Narrowing down the Hubble tension to the first two rungs of distance ladders
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Abstract
Abstract The decade-persistent Hubble tension has become a 5σ crisis of modern cosmology between the early-Universe extrapolation from globally fitting the standard ΛCDM to Planck-CMB measurements and the late-Universe measurement from the three-rung distance ladder with SH0ES calibration. Regarding the current dilemma of theoretical resolutions, recent focus has shifted to systematics inspection. Here we find an associated $5\sigma$ tension in the intercept of the supernova magnitude-redshift relation between the second-rung and third-rung supernovae from the PantheonPlus compilation independent of calibrations in use. As required by the consistency of the distance-ladder method, we propose an ingenious method to eliminate the intercept tension, directly constraining H0 = 73.4±1.0 km/s/Mpc from the first two-rung distance ladder alone without referring to the third-rung supernovae but still consistent with both SH0ES typical three-rung and first two-rung constraints, which not only supports our method to rebuild the intercept consistency but also rules out third-rung supernova systematics including the late-time transition in supernova absolute magnitude. Further crosschecks for Carnegie Supernova Project with different calibrations all consistently prefer our results. Therefore, the original Hubble tension between the Planck-CMB measurements and SH0ES three-rung distance ladder can be narrowed down to a tension between the Planck-CMB and the first two-rung measurements.
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- europepmc
- last seen: 2026-05-19T01:45:01.086888+00:00