Where Are the Poor? A Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Multidimensional Poverty in Chile

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Abstract This study examines the spatial and temporal distribution of multidimensional poverty in Chile, addressing a gap in the literature by identifying persistent high-poverty clusters and their evolution over time. Despite implementing the Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) in 2015, most studies overlook subnational disparities. Using spatial analysis and regression models, findings reveal significant regional inequalities, with communes such as Cami˜na, Tir´ua, and Carahue consistently exhibiting high poverty levels. Results highlight the influence of urbanization, Indigenous population concentration, and geographic distance on poverty. The 2022 reversal in poverty reduction trends, likely driven by social unrest and the COVID-19 pandemic, underscores the need for adaptive, geographically targeted policies to address structural inequalities and improve resource allocation.
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Where Are the Poor? A Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Multidimensional Poverty in Chile | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Where Are the Poor? A Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Multidimensional Poverty in Chile Marjorie Baquedano-Rodriguez, Juan Rosas-Muñoz, José Carrillo-Viramontes, and 1 more This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-6305988/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract This study examines the spatial and temporal distribution of multidimensional poverty in Chile, addressing a gap in the literature by identifying persistent high-poverty clusters and their evolution over time. Despite implementing the Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI) in 2015, most studies overlook subnational disparities. Using spatial analysis and regression models, findings reveal significant regional inequalities, with communes such as Cami˜na, Tir´ua, and Carahue consistently exhibiting high poverty levels. Results highlight the influence of urbanization, Indigenous population concentration, and geographic distance on poverty. The 2022 reversal in poverty reduction trends, likely driven by social unrest and the COVID-19 pandemic, underscores the need for adaptive, geographically targeted policies to address structural inequalities and improve resource allocation. Multidimensional poverty exploratory spatial analysis social policy socio-demographic factors Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-6305988","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":471527177,"identity":"e217dfca-5af5-4c41-a970-2e6d8558767f","order_by":0,"name":"Marjorie Baquedano-Rodriguez","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAAA2ElEQVRIiWNgGAWjYDACCTDJDMIHmBkMGBLYQPwHxGlhS0BoSSBOC48BM1wxPi26s5sf3uapsJY3Z+/5Jl1QYJPHx97A+AGfFrM7x4ytec6kG+7sObtNeoZBWjEbzwFmCbxabiSYSfO2HWbccCN3mzSPweHENgmgd/BrSf8mzfvvsP2GGznPiNWSA7Sl4XAiUAsbkVrunCm2nHMsPXnDGaCnIH452IzfL7fbN954U2Ntu+E4MOgK/tjkybc3H/zwAY8WEJBA4zM2ENCAqWUUjIJRMApGASoAAKskTQFiYcA7AAAAAElFTkSuQmCC","orcid":"","institution":"University of Bío-Bío","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Marjorie","middleName":"","lastName":"Baquedano-Rodriguez","suffix":""},{"id":471527179,"identity":"ee2f8416-7fd0-4d8d-8918-c99681a5e844","order_by":1,"name":"Juan Rosas-Muñoz","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"University of Concepción","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Juan","middleName":"","lastName":"Rosas-Muñoz","suffix":""},{"id":471527183,"identity":"01d053ef-dd1a-473f-b32f-a2355dd61947","order_by":2,"name":"José Carrillo-Viramontes","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Universidad de Guanajuato","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"José","middleName":"","lastName":"Carrillo-Viramontes","suffix":""},{"id":471527185,"identity":"aefa453d-aef3-46aa-a02d-6c89a1143372","order_by":3,"name":"Javier Castillo-Cruces","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"University of Bío-Bío","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Javier","middleName":"","lastName":"Castillo-Cruces","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2025-03-25 17:23:22","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-6305988/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-6305988/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":85672180,"identity":"b7809f23-1e16-4e35-8ad0-fad752b58902","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2025-06-30 13:54:12","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":564292,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"Spatiotemporalmain.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-6305988/v1_covered_6385f3aa-e4aa-462b-b1c1-52c8369a0a4d.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"No competing interests reported.","formattedTitle":"Where Are the Poor? 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