Real-world Use of Nirmatrelvir-Ritonavir in COVID-19 Outpatients During the Emergence of Omicron Variants BA.2/BA2.12.1

ABSTRACT Background Ritonavir-boosted Nirmatrelvir (NMV-r), a protease inhibitor with in vitro activity against SARS-CoV-2, has been shown to reduce risk of progression to severe COVID-19 among high-risk individuals during the Delta-variant phase. We sought to determine the effectiveness of NMV-r against Omicron lineage variants BA.2/BA2.12.1, and assess for evidence of a clinical rebound effect. Methods We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study of non-hospitalized adult patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection from March 26 th , 2022 to June 23 rd , 2022, using records from a statewide health system linked to vaccine and mortality data. Propensity score matching was performed on NMV-r treated outpatients with outpatients not treated with antiviral therapy. The primary outcome was 28-day all-cause hospitalization; secondary outcomes were COVID-19-related hospitalization, 28-day all-cause mortality, and 28-day ED visits. Logistic regression was used to determine NMV-r treatment effectiveness; subgroup analyses were performed to assess for heterogeneity in treatment effect. Results Of 14,953 SARS-CoV-2 infected outpatients, 3,614 NMV-r treated patients were matched to 4,835 untreated outpatients. NMV-r was associated with significantly lower odds of 28-day all-cause hospitalization as compared to no antiviral treatment [31 (0.9%) vs. 64 (1.3%), adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 0.48 (95% CI 0.31-0.75)]. NMV-r was also associated with lower odds of COVID-19 related hospitalization [aOR (95% CI): 0.42 (0.25-0.68)] and 28-day all-cause mortality [aOR (95% CI): 0.05 (0.00-0.38)]. Using ED visits within 28 days as a surrogate for rebound symptoms, we observed no clinically evident rebound effect with NMV-r treatment [140 (3.9%) vs 205 (4.2%), aOR: 0.81 (95% CI 0.65-1.02), p = 0.075]. Conclusion Real-world evidence during an Omicron BA.2/BA2.12.1 predominant period demonstrated an association of NMV-r treatment with reduced 28-day hospitalization and all-cause mortality, and without an increase in rebound symptoms as assessed by ED visits within 28 days after treatment.