Resilience in Practice: Evaluating the Synergies and Trade-Offs Between Social Welfare Programmes and Indigenous Coping Mechanisms in Ethiopia

Resilience in Practice: Evaluating the Synergies and Trade-Offs Between Social Welfare Programmes and Indigenous Coping Mechanisms in Ethiopia | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Resilience in Practice: Evaluating the Synergies and Trade-Offs Between Social Welfare Programmes and Indigenous Coping Mechanisms in Ethiopia Daregot Berihun Tenessa This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-7461544/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract In Ethiopia, multidimensional resilience building through various social protection programmes and local coping mechanisms is necessary to protect households whose well-being is threatened by climate-related risks and socioeconomic instability. This study delves into their synergies and trade-offs that shape household resilience using the five waves (2011-2021) of the Ethiopian Living Standards Measurement Survey (ELSMS). A pseudo-panel of 15,191 cohorts is constructed, and a beta regression model with random effects is employed to study the determinants of a multidimensional resilience intensity. The strongest effect is social protection programmes, with each one-unit increase associated with a 50-percentage-point increase in resilience. There is also an important contribution by the indigenous standard coping practices, adding 9.75 percentage points to resilience. However, the interaction does not produce any marginal significance, thus indicating independent operations. Contextual factors like credit access, gender, and food security also play critical roles. Indigenous strategies, though culturally embedded, are being increasingly limited by external shocks. This study also highlights the need for integrated approaches and provides empirical insights institutions might draw upon in designing context-specific resilience policies in Ethiopia. Beta-Regression Ethiopia Indigenous-capacity Resilience Social-welfare Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-7461544","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":514650984,"identity":"0ce8a45e-9ae6-4d7c-b607-2ed897198fb3","order_by":0,"name":"Daregot Berihun Tenessa","email":"data:image/png;base64,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","orcid":"","institution":"","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Daregot","middleName":"Berihun","lastName":"Tenessa","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2025-08-26 09:53:21","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7461544/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7461544/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":91403681,"identity":"968e343e-1386-40cf-83a5-808e72760d6c","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2025-09-16 07:29:10","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":667452,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"4RESILIENCEBR.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-7461544/v1_covered_d9fe01d8-8529-4186-a61c-2c9540242ad2.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"No competing interests reported.","formattedTitle":"\u003cp\u003eResilience in Practice: Evaluating the Synergies and Trade-Offs Between Social Welfare Programmes and Indigenous Coping Mechanisms in Ethiopia\u003c/p\u003e","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"Beta-Regression, Ethiopia, Indigenous-capacity, Resilience, Social-welfare","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7461544/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7461544/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eIn Ethiopia, multidimensional resilience building through various social protection programmes and local coping mechanisms is necessary to protect households whose well-being is threatened by climate-related risks and socioeconomic instability. This study delves into their synergies and trade-offs that shape household resilience using the five waves (2011-2021) of the Ethiopian Living Standards Measurement Survey (ELSMS). A pseudo-panel of 15,191 cohorts is constructed, and a beta regression model with random effects is employed to study the determinants of a multidimensional resilience intensity. The strongest effect is social protection programmes, with each one-unit increase associated with a 50-percentage-point increase in resilience. There is also an important contribution by the indigenous standard coping practices, adding 9.75 percentage points to resilience. However, the interaction does not produce any marginal significance, thus indicating independent operations. Contextual factors like credit access, gender, and food security also play critical roles. Indigenous strategies, though culturally embedded, are being increasingly limited by external shocks. This study also highlights the need for integrated approaches and provides empirical insights institutions might draw upon in designing context-specific resilience policies in Ethiopia.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"Resilience in Practice: Evaluating the Synergies and Trade-Offs Between Social Welfare Programmes and Indigenous Coping Mechanisms in Ethiopia","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2025-09-15 18:03:21","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-7461544/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"aa968088-9dbc-483d-a6f6-c8c22d9ec06b","owner":[],"postedDate":"September 15th, 2025","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"posted","subjectAreas":[],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2025-09-15T18:03:21+00:00","versionOfRecord":[],"versionCreatedAt":"2025-09-15 18:03:21","video":"","vorDoi":"","vorDoiUrl":"","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-7461544","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-7461544","identity":"rs-7461544","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"8U1c8b4HqxoKbykW_rLl7","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}