Aims
This randomised survey aimed to investigate the effectiveness of a sham procedure for endometrial scratching. Participants from two existing trials of endometrial scratching compared to a sham, followed by regular unprotected intercourse, were randomised to guess their study allocation at either an early or late stage of the trial.
There were the following three specific aims: Does the use of a placebo procedure blind participants to their treatment allocation? Do symptoms or side effects from the procedure (real or perceived) influence participant allocation guessing, specifically pain during procedure, bleeding following procedure, and pregnancy outcome? Do measured behaviours indicate success of blinding, specifically episodes of intercourse for three cycles and occurrence of protocol violations?
Does the use of a placebo procedure blind participants to their treatment allocation?
Do symptoms or side effects from the procedure (real or perceived) influence participant allocation guessing, specifically pain during procedure, bleeding following procedure, and pregnancy outcome?
Do measured behaviours indicate success of blinding, specifically episodes of intercourse for three cycles and occurrence of protocol violations?
Methods
Participants were taking part in one of two ongoing trials comparing endometrial scratching to a sham procedure [ 23 , 24 ]. All participants were scheduled for a clinic visit between days 1 and 12 of a menstrual or ovulation induction cycle. They were advised to arrive with a partly filled bladder and to take paracetamol 60 min prior. Upon arrival, participants were randomised to either the endometrial scratching or sham groups, and informed that the procedure could be uncomfortable, with varying experiences among individuals. A web-based external system, InferMed Macro (InferMed UK), was employed for both data collection and randomisation, enabling verification of participant eligibility and maintaining allocation concealment up to the moment of assignment. Participants were randomised in a 1:1 ratio using a block design with variable block sizes (8 and 10), applied in a randomly alternating sequence and stratified by study site. Following randomisation, participants remained blinded to their assigned group, whereas the clinician performing the intervention was unavoidably aware of the allocation. Clinicians maintained blinding by ensuring both procedures took a similar length of time, using consistent instructions, and employing distraction techniques for all patients, such as asking participants to cough as the pipelle is passed through the cervix.
Immediately after the procedure, participants recorded their pain on a 10-cm VAS scale (0 = no pain, 10 = worst pain) and were provided with a study diary to log bleeding the day after the procedure, menstruation dates, and episodes of intercourse for three menstrual or ovulation induction cycles. Participants attempted to conceive via intercourse in their current cycle and for two subsequent cycles. During the trial, if pregnancy was suspected, participants was advised to take a home test. Participants with positive pregnancy tests contacted the coordinator for a viability scan at 6–8 weeks’ gestation, and all pregnancies were followed to live birth.
Within 2 days of the study procedure, participants were randomly allocated to guess their study allocation either early or late. The same web-based system, InferMed Macro, was employed for randomisation as described above, which enabled allocation concealment up to the moment of assignment. Participants were randomised in a 1:1 ratio using a block design with variable block sizes (8 and 10), applied in a randomly alternating sequence and stratified by study site. Early corresponded to a guess within the first 2 weeks of the trial, and late corresponded to a guess at the end of the 3-month study period (when the participant knew whether or not they had fallen pregnant). Participants were contacted by email or phone and asked to guess their allocation using a 2 × 3 format with the options of ‘don’t know’, ‘endometrial scratching’, and ‘placebo’ [ 25 ]. Participants were also asked to provide a reason for their guess as an open-ended question. Reasons were then grouped into the following categories: pain from procedure, use of extra instruments during procedure, bleeding after procedure, attitude of personnel, hunch, pregnancy outcome, other. Participants randomised to early were also asked to guess again at the end of the study (late). Participants were informed of their allocation after providing their late guess.
Assessment of participant blinding was undertaken using both James’ and Bang’s blinding indexes [ 21 , 22 ]. Missing data were handled using a complete case approach, and no imputation was applied. An intercourse score for each cycle was determined from the study diary as follows: a high score if at least one episode of intercourse occurred between 10 and 13 days prior to the onset of the next menses (the most fertile period); medium if at least one episode occurred 9, 14, or 15 days prior to the subsequent menses; and low if no intercourse occurred between 9 and 15 days prior to the next menses. For example, if a participant with a 28-day cycle had intercourse on cycle days 7, 11, and 15, they would be assigned an intercourse score for that cycle of ‘high’. The overall score for each participant was the most common score across the three cycles, with ‘high’ being assigned if the participant had one each of low, medium, and high scoring cycles.
Women were defined as having a protocol violation if they were: Lost to follow-up Misplaced or did not return the study diary Had at least one cycle with no episodes of intercourse Were allocated to the early group and did not supply the late guess Committed any other protocol violation such as undergoing any additional intrauterine procedure, or any fertility treatment such as intrauterine insemination or in vitro fertilisation (IVF)
Lost to follow-up
Misplaced or did not return the study diary
Had at least one cycle with no episodes of intercourse
Were allocated to the early group and did not supply the late guess
Committed any other protocol violation such as undergoing any additional intrauterine procedure, or any fertility treatment such as intrauterine insemination or in vitro fertilisation (IVF)
The chi-squared test was used to measure associations between categorical variables, such as trial allocation and occurrence of protocol violations. The independent Student’s t -test was used to measure differences in means between groups, for example mean pain scores. These analyses were undertaken in two ways. The first analysis compared the endometrial scratching group to the placebo group (ignoring guesses). This replicated the information available to most studies as participants are seldom requested to guess their allocation in trials [ 12 , 13 ]. The second set of analyses assessed participants based on their guesses. These analyses were undertaken separately in women randomised to the endometrial scratching and placebo groups, to control for confounding from actual trial allocation. Participants randomised to guess early were also asked to guess late; however, only their early guesses were used in these analyses. The late guesses from these participants were only used for the assessment of whether there were changes in guessing between early and late. The blinding indices were calculated using the BI package in R (R Core Team, 2024). All other analyses were undertaken using Stata V.17 (Stata-Corp., College Station, TX, USA). Any p value < 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. No power calculation was undertaken specific to this research as the sample size calculations were undertaken for the primary outcome of the two individual trials [ 23 , 24 ]. The statistician performing the data analysis was not blind to the study allocations.
Results
A total of 336 women were included in the existing trials, and 293 were randomised to guessing their study allocation, as guessing trial allocation was introduced 6 months following trial initiation. Of the 293 randomised women, 278 were included in the analysis after excluding 15 ineligible participants who did not provide at least one guess (Fig. 2 ). Of the 278 included participants, 139 women were randomised to endometrial scratching and 139 to placebo, and 142 were allocated to guess early, and 136 to guess late. Additionally, 113 of those allocated to guess early also provided guesses late. Fig. 2 Study flow diagram
Study flow diagram
In the endometrial scratching arm, 32 (23%) women guessed ‘don’t know’, 89 (64%) correctly guessed allocation to the endometrial scratching arm, and 18 (13%) guessed allocation to the placebo arm (Table 1 ). In the placebo group, 27 (19%) guessed ‘don’t know’, 72 (52%) correctly guessed allocation to the placebo arm, and 40 (29%) guessed allocation to the endometrial scratching arm. In total, 59/278 (21%) guessed ‘don’t know’, 129/278 (56%) women guessed their correct allocation, and 90/278 (32%) guessed incorrectly.
Table 1 Participant guesses of trial allocation, by true trial allocation and by timing of guesses, including James’ and Bangs’ blinding indexes Guessed scratching N (%) Guessed placebo N (%) Don’t know N (%) James’ blinding index (95% CI) Bang’s blinding index (95% CI) All guesses ( N = 278) Scratching 89 (64.0) 18 (13.0) 32 (23.0) 0.42 (0.36 to 0.48) 0.51 (0.39 to 0.63) Placebo 40 (28.8) 72 (51.8) 27 (19.4) 0.23 (0.09 to 0.37) Early ( N = 142) Scratching 51 (69.9) 7 (9.6) 15 (20.5) 0.41 (0.33 to 0.49) 0.60 (0.45 to 0.75) Placebo 20 (29.0) 33 (47.8) 16 (23.2) 0.19 (−0.01 to 0.39) Late ( N = 136) Scratching 38 (57.8) 11 (16.7) 17 (25.8) 0.43 (0.35 to 0.51) 0.41 (0.23 to 0.59) Placebo 20 (28.6) 39 (55.7) 11 (15.7) 0.27 (0.07 to 0.48) Interpretation: James’ index ranges from 0 to 1: a score of 0 indicates complete unblinding, 0.5 indicates random guessing/successful blinding, and a score of 1 indicates all participants guess the opposite of their true allocation. Unblinding may be claimed if the two-sided confidence interval does not cover 0.5 (i.e. if the upper bound of the interval is below 0.5); Bang’s index ranges from −1 to 1: a score of −1 indicates all participants guessing the opposite of their true allocation, 0 indicates random guessing/successful blinding, and 1 indicates complete unblinding. Unblinding may be claimed if the confidence interval does not cover 0 CI confidence interval
Participant guesses of trial allocation, by true trial allocation and by timing of guesses, including James’ and Bangs’ blinding indexes
Interpretation: James’ index ranges from 0 to 1: a score of 0 indicates complete unblinding, 0.5 indicates random guessing/successful blinding, and a score of 1 indicates all participants guess the opposite of their true allocation. Unblinding may be claimed if the two-sided confidence interval does not cover 0.5 (i.e. if the upper bound of the interval is below 0.5); Bang’s index ranges from −1 to 1: a score of −1 indicates all participants guessing the opposite of their true allocation, 0 indicates random guessing/successful blinding, and 1 indicates complete unblinding. Unblinding may be claimed if the confidence interval does not cover 0
CI confidence interval
Success of blinding was examined using both James’ and Bang’s blinding indexes (Table 1 ). Overall, James’ index suggested a lack of blinding as the confidence interval approached but did not cross 0.5—except for the late guesses (Table 1 ). Bang’s blinding index also demonstrated evidence of unblinding among all participants with greater unblinding suggested within the scratching arm.
There appear to be minor differences in unblinding between participants guessing early and those guessing late. Participants guessing late were more likely to guess they were allocated to the placebo group; however, this was not statistically significant ( p = 0.277 in endometrial scratching group, p = 0.492 in placebo group) (Fig. 3 A, Table 1 ). Participants randomised to guess early were also asked to guess their allocation a second time (late), allowing an opportunity to measure changes in belief over time. The distribution of guesses was similar at the two time points; indeed, most participants (75%, 85/113) did not change their guess over time (Fig. 3 B). Fig. 3 Guessing of trial allocations among survey participants. A Allocation guesses in all participants, by trial allocation. B Response changes over time among those allocated to guessing early, by trial allocation
Guessing of trial allocations among survey participants. A Allocation guesses in all participants, by trial allocation. B Response changes over time among those allocated to guessing early, by trial allocation
There are three measurable symptoms or effects of the scratching and placebo procedures which may lead to (perceived) unblinding of participants: pain experienced during the procedure, bleeding following the procedure, and pregnancy outcome in the trial.
Women were asked to record the level of pain they experienced during the procedure on a 10-cm VAS. The mean pain score was significantly higher in the scratching arm than in the placebo group (mean score 4.5 ± 2.4 vs. 1.4 ± 1.5, p < 0.001) (Table 2 ).
Table 2 Symptoms and behaviours of trial participants, and associations with trial allocation and with allocation guesses Scratching Placebo p value (comparing scratch vs. placebo) Total ( n = 139) Guess scratch ( n = 89) Guess placebo ( n = 18) Don’t know ( n = 32) p value (comparing guess) Total ( n = 139) Guess scratch ( n = 40) Guess placebo ( n = 72) Don’t know ( n = 27) p value (comparing guess) Symptoms Pain (mean ± SD) 4.5 ± 2.4 1.4 ± 1.5 <0.001 Pain score < mean 32 (45.7) 15 (21.4) 23 (32.9) mean 57 (82.6) 3 (4.4) 9 (13.0) 21 (25.3) 47 (56.6) 15 (18.1) Missing ( n ) 0 4 Bleeding Bleeding 87 (67.4) 59 (67.8) 17 (19.5) 17 (19.5) 0.383 20 (16.3) 10 (50.0) 5 (25.0) 5 (25.0) 0.006 <0.001 No bleeding 42 (32.6) 24 (57.1) 7 (16.7) 11 (26.2) 103 (83.7) 25 (24.3) 62 (60.2) 16 (15.5) Missing ( n ) 10 14 Pregnancy outcome (only late guess, n = 136) Not pregnant 57 (86.4) 29 (50.9) 11 (19.3) 17 (29.8) 0.022 62 (88.6) 15 (24.2) 38 (61.3) 9 (14.5) 0.028 0.490 Pregnant 9 (13.6) 9 (100.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 8 (11.4) 5 (62.5) 1 (12.5) 2 (25.0) Behaviours Intercourse score Low 1 (0.8) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 1 (3.2) 0.079 5 (3.9) 4 (11.1) 1 (1.4) 0 (0.0) 0.073 0.359 Medium 13 (10.2) 7 (8.5) 0 (0.0) 6 (19.4) 9 (7.1) 4 (11.1) 4 (5.8) 1 (4.5) High 115 (89.1) 75 (91.5) 16 (100) 24 (77.4) 113 (89.0) 28 (77.8) 64 (92.8) 21 (95.5) Missing ( n ) 10 12 Protocol violations Yes 24 (17.3) 17 (19.1) 5 (27.8) 2 (6.3) 0.115 23 (16.5) 7 (17.5) 11 (15.3) 5 (18.5) 0.911 0.501 No 115 (82.7) 72 (80.9) 13 (72.2) 30 (93.8) 116 (83.5) 33 (82.5) 61 (84.7) 22 (81.5) Missing ( n ) 0 0 Denominators used were the total number of responses/measures for each variable (excluding missing data). For the symptoms, denominators were the number of women in each symptom subgroup, for example the number of women with a pain score above average, to address the question ‘Are women with a mean pain score above average more likely to guess allocation to the endometrial scratching group?’ For the behaviours, denominators were the totals for the guessing subgroups, for example the number of women guessing allocation to the placebo arm, to address the question ‘Are women guessing allocation to the placebo arm, more likely to commit a protocol violation?’
Symptoms and behaviours of trial participants, and associations with trial allocation and with allocation guesses
Denominators used were the total number of responses/measures for each variable (excluding missing data). For the symptoms, denominators were the number of women in each symptom subgroup, for example the number of women with a pain score above average, to address the question ‘Are women with a mean pain score above average more likely to guess allocation to the endometrial scratching group?’ For the behaviours, denominators were the totals for the guessing subgroups, for example the number of women guessing allocation to the placebo arm, to address the question ‘Are women guessing allocation to the placebo arm, more likely to commit a protocol violation?’
Within the endometrial scratching group, women with a mean pain score above average were more likely to guess they were allocated to the endometrial scratching arm than women with a pain score below average ( p < 0.001). However, the same trend was not observed in the placebo arm.
Women were asked to report whether they had any vaginal bleeding the day following the procedure (excluding menstruation). Women in the endometrial scratching group were more likely to experience bleeding (67%) than women in the placebo group (16%) ( p < 0.001) (Table 2 ).
Among women in the endometrial scratching group, those who experienced bleeding were more likely to correctly guess their allocation; however, this was not statistically significant ( p = 0.383). Among women in the placebo arm, those experiencing bleeding were more likely to guess allocation to endometrial scratching than those not experiencing bleeding ( p = 0.006).
Across both studies, there was no evidence of any impact of endometrial scratching on the chance of pregnancy [ 23 , 24 ]. Pregnancy outcomes were only relevant for participants guessing late, as those guessing early did not yet know if they had conceived during the study. In the scratching group, all women who became pregnant ( n = 9) correctly guessed they were in the scratching arm, and most women who conceived in the placebo group also guessed they were in the scratch arm (63%).
Participants were asked to provide a free-text reason to support their choice of guess. In the endometrial scratching arm, those correctly guessing their allocation was endometrial scratching most often reported the reason as pain during the procedure (64%) (Table 3 ). Similarly, women in the placebo arm guessing their allocation was placebo were more likely to report (lack of) pain as the reason.
Table 3 Reasons supporting participant guesses, by guesses and by trial allocation Symptoms Scratch ( N = 139) Placebo ( N = 139) Guess scratch ( n = 83) N (%) Guess placebo ( n = 17) N (%) Don’t know ( n = 17) Guess scratch ( n = 37) N (%) Guess placebo ( n = 70) N (%) Don’t know ( n = 9) Pain during procedure 53 (64) 4 (24) 6 (35) 16 (43) 25 (36) 4 (44) Use of extra instruments 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 1 (2.7) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0 Bleeding after procedure 8 (9.6) 0 (0.0) 1 (5.9) 2 (5.4) 4 (5.7) 1 (11) Personnel attitude 1 (1.2) 2 (12) 1 (5.9) 1 (2.7) 2 (2.9) 0 (0.0) Hunch 14 (17) 3 (18) 3 (18) 9 (24) 10 (14) 2 (22) Other 0 (0.0) 7 (41) 1 (5.9) 3 (8.1) 19 (27) 1 (1.1) Pregnancy* 7 (8.3) 1 (5.9) 5 (29) 5 (14) 10 (14) 1 (1.1) Missing 6 1 15 3 2 18 * Only applies to late answers
Reasons supporting participant guesses, by guesses and by trial allocation
* Only applies to late answers
There are two measurable behaviours which may indicate whether participants were aware of their trial allocation: timing of intercourse and occurrence of protocol violations.
Intercourse scores were determined based on the timing of reported intercourse events relative to the most fertile window, as recorded in the study diary. The distribution of low, medium, and high scores was 1%, 10%, and 89% in the endometrial scratching group, and 4%, 7%, and 89% in the placebo group ( p = 0.359) (Table 3 ). Unexpectedly, those who believed they were in the placebo group reported slightly more intercourse in both the endometrial scratching group ( p = 0.079) and the placebo group ( p = 0.073).
A total of 47 women committed protocol violations, with 24 in the endometrial scratching group and 23 in the placebo group, showing no significant difference between groups ( p = 0.501). In the endometrial scratching group, women who guessed they were in the placebo group were more likely to commit a protocol violation compared to those who guessed placebo though this difference was not statistically significant ( p = 0.115). In the placebo group, there was no evidence of an association between participant guesses and protocol violations ( p = 0.897) (Table 3 ).
Background
Randomisation is the most effective method for preventing confounding and ensuring comparability between treatment groups. However, randomisation alone cannot protect against all forms of bias. One threat to trial validity is performance bias, which arises when knowledge of treatment allocation influences the behaviour of trial participants or personnel in a manner that differs in the trial context compared to real-world use of the intervention. In the absence of blinding, the trial context can lead to systematic differences in care or use of adjunct interventions, ultimately distorting treatment effects and compromising the reliability of trial findings [ 1 ]. A common method to minimise performance bias is to blind or mask participants and study personnel to trial allocation, for example with the use of a placebo or sham.
Empirical evidence from meta-epidemiological studies is mixed as to whether unblinded trials are more likely to report exaggerated treatment effects, thereby providing misleading information about intervention benefits [ 2 – 6 ]. Trials including randomised sub-cohorts of blinded and non-blinded participants also demonstrate inflated treatment effects among the non-blinded cohorts [ 7 ].
Despite the advantages of blinding, its implementation remains inconsistent. An audit of RCTs published in leading medical journals found that approximately 40% of RCTs are reported as double-blind, the remainder being partially or completely open-label [ 8 ]. Several factors likely contribute to this observation, including the logistical challenges of creating a suitable placebo, the cost of placebo manufacturing, and the perception that blinding is unnecessary in studies with objective endpoints such as death [ 9 ]. Furthermore, some researchers believe that blinding increases recruitment difficulties, and that participants may feel deceived or distrustful of trial personnel, which could lead to participant withdrawal or protocol violations, which in turn affect the reliability of the trial results [ 10 , 11 ].
Even when blinding is employed, its effectiveness is not guaranteed. Blinding can be compromised if active and placebo interventions are distinguishable by appearance, taste, or side effects. As a result, some trials may be described as double-blinded even when participants were able to discern their allocation. One approach to assessing blinding effectiveness is to ask participants to guess their treatment allocation [ 12 , 13 ]. However, the optimal timing for such assessments remains controversial. Early assessments may fail to detect unblinding that occurs at a later time, whereas late assessments may be influenced by treatment outcomes [ 13 – 17 ]. Some researchers advocate for multiple assessments throughout the trial to evaluate changes in blinding status over time [ 18 , 19 ], though repeated questioning may itself encourage participants to attempt to uncover their allocation [ 20 ].
To quantify the success of blinding, two indices have been developed: James’ blinding index (JBI) and Bang’s blinding index (BBI) [ 21 , 22 ]. JBI appropriately assigns greater weight to participants who respond ‘don’t know’, reflecting the assumption that successful blinding results in uncertainty about allocation [ 19 ]. However, JBI combines responses from both trial arms, limiting its ability to detect differential unblinding between groups. In contrast, BBI is more sensitive to unblinding and allows for separate assessment within each treatment arm [ 22 ]. While both indices have strengths and limitations, using them in combination may provide a more comprehensive assessment of blinding integrity [ 19 ].
This study reports on the assessment of blinding in two similar trials of endometrial scratching among subfertile couples attempting to conceive from intercourse [ 23 , 24 ]. An endometrial scratch procedure involves placement of a thin plastic pipelle through the cervix and into the uterus to obtain a sample of endometrial tissue through the mechanical action of suction and rotation (Fig. 1 A). These trials utilised a sham procedure in which the pipelle was positioned in the posterior fornix of the vagina, without inserting it into the cervix or uterine cavity (Fig. 1 B). While this approach minimised potential contamination or incidental ‘scratching’ of the cervix or uterus, it also risked failing to fully blind participants due to likely differences in discomfort levels. Given that most participants had no prior experience with endometrial biopsy, their expectations regarding pain were expected to be varied. Fig. 1 Cross-sectional diagram of intervention and sham procedures. A A depiction of a standard pipelle biopsy/endometrial scratch procedure, with placement of the pipelle inside the womb in order to obtain an endometrial biopsy. B A depiction of the sham procedure used, with placement of the pipelle in the posterior fornix, with no insertion of the instrument into the external os of the cervix. The internal piston is withdrawn and the catheter moved and rotated to replicate the standard biopsy action. Image created by Matthew McAlpine
Cross-sectional diagram of intervention and sham procedures. A A depiction of a standard pipelle biopsy/endometrial scratch procedure, with placement of the pipelle inside the womb in order to obtain an endometrial biopsy. B A depiction of the sham procedure used, with placement of the pipelle in the posterior fornix, with no insertion of the instrument into the external os of the cervix. The internal piston is withdrawn and the catheter moved and rotated to replicate the standard biopsy action. Image created by Matthew McAlpine
Conclusion
Despite the use of a sham procedure, over half of participants in these randomised trials correctly guessed their treatment allocation, with pain and bleeding emerging as key factors contributing to unblinding. While blinding was not fully successful, we found no consistent evidence that this influenced participant behaviour, such as protocol violations or timing of intercourse—however, these were self-reported behaviours and there may be other important undetected changes. These findings highlight the challenges of achieving and interpreting blinding in trials of physical procedures. The feasibility and impact of blinding are likely to vary by context, even in different assisted reproductive technology trials, where procedural cues or patient expectations may influence both blinding and behaviour.
Discussion
This study aimed to assess whether the use of a placebo procedure in an endometrial scratching trial effectively blinded participants to their assigned trial group. The results demonstrated most participants (56%) correctly guessed their allocation; the remainder either guessed incorrectly (32%) or were unsure (21%). James and Bang’s blinding indices both indicated probable lack of blinding, which was possibly more pronounced in the endometrial scratching arm. Pain and post-procedure bleeding were key factors contributing to unblinding in this study. Women in the endometrial scratching group reported higher pain scores and were more likely to experience post-procedure bleeding compared to those in the placebo group. Higher pain scores were also associated with a greater likelihood of guessing assignment to the endometrial scratching group.
The implication of the observed unblinding is unclear given that we did not detect problematic impact on participant behaviour, such as protocol violations or differences in intercourse patterns between groups. In fact, unexpectedly, we observed higher intercourse scores in those guessing they were in the placebo group. As these behaviours were largely self-reported by the participants, they are prone to bias such as social desirability bias, and it remains possible that the unblinding led to undetected changes to the behaviour of participants or personnel. However, we might expect any unblinding to favour the intervention arm, and the overall trial results found no evidence of an effect of endometrial scratching [ 23 , 24 ]. These findings may challenge the assumption that similar intercourse behaviours across trial arms confirm blinding [ 26 , 27 ]. Although we did not detect changes in intercourse behaviour or protocol violations because of unblinding, it is possible that other unmeasured factors, like stress, may still influence outcomes. Additionally, although the blinding indices suggest unblinding overall, half of participants did not guess their allocation correctly—which is still preferable to complete unblinding. However, it is because of the importance of the impact on behaviour rather than the blinding itself that the most recent CONSORT guidelines have removed the recommendation to report on blinding evaluation [ 28 ].
Researchers have debated the optimal timing for assessing participant blinding, with many suggesting that early guesses are more reliable, as later guesses may be influenced by knowledge of outcomes [ 12 ]. In our study, participants who conceived were more likely to guess they were in the scratch arm. However, overall, we observed little difference between early and late blinding guesses.
Our team and others have also performed large trials of endometrial scratching among participants undergoing IVF [ 29 , 30 ]. In these studies, an open-label design was used—with no blinding of participants or personnel. The decision to forego a sham procedure was based on the assumption that IVF intervention occurs in the laboratory; all participants are highly motivated to conceive as they have one discrete opportunity to conceive from the IVF cycle, thereby reducing the opportunity for performance bias. However, in these IVF studies, we observed a higher incidence of protocol violations in the control arms, including control participants seeking endometrial scratching and participant withdrawal due to dissatisfaction with their allocation. Notably, a greater proportion of participants in the scratching arms proceeded to embryo transfer, suggesting that knowledge of allocation influenced participant or clinician decisions to cancel or defer the IVF cycle or embryo transfer, with more cancellations occurring in the control groups. This was unexpected given our assumption that blinding was not as important in the IVF context. We had anticipated more opportunity for performance bias in the studies where participants were trying to conceive from intercourse, where motivation to conceive may be increased by knowledge of allocation to a possible infertility therapy—e.g. participants in the scratch arm having more intercourse or better timing their sex in order to capitalise on their exposure to the scratch. All of our assumptions were proven incorrect—the procedure did not successfully blind people, couples in the placebo group had more intercourse than the intervention group, and we observed possible performance bias in the IVF study after deciding a sham procedure was not necessary.
The sham procedure used in this study involved placing the pipelle in the posterior fornix without cervical or uterine manipulation. This approach was intended to balance the objectives of achieving blinding without introducing contamination from a sham procedure that could cause some level of endometrial injury, and to minimise even small risks to participants, such as vasovagal response or infection. However, it resulted in significantly less pain and discomfort compared to the actual intervention. While complete blinding could theoretically be achieved by performing the procedure under general anaesthesia, ethical, medical, and financial considerations make this an impractical solution. Nevertheless, placebo-controlled surgical trials in gynaecology, particularly in the context of endometriosis, demonstrate that more invasive strategies to optimise blinding can be justified under carefully controlled conditions [ 31 , 32 ]. More broadly, this challenge is not unique to the present study. Other gynaecological trials of procedural interventions have encountered similar difficulties in achieving effective blinding. For instance, in a recent RCT comparing carbon dioxide vaginal laser with a sham procedure, extensive efforts were undertaken to standardise the procedural experience across groups, including matching discomfort as well as auditory and visual cues, yet participants in the intervention arm reported lower procedural tolerance than those in the sham arm [ 33 ].
The decision to implement a sham procedure in an endometrial scratching trial involves multiple considerations beyond its effectiveness in blinding participants. On the one hand, a placebo procedure reduces protocol violations, such as control group participants seeking endometrial scratching independently. If unblinding occurs, it happens on the day of the procedure, limiting participants’ ability to seek out the study procedure or other off-protocol infertility therapy privately. For example, in the aforementioned IVF trials, we observed a small number of control participants (8/674) undergoing endometrial scratching privately [ 34 ]. Furthermore, blinding participants also enables blinding of trial and clinic staff, reducing possible bias in prioritising or pre-booking IVF for those receiving endometrial scratching.
On the other hand, a sham procedure may slow recruitment [ 35 ], as participants might decline additional clinic visits. Blinding can cause distress and tension between participants and trial staff. Though safe, the placebo procedure may cause some pain, require extra clinic visits, and add financial and time burdens on patients and clinics. One further and very minor disadvantage includes, logistically, only the performing clinician (and possibly a chaperone) should be aware of participant allocations, requiring additional administrative controls.
Limitations of this study included the small sample size and lack of a formal power calculation, which may have influenced the ability to detect unblinding. Blinding assessment was introduced 6 months after recruitment commenced; however, this still captured 87% of the overall trial population. Missing data was also a concern, as some participants did not complete self-reported outcomes, and 15 participants were excluded for not providing an allocation guess. Only one sham procedure was tested, and other approaches, such as pipelle placement at the internal os [ 36 ] or using an endometrial sound [ 37 ], may have different blinding effectiveness.
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