Structural change in Brazil and in Minas Gerais between 2008 and 2019: an input-output analysis

Structural change in Brazil and in Minas Gerais between 2008 and 2019: an input-output analysis | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Structural change in Brazil and in Minas Gerais between 2008 and 2019: an input-output analysis Carla Cristina Aguilar de Souza, Lúcio Otávio Seixas Barbosa, and 3 more This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-9170318/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract This article investigates the drivers of structural change in Brazil and in Minas Gerais between 2008 and 2019. The paper aims to address this question by employing a structural decomposition analysis (SDA), applied to changes in value added for both entities. Data were sourced from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) and the João Pinheiro Foundation (FJP). The research is novel in the following aspects: first, it unveils the drivers of structural change during a phase of deepening deindustrialization in Brazil; second, it decomposes value added, providing a more meaningful basis for policy analysis than total output; third, technological change is divided into two components – changes in direct requirements and changes in imported input requirements – allowing for an assessment of the substitution of domestic inputs by imported ones as a driver of deindustrialization; and finally, it compares structural changes between a national entity and a regional one, with the latter regarded as a microcosm of the former. JEL CODE: C67; O14; R11 structural decomposition analysis deindustrialization Brazil Minas Gerais input-output models Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-9170318","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":623740950,"identity":"37541aea-20b0-400c-94fe-3d2a8431ad56","order_by":0,"name":"Carla Cristina Aguilar de Souza","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"João Pinheiro Foundation","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Carla","middleName":"Cristina Aguilar","lastName":"de Souza","suffix":""},{"id":623740952,"identity":"bbf1e064-22be-4a89-81dd-102aaf141aec","order_by":1,"name":"Lúcio Otávio Seixas Barbosa","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAABE0lEQVRIiWNgGAWjYBACPiA+AEYSIG6FHDNCTgK7FjZULWeMidPCANfC2GaMJIdLi0TywwMfGO7Im89uPvzh5zwDdnMG7uQXDL9sEhukex9g15JmcHAGwzPDOXeOpUn2bjNgtmzg3WbB2JeW2CBz3AC7lhyGwzwMhxlnSOSYMfBu+8NscIB3mwFjz2FjBok0HA6DaLEHajH++HeOAfFaEoFaDKR5G8BaNj9g+HFYDqcWnmdAvxg8S54hcyxNWuYY0C/NvNsYEhvS5NhkjmHVws+e/PjDh4o7tjOkmw9/fFNjkGzO3rv5w4c/Njz80m1YtUAAUsgkGzADXZvYBo8ywsAOqJ35A8MfYtWPglEwCkbBCAAAaAxbth3C7VIAAAAASUVORK5CYII=","orcid":"","institution":"João Pinheiro Foundation","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Lúcio","middleName":"Otávio Seixas","lastName":"Barbosa","suffix":""},{"id":623740953,"identity":"96c206d5-48a7-40df-a2c3-ce025cf2411f","order_by":2,"name":"Vicente Alves Toledo","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Vicente","middleName":"Alves","lastName":"Toledo","suffix":""},{"id":623740955,"identity":"6f41a86f-3055-4c12-a4a4-833b8556a1bb","order_by":3,"name":"Maria Aparecida Sales Souza Santos","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"João Pinheiro Foundation","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Maria","middleName":"Aparecida Sales Souza","lastName":"Santos","suffix":""},{"id":623740958,"identity":"786bc4f6-499e-4701-82be-9f2276e80090","order_by":4,"name":"Andre Carrascal Incera","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"University of Oviedo","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Andre","middleName":"Carrascal","lastName":"Incera","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2026-03-19 13:55:39","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-9170318/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-9170318/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":108807595,"identity":"40979fdf-7623-434d-882e-9c9b8dd07377","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2026-05-08 15:30:55","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":415409,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"paperCopiaCopia.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-9170318/v1_covered_ccc12fd3-545c-4615-a2f2-ed79a1824ad6.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"No competing interests reported.","formattedTitle":"Structural change in Brazil and in Minas Gerais between 2008 and 2019: an input-output analysis","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"structural decomposition analysis, deindustrialization, Brazil, Minas Gerais, input-output models","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-9170318/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-9170318/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eThis article investigates the drivers of structural change in Brazil and in Minas Gerais between 2008 and 2019. 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