Future
Biomarker-based screening tools for ovarian cancer are likely to advance well into clinical practice over the next 5–10 years. Implementation in the setting of routine screening will depend largely upon continually emerging findings from prospective clinical trials along the lines of PLCO and UKCTOCS. Physicians, researchers and public health officials will be required to weigh the potential survival benefits against the economic and social tolls associated with population-based screening. The continued improvement and refinement of screening tools, including the identification of biomarker panels providing diagnostic capabilities superior to that of CA-125, should steadily tip the balance in favor of implementation. The incorporation of extratumoral biomarkers and the use of alternative analytical biofluids, such as urine, will likely contribute to this advancement. A paradigm shift in our definition of ovarian cancer biomarkers will likely be coupled to this advancement in biomarker-based tools. The increased identification and utilization of proteins derived from extratumoral biological compartments, proteins observed at decreased levels in patients relative to healthy individuals and proteins that provide complementary value through SP for a particular disease subtype is likely to characterize progress related to biomarker research.
Feature
The selection of the most informative biomarkers represents the most crucial and challenging aspect of biomarker development. Prior to applying a bioinformatics-based feature selection, candidate biomarkers must be prioritized based on biological considerations that should include the following characteristics:
A biomarker should demonstrate measurable alterations in noninvasive samples obtained from patients with early-stage or preclinical disease;
Collectively, biomarkers should be informative for all histological and pathological subtypes of a given cancer. In the setting of ovarian cancer, this includes the histological types (e.g., serous, mucinous, endometrioid, clear cell and less common subtypes), and the pathologically distinct type I and II tumors (described in [ 62 ]);
Individual biomarkers should be sufficiently reliable. The justification for a sufficiently high intraclass correlation index between temporal replicates depends on two factors: the magnitude of the intraclass correlation; and the degree of overlap, or difference in mean expression, for the distributions of that biomarker (i.e., between cases and controls). Specifically, the 95% confidence interval for the median difference between cases and controls should exclude 0 for a given biomarker to be considered in further analysis.
Biomarkers prioritized based on biological considerations should be further filtered using bioinformatic approaches that rely on optimized feature selection of high-dimensional data. The rule of thumb for feature selection is that features must be discriminant and add information to existing biomarkers in the panel for the best separation of the two groups. In the context of ovarian (or any other) cancer, the additive information feature means that selected biomarkers should increase SN at the same high SP over CA-125 used alone. Feature selection algorithms can be divided into three categories: filters, wrappers or embedded methods [ 63 ]. A filter method ranks features based on an evaluation measure, and then selects a subset of features that are ranked highly (e.g., two sample t-test). Using this method, biomarkers were selected from Phase II to Phase III in a PLCO collaborative exercise [ 64 ]. A wrapper method searches for the best set of features by repeated selection and assessment of a subset of features using a classification algorithm. An example of a wrapper method is the approach utilized in our work based on a Metropolis algorithm with Monte Carlo simulation [ 51 ]. Embedded methods include feature selection inside of the classifier training process. For example, decision trees implicitly determine which features are more discriminant and use them in the learning of tree structures. Finally, the resulting combination should not only be sensitive and specific but also selective for a given condition with respect to other nonrelated diseases that have the potential to confound clinical diagnosis. Below, we will discuss some aspects of feature selection.
Ovarian
Biomarker development efforts to date clearly indicate that no individual biomarker, including CA-125, can provide sufficient SN at high SP for the early detection of ovarian cancer. Therefore, in order to devise a robust multimarker algorithm, it is necessary to identify additional informative biomarkers that complement CA-125. According to the requirements of the Early Detection Research Network/NIH, biomarker development should include five phases; preclinical exploratory Phase I, clinical development and validation in Phase II, validation in a retrospective longitudinal study in Phase III, prospective screening in Phase IV and randomized clinical trials in Phase V [ 35 ].
Noninvasive biomarker testing is essential for practical general population monitoring. Therefore, biomarkers that can be detected in bodily fluids such as blood, urine, saliva or cervical mucus could be considered. The candidate marker must be both stable in these body fluids and present in quantities that can quantitatively differentiate individuals with ovarian cancer from individuals without disease. In the arena of Phase I protein biomarker development, a number of conceptual and methodological approaches have been utilized for biomarker discovery in bodily fluids. Early efforts, including those responsible for the identification of CA-125, described the analysis of murine antibodies capable of reacting with tumor cells from ovarian cancer patients [ 36 – 38 ]. Later, biomarker discovery was achieved primarily by means of high-throughput screening methodologies, such as genomic, transcriptional and proteomic profiling [ 39 – 50 ]. Proteomic profiling provides direct information about proteins differentially expressed in cancer patients and control individuals. Such profiling has been performed by mass spectrometry [ 40 ] and, lately, through the use of antibody arrays, such as multiplex bead-based arrays or reverse antigen arrays [ 51 , 52 ]. Both approaches have limitations. To date, MS-based methods have demonstrated limited analytical SN and, consequently, most of the biomarkers discovered by proteomics represent high abundance, predominantly acute-phase proteins [ 53 ]. Recently, developed methods aimed at the depletion of abundant serum proteins may overcome this limitation and lead to the enhanced discovery of lower-abundance biomarkers [ 54 , 55 ]. Immunoassays permit the analysis of proteins present in bodily fluids at much lower concentrations – as low as fg/ml – but this approach is limited by the availability of suitable immunoassays. However, the menu of candidate biomarker immunoassays continues to expand as the popularity of multiplex bead-based platforms grows. For instance, three large screening exercises aimed at the identification of ovarian cancer biomarkers using multiplex bead-based immunoassays evaluated over 300 candidate biomarkers in serum obtained from large groups of ovarian cancer patients and controls [ 51 , 52 , 56 ].
Screening
Considering the low prevalence of ovarian cancer, any proposed screening strategy must demonstrate a minimum specificity (SP) of 99.6% and a sensitivity (SN) of >75% to achieve a positive predictive value of 10% and avoid an unacceptable level of false-positive results [ 6 , 7 ]. Present methods for detecting ovarian cancer include physical examination, assessment of symptoms, imaging by several modalities (transvaginal ultrasound [TVS], Doppler ultrasound, CT, MRI and PET), and serum levels of the CA-125 biomarker of ovarian cancer [ 8 – 10 ]. CA-125 is the most robust and well-known serum biomarker for detection of ovarian cancer. The initial finding of CA-125 levels greater than 35 U/ml in approximately 83% of patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer and in only 1–2% of the normal population led to investigations into its use as a biomarker for ovarian cancer [ 11 , 12 ]. Furthermore, elevated levels of CA-125 are most strongly associated with serous tumors, which represent the most aggressive histological type of ovarian cancer [ 13 ]. Subsequent analyses of CA-125 have revealed a number of limitations for the test. Although CA-125 is frequently elevated in advanced-stage ovarian cancer, the protein is elevated in less than 50% of stage I disease and is often normal in mucinous, endometrioid and clear-cell carcinomas [ 14 – 20 ]. Moreover, a number of benign and malignant conditions may result in falsely elevated CA-125 values [ 21 , 22 ]. Additional factors may influence the CA-125 level, such as race/ethnicity, age, hysterectomy, smoking history and obesity [ 23 ]. Despite these well-recognized limitations, CA-125 is the most widely studied serum biomarker for ovarian cancer. The best currently available protocol for early detection of ovarian cancer, a combination of screening for elevated CA-125 and TVS in the presence of elevated CA-125 [ 24 , 25 ], does not meet the stringent criteria for cost–effectiveness espoused by the US Preventive Services Task Force [ 26 ]. As a result, no professional group currently recommends screening for ovarian cancer in the general population [ 27 – 29 ]. Thus, there is a critical need to develop additional informative biomarkers capable of complementing CA-125 in order to achieve the requisite diagnostic performance necessary for clinical advancement.
Two large, randomized trials that were designed to determine whether ovarian-cancer screening improves survival have completed the enrollment of patients. In the Prostate, Lung, Colon, and Ovarian (PLCO) Cancer Screening Trial, 34,261 healthy women between the ages of 55 and 74 years of age were randomly assigned to undergo either annual CA-125 testing plus TVS or to receive ‘usual care’ [ 30 ]. A positive finding was defined as a CA-125 level of more than 35 U/ml or TVS evidence of an abnormal ovarian volume, or an ovarian cyst with papillary projections or solid components. Diagnostic follow-up of positive screens was performed at the discretion of participants’ physicians. The positive predictive value of a positive screening test was 1.0–1.3% during the 4 years of screening. The overall ratio of surgeries to screen-detected cancers was 19.5:1. Importantly, 72% of screen-detected cases were stage III or IV, indicating that screening has not resulted in stage shift [ 30 ]. The PLCO project team recently released its report in which they conclude that the CA-125/TVS screening approach does not reduce disease-specific mortality in comparison with usual care, but does result in an increase in invasive medical procedures and associated harms [ 31 ].
In the United Kingdom Collaborative Trial of Ovarian Cancer Screening (UKCTOCS), 202,638 postmenopausal women between the ages of 50 and 74 years, who were deemed to be at average risk for ovarian cancer, were randomly assigned to undergo annual pelvic examination (control group), annual TVS (ultrasonography or USS group) or annual measurement of CA-125 (evaluated over time with the use of ROCA) plus TVS in cases in which the CA-125 level was elevated (multimodality or MMS group) [ 32 ]. Women with persistent abnormality on repeat screens underwent evaluation by a clinical oncologist and, where appropriate, surgery. As compared with ultrasonography alone, multimodality screening had a significantly greater SP (99.8 vs 98.2%) and a higher positive predictive value (35.1 vs 2.8%); (p < 0.001); SN did not differ significantly between the two groups. The proportion of primary invasive ovarian and fallopian tube cancers diagnosed with stage I/II disease (48%) was encouraging compared with the 26% rate in the clinical series [ 33 ] and 22% in the prevalence screen of the PLCO screening trial in the USA [ 34 ]. Both the USS and MMS arms demonstrated a higher proportion of stage I–II cancers. The apparent difference between PLCO and UKCTOCS in proportion of screen-detected early cases could possibly be explained by the mode of diagnostic follow-up utilized in each trial wherein the suspicious cases identified in the PLCO trial were cared for by their physicians and in the UKCTOCS trial the majority were referred to a gynecologic oncologist.
Selection
A number of studies evaluating multimarker panels in postdiagnostic samples utilizing various criteria for biomarker prioritization and selection were reviewed ( Table 4 ). In the study by Mor et al., 169 proteins were analyzed in serum samples obtained from ovarian cancer patients by means of rolling circle amplification (RCA) immunoassay microarray, and 35 of these proteins were found to be differentially expressed between cases and controls [ 56 ]. Biomarkers were further prioritized for independent ELISA testing if similar levels of expression were observed in newly diagnosed patients and patients with recurrent disease; ELISA tests were available commercially for these analytes; and they had compelling biological reasons for their evaluation. These analytes were EGF, MIF-1, TNF-α, leptin, prolactin, IL-17, OPN and IGF-II. Leptin, prolactin, OPN and IGF-II showed perfect correlation between the RCA microarray immunoassays and the ELISA assays, and were able, when used together, to discriminate the control and cancer training group samples with 95% SN at 95% SP. Adding CA-125 and MIF to this panel provided a classification power of 92% SN at 99% SP. This panel was equally sensitive to different histologic subtypes of primary epithelial ovarian cancers – papillary serous, clear cell, endometroid and mixed [ 60 ]. Unfortunately, following a high level of initial enthusiasm and the subsequent marketing of this panel under the trade name OvaSure ™ (Labcorp, NC, USA), deficiencies in study design have been identified that illustrate the challenges facing biomarker development efforts in general. Most prominent among these deficiencies was the inaccurate calculation of positive predictive value based on improper estimates of ovarian cancer prevalence [ 122 , 123 ]. This observation, coupled with the lack of evaluation in a large prospective study, led to performance revisions and the withdrawal of the commercial kit.
In the recent study by Havrilevsky et al. [ 124 ], a literature review was conducted for investigations describing transcriptional profiling of epithelial ovarian cancer. Candidate biomarkers meeting the following inclusion criteria were selected: overexpression of candidate gene in epithelial ovarian cancer relative to normal ovarian epithelium; overexpression of encoded protein in ovarian tissue; localization of encoded proteins to extracellular compartment as membrane-bound or secreted protein; and discrimination of ovarian cancer from normal sera utilizing prototype immunological assays. Correlation with CA-125 was not evaluated. Based on these criteria, eight genes – HE4 , glycodelin ( PAEP ), MMP-7 , MUC-1 , PAI-1 , SLPI , Plau-R and inhibin A – were selected as candidate markers for inclusion. Several combinations of these proteins were evaluated and a combination of CA-125, HE4, glycodelin, Plau-R and MMP-7 was selected, which offered 79% SN at 93% SP for early-stage ovarian cancer [ 124 ].
Our group utilized a subject cohort that included more than 2000 healthy women in an unbiased analysis of serum biomarker candidates [ 51 ]. Feature selection was performed based on both bioinformatics and the following biological considerations: high accuracy in early-stage disease; equal classification of all ovarian cancer histologies; and selectivity for ovarian cancer versus benign disease and other epithelial cancers [ 51 ]. Our identified panel of CA-125, HE4, CEA and VCAM-1 was found to discriminate early-stage ovarian cancer from the control group with 86% SN at 98% SP.
In a multicenter case–control study, Zhang et al. utilized SELDI-TOF to analyze sera obtained from 195 patients with invasive epithelial or other types of ovarian cancer along with patients diagnosed with benign pelvic masses and healthy control women [ 61 ]. The investigators employed subsets of five separate centers for sequential components of their analysis. Two centers were designated for biomarker discovery and candidate peaks from the proteomic analysis were identified by cross-validation. These candidate biomarker peaks were then validated in sera collected at two additional sites. Validated biomarker peaks were then identified and the corresponding proteins purified. Candidate biomarkers for which suitable immunoassays were available were then chosen for validation in sera collected at the fifth site. Analysis of immunoassay results led to the identification of a four-biomarker panel consisting of CA-125, ApoA1, TTR and H418. In the validation set, this panel provided a SN of 74% at a SP of 97% for the discrimination of early-stage ovarian cancer from healthy women.
In a separate study, Skates et al. evaluated serum levels of four biomarkers by immunoassay in patients enrolled at three independent collection centers [ 59 ]. Sera collected at the first center constituted the training set and biomarker data were analyzed using three statistical models: logistic regression, classification tree and mixture discriminant analysis (MDA). The MDA model is unique in that it emulates the heterogeneity of ovarian cancer with respect to histological subtype and utilizes the distribution of biomarker levels within each subtype to estimate the histological type of each sample analyzed. The authors conclude that logistic regression and MDA modeling perform similarly and both outperform classification tree in the discrimination of ovarian cancer cases from controls. The combination of CA-125, CA 15–3, CA 72–4 and M-CSF, identified using the MDA model, performed best in the independent validation set, providing a SN of 70% at 98% SP for early-stage ovarian cancer.
Recently, Edgell et al. reported on a retrospective case–control study (Phase II biomarker study) in which the authors utilized a multiplexed bead-based immunoassay platform to evaluate five ovarian cancer biomarkers (CA-125, CRP, SAA, IL-6 and IL-8) in 362 plasma samples obtained from ovarian cancer patients and healthy controls split into independent training and validation sets [ 58 ]. Through multivariate modeling, the authors demonstrated a SN and SP of 94.1 and 91.3%, respectively, for the five-biomarker panel in the validation set and a SN and SP of 92.3 and 91.3%, respectively, for all early-stage ovarian cancers.
In another recent study, Amonkar et al. demonstrated the value of multiplexed analysis in their evaluation of 104 candidate biomarkers in a cohort of over 350 ovarian cancer patients and controls [ 57 ]. The cohort represented various stages of disease, and each of the most common histological subtypes of epithelial ovarian cancer and most prevalent benign ovarian conditions. Their training analysis led to the identification of an 11-analyte profile consisting of CA-125, CA 19–9, EGFR, CRP, myoglobin, ApoA1, ApoCIII, MIP-1α, IL-6, IL-18 and tenascin C. In an independent validation set, this panel provided a SN of 91.3% at a SP of 88.5%.
Approaches
There are several conceptual beliefs regarding biomarker prioritization that were not included in the list above. For example, there is an opinion that only those proteins that are directly released by tumor cells should be considered as cancer biomarkers [ 65 ]. In accordance with this notion, many of the biomarkers listed in Table 1 would not be considered as they are known to originate from various extratumoral sources (e.g., liver for acute-phase proteins and pituitary gland for pituitary hormones). However, growing evidence suggests that many of these so-called extratumoral biomarkers are likely to be secreted by the growing tumor. For example, ovarian tumors and primary fallopian cells in vitro are capable of secreting, in addition to CA-125, HE4 and CA 15–3, multiple acute-phase reactants, inflammatory mediators, and additional molecules [Nolen LBM, Lokshin AE, Unpublished Data] [ 66 – 68 ]. For example, the gastrointestinal hormone, ghrelin, has been shown to be expressed in the human ovary and also in inclusion cysts within the ovarian surface epithelium, where it induces cell proliferation, indicating a potential tumorigenic role [ 69 ]. Likewise, matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) could originate from multiple sources within the tumor microenvironment, including tumor cells themselves, as well as the stroma, where they are presumably produced in response to growth factor and cytokine signaling [ 70 , 71 ]. Another example is the pituitary hormone, prolactin, which has been shown to be produced by several nonpituitary sources, including ovarian tumor cells, using an alternate promoter; and also functions as an ovarian tumor promoter in vitro [ 72 ]. It is possible that proteins secreted from tumor and from extratumoral sources are differentially modified. For example, previous reports have indicated alterations in haptoglobin, α1-acid glycoprotein and α1-antichymotrypsin in ovarian cancer patients [ 73 ]. Ovarian tumor cells also secrete cytokines that can influence glycan processing in both the tumor cells and surrounding tissue [ 74 ]. Recent data indicate that ovarian tumor cells secrete factors that alter the glycosylation profile of liver proteins, and raise the possibility that some of the altered glycoforms of haptoglobin, α1-acid glycoprotein and α1-antichymotrypsin may be tumor derived [ 75 ].
All biological aspects of feature selection are empirical by default, meaning that every conclusion should be experimentally supported. One example illustrating the necessity of experimental confirmation is the recent debate on the value of acute-phase reactants as ovarian cancer biomarkers for early detection. The acute-phase is controlled by the balance of proinflammatory cytokines (IL-6, IL-8, IL-1b, TNF-α and IFN-γ), anti-inflammatory molecules (IL-4, IL-10, IL-13 and TGF-β) and the inhibitors of proinflammatory cytokines (soluble TNF-α receptor, soluble IL-1 receptor and IL-1). Proinflammatory cytokines stimulate the increased production of positive acute-phase proteins (C-reactive protein [CRP], serum amyloid A, haptoglobin, α1-acid glycoprotein, α1-antitrypsin, α1-antichymotrypsin and fibrinogen) and decreased production of negative acute-phase proteins (albumin and transferrin) by the liver [ 76 , 77 ]. As shown above, multiple ovarian cancer biomarkers represent acute-phase reactants and acute-phase response signaling is a top canonical pathway of ovarian cancer. Several statements have been published casting doubt on the usability of acute-phase reactants for early detection of ovarian cancer based on the belief that these biomarkers are altered as a part of an inflammatory response to late-stage ovarian cancer [ 78 – 81 ]. However, acute-phase reactants, as well as many proteins conventionally considered to represent late systemic responses could, in fact, play a causative role in cancer development. For example, inflammatory cytokines and acute-phase response proteins could be a part of an initial ‘para-inflammation’ phenomenon provoked by a premalignant lesion [ 82 ]. During a para-inflammatory response, leukocytes and other phagocytic cells produce an array of cytokines and reactive nitrogen and oxygen species, that upon repeated exposure, result in permanent DNA damage in endothelial and epithelial cells [ 83 – 85 ]. Additionally, cytokines and acute-phase reactants play multiple roles in early cancer development, from inducing tumor growth and inhibiting apoptosis to stimulating angiogenesis ( Table 1 ) [ 85 – 92 ]. For example, apart from being a serine protease inhibitor, α1-antitrypsin stimulates the production of HGF, and was found to induce the proliferation of fibroblasts and the synthesis of procollagen in culture [ 93 , 94 ]. Another acute-phase reactant, ceruloplasmin, which serves as the major copper transport enzyme in blood, also acts as a molecular switch for activating proangiogenic factors [ 95 ]. The potential differential expression of acute-phase reactants/inflammatory molecules in early-stage or premalignant lesions has to be ascertained experimentally. In fact, levels of the acute-phase reactant, B2M, were altered in the sera of women participating in the PLCO trial who were diagnosed with ovarian cancer 0–2 years after the blood draw [ 64 , 96 ].
Another paradigmatic concept of a diagnostic biomarker holds that a particular protein must be increased in biological fluids from cancer patients. The findings presented in Tables 1 – 4 indicate the need for a revision of this concept as proteins that are present at lower circulating levels in cases versus controls have been incorporated into useful biomarker panels. Examples of this type of biomarker include EGF receptor (EGFR) and ApoA1, two biomarkers selected based on their usefulness in diagnostic panels which are observed at lower levels in ovarian cancer patients in comparison with controls and are likely to be produced, at least in part, by extratumoral local or systemic sources [ 51 , 52 , 57 , 58 , 97 , 98 ]. Further review of the findings reported in several expansive biomarker studies which utilized multiplex bead-based immunoassay platforms [Nolen LBM, Lokshin AE, Unpublished Data] [ 51 , 99 ] identified a total of 111 biomarkers found to be significantly altered between the case and control groups ( Table 5 ). By consensus, 69 or 62% of the significant biomarkers found in these studies were elevated in the ovarian cancer groups, while 41 (or 38%) were decreased. With the exception of carbohydrate antigen tumor markers (CA-125, CA 19–9, CA 15–3 and CA 72–4), which are all elevated in the cancer groups, each other functional category presented in Table 1 is represented by both overexpressed and underexpressed biomarkers. Some protein families contain both up- and downregulated representatives, such as the IGF family of proteins, where IGFBP-1, -2, -4 are increased in ovarian cancer while IGF-1 and IGFBP-3, -6 are decreased ( Table 5 ). The differential pattern of serum alterations reported in our reviewed studies suggests a complex mechanism for the various member of the IGF family in ovarian cancer. Similarly, among MMPs, MMP-2 and -3 were observed to be downregulated in ovarian cancer while MMP-7 and -9 were elevated. The majority of the hormones examined in the three studies were found to be downregulated in ovarian cancer. Interestingly, these underexpressed hormones include FSH, whose serum levels normally increased in post-menopausal women [ 100 , 101 ]. It has been speculated that this decrease indicates increased binding of FSH to its receptors, which is irreversible at body temperature and results in permanent removal from the circulation [ 102 ]. Other protein biomarkers underexpressed in ovarian cancer include ApoA1 and transthyretin (TTR), which have been evaluated extensively as components of diagnostic panels for ovarian cancer and may originate from tumoral, local or systemic sources [ 62 , 68 , 103 , 104 ]. The adhesion molecule, VCAM-1, was observed to be downregulated in ovarian cancer in two studies and this alteration led to its inclusion in a highly effective diagnostic panel in our recent report [ 51 ]. Among other biomarkers downregulated in the circulation of patients with ovarian cancer are eotaxin-1 and -2, IL-18, macrophage-derived chemokine, XCL1, EGFR, BDNF, ErbB2, IGFBP-3 and -6, IGF-I, PEDF, SCF, VCAM-1, MMP-2 and -3, NCAM, adiponectin, ERα, ghrelin, GIP, insulin, leptin, leuteinizing hormone, osteocalcin, thrombopoietin, α2-macroglobulin, ApoA1, CIII, H, clusterin, complement C3 and C4, factor VII, fetuin A, TTR, Fas, perforin and CK-MB ( Table 4 ). While mechanisms leading to lower circulating concentrations of these proteins are likely to vary, some may be attributed to increased clearance from the circulation through renal filtration. This notion is supported by the observation of increased urinary concentrations of eotaxin-1, EGFR, ErbB2 and VCAM-1 in patients with ovarian cancer as compared with healthy individuals [Nolen LBM, Lokshin AE, Unpublished Data]. Elsewhere, irreversible binding to cognate receptors on proliferating tumor cells [ 105 ] or internalization could result in lower blood levels. Additionally, differential glycosylation patterns could affect half-life of some biomarkers in circulation [ 75 , 106 , 107 ].
Biomarkers
Current evidence strongly suggests differential mechanisms of pathogenesis, genetic alterations and clinical behavior among the major histological subtypes of ovarian cancer, which include serous, endometrioid, mucinous and clear cell carcinomas (reviewed in [ 108 ]). These subtypes are increasingly considered to be distinct diseases originating from separate nonovarian tissues through mechanisms involving the presence or absence of specific precursors, including endometriosis. The tumor marker CA-125 is most highly associated with high-grade serous carcinomas, the most prevalent and aggressive ovarian cancer subtype, with other subtypes exhibiting only limited expression [ 18 – 20 ].
A number of the most intensely evaluated ovarian cancer biomarkers, including several of those selected in diagnostic panel development ( Table 4 ) have shown some evidence of subtype SP in various reports. Expression of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is associated with the mucinous subtype [ 109 ], and CEA was consistently selected by our MMC algorithm as part of a multimarker panel for a set of ovarian cancers representing different histologies [Nolen LBM, Lokshin AE, Unpublished Data] [ 51 ]. The expression of MMP-2, -7 and -9 have been well described in serous ovarian carcinomas with links to disease progression [ 1 , 110 , 111 ]. Expression of MMP-7 and -14 has also been noted in mucinous and clear cell carcinomas, respectively [ 112 , 113 ]. Expression of IGF-II by ovarian cancer cells was found to be associated with serous histology and this expression was driven by distinct promoters in comparison with nonserous histologies [ 114 , 115 ]. In separate studies, VEGF was found to be frequently expressed in both serous and clear cell ovarian carcinomas, and was proposed as a potential therapeutic target for these subtypes [ 2 , 116 ]. M-CSF is expressed by both serous and mucinous ovarian cancers, and is believed to stimulate the phenotypic shift of tumor-associated macrophages to M2, thus promoting tumor growth [ 117 ]. Based on our reviewed findings and another recent publications, it would appear that high-grade serous carcinoma is associated with a larger array of aberrantly expressed biomarkers than other subtypes [ 118 ]. When biomarker combinations were considered, the panel of ApoAI, TTR and TF demonstrated particular utility in the detection of mucinous and endometrioid ovarian carcinomas [ 68 , 104 , 119 ].
Kurman and colleagues have described two classes of ovarian cancer. Type I tumors are low-grade serous, low-grade endometrioid, clear cell, mucinous, and transitional carcinomas that exhibit Ras and Raf mutations, slow indolent growth and generally present as early stage. Type II tumors include high-grade serous, undifferentiated and malignant mixed mesodermal cancers with p53 mutations, are highly aggressive, evolve rapidly and present at an advanced stage [ 62 ]. Currently, the most urgent unmet need is to more effectively screen for type II cancers, where the clinical benefit will be greatest. This will require sensitive and specific biomarkers that are expressed during ovarian carcinogenesis and reach the peripheral circulation at levels distinguishable from those in healthy individuals at a point sufficiently early to permit interventions that can alter the natural history of the disease. If, however, detecting type II ovarian cancer at an early stage proves difficult, the identification of women with small volume disease offers a reasonable alternative, as these are patients known to benefit most from chemotherapy. Detection of type II cancers from within high-risk populations has been particularly difficult and the use of multiple markers might improve SN [ 120 ]. To date, only one study examined levels of multiple biomarkers (MIF, Prolactin, CA-125, OPN, leptin, IGF-II and autoantibodies to p53) in plasma of type I and type II ovarian cancer and concluded that these biomarkers had significantly different plasma levels between type II ovarian cancer patients and healthy controls [ 121 ].
Individual
Our review of the relevant literature identified over 160 proteins reported to be differentially expressed in early ovarian cancer compared with healthy controls ( Table 1 ). The ongoing analysis of these proteins, and the biological and pathological pathways they regulate could provide powerful tools for determining the mechanisms of ovarian cancer initiation and progression that could eventually lead to individualized biological therapies. However, as mentioned above, further validation steps are necessary to determine the value if these proteins, and relatively few have been evaluated in studies that meet the criteria for Phases II and/or III biomarker development [ 51 , 52 , 57 – 61 ].
The complex and multifaceted process of ovarian epithelial tumorigenesis necessitates the development of an equally complex tumor microenvironment. Within this microenvironment, tumor cells, stromal fibroblasts and infiltrating leukocytes produce a multitude of autocrine and paracrine factors, including but not limited to cytokines, chemokines, growth factors, hormones, inflammatory mediators and acute-phase reaction molecules. It is this complex signaling network that mediates tumor/stroma interactions and facilitates tumor proliferation, invasion, neoangiogenesis and metastasis. As illustrated in Table 1 , concentrations of numerous proteins involved in the above listed tumorigenic biological functions listed above are altered in the circulation of ovarian cancer patients. Mediators of inflammation, including cytokines and acute-phase reactants, were the most numerous among the various biological groups identified in our review, followed by adhesion molecules/proteases, growth/angiogenic factors and hormones.
The Ingenuity ® pathway analysis software was utilized in an in-depth functional analysis of the ovarian cancer biomarkers presented in Table 1 . This analysis identified acute-phase response signaling as a top canonical pathway and inflammatory response as a top biological function associated with most ovarian cancer biomarkers (97/157 biomarkers = 62%). In addition, cellular movement, cell-to-cell signaling, proliferation and cell death were identified as primary molecular and cellular functions associated with ovarian cancer biomarkers ( Table 2 ). With respect to network analysis, most ovarian cancer biomarkers fall into three major networks responsible for key aspects of cancer development ( Table 3 ). Network 1 (70/157 = 45% of molecules) regulates invasion/metastasis, neoangiogenesis and immune responses; network 2 (24% of molecules) is responsible for DNA functions; and network 3 (14% of molecules) controls the cell cycle and inflammation. Of these multiple biomarkers, demonstrating strong association with ovarian cancer, the biomarkers with the highest informative value, singly or combined into multibiomarker panels, must be selected. In this selection process (feature selection), a two-pronged approach must be utilized considering both bioinformatics and the biological aspects of each biomarker or biomarker combination.
Conclusions
The search for biomarker-based screening tools for the early detection of ovarian cancer has yielded a number of promising findings. Biomarker panels offering levels of SN and SP exceeding 90% have been identified by a number of groups utilizing a variety of analysis techniques and statistical models. Each of the panels identified demonstrates a clear performance advantage over the individual performance of CA-125. Clinical implementation of biomarker tools has been delayed, and sometimes reversed, in large part owing to the stringent performance requirements associated with the detection of a rare disease and the lack of a demonstrated survival benefit.
The rapidly expanding appreciation of the heterogeneity of ovarian cancer presents biomarker researchers with a unique set of questions and challenges. Among these questions, the leading question is whether early detection efforts should target each of the disease subtypes collectively or focus on the most troublesome high-grade serous tumors. Clinical evidence describing the indolent nature of type I tumors (low-grade serous, endometroid, mucinous, clear cell), which are readily detected by current practices suggest the latter strategy might be most prudent. The difficulty in detecting the rapidly progressing high-grade serous tumors at an early manageable stage also indicates a need to focus biomarker development efforts on that individual subtype. However, within the setting of differential diagnosis of a pelvic mass, an ideal test would be capable of identifying tumors of multiple histological subtypes prior to referral for invasive diagnostic procedures. A biomarker panel consisting solely of conventional tumor markers (i.e., proteins derived directly from tumor cells and elevated in bodily fluids) is unlikely to accomplish this given the divergent molecular characteristics displayed by the various ovarian cancer subtypes. Likewise, although preferentially expressed by high-grade serous tumors, CA-125 alone is not sufficient for diagnosis or screening. The development of truly useful and clinically applicable biomarker-based diagnostics will require a broad and meticulous search through the forest of ovarian cancer biomarkers. This search should be conducted with an eye for biological relevance and bioinformatic performance, and should employ flexible criteria that permit the consideration of a diverse set of candidates.
The limited performance of serum biomarkers in the testing of prediagnostic samples indicates the need to identify additional useful biomarkers that may display alterations earlier in disease development. Further investigation into the tumorigenic pathways associated with each subtype of epithelial ovarian cancer is likely to provide a basis for additional biomarker discovery and development. The identification of the potential STIC precursor of serous carcinomas represents an important finding that may lead to advances in detecting these tumors at an earlier stage. Currently, findings related to the subtype-specific production of ovarian cancer biomarkers are sporadic and incomplete. The ongoing paradigm shift regarding the tissue of origin and pathogenesis of disease subtypes should give rise to additional investigations of this type. A greater appreciation of the natural history of each subtype of ovarian cancer, including the involvement or absence of precursor lesions, should further refine the search for useful prediagnostic biomarkers.
Multimarker
While many of the reports represented in Table 4 are initially encouraging, several hurdles remain before any of the identified models can be implemented clinically on a widespread basis. Foremost is the need to evaluate the most promising panels in prospective randomized clinical trials. Additional preclinical validation will be required to fully characterize the efficacy of selected panels before this significant next step is warranted. A key component of this validation process is the evaluation of panels in samples obtained from prediagnostic ovarian cancer patients. Progress towards this type of validation is greatly hindered by the rarity of this sample type; however, several significant findings have been reported by a group under the direction of Nicole Urban. In a pair of reports, this group first describes elevated levels of CA-125, HE4 and mesothelin in the sera of symptomatic ovarian cancer patients, and then in the sera of patients 0–3 years prior to diagnosis, noting an optimal lead time of 1 year [ 125 , 126 ]. In a separate study, the investigators utilize a combinatorial approach, including CA-125 and HE4 measurements, in addition to the Symptom Index to prospectively classify benign from malignant pelvic masses with a SN of 84% at a SP of 98.5% ( Table 4 ) [ 127 ]. These findings regarding the usefulness of CA-125 and HE4 in prediagnostic and prospective samples are especially encouraging given the attention this combination has received in recent reports.
Recently, a collaborative study was performed to assess the prediagnostic performance of candidate biomarkers in the PLCO trial [ 64 , 128 ]. Forty one biomarkers selected by five leading ovarian cancer biomarker laboratories from Harvard University, Fred Hutchinson Medical Center, MD Anderson Cancer Center University of Pittsburgh and Yale University were utilized in the analysis of 118 cases and 473 matched healthy controls [ 64 , 96 ]. The selection of these markers proceeded from a Phase II validation study using a common reference set of 160 ovarian cancer cases (~50% stage I/II) and 480 general population controls based solely on individual performance (SN at 95% SP, AUC). The study demonstrated that none of these biomarkers or multimarker panels added any appreciable improvement in SN over that of CA-125 alone. Our subsequent analyses revealed that ten of the selected biomarkers: HE4, mesothelin, CA 15–3, CA 72–4, KLK6, spondin-2, TTR, Cyfra 21–1, IGFBP2 and YKL-40, were strongly (r > 0.35) correlated with CA-125 [Nolen LBM, Lokshin AE, Unpublished_Data]. This lack of feature independence could be credited as a limiting factor in the ability of these additional biomarkers to complement the diagnostic performance of CA-125.
In nearly all cases, efforts aimed at novel biomarker test development have relied upon the use of biological fluid samples collected at the time of first diagnosis. It would appear from the disappointing results of the PLCO study and others that this approach is not optimized for the development of prediagnostic tests offering a potential window of early successful intervention. Ongoing efforts of this type are unlikely to be productive, and the incorporation of new strategies focused on the characterization and detection of preclinical disease will be necessary for true advancement. Recent work suggests that a precursor lesion for serous carcinomas, termed serous tubal intraepithelial carcinoma (STIC), does indeed exist [ 129 ]. STICs originate from the fimbriated end of the fallopian tube, indicating a tubal, rather than ovarian epithelial, origin for serous carcinomas. The identification of the potential STIC precursor of serous carcinomas represents an important finding that may lead to advances in detecting these tumors at an earlier stage. Perhaps analysis of blood samples from patients who had undergone prophylactic oopherectomy where preneoplastic lesions were discovered could prove useful, although substantial effort would be needed to collect a statistically meaningful set of such samples. Finally, prospective identification of preclinical biomarkers using mouse models of ovarian cancer could be helpful.
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