A generalized SEIR epidemic model for transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 and its dynamically consistent discrete model
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Abstract
Although Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been controlled and prevented, mathematical modeling and analysis of transmission dynamics of COVID-19 still plays an essential role not only in the post COVID-19 era but also in the study of infectious diseases. This is an important foundation to propose effective strategies and measures for controlling diseases and projecting public health. This work is devoted to proposing and analyzing a new mathematical study for transmission dynamics of COVID-19. We first introduce a generalized SEIR epidemic model that use general nonlinear incidence rates to describe the “psychological” effect. After that, a rigorous mathematical analysis for the proposed COVID-19 model is performed. We establish the positivity and boundedness, calculate the basic reproduction number, determine possible (disease-free and endemic-disease) equilibrium points and investigate their asymptotic stability properties of the SEIR model. The obtained results improve and extend an SEIR model constructed in a recent work. For the purpose of numerical simulation, the Mickens’ methodology is applied to construct a dynamically consistent nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) model for the proposed SEIR epidemic model. The constructed NSFD scheme has the ability to provide reliable approximations that not only preserve the dynamical properties of the SEIR model for all the values of the step size but also are easy to be implemented. Finally, a set of illustrative numerical experiments is conducted to support the theoretical findings and to confirm advantages of the NSFD scheme over some well-known standard ones.
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