. High body-mass index (BMI) was responsible for 160 million DALYs and 5.02 million deaths in 2019. It was the seventh-ruling risk factor for attributable DALYs in 2019 ( 98 ). Being obese is usually linked to an increased risk of hypertension and many NCDs (including diabetes, CVDs, and cancers) ( 99 ). Shifts in eating behavior toward diets containing energy-dense foods, high in fat and sugars, and less physical activity due to the sedentary nature of many forms of work and modes of transportation are contributing to the rise in obesity. The prevalence of obesity in the EMR is the third-highest across all global regions ( 4 ). The current prevalence of obesity is estimated at 25.1%, while the prevalence of overweight is around 56.41%. Among the EMR, the gulf countries revealed the highest rate of obesity. The highest prevalence of obesity in EMR has been reported in Kuwait (37.9%), Jordan (35.5%), Saudi Arabia (35.4%), Qatar (35.1), Libya (32.5%), Egypt (32%), Lebanon (32%), and UAE (31.7%). According to the latest estimates, the prevalence of excess BMI in adults in EMR has increased by 3% between 2012 and 2016 ( 6 ) ( Table 2 ; Figure 3 ).
Overweight and obesity prevalence among adults in different regions ( 6 ).
The high prevalence of people who are overweight or have obesity in Saudi Arabia is considered a public health concern, as revealed in a cross-sectional study carried out on a representative sample of 1,681 adult patients. Being overweight and having obesity were found to be prevalent in 38.3% and 27.6% of the population, respectively. Obesity was not shown to be connected with smoking, although it was found to be associated with hypertension. The risk of overweight or obesity was significantly inversely correlated with the monthly income ( 100 ).
The most recent national survey conducted in Egypt revealed that 39.8% of adult Egyptians suffered from obesity with a more prevalent in adult females than males, nearly 25% have normal BMI while the rest are either obese or overweight ( 101 ). A study analyzing the health effects of being overweight and having obesity conducted over 25 years in 195 countries, revealed that 19 million Egyptians suffer from obesity, representing 35% of all adults, which is the highest rate in the world. Moreover, the study outlined that 3.6 million children (10.2% of Egyptian children) suffer from obesity ( 102 ).
Research published in 2020 indicated that almost three-quarters of men and women in Jordan were overweight or obese. Obesity rates in men were around twice as high in 2017 as they were in 2009. In the multivariate analysis, age, region of residence, and marital status were significantly associated with obesity in both genders. Obesity was significantly linked with increased odds of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, elevated triglycerides, and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol after adjusting for age ( 103 ).
Ultimately, obesity is the first reported risk factor responsible for the total number of DALYs in 2019 in eight countries in the region (Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Libya, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and UAE). It is the second reported risk factor in the other seven countries (Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Morocco, Palestine, Syria, and Tunisia). The highest increase in obesity percentage between 2009 and 2019 in EMR was reported in UAE (133.4%) followed by Djibouti (106.5), then Jordan (96.3%), Qatar (88%), Bahrain (86.9%), and Afghanistan (80.1%). The dramatic increase in obesity involves low-income countries in the region also including Djibouti and Afghanistan ( 13 ) (as indicated in Table 5 ). The prevalence figures revealed that obesity constitutes a significant public health concern in EMR because of its significant correlation to NCDs (see Figures 4 , 5 ).
The rank of the nutrition related risk factors that causes deaths in 2019 and the percentage change between 2009–2019 ( 13 ).
Correlation between the prevalence of obesity, diabetes, and cumulative cancer risk among adults in EMR ( 6 , 26 ).
Correlation between the prevalence of obesity, probability of death due to CVDs, cancers, and diabetes among adults in EMR ( 6 ).
In 2016 a study revealed that globally, 28% of all adults aged 18 years and older were insufficiently physically active, and not following the WHO recommendation to implement at least 150 min of moderate-intensity physical activity per week ( 104 ). According to the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study, low physical activity was ranked 18th in attributable DALYs in 2019, accounting for 198.4 age-standardized DALYs per 100,000 and 11.1 age-standardized deaths per 100,000. The EMR has the highest prevalence of insufficient physical activity than any other region. There is a clear relationship between physical inactivity and country income group globally ( 4 ). In 2016, high-income countries had more than double the prevalence of physical inactivity (37%) than low-income countries (16%), however, the situation is reversed among EMR countries where the insufficient physical activity was the highest in Kuwait followed by Saudi Arabia and UAE while the lowest was recorded in Jordan ( 6 ). According to data from the UAE national health survey 2017–2018, 70.8% of the participants did not fulfill WHO standards for adequate physical exercise. Insufficient physical activity was reported by women at a higher rate than men (74.8 and 66.8%, respectively). When compared to non-Emirates, Emiratis had a higher percentage of insufficient physical activity (80.2 and 69.2%, respectively) ( 105 ).
Physical inactivity is also a modifiable factor that is involved in upregulating the magnitude of NCDs. People who are deficiently physically active have an enhanced risk of all-cause mortality, as compared to those who perform at least 30 min of moderate-intensity physical activity on most days of the week. Additionally, physical activity lowers the risk of stroke, hypertension, and depression ( 106 ).
Hypertension or raised blood pressure is defined as systolic and/or diastolic blood pressure greater than, or equal to, 140/90 mmHg. Hypertension is a major risk factor for heart failure, ischemic heart disease, peripheral vascular disease, renal failure, retinal hemorrhage, stroke, and dementia ( 107 ). In 2019, high blood pressure was the second-leading contributor to 235 million (95% UI 211–261) DALYs and 10.8 million (9.51–12.1) deaths in 2019 ( 108 ). Several risk factors could be involved in the upregulated blood pressure, including high salt intake, being overweight or obese, excessive use of alcohol, low or lack of physical activity, stress, air pollution, and smoking ( 95 ). Globally, in 2015, one in four men, and one in five women (i.e., 22% of the adult population aged 18 years and older) had raised blood pressure. In 2015, 28% of the population in low-income countries had high blood pressure, compared with 18% of the population in high-income countries. Reviewing the current trends demonstrated that the number of adults with high blood pressure increased from 594 million in 1975 to 1.13 billion in 2015, with the peak revealed significantly in low- and middle-income countries ( 109 ).
Among all the WHO-geographical regions, EMR was the second-highest in the incidence of raised blood pressure after Africa ( 4 ). In 2015, within the EMR, the prevalence of raised blood pressure is the highest in Somalia (32.9%), then Yemen (30.7%), Afghanistan, and Pakistan (30.6% and 30.5%), respectively. In 2019, the highest prevalence of hypertension among adults was recorded in Iraq (40.7%) followed by Oman (38.6%), UAE (34.8%), Afghanistan (33.7%), Sudan (33.5%), and Kuwait (33.5%), followed by Egypt (33.2%) ( 6 ) ( Table 2 ; Figure 6 ).
High blood pressure prevalence among adults in different regions ( 6 ).
Raised blood pressure is the second risk factor responsible for the total number of DALYs worldwide. Among EMR countries, hypertension is the first reported risk factor responsible for the total number of DALYs in six countries (Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Morocco, Syria, and Tunisia) while it is the second reported risk factor in other nine countries (Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, UAE, and Yemen). The highest increase in blood pressure percentage between 2009 and 2019 in EMR was reported in UAE (140.1%) followed by Jordan (87.8%), Qatar (62.3%), Djibouti (56.9%), then Bahrain (55.7%). The increase in hypertension in the region has involved high-income countries including UAE, Qatar, and Bahrain ( 13 ) ( Table 5 ).
Accordingly, all body tissues are affected by high blood glucose including the heart, blood vessels, eyes, kidneys, and nerves, with subsequent complications including heart attack, stroke, kidney failure, lower limb amputation, blindness, and nerve damage ( 110 ). Nearly 9% of the global population had raised blood glucose levels in 2014 ( 111 ). In 2019, high fasting plasma glucose (>4.8–5.4 mmol/L) was ranked as the sixth most prevalent DALYs risk factor worldwide, accounting for 2,223.8 all-age DALYs per 100,000 and 84.0 all-age deaths per 100,000 ( 112 ). The EMR showed the highest levels (14% of the population), while 7–9% of the population from other regions had high levels of blood glucose. The upper-middle-income group tended to have higher levels (9%) ( 4 ). Within the EMR countries, the highest percentage of fasting blood glucose (≥7.0) mmol/L has been reported in Kuwait (19.6%), Qatar (18.9%), Egypt (17.9%), Saudi Arabia, Iraq (17.4%), and Jordan (16.8%) ( 6 ) ( Table 2 ).
According to the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study, raised fasting plasma glucose is the first reported risk factor accounted for the total number of DALYs in Palestine, while it is the second reported risk factor in three countries in the region (Bahrain, Kuwait, and Qatar) and it is the third risk factor in other seven countries (Iran, Iraq, Libya, Morocco, Oman, Saudi Arabia, and Tunisia). The highest increase in fasting plasma glucose percentage between 2009 and 2019 in EMR was reported in UAE (147%) followed by Bahrain (93.8%), Jordan and Qatar (85.9%), and Egypt (72.1%) ( 13 ) ( Table 5 ).
Blood cholesterol is one of the most important risk factors for ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke ( 113 ). The global prevalence of elevated total cholesterol (≥5 mmol/l) among adults aged ≥25 years was 38.9% (37.3% for men and 40.2% for women). Among the WHO-designated regions, the prevalence of hyper-cholesterolemia was the third highest in the EMR, at 38.4% (40.4% for women and 36.2% for men) ( 6 ). In 2018, global age-standardized mean total cholesterol was 4.6 mmol/l for women and 4.5 mmol/l for men ( 114 ) while the mean total cholesterol in the EMR is 4.4 mmol/l for both sexes, 4.4 mmol/l for men, and 4.5 mmol/l for women ( 6 ). It is noteworthy that blood non-HDL cholesterol is strongly associated with the long-term risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases. In 2018, global age-standardized mean non-HDL cholesterol was 3.3 mmol/l for women and 3.3 mmol/l (3.3–3.4) for men ( 114 ) while the mean non-HDL cholesterol in EMR in 2018, was 3.2 mmol/l for both sexes. In 2018, the highest recorded mean total cholesterol was in Lebanon 5 mmol/l followed by Kuwait and Jordan 4.8 mmol/l followed by UAE 4.6 mmol/l then Egypt and Iraq 4.4 mmol/l. Within EMR countries, the highest mean non-HDL cholesterol in 2018 was recorded in Lebanon at 3.7 mmol/l, followed by Kuwait and Jordan 3.5 mmol/l, then Oman, UAE, and Yemen 3.4 mmol/l ( 6 ) ( Table 2 ).
According to the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study, high LDL-c was the eighth-directing risk factor for DALYs. It contributed to 98.6 million DALYs and 4.40 million deaths in 2019 ( 115 ). High LDL-c is the fifth reported risk factor in three countries in the region (Morocco, Oman, and UAE), while it is the sixth reported risk factor in six countries in the region (Egypt, Iran, Lebanon, Libya, Syria, and Tunisia). The highest increase in fasting plasma glucose percentage between 2009 and 2019 in EMR was reported in UAE (141.5%) followed by Jordan (86.9), then Bahrain (48.6%), and Yemen (47.4%) ( 13 ) ( Table 5 ).
Both overweight and obesity-related to unhealthy dietary habits as well as insufficient physical activity are the key risk factors for NCDs ( 116 ). For instance, TFA consumption induces low-grade systemic inflammation and is positively correlated with endothelial dysfunction (a non-obstructive coronary artery disease) ( 117 – 121 ). Being overweight and having obesity also enhances low-grade systematic inflammation, creates a higher concentration of pro-inflammatory cytokines, and further endothelial dysfunction, all of which are metabolic risk factors for nutrition-related NCDs, and in particular, heart disease ( 122 , 123 ) ( Figure 1 ).
Nevertheless, its association with other risk factors, including diabetes, high body cholesterol, elevated blood pressure, and metabolic syndrome, obesity could serve as an independent risk factor for CVDs ( 124 ). Since abdominal obesity is an independent risk factor for coronary heart disease, the distribution of body fat represents an additional risk. The intra-abdominal fat buildup promotes insulin resistance, which can lead to glucose intolerance, elevated triglycerides, and low HDL as well as hypertension ( 125 ). Ultimately, obesity is the key risk factor for type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, cancer, and premature death ( 126 ). Individuals who decreased 7% of their body weight significantly reduced all cardiovascular risk variables except LDL cholesterol levels, however, the rate of cardiovascular events did not decrease during the trial ( 127 ).
In a statewide cross-sectional study done by phone interviews in June 2020 in Saudi Arabia, obesity was found to be prevalent at 24.7%, and overweight at 21.7%. Type 2 diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, sleep apnea, lung diseases, rheumatoid arthritis, colon diseases, and thyroid issues have all been significantly linked to obesity ( 128 ). A further study conducted in Qatar confirmed that obesity risk factors (c-peptide, insulin, albumin, and uric acid) and obesity-related comorbidities such as diabetes (e.g., HbA1c, glucose), liver function (e.g., alkaline phosphatase, gamma-glutamyl transferase), lipid profile (e.g., triglyceride, LDL-c, HDL-c), as well as most of the dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry measurements (e.g., bone area, bone mineral composition, bone mineral density, etc.) were significantly ( p <0.05) higher in the obese group ( 129 ).
Substantially, elevated blood pressure has been linked to the consumption of food high in salt and NCDs. An intervention trial that included 9,000 adults with baseline systolic blood pressure between 130 and 180 mmHg indicated that a lower blood pressure target was accompanied by a significantly lower incidence of myocardial infarction, acute coronary syndrome, stroke, heart failure, or death ( 130 ). Diabetes also is a recognized and significant risk factor for CVDs ( 131 ). CVDs is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality among individuals with diabetes. It is therefore recommended that individuals with diabetes should have a target blood pressure of <130/80 mmHg to prevent the incidence of CVDs ( 132 ).