Keeping up with the Joneses: the Relevance of Duesenberry’s Relative Income Hypothesis in Ethiopia | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Keeping up with the Joneses: the Relevance of Duesenberry’s Relative Income Hypothesis in Ethiopia Tazeb Bisset, Dagmawe Tenaw This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-83692/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Published Journal Publication published 07 Oct, 2020 Read the published version in Journal of Social and Economic Development → Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Although it was mysteriously neglected and displaced by the mainstream consumption theories, the Duesenberry’s relative income hypothesis seems quite relevant to the modern societies where individuals are increasingly obsessed with their social status. Accordingly, this study aims to investigate the relevance of Duesenberry’s demonstration and ratchet effects in Ethiopia using a quarterly data from 1999/2000Q1-2018/19Q4. To this end, two specifications of relative income hypothesis are estimated using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) regression model. The results confirm a backward-J shaped demonstration effect. This implies that an increase in relative income induces a steeper reduction in Average Propensity to consume (APC) at lower income groups (the demonstration effect is stronger for lower income households). The results also support the ratchet effect, indicating the importance of past consumption habits for current consumption decisions. In resolving the consumption puzzle, the presence of demonstration and ratchet effects reflects a stable APC in the long-run. Hence, consumption-related policies should be carefully designed as polices aimed at boosting aggregate demand can motivate low income households to gallop into wasteful competition so as to ‘keep up with the Joneses’—the relative riches. Behavioral Economics Macroeconomics Economic Theory Duesenberry’s demonstration and ratchet effects relative income APC ARDL Ethiopia Figures Figure 1 Figure 2 Figure 3 Full Text Cite Share Download PDF Status: Published Journal Publication published 07 Oct, 2020 Read the published version in Journal of Social and Economic Development → Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-83692","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":2771438,"identity":"d5c840d1-358d-4fa1-88d5-bdf0953500bb","order_by":0,"name":"Tazeb Bisset","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAABAUlEQVRIiWNgGAWjYJACZsYGCRDN+OCDgQ2IbjyATzkPQgszs+GMijSQlgZitIAtY5PmOXMYLIpXiz378YePC3dY2Mu39x+T4G07b7e2/TDQlhqbaJy28CQkG888I5G44cxhZgvJttvJ284kArUcS8ttwOmwhGPSvG0SCQYSyYw3DIFazA4AtTA2HMathf9h+2+gFnv5+Y8ZJBLbziWbnX9IQItEMhszUAtjww1mJokDZw7Ymd0gZMuNZ8zSEL8kGxs2VCQnmN0A2pKAxy/s/ekPPxfuqAOG2MGHj/8Y2NmbnU9/+OBDjQ1OLRggEawygVjlIGBPiuJRMApGwSgYGQAA09RjKwUJGmkAAAAASUVORK5CYII=","orcid":"","institution":"Dire Dawa University","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Tazeb","middleName":"","lastName":"Bisset","suffix":""},{"id":2771439,"identity":"24c3b28a-748f-40c1-af3d-66de44fc1639","order_by":1,"name":"Dagmawe Tenaw","email":"","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9768-0430","institution":"Dire Dawa University","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Dagmawe","middleName":"","lastName":"Tenaw","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2020-09-25 15:45:35","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":{"humanSubjects":false,"vertebrateSubjects":false,"conflictsOfInterestStatement":true,"humanSubjectEthicalGuidelines":false,"humanSubjectConsent":false,"humanSubjectClinicalTrial":false,"humanSubjectCaseReport":false,"vertebrateSubjectEthicalGuidelines":false,"coiExplicitlySet":false},"doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-83692/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-83692/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[{"content":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40847-022-00182-4","type":"published","date":"2020-10-07T18:11:55+00:00"}],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":2842335,"identity":"53776e28-1238-4dde-afb9-e650ca480e6d","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2020-10-07 21:03:07","extension":"png","order_by":1,"title":"Figure 1","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"figure","size":25408,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"APC vs. Relative Income (Demonstration effect) ","description":"","filename":"F1.png","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-83692/v1/603a27e13ee20154c5fd8130.png"},{"id":2842336,"identity":"3592665f-a3cf-4c9f-af12-8e03ced3f7d8","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2020-10-07 21:03:07","extension":"png","order_by":2,"title":"Figure 2","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"figure","size":24669,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"APC vs. Lag of APC (Ratchet Effect)","description":"","filename":"F2.png","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-83692/v1/22c750ec9f9e2e181a79e9b2.png"},{"id":2842337,"identity":"d4e8eec8-91b7-43b0-b635-093223865cbe","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2020-10-07 21:03:07","extension":"png","order_by":3,"title":"Figure 3","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"figure","size":47205,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"Trends of APC in Ethiopia \n(First Quarter of 1999/2000- Fourth Quarter of 2018/19)\n","description":"","filename":"F3.png","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-83692/v1/25aa150871f340bc29d6c4d7.png"},{"id":23197023,"identity":"00305bc1-3c80-4754-b657-e311a358d9e5","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2022-06-28 18:12:52","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":478106,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"DuesenberrysRelativeIncomeHypothesis.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-83692/v1_covered.pdf"},{"id":13539754,"identity":"86a0464a-14e7-4848-b46e-6b25f3da1727","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2021-09-17 01:44:43","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":473028,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"DuesenberrysRelativeIncomeHypothesis.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-83692/v1_covered.pdf"},{"id":2842338,"identity":"d52923d3-bd6d-4fc1-9379-3ad058ea9d25","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2020-10-07 21:03:11","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":406535,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"DuesenberrysRelativeIncomeHypothesis.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-83692/v1_stamped.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"","formattedTitle":"\u003cp\u003eKeeping up with the Joneses: the Relevance of Duesenberry’s Relative Income Hypothesis in Ethiopia\u003c/p\u003e","fulltext":[{"header":"Full Text","content":"\u003cp\u003eThis preprint is available for \u003ca href='/article/rs-83692/latest.pdf' target='_blank'\u003edownload as a PDF\u003c/a\u003e.\u003c/p\u003e"}],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":true,"hideJournal":false,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":true,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":false,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"
[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"Duesenberry’s demonstration and ratchet effects, relative income, APC, ARDL, Ethiopia","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-83692/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-83692/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eAlthough it was mysteriously neglected and displaced by the mainstream consumption theories, the Duesenberry’s relative income hypothesis seems quite relevant to the modern societies where individuals are increasingly obsessed with their social status. Accordingly, this study aims to investigate the relevance of Duesenberry’s demonstration and ratchet effects in Ethiopia using a quarterly data from 1999/2000Q1-2018/19Q4. To this end, two specifications of relative income hypothesis are estimated using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) regression model. The results confirm a backward-J shaped demonstration effect. This implies that an increase in relative income induces a steeper reduction in Average Propensity to consume (APC) at lower income groups (the demonstration effect is stronger for lower income households). The results also support the ratchet effect, indicating the importance of past consumption habits for current consumption decisions. In resolving the consumption puzzle, the presence of demonstration and ratchet effects reflects a stable APC in the long-run. Hence, consumption-related policies should be carefully designed as polices aimed at boosting aggregate demand can motivate low income households to gallop into wasteful competition so as to ‘keep up with the Joneses’—the relative riches.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"Keeping up with the Joneses: the Relevance of Duesenberry’s Relative Income Hypothesis in Ethiopia","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2020-10-07 21:03:06","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-83692/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"
[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"dbb07d7a-cebb-4963-a86c-367d8efaa516","owner":[],"postedDate":"October 7th, 2020","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"published-in-journal","subjectAreas":[{"id":615784,"name":"Behavioral Economics"},{"id":615785,"name":"Macroeconomics"},{"id":615786,"name":"Economic Theory"}],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2022-06-28T18:12:31+00:00","versionOfRecord":{"articleIdentity":"rs-83692","link":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40847-022-00182-4","journal":{"identity":"journal-of-social-and-economic-development","isVorOnly":false,"title":"Journal of Social and Economic Development"},"publishedOn":"2020-10-07 18:11:55","publishedOnDateReadable":"October 7th, 2020"},"versionCreatedAt":"2020-10-07 21:03:06","video":"","vorDoi":"10.1007/s40847-022-00182-4","vorDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40847-022-00182-4","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-83692","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-83692","identity":"rs-83692","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"_2-kVJe1T_tPrBINL-cwx","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}
Text is read by the "Ask this paper" AI Q&A widget below.
Extraction quality varies by source — PMC NXML preserves structure
cleanly, OA-HTML may include some navigation residue, and OA-PDF can
have broken hyphenation. The publisher copy
(via DOI)
is the canonical version.