Mean arterial pressure within 24 hours of admission predicts short-term prognosis in patients with intermediate-risk and high-risk pulmonary embolism
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Abstract
Objective: Pulmonary embolism is a terrible cardiovascular condition with considerable morbidity and mortality. Previous studies have investigated systolic blood pressure (systolic BP) and diastolic blood pressure (diastolic BP) as being related to 30-day and in-hospital mortality. We aimed to determine whether the average mean arterial pressure (aMAP) in the first 24 hours of hospital admission is useful in predicting short-term outcomes of intermediate-risk and high-risk PE patients. Method: We conducted a single-center retrospective study. From May 2012 to April 2019, 122 intermediate-risk and high-risk PE patients were included. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The secondary outcome was adverse events. ROC curves and cut-off values for aMAP predicting in-hospital death were computed. According to cut-off values, we categorized five groups defined as follows: group 1: aMAP<70 mmHg; group 2: 70 mmHg≤aMAP<80 mmHg; group 3: 80 mmHg≤aMAP<90 mmHg; group 4: 90 mmHg≤aMAP<100 mmHg; and group 5: aMAP≥100 mmHg. Cox regression models were calculated to investigate associations between aMAP and in-hospital death. Results: In the study group of 122 patients, 15 patients (12.30%) died in the hospital due to PE. ROC analysis for MAP predicting in-hospital death revealed an AUC of 0.729 with a cut-off value of 79.4 mmHg. Cox regression models showed a significant association between in-hospital death and aMAP group 1 (ref), aMAP group 2 (OR 1.680, 95% CI 0.020-140.335), aMAP group 3 (OR 0.003, 95% CI 0.0001-0.343), aMAP group 4 (OR 0.006, 95% CI 0.0001-1.671), and aMAP group 5 (OR 0.003, 95% CI 0.0001-9.744). In particular, those with an aMAP of 80-90 mmHg suffer from minimum adverse events. Conclusion: The prognostic role of MAP during the first 24 hours of hospital admission should be emphasized in patients with PE. The optimal range of MAP for intermediate-risk and high-risk PE patients may be 80 to 90 mmHg.
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