Harnessing Voice Analysis and Machine Learning for Early Diagnosis of Parkinson's Disease: A Comparative Study Across Three Datasets

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Methods Voice data, phonation of the vowel 'a', from three distinct datasets (two from the UCI ML Repository and one from figshare) for 432 participants (278 PD patients) were analyzed. We employed four ML models - Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB), and Support Vector Machine (SVM) - alongside two ensemble methods (soft voting classifier - EVC and stacking method - ESM). The models underwent 50 iterations of evaluation, involving various data splits and 10-fold cross-validation. Comparative analysis was done using one-way ANOVA followed by Bonferroni post hoc corrections. Results The ESM, SVM, and GB models emerged as the top performers, demonstrating superior performance across metrics, including accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, F1 score, and ROC AUC. Despite data heterogeneity and variable selection limitations, the models showed high values for all metrics. Conclusion Machine learning integration with voice analysis, mainly through ESM, SVM, and GB, is promising for early PD diagnosis. Using multi-source data and a large sample size enhances our findings' validity, reliability, and generalizability. Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Biomedical Engineering Parkinson's Disease (PD) voice analysis Machine learning Early diagnosis Artificial Neural networks 1. Introduction Parkinson's Disease (PD) represents a significant global health challenge, affecting millions and exerting substantial socio-economic impacts. Traditional diagnostic approaches, predominantly reliant on assessing physical symptoms, frequently delay detection, especially during the disease's incipient stages, where symptoms may be subtle or absent ( 1 – 3 ). In this context, voice analysis, as a non-invasive, readily accessible diagnostic tool, offers a promising alternative. However, despite its potential, the complexity of PD-related voice changes makes traditional voice analysis methods challenging for early and accurate diagnosis. Speech-Language Pathologists (SLPs) have historically employed voice analysis to diagnose hypokinetic dysarthria, a speech disorder symptomatic of PD. Nonetheless, navigating the subtleties of these changes requires advanced analytical capabilities beyond conventional statistical approaches ( 4 – 6 ). Recent strides in machine learning (ML) offer new opportunities for the early detection of PD by employing sophisticated analysis of voice-related variables. These techniques can manage significant variability across subjects and groups. They can discern subtle yet critical vocal changes associated with early PD, significantly advancing beyond traditional voice analysis methods and offering more objective and quantifiable metrics ( 7 – 9 ). The integration of ML into voice analysis reflects an evolving landscape in PD diagnostics, where voice impairments like hypophonia and mono-pitch speech, characteristic of hypokinetic dysarthria, serve as pivotal early indicators ( 1 , 2 , 8 – 11 ). This evolution is underscored by the application of advanced ML algorithms, such as Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forests (RF), and Deep Learning (DL), have been applied to voice analysis, demonstrating potential in identifying subtle vocal changes indicative of early-stage PD with a high degree of accuracy ( 7 , 8 , 11 – 17 ). These methodologies represent a significant enhancement over traditional voice analysis, providing objective insights into vocal impairments and facilitating earlier PD detection ( 18 ) . This study advances the field by evaluating and comparing four ML models – Deep Neural Networks (DNN), Random Forests (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB), and Support Vector Machines (SVM) – alongside two ensemble methods, Ensemble Stacking Model (ESM), and Ensemble Voting Classifier (EVC), in differentiating PD patients from healthy individuals. By applying diverse machine learning techniques to a large dataset, which integrates three distinct datasets, this study seeks to refine the precision of voice analysis tools for Parkinson's Disease diagnosis. The inclusion of varied datasets not only enriches the data pool but also aims to improve the reliability and applicability of our results. This approach may pave the way for enhanced early detection and potentially contribute to more effective disease management and patient outcomes ( 19 ). 2. Material and Methods 2.1 Data Acquisition The study employed three datasets: two sourced from the reputable UCI ML Repository ( 20 , 21 ) and one from figshare ( 22 ), selected for their demonstrated reliability ( 14 , 15 , 23 – 28 ). Selection was based on data consistency. The datasets included voice measurements from PD patients and healthy individuals, with 432 participants comprising 278 PD patients. 2.2. Voice collection protocol In each study, participants were instructed to phonate the vowel 'a' continuously for three to five seconds. 2.3 Data Preparation and Preprocessing We combined the first two datasets and extracted all in common 39 variables: pitch local perturbation measures, amplitude perturbation measures, Mel frequency cepstral coefficient-based spectral measures of order 0 to 12 and their derivatives, recurrence period density entropy, detrended fluctuation analysis, pitch period entropy, and glottal-to-noise excitation ratio. The same variables were also quantified from .wav files in the third dataset after preprocessing ( 14 ). Established Python libraries (librosa, parselmouth, fathon, pyrpde) and custom functions facilitated comprehensive audio file analysis. Data from all three datasets were standardized using StandardScaler and OneHotEncoder for sex. To address the class imbalance, the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) was applied to the training data. 2.4 Machine Learning Analysis: We implemented four widely studied ML models - DNN, RF, GB, and SVM - and two ensemble methods combining these models: ESM and EVM; these ensemble methods (Stacking and Voting) combine predictions from multiple models to improve reliability. Python libraries ( 30 ) were utilized for the implementation. These models and methods were selected based on their proven effectiveness in similar contexts, as detailed in ( 29 ). Each model offers unique advantages in identifying subtle voice changes associated with early stages of Parkinson's Disease, making them valuable tools for non-invasive diagnostics. Deep Neural Networks (DNN) are advanced computational models that mimic human brain functions to detect complex patterns. DNNs were constructed using the Keras Sequential API with an input layer, two hidden layers, an output layer, and multiple activation functions. For the stacking ensemble method, the final prediction in this ensemble was made using a Logistic Regression model as the final estimator and was evaluated using K-fold cross-validation (cv = 5). The models underwent rigorous validation involving five 80 − 20 splits and 10-fold Stratified KFold cross-validation. Hyperparameters were optimized using GridSearchCV, with specific measures taken to mitigate overfitting, such as early stopping and dropout rates, L1/L2 regularization (l1_l2, l1 = 0.001, l2 = 0.0001), learning curves validation plots, out-of-bag (OOB) error measures (RF). As for the parameters tested, for the DNN, we explored the number of neurons in the first dense layer (16, 32, 64), learning rates (0.001, 0.01, 0.05), dropout rates (0.1, 0.3, 0.5), batch sizes ( 8 , 16 , 32 ), epochs (30, 70), activation functions (sigmoid, tanh, relu, and swish) and optimizers (Adaptive Moment Estimation (Adam), Stochastic Gradient Descent and Adamax, a variant of Adam based on the infinity norm). Gradient Boosting (GB) involves sequentially improving predictions by focusing on mistakes of previous models. For the GB classifier, we adjusted several hyperparameters: learning rate (0.1, 0.2, 0.3), max depth ( 5 ), max features (sqrt, log2), min samples leaf ( 10 , 20 ), min samples split ( 20 , 30 ), n_estimators (200, 300), and subsample (0.8, 0.9). Random Forests (RF) use multiple decision trees to make a more accurate diagnosis by considering various possible outcomes and their probabilities. For the RF classifier, we explored the number of trees (100, 125, 150), max features (auto, sqrt), max depth ( 4 , 5 , 6 ), criterion (gini, entropy), min samples split ( 8 , 10 , 12 ), and min samples leaf ( 4 , 6 , 8 ). Finally, Support Vector Machines (SVM) find the best boundary that separates different classes based on the input variables. For the SVM, we tested parameters C (0.125, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75) and gamma (0.1, 0.3, 0.6, 0.9). 2.5 Metrics and Statistical Analysis Mean and standard deviation values for each voice-related variable analyzed in the study were estimated for the control group and the Parkinson's group. F-tests were conducted to assess the equality of variances between the two groups, with p-values less than 0.05 indicating significant differences. Independent t-tests for equal or unequal variances were then used to evaluate the mean differences between groups. T-test results were adjusted for multiple comparisons using the Bonferroni correction method, with an adjusted significance threshold set at p < 0.0013. The six models were evaluated using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, F1 score, and ROC AUC. One-way ANOVA with Tukey HSD corrections was employed for comparison across models ( 31 ). We also used bootstrapping to estimate 95% confidence intervals for our metrics, ensuring a comprehensive understanding of the models' performance variability and reliability. Bootstrapping was used after we determined the normality of the data using the Shapiro-Wilk test from the "scipy.stats" library with either mean or median values and 1000 times iterations. 3. Results Table 1 presents the means and standard deviations for the voice-related variables assessed in this study, comparing the control group to the Parkinson's group. This table also includes F-test and t-test outcomes that determine the mean differences between these groups. Our statistical analysis revealed significant differences between control and Parkinson’s patients across several acoustic measures; among the 39 variables examined, 24 showed significant differences. These include local perturbation measures such as local percentage jitter (locPctJitter), local absolute jitter (locAbsJitter), and relative average perturbation jitter (rapJitter); local and three-point amplitude shimmer measures like local decibel shimmer (locDbShimmer), and three and eleven-point amplitude perturbation quotient shimmer (apq3Shimmer and apq11Shimmer); long-term vocal stability metrics such as recurrence period density entropy (RPDE), detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), and pitch period entropy (PPE); as well as specific Mel frequency cepstral coefficients (MFCCs) and their corresponding changes over time (delta coefficients), particularly MFCCs of orders 2, 6-12, and delta MFCCs of orders 0-2, 7, 8, 11, and 12. Following the statistical analysis, hyperparameter tuning of the Deep Neural Network (DNN) model was conducted to optimize its configuration. The optimal setup included 32 neurons in the first hidden layer, utilizing tanh, relu, and sigmoid activation functions in successive layers. The model's learning process was guided by the Adamax optimizer, binary cross-entropy loss, a dropping rate of 0.1, and a learning rate set at 0.01. We trained the DNN for 30 epochs with a batch size of 16. The model, comprised of 1813 trainable parameters, exhibited an average accuracy of 72.10% ± 6.65% (CI 69.5% - 74.7%), sensitivity of 83.49% ± 9.22% (CI 79.7% - 86.9%), specificity of 60.79% ± 10.25% (CI 57% - 64.8%), precision of 68.34% ± 6.26% (CI 66% - 70.7%), F1 score of 74.89% ± 6.05% (CI 72.7% - 77.2%), and a ROC AUC of 79.94% ± 7.80% (CI 76.9% - 82.8%). The optimized RF model comprised 150 trees (n_estimators) with a maximum depth of 6 for each tree. The model was fine-tuned with min_samples_split set to 10, min_samples_leaf to 8, max_depth to 6, max_features to sqrt, and criterion to gini, ensuring that each leaf had sufficient samples to make a reliable prediction. The model exhibited an average accuracy of 77.34% ± 7.61% (CI 74.2% - 80.3%), sensitivity of 76.58% ± 10.7% (CI 72.7% - 81.8%), specificity of 78.1% ± 9.46% (CI 74.6% - 81.8%), precision of 78.21% ± 8.1% (CI 75.1% - 81.1%), F1 score of 77% ± 8.01% (CI 73.8% - 80.1%), ROC AUC of 85.88% ± 6.38% (CI 83.5% - 90.3%), oob_error of 0.2323 ± 0.0134, and test-error of 0.2266 ± 0.761. The GB model was configured with 200 estimators and a learning rate 0.3. The maximum depth for each tree in the GB model was set to 5, with a minimum sample split of 30 and a minimum sample leaf of 10, maximum features set to sqrt, and subsample set to 0.9. The model's architecture, featuring a maximum tree depth of 5, a minimum sample split of 30 and a minimum sample leaf of 10, maximum features set to 'sqrt' and subsample set to 0.9, resulted in an average accuracy of 83.23% ± 6.23% (CI 80.8% - 85.6%), sensitivity of 81.74% ± 8.38% (CI 74.2% - 81.4%), specificity of 84.79% ± 7.75% (CI 81.8% - 88.0%), precision of 84.59% ± 7.26% (CI 81.6% - 87.3%), F1 score of 82.91% ± 6.57% (CI 80.3% - 85.4%), and a ROC AUC of 90.46% ± 5.22% (CI 88.0% - 93.7%). Our SVM model utilized a radial basis function (RBF) kernel with a regularization parameter (C) of 0.75 and a gamma value 0.1. The SVM exhibited an average accuracy of 83.75% ± 5.39% (CI 81.6% - 86.0%), the sensitivity of 89.07% ± 6.21% (CI 86.3% - 90.9%), specificity of 78.44% ± 9.05% (CI 74.7% - 81.9%), the precision of 80.98% ± 6.65% (CI 78.5% - 83.4%), F1 score of 84.62% ± 4.94% (CI 82.7% - 86.6%), and a ROC AUC of 91.31% ± 4.62% (CI 89.5% - 93.1%). As for the ESM, the model achieved an average accuracy of 84.49% ± 6.08% (CI 82.1% - 86.8%), sensitivity of 85.74% ± 7.53% (CI 85.7% - 90.5%), specificity of 83.30% ± 9.36% (CI 79.8% - 87.0%), precision of 84.29% ± 7.96% (CI 81.0% - 87.2%), F1 score of 84.70% ± 5.95% (CI 82.4% - 87.0%), and a ROC AUC of 92.08% ± 4.94% (CI 90.0% - 95.2%). Lastly, EVM obtained an average accuracy of 82.19% ± 6.59% (CI 79.1% - 86.0%), the sensitivity of 81.02% ± 8.60% (CI 76.2% - 86.4%), specificity of 83.36% ± 9.10% (CI 77.3% - 90.5%), precision of 83.46% ± 8.00% (CI 80.5% - 86.5%), F1 score of 81.92% ± 6.72% (CI 77.3% - 86.4%), and a ROC AUC of 90.46% ± 4.08% (CI 88.9% - 92.1%). These results illustrate each model’s capacity to effectively differentiate between PD patients and healthy controls, underpinning the utility of integrating advanced machine learning techniques in the analysis of complex voice data. 3.1 Comparison Across Models: In our model performance comparison, significant statistical differences emerged. The ESM, SVM, and GB models consistently outperformed other models. ESM and SVM significantly outperformed the ANN model (p<0.001) in accuracy, with no significant differences between them (p=0.993 for ESM vs. SVM). Similarly, GB's performance was comparable to ESM and SVM, with no significant difference in accuracy (p=0.9292 for ESM vs. GB; p=0.9988 for GB vs. SVM). Regarding sensitivities, SVM significantly surpassed RF and ANN (p<0.001). ESM and SVM were comparable in sensitivity (p=0.384), as were ESM and GB (p=0.1906). In specificities, ESM, GB, and SVM all showed substantial improvements over ANN (p<0.001), with no significant difference between GB and ESM (p=0.967) or GB and SVM (p=0.0093). GB and ESM were significantly better in precision than ANN (p<0.001). For F1 scores, ESM, SVM, and GB were superior to ANN (p<0.001), with no significant differences found between ESM and SVM (p=1.0) or between GB and SVM (p=0.783). The ROC AUC values also highlighted the more remarkable results of ESM, SVM, and GB, with no significant differences (p>0.7145 for all comparisons). Conversely, the Ensemble Voting Model (EVM) was statistically inferior in specificities compared to GB (p=0.05) and in F1 scores compared to RF (p=0.003). These results demonstrate the robust performance of ESM, SVM, and GB in PD diagnosis, outclassing other models in most metrics. The results from our ML analysis are pivotal for clinical application, particularly for speech-language pathologists who focus on voice disorders in Parkinson's Disease. The enhanced diagnostic accuracy demonstrated by our models, particularly the SVM and Ensemble Methods, indicates that these tools can reliably identify early signs of Parkinson's Disease through routine voice assessments. This capability to detect subtle vocal changes before they become overtly apparent offers a significant advantage in early disease management, potentially allowing for earlier interventions that can alter the disease's progression and improve patient outcomes. 4. Discussion This study represents a significant advancement in integrating heterogeneous voice data from diverse sources for PD diagnosis via machine learning (ML) methods, overcoming challenges from diverse data analysis methods and variable selection constraints. Our methodology, incorporating a comprehensive dataset of 432 participants, exceeds most previous studies' PD patient sample sizes, e.g. ( 14 , 16 , 23 , 29 , 32 , 33 ). This larger dataset enhances the generalizability and robustness of our findings, as also indicated in a recent review ( 29 ). Unlike most studies relying on single data sources ( 14 , 16 , 23 , 29 , 32 , 33 ), our multi-source integration boosts the validity and reliability of our results. In our study, 39 voice-related variables were compared between healthy controls and individuals with Parkinson's Disease (PD), as detailed in Table 1 . We observed significant differences in several acoustic measures, emphasizing the sensitivity of vocal features to neuromuscular changes in PD. Notably, local perturbation measures such as local percentage jitter (locPctJitter), local absolute jitter (locAbsJitter), and relative average perturbation jitter (rapJitter) were elevated in PD patients, indicative of PD-related voice impairments due to irregular speech cycles ( 34 ). Shimmer measures presented a mixed picture. While local shimmer (locShimmer) approached significance, suggesting potential elevations in PD patients likely due to vocal fold vibration irregularities ( 2 , 22 ), local decibel shimmer (locDbShimmer) and three and eleven-point amplitude perturbation quotient shimmer (apq3Shimmer and apq11Shimmer) were higher in controls. This discrepancy could reflect compensatory mechanisms in PD patients, such as reduced vocal fold amplitude due to rigidity and bradykinesia, or intentional speech pattern adjustments to enhance clarity despite motor deficits ( 35 ). Additionally, nonlinear stability metrics, including recurrence period density entropy (RPDE), detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), and pitch period entropy (PPE), were higher in controls, indicating more complex and stable vocal signals compared to the more simplified and unstable patterns in PD patients ( 36 ). Variability was also evident in the Mel frequency cepstral coefficients (MFCCs) and their deltas, reflecting the heterogeneous impact of PD on speech characteristics. Specifically, controls exhibited more stable spectral shapes and more complex spectral variations in lower-order coefficients (MFCC 2 and 6), highlighting their relatively preserved speech dynamics. In contrast, PD patients generally showed greater fluctuations in higher-order spectral features (MFCCs 7–12), indicating more pronounced spectral alterations associated with the disease ( 37 , 38 ). Regarding delta coefficients, which measure changes between consecutive MFCCs, PD patients typically exhibited more pronounced variations (delta coefficients 0–2, 7, 8, and 12), suggesting greater temporal variability in their speech patterns. Conversely, delta 11 was greater in controls, indicating that controls may experience more pronounced fluctuations in this specific spectral feature over time ( 37 , 38 ). These findings underscore the complexity of PD-related voice changes suggesting that traditional statistical methods alone may not fully capture these nuanced patterns, underscoring the potential of ML in this context ( 14 , 16 ). For Speech-Language Pathologists (SLPs), the variables studies here are promising clinical assessment tools, but their diagnostic potential is maximized when integrated into ML frameworks. Machine learning models are adept at managing such variability and can effectively distinguish between individuals with and without the disease by learning from complex patterns in the data ( 39 – 41 ). Consistent with the literature ( 16 , 32 , 33 , 42 ), our findings affirm the superior performance of SVM models, aligning with the trends in PD diagnosis using voice analysis. Only a few studies showed different results ( 43 ) ( 44 ). Our model's accuracy and F1 scores for SVM, GB, and RF are comparable or superior to those reported in more extensive studies ( 38 , 45 ). Notably, our Ensemble Stacking Model (ESM) exhibited precision and F1 scores surpassing Sakar et al. (2010), with our expanded dataset including 278 PD patients out of 432 participants. In demonstrating superiority over the EVM, RF, and DNN models, the ESM and GB models, alongside the SVM, highlight the robustness of ensemble and individual ML methods in managing data heterogeneity—a frequent challenge in medical research. This underscores the transformative potential of ML in medical diagnostics, especially for conditions like PD, where early and accurate detection is crucial ( 46 ). After discussing the superior performance of the SVM and ESM models, one might consider how these findings translate to clinical practice. For SLPs, the high sensitivity of these models means that even subtle abnormalities in voice, which might not be discernible through standard auditory assessments, can be detected early, thereby enabling timely therapeutic interventions. While our results are promising, the study's reliance on pre-existing datasets presents limitations, such as a restricted range of variables and potential biases inherent in the dataset composition. Future research should prioritize collecting more diverse and comprehensive data, allowing for a broader exploration of variables affecting PD diagnosis, as suggested by Sheikhi et al. (2022) ( 47 ). Furthermore, integrating clinical validation trials, as discussed in Dao et al. (2022) ( 48 ), is imperative to establish these ML approaches' real-world applicability and efficacy. In conclusion, this study underscores the synergy of voice analysis and advanced ML in early PD detection and paves the way for developing noninvasive, cost-effective diagnostic tools. These tools can potentially revolutionize patient care by facilitating earlier intervention strategies ( 49 ). Declarations Declaration of Competing Interest The author declares that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. Funding Statement The research conducted by author Osmar Pinto Neto was supported by scholarships provided by the Anima Institute. Declaration of Generative AI and AI-assisted technologies in the writing process While preparing this work, the author used OpenAI's GPT-4 architecture to improve readability and language. After using this service, the author reviewed and edited the content as needed and takes full responsibility for the publication's content. References Suppa A, Costantini G, Asci F, Di Leo P, Al-Wardat MS, Di Lazzaro G et al (2022) Voice in Parkinson’s Disease: A Machine Learning Study. Front Neurol [Internet]. [citado 27 de outubro de 2023];13. Disponível em https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/ 10.3389/fneur.2022.831428 Voice Analysis for Diagnosis and Monitoring Parkinson’s Disease | SpringerLink [Internet]. [citado 27 de outubro de 2023]. 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J Phys Conf Ser maio de 1538(1):012024 Sakar CO, Serbes G, Gunduz A, Tunc HC, Nizam H, Sakar BE et al (2019) A comparative analysis of speech signal processing algorithms for Parkinson’s disease classification and the use of the tunable Q-factor wavelet transform. Appl Soft Comput janeiro de 74:255–263 Sayed MA, Cao DM, Islam MT, Tayaba M, Pavel MEUI, Mia MT et al (2023) Parkinson’s Disease Detection through Vocal Biomarkers and Advanced Machine Learning Algorithms. J Comput Sci Technol Stud 2 de dezembro de 5(4):142–149 An interpretable model based on graph learning for diagnosis of Parkinson’s disease with voice-related EEG | npj Digital Medicine [Internet]. [citado 11 de abril de 2024]. Disponível em: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41746-023-00983-9 Kumar DM, Arthi R, Rajeev A, Ranjith A, Murali A K A. Early Detection of Parkinsons Using Machine Learning. Em: 2024 International Conference on Emerging Systems and Intelligent Computing (ESIC) [Internet]. 2024 [citado 11 de abril de 2024]. pp. 562–5. Disponível em: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/abstract/document/10481533 Sztahó D, Jenei AZ, Valálik I, Vicsi K (2022) The Effect of Speech Fragmentation and Audio Encodings on Automatic Parkinson’s Disease Recognition. J Biomed Sci Eng 6 de janeiro de 15(1):6–25 Marar S, Swain D, Hiwarkar V, Motwani N, Awari A (2018) Predicting the occurrence of Parkinson’s Disease using various Classification Models. 2018 Int Conf Adv Comput Telecommun ICACAT. dezembro de. ;1–5 Rao DV, Sucharitha Y, Venkatesh D, Mahamthy K, Yasin SM Diagnosis of Parkinson’s Disease using Principal Component Analysis and Machine Learning algorithms with Vocal Features. Em: 2022 International Conference on Sustainable Computing and Data Communication Systems (ICSCDS) [Internet]. 2022 [citado 22 de janeiro de 2024]. pp. 200–6. Disponível em: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9760962 Tracy JM, Özkanca Y, Atkins DC, Hosseini Ghomi R (2020) Investigating voice as a biomarker: Deep phenotyping methods for early detection of Parkinson’s disease. J Biomed Inf abril de 104:103362 Mamun M, Mahmud MI, Hossain MI, Islam AM, Ahammed MS, Uddin MM Vocal Feature Guided Detection of Parkinson’s Disease Using Machine Learning Algorithms. Em: 2022 IEEE 13th Annual Ubiquitous Computing, Electronics & Mobile Communication Conference (UEMCON) [Internet]. 2022 [citado 22 de janeiro de 2024]. pp. 0566–72. Disponível em: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9965732 Sheikhi S, Kheirabadi MT (2022) An Efficient Rotation Forest-Based Ensemble Approach for Predicting Severity of Parkinson’s Disease. J Healthc Eng 2022:5524852 Dao SVT, Yu Z, Tran LV, Phan PNK, Huynh TTM, Le TM An Analysis of Vocal Features for Parkinson’s Disease Classification Using Evolutionary Algorithms. Diagnostics. 16 de agosto de 2022;12(8):1980 El-Habbak OM, Abdelalim AM, Mohamed NH, Abd-Elaty HM, Hammouda MA, Mohamed YY et al Enhancing Parkinson’s Disease Diagnosis Accuracy Through Speech Signal Algorithm Modeling. | Computers, Materials & Continua | EBSCOhost [Internet]. Vol. 70. 2022 [citado 22 de janeiro de 2024]. p. 2953. Disponível em: https://openurl.ebsco.com/contentitem/doi:10.32604%2Fcmc .2022.020109?sid=ebsco:plink:crawler&id=ebsco:doi:10.32604%2Fcmc.2022.020109 Tables Table 1: Means and Standard Deviations (SD) for Voice-Related Variables in Control and Parkinson's Groups This table summarizes the mean and standard deviation values for each voice-related variable analyzed in the study, categorized by the control group and the Parkinson's group. F-tests were conducted to assess the equality of variances between the two groups, with p-values less than 0.05 indicating significant differences. Independent t-tests were then used to evaluate the mean differences between groups. T-test results were adjusted for multiple comparisons using the Bonferroni correction method, with an adjusted significance threshold set at p<0.0013. Variables displaying p-values below this threshold after correction are marked with an asterisk (*) to denote significant differences between the control and Parkinson's groups. Control Parkinson's Variables Mean SD Mean SD F-test t-test locPctJitter 0.474 0.347 0.619 0.342 0.816 0.0001* locAbsJitter 0.293 0.333 0.497 0.332 0.955 <0.0001* rapJitter 0.192 0.228 0.356 0.254 0.147 <0.0001* ppq5Jitter 164.303 198.042 214.859 157.715 0.001 0.0085 locShimmer 163.794 197.382 213.952 157.284 0.001 0.0088 locDbShimmer 0.259 0.314 0.156 0.263 0.014 0.0009* apq3Shimmer 0.015 0.018 0.009 0.016 0.024 0.0007* apq5Shimmer 0.019 0.023 0.012 0.018 0.001 0.0023 apq11Shimmer 0.024 0.031 0.013 0.024 <0.001 0.0002* RPDE 18.218 30.108 7.806 19.107 <0.001 0.0002* DFA 19.516 32.458 8.315 20.48 <0.001 0.0002* PPE 22.547 37.421 9.786 23.934 <0.001 0.0003* GNE_mean 4624.49 11163.8 3843.85 17244.4 <0.001 0.5783 MFCC_0th_coef -32.793 115.099 -20.263 85.306 <0.001 0.2509 MFCC_1st_coef -0.922 1.756 -0.496 1.626 0.284 0.014 MFCC_2nd_coef 0.651 0.698 0.359 0.578 0.009 <0.0001* MFCC_3rd_coef -0.157 0.56 -0.022 0.386 <0.001 0.0104 MFCC_4th_coef 0.097 0.722 0.096 0.509 <0.001 0.981 MFCC_5th_coef 0.918 0.536 0.89 0.365 <0.001 0.5779 MFCC_6th_coef 0.441 0.634 0.236 0.48 <0.001 0.0008* MFCC_7th_coef 9.52 10.633 12.81 9.249 0.052 0.0012* MFCC_8th_coef 33.615 37.007 48.664 32.514 0.071 <0.0001* MFCC_9th_coef 35.142 38.895 52.703 34.841 0.125 <0.0001* MFCC_10th_coef 34.362 38.15 51.068 33.92 0.102 <0.0001* MFCC_11th_coef 312.036 369.061 433.536 308.064 0.012 0.0008* MFCC_12th_coef 577.255 659.629 845.923 568.087 0.037 <0.0001* Delta_MFCC_0th 1116.66 1280.85 1796.577 1221.88 0.508 <0.0001* Delta _MFCC_1st 1562.23 1775.16 2477.09 1654.46 0.326 <0.0001* Delta _MFCC_2nd 88.511 193.978 152.808 183.227 0.425 0.0009* Delta _MFCC_3rd 138.707 252.147 204.525 271.492 0.323 0.0164 Delta _MFCC_4th 282.561 510.67 351.462 448.593 0.071 0.1569 Delta _MFCC_5th 255.194 460.048 337.85 376.874 0.005 0.0651 Delta _MFCC_6th 0.802 0.585 0.804 0.381 <0.001 0.9607 Delta _MFCC_7th 10.951 19.052 24.76 27.76 <0.001 <0.0001* Delta _MFCC_8th 1.715 3.287 3.666 5.004 <0.001 <0.0001* Delta _MFCC_9th 0.921 0.692 0.918 0.463 <0.001 0.9633 Delta _MFCC_10th 0.49 0.616 0.333 0.397 <0.001 0.0058 Delta _MFCC_11th 0.476 0.611 0.289 0.407 <0.001 0.0011* Delta _MFCC_12th 735585 847445 1071354 739984 0.059 <0.0001* Additional Declarations The authors declare no competing interests. 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Introduction","content":"\u003cp\u003eParkinson's Disease (PD) represents a significant global health challenge, affecting millions and exerting substantial socio-economic impacts. Traditional diagnostic approaches, predominantly reliant on assessing physical symptoms, frequently delay detection, especially during the disease's incipient stages, where symptoms may be subtle or absent (\u003cspan additionalcitationids=\"CR2\" citationid=\"CR1\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e1\u003c/span\u003e\u0026ndash;\u003cspan citationid=\"CR3\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e3\u003c/span\u003e). In this context, voice analysis, as a non-invasive, readily accessible diagnostic tool, offers a promising alternative. However, despite its potential, the complexity of PD-related voice changes makes traditional voice analysis methods challenging for early and accurate diagnosis. Speech-Language Pathologists (SLPs) have historically employed voice analysis to diagnose hypokinetic dysarthria, a speech disorder symptomatic of PD. Nonetheless, navigating the subtleties of these changes requires advanced analytical capabilities beyond conventional statistical approaches (\u003cspan additionalcitationids=\"CR5\" citationid=\"CR4\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e4\u003c/span\u003e\u0026ndash;\u003cspan citationid=\"CR6\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e6\u003c/span\u003e).\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRecent strides in machine learning (ML) offer new opportunities for the early detection of PD by employing sophisticated analysis of voice-related variables. These techniques can manage significant variability across subjects and groups. They can discern subtle yet critical vocal changes associated with early PD, significantly advancing beyond traditional voice analysis methods and offering more objective and quantifiable metrics (\u003cspan additionalcitationids=\"CR8\" citationid=\"CR7\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e7\u003c/span\u003e\u0026ndash;\u003cspan citationid=\"CR9\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e9\u003c/span\u003e). The integration of ML into voice analysis reflects an evolving landscape in PD diagnostics, where voice impairments like hypophonia and mono-pitch speech, characteristic of hypokinetic dysarthria, serve as pivotal early indicators (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR1\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e1\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR2\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e2\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan additionalcitationids=\"CR9 CR10\" citationid=\"CR8\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e8\u003c/span\u003e\u0026ndash;\u003cspan citationid=\"CR11\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e11\u003c/span\u003e).\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThis evolution is underscored by the application of advanced ML algorithms, such as Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forests (RF), and Deep Learning (DL), have been applied to voice analysis, demonstrating potential in identifying subtle vocal changes indicative of early-stage PD with a high degree of accuracy (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR7\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e7\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR8\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e8\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan additionalcitationids=\"CR12 CR13 CR14 CR15 CR16\" citationid=\"CR11\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e11\u003c/span\u003e\u0026ndash;\u003cspan citationid=\"CR17\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e17\u003c/span\u003e). These methodologies represent a significant enhancement over traditional voice analysis, providing objective insights into vocal impairments and facilitating earlier PD detection (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR18\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e18\u003c/span\u003e) .\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThis study advances the field by evaluating and comparing four ML models \u0026ndash; Deep Neural Networks (DNN), Random Forests (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB), and Support Vector Machines (SVM) \u0026ndash; alongside two ensemble methods, Ensemble Stacking Model (ESM), and Ensemble Voting Classifier (EVC), in differentiating PD patients from healthy individuals. By applying diverse machine learning techniques to a large dataset, which integrates three distinct datasets, this study seeks to refine the precision of voice analysis tools for Parkinson's Disease diagnosis. The inclusion of varied datasets not only enriches the data pool but also aims to improve the reliability and applicability of our results. This approach may pave the way for enhanced early detection and potentially contribute to more effective disease management and patient outcomes (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR19\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e19\u003c/span\u003e).\u003c/p\u003e"},{"header":"2. Material and Methods","content":"\u003cdiv id=\"Sec3\" class=\"Section2\"\u003e \u003ch2\u003e2.1 Data Acquisition\u003c/h2\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe study employed three datasets: two sourced from the reputable UCI ML Repository (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR20\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e20\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR21\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e21\u003c/span\u003e) and one from figshare (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR22\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e22\u003c/span\u003e), selected for their demonstrated reliability (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR14\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e14\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR15\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e15\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan additionalcitationids=\"CR24 CR25 CR26 CR27\" citationid=\"CR23\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e23\u003c/span\u003e\u0026ndash;\u003cspan citationid=\"CR28\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e28\u003c/span\u003e). Selection was based on data consistency. The datasets included voice measurements from PD patients and healthy individuals, with 432 participants comprising 278 PD patients.\u003c/p\u003e \u003c/div\u003e \u003cdiv id=\"Sec4\" class=\"Section2\"\u003e \u003ch2\u003e2.2. Voice collection protocol\u003c/h2\u003e \u003cp\u003e In each study, participants were instructed to phonate the vowel 'a' continuously for three to five seconds.\u003c/p\u003e \u003c/div\u003e \u003cdiv id=\"Sec5\" class=\"Section2\"\u003e \u003ch2\u003e2.3 Data Preparation and Preprocessing\u003c/h2\u003e \u003cp\u003eWe combined the first two datasets and extracted all in common 39 variables: pitch local perturbation measures, amplitude perturbation measures, Mel frequency cepstral coefficient-based spectral measures of order 0 to 12 and their derivatives, recurrence period density entropy, detrended fluctuation analysis, pitch period entropy, and glottal-to-noise excitation ratio. The same variables were also quantified from .wav files in the third dataset after preprocessing (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR14\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e14\u003c/span\u003e). Established Python libraries (librosa, parselmouth, fathon, pyrpde) and custom functions facilitated comprehensive audio file analysis. Data from all three datasets were standardized using StandardScaler and OneHotEncoder for sex. To address the class imbalance, the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) was applied to the training data.\u003c/p\u003e \u003c/div\u003e \u003cdiv id=\"Sec6\" class=\"Section2\"\u003e \u003ch2\u003e2.4 Machine Learning Analysis:\u003c/h2\u003e \u003cp\u003eWe implemented four widely studied ML models - DNN, RF, GB, and SVM - and two ensemble methods combining these models: ESM and EVM; these ensemble methods (Stacking and Voting) combine predictions from multiple models to improve reliability. Python libraries (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR30\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e30\u003c/span\u003e) were utilized for the implementation. These models and methods were selected based on their proven effectiveness in similar contexts, as detailed in (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR29\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e29\u003c/span\u003e). Each model offers unique advantages in identifying subtle voice changes associated with early stages of Parkinson's Disease, making them valuable tools for non-invasive diagnostics.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDeep Neural Networks (DNN) are advanced computational models that mimic human brain functions to detect complex patterns. DNNs were constructed using the Keras Sequential API with an input layer, two hidden layers, an output layer, and multiple activation functions. For the stacking ensemble method, the final prediction in this ensemble was made using a Logistic Regression model as the final estimator and was evaluated using K-fold cross-validation (cv\u0026thinsp;=\u0026thinsp;5).\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe models underwent rigorous validation involving five 80\u0026thinsp;\u0026minus;\u0026thinsp;20 splits and 10-fold Stratified KFold cross-validation. Hyperparameters were optimized using GridSearchCV, with specific measures taken to mitigate overfitting, such as early stopping and dropout rates, L1/L2 regularization (l1_l2, l1\u0026thinsp;=\u0026thinsp;0.001, l2\u0026thinsp;=\u0026thinsp;0.0001), learning curves validation plots, out-of-bag (OOB) error measures (RF).\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAs for the parameters tested, for the DNN, we explored the number of neurons in the first dense layer (16, 32, 64), learning rates (0.001, 0.01, 0.05), dropout rates (0.1, 0.3, 0.5), batch sizes (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR8\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e8\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR16\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e16\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR32\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e32\u003c/span\u003e), epochs (30, 70), activation functions (sigmoid, tanh, relu, and swish) and optimizers (Adaptive Moment Estimation (Adam), Stochastic Gradient Descent and Adamax, a variant of Adam based on the infinity norm).\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eGradient Boosting (GB) involves sequentially improving predictions by focusing on mistakes of previous models. For the GB classifier, we adjusted several hyperparameters: learning rate (0.1, 0.2, 0.3), max depth (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR5\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e5\u003c/span\u003e), max features (sqrt, log2), min samples leaf (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR10\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e10\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR20\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e20\u003c/span\u003e), min samples split (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR20\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e20\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR30\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e30\u003c/span\u003e), n_estimators (200, 300), and subsample (0.8, 0.9).\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eRandom Forests (RF) use multiple decision trees to make a more accurate diagnosis by considering various possible outcomes and their probabilities. For the RF classifier, we explored the number of trees (100, 125, 150), max features (auto, sqrt), max depth (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR4\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e4\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR5\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e5\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR6\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e6\u003c/span\u003e), criterion (gini, entropy), min samples split (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR8\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e8\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR10\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e10\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR12\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e12\u003c/span\u003e), and min samples leaf (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR4\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e4\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR6\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e6\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR8\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e8\u003c/span\u003e).\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFinally, Support Vector Machines (SVM) find the best boundary that separates different classes based on the input variables. For the SVM, we tested parameters C (0.125, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75) and gamma (0.1, 0.3, 0.6, 0.9).\u003c/p\u003e \u003c/div\u003e \u003cdiv id=\"Sec7\" class=\"Section2\"\u003e \u003ch2\u003e2.5 Metrics and Statistical Analysis\u003c/h2\u003e \u003cp\u003eMean and standard deviation values for each voice-related variable analyzed in the study were estimated for the control group and the Parkinson's group. F-tests were conducted to assess the equality of variances between the two groups, with p-values less than 0.05 indicating significant differences. Independent t-tests for equal or unequal variances were then used to evaluate the mean differences between groups. T-test results were adjusted for multiple comparisons using the Bonferroni correction method, with an adjusted significance threshold set at p\u0026thinsp;\u0026lt;\u0026thinsp;0.0013.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe six models were evaluated using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, F1 score, and ROC AUC. One-way ANOVA with Tukey HSD corrections was employed for comparison across models (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR31\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e31\u003c/span\u003e). We also used bootstrapping to estimate 95% confidence intervals for our metrics, ensuring a comprehensive understanding of the models' performance variability and reliability. Bootstrapping was used after we determined the normality of the data using the Shapiro-Wilk test from the \"scipy.stats\" library with either mean or median values and 1000 times iterations.\u003c/p\u003e \u003c/div\u003e"},{"header":"3. Results","content":"\u003cp\u003eTable 1 presents the means and standard deviations for the voice-related variables assessed in this study, comparing the control group to the Parkinson\u0026apos;s group. This table also includes F-test and t-test outcomes that determine the mean differences between these groups. Our statistical analysis revealed significant differences between control and Parkinson\u0026rsquo;s patients across several acoustic measures; among the 39 variables examined, 24 showed significant differences. These include local perturbation measures such as local percentage jitter (locPctJitter), local absolute jitter (locAbsJitter), and relative average perturbation jitter (rapJitter); local and three-point amplitude shimmer measures like local decibel shimmer (locDbShimmer), and three and eleven-point amplitude perturbation quotient shimmer (apq3Shimmer and apq11Shimmer); long-term vocal stability metrics such as recurrence period density entropy (RPDE), detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), and pitch period entropy (PPE); as well as specific Mel frequency cepstral coefficients (MFCCs) and their corresponding changes over time (delta coefficients), particularly MFCCs of orders 2, 6-12, and delta MFCCs of orders 0-2, 7, 8, 11, and 12.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eFollowing the statistical analysis, hyperparameter tuning of the Deep Neural Network (DNN) model was conducted to optimize its configuration. The optimal setup included 32 neurons in the first hidden layer, utilizing tanh, relu, and sigmoid activation functions in successive layers. The model\u0026apos;s learning process was guided by the Adamax optimizer, binary cross-entropy loss, a dropping rate of 0.1, and a learning rate set at 0.01. We trained the DNN for 30 epochs with a batch size of 16. The model, comprised of 1813 trainable parameters, exhibited an average accuracy of 72.10% \u0026plusmn; 6.65% (CI 69.5% - 74.7%), sensitivity of 83.49% \u0026plusmn; 9.22% (CI 79.7% - 86.9%), specificity of 60.79% \u0026plusmn; 10.25% (CI 57% - 64.8%), precision of 68.34% \u0026plusmn; 6.26% (CI 66% - 70.7%), F1 score of 74.89% \u0026plusmn; 6.05% (CI 72.7% - 77.2%), and a ROC AUC of 79.94% \u0026plusmn; 7.80% (CI 76.9% - 82.8%).\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eThe optimized RF model comprised 150 trees (n_estimators) with a maximum depth of 6 for each tree. The model was fine-tuned with min_samples_split set to 10, min_samples_leaf to 8, max_depth to 6, max_features to sqrt, and criterion to gini, ensuring that each leaf had sufficient samples to make a reliable prediction. The model exhibited an average accuracy of 77.34% \u0026plusmn; 7.61% (CI 74.2% - 80.3%), sensitivity of 76.58% \u0026plusmn; 10.7% (CI 72.7% - 81.8%), specificity of 78.1% \u0026plusmn; 9.46% (CI 74.6% - 81.8%), precision of 78.21% \u0026plusmn; 8.1% (CI 75.1% - 81.1%), F1 score of 77% \u0026plusmn; 8.01% (CI 73.8% - 80.1%), ROC AUC of 85.88% \u0026plusmn; 6.38% (CI 83.5% - 90.3%), oob_error of 0.2323 \u0026plusmn; 0.0134, and test-error of 0.2266 \u0026plusmn; 0.761. \u0026nbsp;\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eThe GB model was configured with 200 estimators and a learning rate 0.3. The maximum depth for each tree in the GB model was set to 5, with a minimum sample split of 30 and a minimum sample leaf of 10, maximum features set to sqrt, and subsample set to 0.9. The model\u0026apos;s architecture, featuring a maximum tree depth of 5, a minimum sample split of 30 and a minimum sample leaf of 10, maximum features set to \u0026apos;sqrt\u0026apos; and subsample set to 0.9, resulted in an average accuracy of 83.23% \u0026plusmn; 6.23% (CI 80.8% - 85.6%), sensitivity of 81.74% \u0026plusmn; 8.38% (CI 74.2% - 81.4%), specificity of 84.79% \u0026plusmn; 7.75% (CI 81.8% - 88.0%), precision of 84.59% \u0026plusmn; 7.26% (CI 81.6% - 87.3%), F1 score of 82.91% \u0026plusmn; 6.57% (CI 80.3% - 85.4%), and a ROC AUC of 90.46% \u0026plusmn; 5.22% (CI 88.0% - 93.7%).\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eOur SVM model utilized a radial basis function (RBF) kernel with a regularization parameter (C) of 0.75 and a gamma value 0.1. The SVM exhibited an average accuracy of 83.75% \u0026plusmn; 5.39% (CI 81.6% - 86.0%), the sensitivity of 89.07% \u0026plusmn; 6.21% (CI 86.3% - 90.9%), specificity of 78.44% \u0026plusmn; 9.05% (CI 74.7% - 81.9%), the precision of 80.98% \u0026plusmn; 6.65% (CI 78.5% - 83.4%), F1 score of 84.62% \u0026plusmn; 4.94% (CI 82.7% - 86.6%), and a ROC AUC of 91.31% \u0026plusmn; 4.62% (CI 89.5% - 93.1%).\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eAs for the ESM, the model achieved an average accuracy of 84.49% \u0026plusmn; 6.08% (CI 82.1% - 86.8%), sensitivity of 85.74% \u0026plusmn; 7.53% (CI 85.7% - 90.5%), specificity of 83.30% \u0026plusmn; 9.36% (CI 79.8% - 87.0%), precision of 84.29% \u0026plusmn; 7.96% (CI 81.0% - 87.2%), F1 score of 84.70% \u0026plusmn; 5.95% (CI 82.4% - 87.0%), and a ROC AUC of 92.08% \u0026plusmn; 4.94% (CI 90.0% - 95.2%).\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eLastly, EVM obtained an average accuracy of 82.19% \u0026plusmn; 6.59% (CI 79.1% - 86.0%), the sensitivity of 81.02% \u0026plusmn; 8.60% (CI 76.2% - 86.4%), specificity of 83.36% \u0026plusmn; 9.10% (CI 77.3% - 90.5%), precision of 83.46% \u0026plusmn; 8.00% (CI 80.5% - 86.5%), F1 score of 81.92% \u0026plusmn; 6.72% (CI 77.3% - 86.4%), and a ROC AUC of 90.46% \u0026plusmn; 4.08% (CI 88.9% - 92.1%).\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eThese results illustrate each model\u0026rsquo;s capacity to effectively differentiate between PD patients and healthy controls, underpinning the utility of integrating advanced machine learning techniques in the analysis of complex voice data.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003e3.1 Comparison Across Models:\u003c/em\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eIn our model performance comparison, significant statistical differences emerged. The ESM, SVM, and GB models consistently outperformed other models. ESM and SVM significantly outperformed the ANN model (p\u0026lt;0.001) in accuracy, with no significant differences between them (p=0.993 for ESM vs. SVM). Similarly, GB\u0026apos;s performance was comparable to ESM and SVM, with no significant difference in accuracy (p=0.9292 for ESM vs. GB; p=0.9988 for GB vs. SVM). Regarding sensitivities, SVM significantly surpassed RF and ANN (p\u0026lt;0.001). ESM and SVM were comparable in sensitivity (p=0.384), as were ESM and GB (p=0.1906). In specificities, ESM, GB, and SVM all showed substantial improvements over ANN (p\u0026lt;0.001), with no significant difference between GB and ESM (p=0.967) or GB and SVM (p=0.0093).\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eGB and ESM were significantly better in precision than ANN (p\u0026lt;0.001). For F1 scores, ESM, SVM, and GB were superior to ANN (p\u0026lt;0.001), with no significant differences found between ESM and SVM (p=1.0) or between GB and SVM (p=0.783). The ROC AUC values also highlighted the more remarkable results of ESM, SVM, and GB, with no significant differences (p\u0026gt;0.7145 for all comparisons). Conversely, the Ensemble Voting Model (EVM) was statistically inferior in specificities compared to GB (p=0.05) and in F1 scores compared to RF (p=0.003). These results demonstrate the robust performance of ESM, SVM, and GB in PD diagnosis, outclassing other models in most metrics.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; \u0026nbsp; The results from our ML analysis are pivotal for clinical application, particularly for speech-language pathologists who focus on voice disorders in Parkinson\u0026apos;s Disease. The enhanced diagnostic accuracy demonstrated by our models, particularly the SVM and Ensemble Methods, indicates that these tools can reliably identify early signs of Parkinson\u0026apos;s Disease through routine voice assessments. This capability to detect subtle vocal changes before they become overtly apparent offers a significant advantage in early disease management, potentially allowing for earlier interventions that can alter the disease\u0026apos;s progression and improve patient outcomes.\u003c/p\u003e"},{"header":"4. Discussion","content":"\u003cp\u003eThis study represents a significant advancement in integrating heterogeneous voice data from diverse sources for PD diagnosis via machine learning (ML) methods, overcoming challenges from diverse data analysis methods and variable selection constraints. Our methodology, incorporating a comprehensive dataset of 432 participants, exceeds most previous studies' PD patient sample sizes, e.g. (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR14\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e14\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR16\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e16\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR23\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e23\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR29\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e29\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR32\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e32\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR33\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e33\u003c/span\u003e). This larger dataset enhances the generalizability and robustness of our findings, as also indicated in a recent review (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR29\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e29\u003c/span\u003e). Unlike most studies relying on single data sources (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR14\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e14\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR16\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e16\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR23\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e23\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR29\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e29\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR32\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e32\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR33\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e33\u003c/span\u003e), our multi-source integration boosts the validity and reliability of our results.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIn our study, 39 voice-related variables were compared between healthy controls and individuals with Parkinson's Disease (PD), as detailed in Table\u0026nbsp;\u003cspan refid=\"Tab1\" class=\"InternalRef\"\u003e1\u003c/span\u003e. We observed significant differences in several acoustic measures, emphasizing the sensitivity of vocal features to neuromuscular changes in PD. Notably, local perturbation measures such as local percentage jitter (locPctJitter), local absolute jitter (locAbsJitter), and relative average perturbation jitter (rapJitter) were elevated in PD patients, indicative of PD-related voice impairments due to irregular speech cycles (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR34\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e34\u003c/span\u003e).\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eShimmer measures presented a mixed picture. While local shimmer (locShimmer) approached significance, suggesting potential elevations in PD patients likely due to vocal fold vibration irregularities (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR2\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e2\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR22\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e22\u003c/span\u003e), local decibel shimmer (locDbShimmer) and three and eleven-point amplitude perturbation quotient shimmer (apq3Shimmer and apq11Shimmer) were higher in controls. This discrepancy could reflect compensatory mechanisms in PD patients, such as reduced vocal fold amplitude due to rigidity and bradykinesia, or intentional speech pattern adjustments to enhance clarity despite motor deficits (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR35\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e35\u003c/span\u003e). Additionally, nonlinear stability metrics, including recurrence period density entropy (RPDE), detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), and pitch period entropy (PPE), were higher in controls, indicating more complex and stable vocal signals compared to the more simplified and unstable patterns in PD patients (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR36\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e36\u003c/span\u003e).\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eVariability was also evident in the Mel frequency cepstral coefficients (MFCCs) and their deltas, reflecting the heterogeneous impact of PD on speech characteristics. Specifically, controls exhibited more stable spectral shapes and more complex spectral variations in lower-order coefficients (MFCC 2 and 6), highlighting their relatively preserved speech dynamics. In contrast, PD patients generally showed greater fluctuations in higher-order spectral features (MFCCs 7\u0026ndash;12), indicating more pronounced spectral alterations associated with the disease (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR37\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e37\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR38\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e38\u003c/span\u003e). Regarding delta coefficients, which measure changes between consecutive MFCCs, PD patients typically exhibited more pronounced variations (delta coefficients 0\u0026ndash;2, 7, 8, and 12), suggesting greater temporal variability in their speech patterns. Conversely, delta 11 was greater in controls, indicating that controls may experience more pronounced fluctuations in this specific spectral feature over time (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR37\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e37\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR38\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e38\u003c/span\u003e).\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThese findings underscore the complexity of PD-related voice changes suggesting that traditional statistical methods alone may not fully capture these nuanced patterns, underscoring the potential of ML in this context (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR14\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e14\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR16\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e16\u003c/span\u003e). For Speech-Language Pathologists (SLPs), the variables studies here are promising clinical assessment tools, but their diagnostic potential is maximized when integrated into ML frameworks. Machine learning models are adept at managing such variability and can effectively distinguish between individuals with and without the disease by learning from complex patterns in the data (\u003cspan additionalcitationids=\"CR40\" citationid=\"CR39\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e39\u003c/span\u003e\u0026ndash;\u003cspan citationid=\"CR41\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e41\u003c/span\u003e).\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eConsistent with the literature (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR16\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e16\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR32\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e32\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR33\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e33\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR42\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e42\u003c/span\u003e), our findings affirm the superior performance of SVM models, aligning with the trends in PD diagnosis using voice analysis. Only a few studies showed different results (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR43\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e43\u003c/span\u003e) (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR44\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e44\u003c/span\u003e). Our model's accuracy and F1 scores for SVM, GB, and RF are comparable or superior to those reported in more extensive studies (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR38\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e38\u003c/span\u003e, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR45\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e45\u003c/span\u003e). Notably, our Ensemble Stacking Model (ESM) exhibited precision and F1 scores surpassing Sakar et al. (2010), with our expanded dataset including 278 PD patients out of 432 participants.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIn demonstrating superiority over the EVM, RF, and DNN models, the ESM and GB models, alongside the SVM, highlight the robustness of ensemble and individual ML methods in managing data heterogeneity\u0026mdash;a frequent challenge in medical research. This underscores the transformative potential of ML in medical diagnostics, especially for conditions like PD, where early and accurate detection is crucial (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR46\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e46\u003c/span\u003e). After discussing the superior performance of the SVM and ESM models, one might consider how these findings translate to clinical practice. For SLPs, the high sensitivity of these models means that even subtle abnormalities in voice, which might not be discernible through standard auditory assessments, can be detected early, thereby enabling timely therapeutic interventions.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eWhile our results are promising, the study's reliance on pre-existing datasets presents limitations, such as a restricted range of variables and potential biases inherent in the dataset composition. Future research should prioritize collecting more diverse and comprehensive data, allowing for a broader exploration of variables affecting PD diagnosis, as suggested by Sheikhi et al. (2022) (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR47\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e47\u003c/span\u003e). Furthermore, integrating clinical validation trials, as discussed in Dao et al. (2022) (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR48\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e48\u003c/span\u003e), is imperative to establish these ML approaches' real-world applicability and efficacy.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eIn conclusion, this study underscores the synergy of voice analysis and advanced ML in early PD detection and paves the way for developing noninvasive, cost-effective diagnostic tools. These tools can potentially revolutionize patient care by facilitating earlier intervention strategies (\u003cspan citationid=\"CR49\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e49\u003c/span\u003e).\u003c/p\u003e"},{"header":"Declarations","content":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eDeclaration of Competing Interest\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eThe author declares that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eFunding Statement\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eThe research conducted by author Osmar Pinto Neto was supported by scholarships provided by the Anima Institute.\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eDeclaration of Generative AI and AI-assisted technologies in the writing process\u003c/strong\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eWhile preparing this work, the author used OpenAI\u0026apos;s GPT-4 architecture to improve readability and language. 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Dispon\u0026iacute;vel em: \u003cspan class=\"ExternalRef\"\u003e\u003cspan class=\"RefSource\"\u003ehttps://openurl.ebsco.com/contentitem/doi:10.32604%2Fcmc\u003c/span\u003e\u003cspan address=\"https://openurl.ebsco.com/contentitem/doi:10.32604%2Fcmc\" targettype=\"URL\" class=\"RefTarget\"\u003e\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e.2022.020109?sid=ebsco:plink:crawler\u0026amp;id=ebsco:doi:10.32604%2Fcmc.2022.020109\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/li\u003e\u003c/ol\u003e"},{"header":"Tables","content":"\u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:justify;line-height:200%;'\u003e\u003cspan style='font-family:\"Arial\",sans-serif;'\u003eTable 1: Means and Standard Deviations (SD) for Voice-Related Variables in Control and Parkinson\u0026apos;s Groups\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:8.0pt;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:justify;'\u003e\u003cspan style='font-family:\"Arial\",sans-serif;'\u003eThis table summarizes the mean and standard deviation values for each voice-related variable analyzed in the study, categorized by the control group and the Parkinson\u0026apos;s group. F-tests were conducted to assess the equality of variances between the two groups, with p-values less than 0.05 indicating significant differences. Independent t-tests were then used to evaluate the mean differences between groups. T-test results were adjusted for multiple comparisons using the Bonferroni correction method, with an adjusted significance threshold set at p\u0026lt;0.0013. Variables displaying p-values below this threshold after correction are marked with an asterisk (*) to denote significant differences between the control and Parkinson\u0026apos;s groups.\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/p\u003e\n\u003ctable style=\"width: 4.4e+2pt;border-collapse:collapse;border:none;\"\u003e\n \u003ctbody\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 98.75pt;border: 1pt solid windowtext;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;line-height:normal;'\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: 1pt 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: solid solid solid none;border-color: windowtext windowtext windowtext currentcolor;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003eControl\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 52.7pt;border-width: 1pt 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: solid solid solid none;border-color: windowtext windowtext windowtext currentcolor;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 72.05pt;border-width: 1pt 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: solid solid solid none;border-color: windowtext windowtext windowtext currentcolor;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003eParkinson\u0026apos;s\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 58.5pt;border-width: 1pt 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: solid solid solid none;border-color: windowtext windowtext windowtext currentcolor;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 49.4pt;border-width: 1pt 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: solid solid solid none;border-color: windowtext windowtext windowtext currentcolor;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: 1pt 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: solid solid solid none;border-color: windowtext windowtext windowtext currentcolor;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e\u0026nbsp;\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 98.75pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;height: 19.3pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;line-height:normal;'\u003eVariables\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;height: 19.3pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003eMean\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 52.7pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;height: 19.3pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp 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style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.425\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.0009*\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 98.75pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;line-height:normal;'\u003eDelta _MFCC_3rd\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e138.707\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 52.7pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e252.147\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 72.05pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e204.525\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 58.5pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e271.492\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 49.4pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.323\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.0164\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 98.75pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;line-height:normal;'\u003eDelta _MFCC_4th\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e282.561\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 52.7pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e510.67\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 72.05pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e351.462\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 58.5pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e448.593\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 49.4pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.071\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.1569\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 98.75pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;line-height:normal;'\u003eDelta _MFCC_5th\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e255.194\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 52.7pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e460.048\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 72.05pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e337.85\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 58.5pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e376.874\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 49.4pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.005\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.0651\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 98.75pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;line-height:normal;'\u003eDelta _MFCC_6th\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.802\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 52.7pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.585\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 72.05pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.804\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 58.5pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.381\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 49.4pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e\u0026lt;0.001\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e0.9607\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 98.75pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;line-height:normal;'\u003eDelta _MFCC_7th\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e10.951\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 52.7pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e19.052\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 72.05pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e24.76\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 58.5pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e27.76\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 49.4pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e\u0026lt;0.001\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e\u0026lt;0.0001*\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003c/tr\u003e\n \u003ctr\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 98.75pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt;border-style: none solid solid;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext;border-image: none;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;line-height:normal;'\u003eDelta _MFCC_8th\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 55.25pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e1.715\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 52.7pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e3.287\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 72.05pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e3.666\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 58.5pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp style='margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;margin-left:0in;font-size:11.0pt;font-family:\"Calibri\",sans-serif;text-align:center;line-height:normal;'\u003e5.004\u003c/p\u003e\n \u003c/td\u003e\n \u003ctd style=\"width: 49.4pt;border-width: medium 1pt 1pt medium;border-style: none solid solid none;border-color: currentcolor windowtext windowtext currentcolor;padding: 0in 5.4pt;vertical-align: top;\"\u003e\n \u003cp 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University","isAcceptedByJournal":true,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":false,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":false,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"Parkinson's Disease (PD), voice analysis, Machine learning, Early diagnosis, Artificial Neural networks","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-3576457/v3","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3576457/v3","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003ch2\u003eObjective\u003c/h2\u003e \u003cp\u003eThis study evaluates the efficacy of voice analysis combined with machine learning (ML) techniques in enabling the diagnosis of Parkinson's Disease (PD).\u003c/p\u003e\u003ch2\u003eMethods\u003c/h2\u003e \u003cp\u003e Voice data, phonation of the vowel 'a', from three distinct datasets (two from the UCI ML Repository and one from figshare) for 432 participants (278 PD patients) were analyzed. We employed four ML models - Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB), and Support Vector Machine (SVM) - alongside two ensemble methods (soft voting classifier - EVC and stacking method - ESM). The models underwent 50 iterations of evaluation, involving various data splits and 10-fold cross-validation. Comparative analysis was done using one-way ANOVA followed by Bonferroni post hoc corrections.\u003c/p\u003e\u003ch2\u003eResults\u003c/h2\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe ESM, SVM, and GB models emerged as the top performers, demonstrating superior performance across metrics, including accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, F1 score, and ROC AUC. Despite data heterogeneity and variable selection limitations, the models showed high values for all metrics.\u003c/p\u003e\u003ch2\u003eConclusion\u003c/h2\u003e \u003cp\u003eMachine learning integration with voice analysis, mainly through ESM, SVM, and GB, is promising for early PD diagnosis. Using multi-source data and a large sample size enhances our findings' validity, reliability, and generalizability.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"Harnessing Voice Analysis and Machine Learning for Early Diagnosis of Parkinson's Disease: A Comparative Study Across Three Datasets","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":3,"date":"2024-04-16 21:57:41","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-3576457/v3","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}},{"code":2,"date":"2024-01-24 19:20:40","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-3576457/v2","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}},{"code":1,"date":"2023-11-08 08:33:21","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-3576457/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"f704a639-1ca6-4685-b4b8-7bd553221d30","owner":[],"postedDate":"April 16th, 2024","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"published-in-journal","subjectAreas":[{"id":30770146,"name":"Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning"},{"id":30770147,"name":"Biomedical Engineering"}],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2024-05-13T00:29:24+00:00","versionOfRecord":{"articleIdentity":"rs-3576457","link":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvoice.2024.04.020","journal":{"identity":"journal-of-voice","isVorOnly":true,"title":"Journal of Voice"},"publishedOn":"2024-05-01 00:29:24","publishedOnDateReadable":"May 1st, 2024"},"versionCreatedAt":"2024-04-16 21:57:41","video":"","vorDoi":"10.1016/j.jvoice.2024.04.020","vorDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvoice.2024.04.020","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v3","identity":"rs-3576457","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-3576457","identity":"rs-3576457","version":["v3"]},"buildId":"qtupq5eGEP_6zYnWcrvyt","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}

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