Changes in the climate suitability and growth rates of trees in eastern North America

Changes in the climate suitability and growth rates of trees in eastern North America | Authorea try { document.documentElement.classList.add('js'); } catch (e) { } var _gaq = _gaq || []; _gaq.push(['_setAccount', 'G-8VDV14Y67G']); _gaq.push(['_trackPageview']); (function() { var ga = document.createElement('script'); ga.type = 'text/javascript'; ga.async = true; ga.src = ('https:' == document.location.protocol ? 'https://ssl' : 'http://www') + '.google-analytics.com/ga.js'; var s = document.getElementsByTagName('script')[0]; s.parentNode.insertBefore(ga, s); })(); Skip to main content Preprints Collections Wiley Open Research IET Open Research Ecological Society of Japan All Collections About About Authorea FAQs Contact Us Quick Search anywhere Search for preprint articles, keywords, etc. Search Search ADVANCED SEARCH SCROLL This is a preprint and has not been peer reviewed. Data may be preliminary. 31 January 2024 V1 Latest version Share on Changes in the climate suitability and growth rates of trees in eastern North America Authors : Manuel Bernal-Escobar 0000-0003-2888-1068 [email protected] , Daniel Zuleta , and Kenneth Feeley 0000-0002-3618-1144 Authors Info & Affiliations https://doi.org/10.22541/au.170669826.68597671/v1 Published Ecography Version of record Peer review timeline 274 views 150 downloads Contents Abstract Supplementary Material Information & Authors Metrics & Citations View Options References Figures Tables Media Share Abstract According to the “fitness-suitability” hypothesis, ongoing changes in climate are expected to affect species’ fitness and habitat suitability. In trees, differences in fitness may manifest as changes in growth rates, which alters carbon uptake. Using tree-ring data, we calculated annual growth rates for 15,866 trees representing 37 species from 558 populations throughout eastern North America. We used species distribution models to estimate each population’s climatic suitability from 1900-2010. Growth rates and relative climatic suitabilities were analyzed using linear mixed-effects models. There were no significant relationships between growth rates and climate suitability across space or time. However, growth rates have decreased significantly through time independent of changes in climate suitability, especially in gymnosperms. These results suggest that unidentified factors may slow tree growth and outweigh potential benefits of climate change and increasing [CO2]. Consequently, we should not count on growth of eastern North American trees to help offset anthropogenic carbon emissions. Supplementary Material File (2021-12-09-growth-suitability-ne-bernal.kjf.dz.docx) Download 1.16 MB Information & Authors Information Version history V1 Version 1 31 January 2024 Peer review timeline Published Ecography Version of Record 16 Jun 2022 Published Copyright This work is licensed under a Non Exclusive No Reuse License. Keywords co2 fertilization dendrochronology fitness-suitability hypothesis species distribution models suitability changes tree growth rates tree rings Authors Affiliations Manuel Bernal-Escobar 0000-0003-2888-1068 [email protected] University of Miami View all articles by this author Daniel Zuleta Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute Washington DC Offices View all articles by this author Kenneth Feeley 0000-0002-3618-1144 University of Miami View all articles by this author Metrics & Citations Metrics Article Usage 274 views 150 downloads .FvxKWukQNSOunydq8rnd { width: 100px; } Citations Download citation Manuel Bernal-Escobar, Daniel Zuleta, Kenneth Feeley. Changes in the climate suitability and growth rates of trees in eastern North America. Authorea . 31 January 2024. DOI: https://doi.org/10.22541/au.170669826.68597671/v1 If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. 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