¿How much and for how long could the annual cost of atmospheric greenhouse gas (CO2e) abatement between 1960-2020 through carbon pricing be estimated?

¿How much and for how long could the annual cost of atmospheric greenhouse gas (CO2e) abatement between 1960-2020 through carbon pricing be estimated? | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article ¿How much and for how long could the annual cost of atmospheric greenhouse gas (CO2e) abatement between 1960-2020 through carbon pricing be estimated? Michel Casas-Cuestas, Juan Fernando Álvarez-Rodríguez This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-3892439/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract This document presents the estimated cost and timing of climate change mitigation through carbon pricing based on the anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions for the period 1960 to 2020. This was done by constructing a matrix of prices using public databases comparing reported emissions (Andrew, 2021 ; Friedlingstein et al., 2020 ), and then formulating the greenhouse gas storage scenarios that were formed based on the cost-effective prices (Griscom et al., 2017 ). This allowed the range of feasible prices to be determined according to the COP Chair's estimates of annual investment capacity and the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change (Stern, 2006 ). Consequently, as a contribution to the knowledge of the carbon market prices, the annual cost scenarios for climate change management were formulated on the basis of historical emissions and a financial model that compensates investments including absorption and storage of the greenhouse gases \(CO2e\) in terms of time in a range of 13 to 63 years and a cost of 50 billion to 1.2 trillion dollars. In conclusion, it is possible to use carbon markets to mitigate climate change based on the constraints outlined above by means of the natural climate solutions. Carbon pricing natural climate solutions climate change systemic risk Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. 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Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-3892439","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":270785100,"identity":"53046bef-f042-44a6-a222-ed6c9d5f021d","order_by":0,"name":"Michel Casas-Cuestas","email":"data:image/png;base64,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","orcid":"","institution":"Pontificia Universidad Javeriana","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Michel","middleName":"","lastName":"Casas-Cuestas","suffix":""},{"id":270785102,"identity":"737c453c-fa19-4067-92a4-ad65678640c4","order_by":1,"name":"Juan Fernando Álvarez-Rodríguez","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Pontificia Universidad Javeriana","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Juan","middleName":"Fernando","lastName":"Álvarez-Rodríguez","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2024-01-24 00:59:22","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-3892439/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3892439/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":51609476,"identity":"aae30797-251c-439e-b5e5-11e5ce6544ea","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2024-02-25 18:53:37","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":429400,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"CarbonpricingJan20M.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-3892439/v1_covered_b018b93c-15cd-4364-b4bf-a4258a589d53.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"No competing interests reported.","formattedTitle":"¿How much and for how long could the annual cost of atmospheric greenhouse gas (CO2e) abatement between 1960-2020 through carbon pricing be estimated?","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"Carbon pricing, natural climate solutions, climate change, systemic risk","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-3892439/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3892439/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eThis document presents the estimated cost and timing of climate change mitigation through carbon pricing based on the anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions for the period 1960 to 2020. This was done by constructing a matrix of prices using public databases comparing reported emissions (Andrew, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR1\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e2021\u003c/span\u003e; Friedlingstein et al., \u003cspan citationid=\"CR6\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e2020\u003c/span\u003e), and then formulating the greenhouse gas storage scenarios that were formed based on the cost-effective prices (Griscom et al., \u003cspan citationid=\"CR7\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e2017\u003c/span\u003e). This allowed the range of feasible prices to be determined according to the COP Chair's estimates of annual investment capacity and \u003cem\u003ethe Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change\u003c/em\u003e (Stern, \u003cspan citationid=\"CR16\" class=\"CitationRef\"\u003e2006\u003c/span\u003e). Consequently, as a contribution to the knowledge of the carbon market prices, the annual cost scenarios for climate change management were formulated on the basis of historical emissions and a financial model that compensates investments including absorption and storage of the greenhouse gases \u003cspan class=\"InlineEquation\"\u003e\u003cspan class=\"mathinline\"\u003e\\(CO2e\\)\u003c/span\u003e\u003c/span\u003e in terms of time in a range of 13 to 63 years and a cost of 50\u0026nbsp;billion to 1.2 trillion dollars. In conclusion, it is possible to use carbon markets to mitigate climate change based on the constraints outlined above by means of the natural climate solutions.\u003c/p\u003e","manuscriptTitle":"¿How much and for how long could the annual cost of atmospheric greenhouse gas (CO2e) abatement between 1960-2020 through carbon pricing be estimated?","msid":"","msnumber":"","nonDraftVersions":[{"code":1,"date":"2024-02-06 07:06:29","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-3892439/v1","editorialEvents":[{"type":"communityComments","content":0}],"status":"published","journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true}}],"origin":"","ownerIdentity":"97c02dc7-ee99-48c2-b7af-9d33ee1db8a2","owner":[],"postedDate":"February 6th, 2024","published":true,"recentEditorialEvents":[],"rejectedJournal":[],"revision":"","amendment":"","status":"posted","subjectAreas":[],"tags":[],"updatedAt":"2024-02-25T18:45:27+00:00","versionOfRecord":[],"versionCreatedAt":"2024-02-06 07:06:29","video":"","vorDoi":"","vorDoiUrl":"","workflowStages":[]},"version":"v1","identity":"rs-3892439","journalConfig":"researchsquare"},"__N_SSP":true},"page":"/article/[identity]/[[...version]]","query":{"redirect":"/article/rs-3892439","identity":"rs-3892439","version":["v1"]},"buildId":"qtupq5eGEP_6zYnWcrvyt","isFallback":false,"isExperimentalCompile":false,"dynamicIds":[84888],"gssp":true,"scriptLoader":[]}