Uncovering Genetic Risk Beyond Diagnoses in Suicidal Thoughts and Behaviors: Insights fromAll of Us

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Uncovering Genetic Risk Beyond Diagnoses in Suicidal Thoughts and Behaviors: Insights from All of Us | medRxiv /* */ /* */ <!-- <!-- /*! * yepnope1.5.4 * (c) WTFPL, GPLv2 */ (function(a,b,c){function d(a){return"[object Function]"==o.call(a)}function e(a){return"string"==typeof a}function f(){}function g(a){return!a||"loaded"==a||"complete"==a||"uninitialized"==a}function h(){var a=p.shift();q=1,a?a.t?m(function(){("c"==a.t?B.injectCss:B.injectJs)(a.s,0,a.a,a.x,a.e,1)},0):(a(),h()):q=0}function i(a,c,d,e,f,i,j){function k(b){if(!o&&g(l.readyState)&&(u.r=o=1,!q&&h(),l.onload=l.onreadystatechange=null,b)){"img"!=a&&m(function(){t.removeChild(l)},50);for(var d in y[c])y[c].hasOwnProperty(d)&&y[c][d].onload()}}var j=j||B.errorTimeout,l=b.createElement(a),o=0,r=0,u={t:d,s:c,e:f,a:i,x:j};1===y[c]&&(r=1,y[c]=[]),"object"==a?l.data=c:(l.src=c,l.type=a),l.width=l.height="0",l.onerror=l.onload=l.onreadystatechange=function(){k.call(this,r)},p.splice(e,0,u),"img"!=a&&(r||2===y[c]?(t.insertBefore(l,s?null:n),m(k,j)):y[c].push(l))}function j(a,b,c,d,f){return q=0,b=b||"j",e(a)?i("c"==b?v:u,a,b,this.i++,c,d,f):(p.splice(this.i++,0,a),1==p.length&&h()),this}function k(){var a=B;return a.loader={load:j,i:0},a}var l=b.documentElement,m=a.setTimeout,n=b.getElementsByTagName("script")[0],o={}.toString,p=[],q=0,r="MozAppearance"in l.style,s=r&&!!b.createRange().compareNode,t=s?l:n.parentNode,l=a.opera&&"[object Opera]"==o.call(a.opera),l=!!b.attachEvent&&!l,u=r?"object":l?"script":"img",v=l?"script":u,w=Array.isArray||function(a){return"[object Array]"==o.call(a)},x=[],y={},z={timeout:function(a,b){return b.length&&(a.timeout=b[0]),a}},A,B;B=function(a){function b(a){var a=a.split("!"),b=x.length,c=a.pop(),d=a.length,c={url:c,origUrl:c,prefixes:a},e,f,g;for(f=0;f<d;f++)g=a[f].split("="),(e=z[g.shift()])&&(c=e(c,g));for(f=0;f<b;f++)c=x[f](c);return c}function g(a,e,f,g,h){var i=b(a),j=i.autoCallback;i.url.split(".").pop().split("?").shift(),i.bypass||(e&&(e=d(e)?e:e[a]||e[g]||e[a.split("/").pop().split("?")[0]]),i.instead?i.instead(a,e,f,g,h):(y[i.url]?i.noexec=!0:y[i.url]=1,f.load(i.url,i.forceCSS||!i.forceJS&&"css"==i.url.split(".").pop().split("?").shift()?"c":c,i.noexec,i.attrs,i.timeout),(d(e)||d(j))&&f.load(function(){k(),e&&e(i.origUrl,h,g),j&&j(i.origUrl,h,g),y[i.url]=2})))}function h(a,b){function c(a,c){if(a){if(e(a))c||(j=function(){var a=[].slice.call(arguments);k.apply(this,a),l()}),g(a,j,b,0,h);else if(Object(a)===a)for(n in m=function(){var b=0,c;for(c in a)a.hasOwnProperty(c)&&b++;return b}(),a)a.hasOwnProperty(n)&&(!c&&!--m&&(d(j)?j=function(){var a=[].slice.call(arguments);k.apply(this,a),l()}:j[n]=function(a){return function(){var b=[].slice.call(arguments);a&&a.apply(this,b),l()}}(k[n])),g(a[n],j,b,n,h))}else!c&&l()}var h=!!a.test,i=a.load||a.both,j=a.callback||f,k=j,l=a.complete||f,m,n;c(h?a.yep:a.nope,!!i),i&&c(i)}var i,j,l=this.yepnope.loader;if(e(a))g(a,0,l,0);else if(w(a))for(i=0;i (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];var j=d.createElement(s);var dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.src='//www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;j.type='text/javascript';j.async=true;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-P4HH5NV'); Skip to main content Home About Submit ALERTS / RSS Search for this keyword Advanced Search Uncovering Genetic Risk Beyond Diagnoses in Suicidal Thoughts and Behaviors: Insights from All of Us View ORCID Profile Phil H. Lee , Brandon T. Sanzo , View ORCID Profile Younga H. Lee , Daniel H. Jung , Jodi M. Gilman , Matthew K. Nock , Jordan W. Smoller , Richard T. Liu , Ronald C. Kessler doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.04.18.25326075 Phil H. Lee 1 Psychiatric and Neurodevelopmental Genetics Unit, Center for Genomic Medicine, Mass General Brigham , Boston, MA 02114, USA 2 Department of Psychiatry, Mass General Brigham and Harvard Medical School , Boston, MA 02114, USA 3 Stanley Center for Psychiatric Research, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard , Cambridge, MA 02142, USA PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Phil H. Lee For correspondence: PLEE0{at}mgh.harvard.edu Brandon T. Sanzo 1 Psychiatric and Neurodevelopmental Genetics Unit, Center for Genomic Medicine, Mass General Brigham , Boston, MA 02114, USA MS Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Younga H. Lee 1 Psychiatric and Neurodevelopmental Genetics Unit, Center for Genomic Medicine, Mass General Brigham , Boston, MA 02114, USA 2 Department of Psychiatry, Mass General Brigham and Harvard Medical School , Boston, MA 02114, USA 3 Stanley Center for Psychiatric Research, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard , Cambridge, MA 02142, USA PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site ORCID record for Younga H. Lee Daniel H. Jung 4 Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health , Boston, MA 02115, USA Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Jodi M. Gilman 5 Center for Addiction Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital , Boston, MA 02114, USA PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Matthew K. Nock 6 Department of Psychology, Harvard University , Cambridge, MA 02138, USA PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Jordan W. Smoller 1 Psychiatric and Neurodevelopmental Genetics Unit, Center for Genomic Medicine, Mass General Brigham , Boston, MA 02114, USA 2 Department of Psychiatry, Mass General Brigham and Harvard Medical School , Boston, MA 02114, USA 3 Stanley Center for Psychiatric Research, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard , Cambridge, MA 02142, USA MD, ScD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Richard T. Liu 2 Department of Psychiatry, Mass General Brigham and Harvard Medical School , Boston, MA 02114, USA 7 Division of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital , Boston, MA 02114, USA PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Ronald C. Kessler 8 Department of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School , Boston, MA 02115, USA PhD Find this author on Google Scholar Find this author on PubMed Search for this author on this site Abstract Full Text Info/History Metrics Supplementary material Data/Code Preview PDF STRUCTURED ABSTRACT Importance Suicide is a leading cause of death worldwide, yet risk prediction remains imprecise. While psychiatric disorders are strongly associated with suicide-related outcomes, most individuals with these conditions never exhibit suicidal behaviors. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) may help identify additional vulnerability factors beyond clinical diagnoses. Objective To evaluate the independent and interactive effects of polygenic risk for psychiatric disorders and clinical diagnoses on suicidal ideation (SI) and suicide attempts (SA) in a large, ancestrally diverse cohort. Design Cross-sectional analysis of genetic and survey data from the All of Us Research Program. Setting Population-based cohort study leveraging a diverse U.S. sample. Participants 41,379 adults with genetic data and self-reported psychiatric diagnoses, SI, and SA. Main Outcomes and Measures Lifetime SI and SA, assessed via self-reported surveys. Predictors included lifetime psychiatric diagnoses on 13 categories and PRSs for depression, bipolar disorder, and PTSD, derived from multi-ancestry genome-wide association studies. Ancestry-stratified multinomial logistic regression analyses were performed for African, Admixed Hispanic/Latino, and European American groups, followed by fixed-effects meta-analysis, adjusting for age, sex at birth, and socioeconomic factors. Results Among 41,379 participants, 28.5% reported SI, and 12.6% reported SA. All psychiatric disorders were significantly associated with both outcomes, with depression, bipolar disorder, and PTSD showing the strongest independent effects (ORs=2.81-7.73 for SA, 1.62-3.32 for SI, all FDR < 0.05). Each additional psychiatric diagnosis more than doubled the odds of SA (OR=2.16 95% CI: 2.10-2.21). PRSs for depression, bipolar disorder, and PTSD remained significantly associated with SI and SA after adjusting for clinical diagnoses and sociodemographic covariates. For SA, depression PRS showed the strongest association (OR=1.36 [1.30–1.41], p=1.42×10 -55 ), followed by PTSD (OR=1.33 [1.28-1.39], p=6.91×10 -45 ) and bipolar disorder (OR=1.18 [1.13-1.23], p=1.41×10 -16 ). Effect sizes were comparable among individuals with and without clinical diagnoses, suggesting transdiagnostic relevance. Conclusions Polygenic risk for psychiatric disorders showed modest but significant associations with SI and SA, independent of clinical diagnoses and sociodemographic factors. These findings highlight the value of genetic information in identifying vulnerability not fully captured by diagnostic categories and underscore the importance of multi-dimensional approaches to suicide risk assessment across diverse populations. Question Do polygenic risk scores (PRS) for psychiatric disorders independently predict suicidal ideation (SI) and suicide attempts (SA) beyond clinical diagnoses? Findings In 41,379 All of Us participants, socioeconomic adversity and psychiatric diagnoses were strongly associated with SI and SA. PRSs for depression, bipolar disorder, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) showed significant and independent associations with SI and SA. These associations remained regardless of clinical diagnoses, suggesting genetic risk reflects vulnerability not fully captured by diagnostic categories. Meaning While PRSs have limited predictive value individually, integrating genetic, clinical, and socioeconomic factors may enhance understanding of suicide risk and improve risk assessment. INTRODUCTION Suicide represents a global public health emergency, responsible for over 720,000 lives annually, 1 including more than 49,000 in the United States (US) in 2022. 2 Many more people experience suicidal ideation (SI) and suicide attempts (SA), with profound impacts on individuals, families, and communities. 3 Psychiatric disorders are among the strongest predictors of suicide-related outcomes, 4 with 80– 95% of individuals who die by suicide having a mental health condition. 5 Major depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, substance use disorders, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) are particularly high-risk. 6 However, most individuals with psychiatric diagnoses do not engage in suicidal behaviors, 4 underscoring the critical need for more refined risk indicators to explain differential outcomes. The stress-diathesis model 7 suggests that suicide risk arises from both stressors—such as psychiatric illness—and underlying vulnerabilities, including genetic predisposition. 8 , 9 Recent genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have identified both shared and unique genetic contributions to psychiatric disorders and suicidal behaviors. 10 – 15 Polygenic risk scores (PRSs), 16 which aggregate genetic liability based on these GWAS findings, offer a promising avenue to quantify inherited vulnerability. Indeed, individual psychiatric disorder PRSs—particularly for depression—have been robustly associated with suicide-related outcomes, encompassing SI, SA, and suicide death. 17 – 22 Despite these advances, few studies have examined whether genetic risk adds independent value beyond psychiatric diagnoses. In a notable example, Stein et al. 21 , 22 demonstrated that depression PRS was associated with SA independent of personal and family history of depression in a US military sample, suggesting that PRSs may capture transdiagnostic genetic liability. Whether these findings generalize to more diverse, population-based cohorts and across multiple psychiatric disorders and broader sociodemographic contexts remains an open question. Moreover, the vast majority of PRS research has been conducted in individuals of European ancestry, 22 – 27 limiting clinical relevance across diverse populations. Although recent studies have begun to include multi-ancestry cohorts, 17 , 28 findings are often inconsistent, and research in large, ancestrally diverse, population-based samples remains limited—highlighting an urgent need for more inclusive approaches to genomic research and precision psychiatry. To address these gaps, we leverage data from the All of Us Research Program, 29 – 31 a large, nationwide U.S. cohort enriched with extensive genetic, clinical, and sociodemographic information. Our study aims to: (1) characterize sociodemographic differences in SI, SA, and non-suicidal individuals; (2) evaluate associations between psychiatric disorders and suicide-related outcomes; (3) assess the independent value of PRSs for psychiatric disorders beyond sociodemographic factors and clinical diagnoses; and (4) test PRS-by-diagnosis interactions to identify high-risk subgroups. By integrating genetic, clinical, and sociodemographic factors in a diverse population, our study seeks to advance more equitable and refined suicide prevention strategies. METHODS Study Cohort The All of Us Research Program 29 – 31 is an ongoing, nationwide biomedical initiative designed to advance precision medicine by recruiting a demographically diverse cohort of one million participants across the US. This study utilized data from the curated release v8 (Controlled Tier 2024Q3R5), which includes participant data collected through October 1, 2023. All analyses were conducted between June 2024 and April 2025 using the All of Us Researcher Workbench, a secure cloud-based platform available to authorized investigators. Ethics Review The All of Us data collection was conducted under centralized Institutional Review Board (IRB) approval, with informed consent obtained from all participants. This study adhered to ethical guidelines outlined in the All of Us Code of Conduct. The Massachusetts General Hospital IRB reviewed the study protocol and determined that this secondary analysis of de-identified All of Us data is exempt from human subjects research. Suicide-Related Outcomes SI and SA were defined using self-reported survey items from the Emotional Health and Well-Being Survey. SI was assessed using the question: “Did you ever in your life have thoughts of killing yourself?”. SA was determined by the question: “Did you ever make a suicide attempt where you purposefully hurt yourself with at least some intention to die?” Individuals who selected skip or refused to answer were excluded from the analysis (N=572, 0.59%). Participants were categorized into three groups: those with SA, those with SI only, and those without any suicide-related outcomes (controls) ( eFigure 1 ). Lifetime Diagnoses of Psychiatric Disorders and Comorbidity In the Personal and Family Health History survey, participants reported lifetime diagnoses of 13 mental health or substance use disorders: alcohol use disorder, anxiety reaction/panic disorder, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), autism spectrum disorder, bipolar disorder, depression, drug use disorder, eating disorder, personality disorder, PTSD, schizophrenia, social phobia, and other mental health conditions. Psychiatric comorbidity, representing the cumulative burden of psychiatric conditions, was measured as the total count of distinct lifetime diagnoses reported by each participant, ranging from 0 to 13. Sociodemographic Factors Sociodemographic data were obtained from the Basics survey, including age, sex at birth, education, employment status, health insurance, income, marital status, self-identified race/ethnicity, and sexual orientation ( eTable 1 ). Polygenic Risk of Psychiatric Disorders Genome sequencing, quality control (QC), and ancestry predictions were conducted centrally by the All of Us Research team and are detailed elsewhere. 32 PRSs were computed using PRS-CS 33 and PLINK. 34 To ensure broad applicability across the diverse All of Us cohort, we constructed PRSs for psychiatric disorders most robustly associated with suicidal behaviors in previous studies and having well-powered, multi-ancestry GWAS summary statistics: major depression (N = 688,808 cases, 4.36 million controls), 35 bipolar disorder (N = 158,036 cases, 2.8 million controls), 36 and PTSD (N = 150,760 cases, 1.28 million controls) 37 ( eTable 2 ). PRSs were calculated separately for participants of African/African American (AFR), Admixed Hispanic/Latino American (AMR), and European (EUR) ancestry to account for population structure and ensure appropriate linkage disequilibrium (LD) modeling. Analyses were adjusted for ancestry-related genetic principal components (PCs) to minimize population stratification bias. Statistical Analysis We performed descriptive analyses to characterize sociodemographic and psychiatric profiles across SI, SA, and control groups ( Kruskal-Wallis tests for continuous variables and chi-square tests for categorical variables). Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine associations between risk variables (socioeconomic factors, psychiatric diagnoses, and PRSs) and suicide-related outcomes (SI, SA, and controls), with the control group as the reference. Models were adjusted for age, self-reported sex at birth, and genetic PCs. The proportion of variance explained by each predictor was assessed using McFadden ’s pseudo R 2 . To evaluate the added predictive utility of PRSs, we compared models with and without a PRS using likelihood ratio tests and changes in McFadden ’s pseudo R 2 . We also tested interactions between PRSs and psychiatric diagnoses to identify subgroups at elevated risk. All analyses were stratified by genetic ancestry (European, African, and Hispanic/Latino) and meta-analyzed using fixed-effects models. Analyses were conducted in R (v4.3.1) with multiple comparisons controlled using the false discovery rate (FDR). Sensitivity Analyses To ensure robustness, we conducted multiple analyses: (1) sequential adjustment models (minimal, socioeconomic, and psychiatric diagnoses); (2) assessment of psychiatric comorbidity’s influence on PRS associations; (3) varying case and control group definitions (exclusive/non-exclusive SI, with/without psychiatric disorders); (4) alternative statistical methods (ordinal regression); and (5) different PRS construction approaches. Detailed methods are provided in the Supplementary Materials. RESULTS Study Cohort This cross-sectional study analyzed data from 41,379 individuals in the All of Us Research Program, integrating self-reported suicide-related outcomes, psychiatric diagnoses, and sequencing data passing QC ( eFigure 1 ). Among these, 24,398 participants (59.0%) reported no suicide-related outcomes, 11,773 (28.5%) reported SI only, and 5,208 (12.6%) reported SA. Table 1 summarizes sociodemographic characteristics across these groups. Those with a history of SA were the youngest on average (52.76 ± 15.03 years), followed by those reporting SI only (57.04 ± 15.99 years), while controls were oldest (61.88 ± 14.70 years, Kruskal-Wallis test p < 0.001). Participants self-identifying as female at birth were disproportionately represented in SA (78.9%) compared to SI (69.0%) and control (70.2%) groups (chi-square p < 0.001). Racial disparities were notable, with individuals identifying as multiracial being overrepresented in the SA group (8.9% vs. 3.9% in controls, chi-square p-value < 0.001). View this table: View inline View popup Table 1. Sociodemographic Characteristics of Study Participants Stratified by Suicide-Related Outcomes in the All of Us Research Program (N=41,379). Group differences in sociodemographic characteristics were assessed using Kruskal-Wallis tests for continuous variables and chi-square tests for categorical variables. Missing includes the number of participants who chose skip, refuse to answer, or not applicable as a response. All responses are based on self-report surveys conducted by study participants. Following the All of Us of Research policy, we excluded groups with less than 20 participants from this table. Individuals experiencing socioeconomic disadvantages—including financial hardship, lower educational attainment, lack of partnership, housing instability, sexual minority status, and a lack of health insurance coverage—generally exhibited a gradient of risk, with those who had SA experiencing the highest levels of disadvantage, followed by individuals with SI, and then controls ( eTable 3 ). These disparities were significant across all measures we examined, reinforcing the strong link between socioeconomic adversity and suicide risk (all p<0.001). Associations Between Psychiatric Disorders and Suicide-Related Outcomes All 13 psychiatric disorders examined were strongly associated with increased risk of SI and SA ( Table 2 , eTable 4 ). Across all disorders, we observed a consistent gradient of prevalence estimates: highest among SA, intermediate in those with SI only, and lowest in controls (all chi-square test p<0.001). View this table: View inline View popup Download powerpoint Table 2. Prevalence of psychiatric disorders among the groups of participants stratified by suicide-related outcomes in the All of Us Research Program (N=41,379). All false discovery rate (FDR) < 0.001. ADHD = attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder; PTSD = post-traumatic stress disorder; SA = suicide attempts; SI = suicidal ideation only. Depression was most common among those with suicide-related behaviors, affecting 80.91% of the SA group, 64.78% of those with SI only, and 34.11% of controls. Anxiety disorders followed a similar pattern (57.99%, 41.31%, and 25.22%, respectively). Notably, certain disorders showed particularly marked increase in prevalence in the SA group, including PTSD (40.02% vs. 7.66% in controls) and bipolar disorder (20.28% vs. 2.11% in controls). The burden of psychiatric comorbidity increased substantially across groups ( eTable 5 ). While 52.98% of controls reported a lifetime diagnosis of at least one psychiatric disorder, this rose to 80.31% in those with SI and 92.76% in SA. Multiple disorders (two or more) were present in 74.33% of SA compared to 49.45% of individuals with ideation only and 22.90% of controls. To quantify these associations while accounting for potential confounders, we performed multinomial logistic regression analyses adjusting for age, sex, and various socioeconomic factors ( Figure 1 , eTable 6, eFigure 2 ). When examined individually, personality disorder exhibited the strongest association with SA (adjusted Odds Ratio (OR) = 10.18 [8.19–12.64], R 2 =0.81%, p < 0.001), followed by bipolar disorder (OR = 7.73 [6.83-8.75], R 2 =1.59%, p < 0.001) and depression (OR = 6.41 [5.91-6.94], R 2 =5.46%, p < 0.001). The presence of any psychiatric disorders increased the odds of reporting SA more than eightfold (OR = 8.38 [7.45-9.43], R 2 =4.61%, p < 0.001). Download figure Open in new tab Figure 1. Associations Between Psychiatric Disorders and Suicide-Related Outcomes Plots depicting adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the associations between psychiatric disorders and suicide-related outcomes. For clarity, ORs are displayed on a log scale. Panel A presents results for suicide attempts (SA), while Panel B presents results for suicidal ideation (SI). The Individual Diagnosis Model (gray) represents associations when each disorder is examined separately, adjusting for age, sex, and five socioeconomic factors (employment status, having partner, health insurance ownership, poverty (annual income less than $35K), and minority sexual orientation). The Comorbid Diagnosis Model (red/blue) includes all psychiatric disorders simultaneously in the same regression model, with the same covariates included in the Individual Diagnosis Model. Effects that are not significant after multiple testing correction at FDR < 5% are marked with “ns” (non-significant) on the plot. Complete statistical data are provided in eTables 6-7. The impact of psychiatric comorbidity was particularly notable, with each psychiatric disorder diagnosis more than doubling the odds of SA (OR=2.16 [2.10-2.21], R 2 =6.73%) compared to controls. Individuals diagnosed with two or more psychiatric disorders showed significantly higher odds of SA (OR = 3.83 [3.51-4.17], p < 0.001) compared to those with a single diagnosis, suggesting that cumulative psychiatric burden is associated with suicide risk beyond the effects of individual disorders alone. Notably, even when all psychiatric disorders are included in the same model ( eTable 7 ), most disorders still maintained independent and significant associations with suicide-related outcomes (Comorbid Diagnosis Model in Figure 1 ). For SA, depression showed the strongest independent association (OR=4.5 [4.13-4.9]), followed by bipolar disorder (OR=4.09 [3.57-4.69]), personality disorders (OR=2.84 [2.24-3.61]), and PTSD (OR=2.81 [2.56-3.08]). For SI, depression similarly exhibited the strongest association (OR=2.9 [2.76-3.06]), followed by bipolar disorder (OR=1.78 [1.57-2.04]) and PTSD (OR=1.62 [1.49-1.75]). After full adjustment, ADHD and drug use disorder retained significant associations with SI but not with SA. Independent Contribution of Polygenic Risk Scores for Suicide-Related Outcomes Next, we examined whether genetic risk, as captured by PRSs, contributes independently to predicting suicide risk beyond clinical diagnoses and sociodemographic factors. We focused on PRSs for depression, bipolar disorder, and PTSD, as these disorders showed the strongest independent associations with SI and SA ( eTable 7 ). Additionally, these PRSs were derived from well-powered, multi-ancestry GWAS datasets, 35 – 37 ensuring broad applicability across the diverse All of Us sample. Figure 2 summarizes the associations of these PRSs with suicide-related outcomes, adjusting for age, sex, socioeconomic factors, and corresponding psychiatric diagnoses ( eTables 8-9, eFigures 3-4 ). Across all three PRSs, we observed significant, independent associations with both SI and SA. For SA, the depression PRS showed the strongest association, with each standard deviation (SD) increase in PRS associated with 1.36-fold higher odds of SA (meta-analyzed OR=1.36 [1.30-1.41], p =1.42×10 -55 ). The PTSD PRS also showed a robust association (OR=1.33 [1.28-1.39], p =6.91×10 -45 ), followed by the bipolar disorder PRS (OR=1.18 [1.13-1.23], p =1.41×10 -16 ). For SI, the effect sizes were more modest but statistically significant. The depression PRS was the strongest predictor (OR=1.14 [1.11-1.17], p =4.78×10 -24 ), followed by the bipolar disorder PRS (OR=1.13 [1.10-1.16], p =1.20×10 -19 ) and the PTSD PRS (OR=1.13 [1.10-1.16], p =9.61×10 -20 ). Download figure Open in new tab Figure 2. Meta-analyzed Associations Between Polygenic Risk Scores (PRSs) and Suicide-Related Outcomes. Forest plots showing the independent effects of PRSs for depression, bipolar disorder, and PTSD on (A) suicide attempts (SA) and (B) suicidal ideation (SI). Analyses were stratified by ancestry and then meta-analyzed, adjusting for age, sex, socioeconomic covariates, and corresponding psychiatric diagnoses. Each square represents the ancestry-specific odds ratio (OR) with its 95% CI; diamonds denote the meta-analyzed estimate. Both common effect and random effect model-based meta-analysis results are displayed, along with study heterogeneity measures. AFR: African/African American genetic ancestry group, AMR: Admixed/Hispanic American genetic ancestry group, and EUR: European genetic ancestry group. To assess the robustness of these findings, we conducted multiple sensitivity analyses. Sequential adjustment models showed consistent patterns, with minimally adjusted models that are typically employed in standard PRS analyses yielding up to 13% larger effect sizes than our fully adjusted primary models across PRSs ( eTables 10-11 ). When examining psychiatric comorbidity’s influence, PRS associations remained significant even after accounting for both comorbidity and corresponding psychiatric diagnoses ( eTables 12-13 ). Varying case and control group definitions (SI cases regardless of SA or restricting controls to individuals without psychiatric disorders) demonstrated similar findings ( eTables 14-15 ). Alternative analysis using ordinal regression ( eTables 16-17 ) or different PRS construction approaches yielded comparable results ( eTables 18-19 ). Interactive Effects of Polygenic Risk and Clinical Diagnosis Last, we examined whether PRS associations with suicide risk varied by clinical diagnosis using interaction analyses. Across ancestries, we found no significant PRS x diagnosis interactions ( eTables 20-21, eFigure 5-6 ). As illustrated in Figure 3 , marginal effects of PRSs (i.e., slopes) were not statistically significantly different between diagnosed and control groups without psychiatric disorders, although absolute risk remained significantly higher among those with a clinical diagnosis due to their elevated baseline risk ( eTables 22-23 ). Download figure Open in new tab Figure 3. Associations Between Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) and Suicide-Related Outcomes, Stratified by Psychiatric Diagnosis. (A) Suicide attempt (SA) and (B) suicidal ideation-only (SI) outcome models, showing regression slopes of PRSs stratified by psychiatric diagnoses (PTSD, depression, and bipolar disorder). The Y-axis represents the predicted probability of suicide-related outcomes, while the X-axis shows PRS scores. Separate lines illustrate individuals with and without the corresponding diagnosis, with shaded regions indicating 95% confidence intervals. While PRS effects were not statistically significantly different between diagnostic groups after multiple testing correction at FDR 5% (eTables 16-18), individuals with a psychiatric diagnosis consistently exhibited higher absolute risk than those without the disorder. DISCUSSION Despite extensive research linking psychiatric disorders to suicidal behaviors, 3 – 7 current approaches that rely on categorical diagnoses often fail to identify individuals at risk. Recent PRS analyses have shown promise in capturing inherited liability, 10 – 15 , 17 , 22 – 28 yet most studies have focused on single disorders, lacked diversity, and rarely evaluated whether genetic risk adds independent value beyond clinical diagnoses. By leveraging the large, ancestrally diverse All of Us Research Program, 29 – 31 our study extends these important findings by examining multiple psychiatric disorder PRSs across diverse ancestral backgrounds and accounting for a comprehensive range of socioeconomic factors, thereby providing critical new insights into how genetic liability, psychiatric diagnoses, and sociodemographic factors intersect in suicidal thoughts and behaviors. Consistent with existing literature, 38 – 42 we observed strong associations between sociodemographic factors and suicide-related outcomes. Individuals experiencing financial insecurity, living without a partner, identifying with minority sexual orientations, and belonging to certain minoritized racial and ethnic groups showed elevated rates of SI and SA. These findings underscore that suicide risk emerges from the complex interplay of genetic vulnerability and social determinants of health, necessitating integrated prevention approaches that address both biological vulnerabilities and structural and social contexts. All 13 psychiatric disorders we examined were significantly associated with suicide-related outcomes, after adjusting for age, sex, and socioeconomic factors. Certain disorders such as personality disorders, bipolar disorder, and PTSD showed particularly elevated risk for SA. The cumulative impact of psychiatric comorbidity was striking, with each additional diagnosis more than doubling the odds of SA (OR=2.16 [2.10-2.21]). These findings suggest that cumulative psychiatric burden may be as important as any single diagnosis and reinforce the importance of comprehensive mental health evaluations that go beyond depression screening alone. 43 , 44 We also found that PRSs for depression, bipolar disorder, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) were significantly associated with both SI and SA, independent of sociodemographic factors and corresponding clinical diagnoses. These associations were consistent across individuals with and without lifetime psychiatric diagnoses, highlighting potential transdiagnostic mechanisms of genetic vulnerability. For example, the depression PRS was similarly associated with suicide risk in individuals with (OR=1.31 [1.25-1.37]) and without a depression diagnosis (OR=1.41 [1.25-1.6]). This pattern was observed similarly for PTSD and bipolar disorder PRSs as well, indicating that genetic risk may operate through pathways beyond those reflected in current diagnostic categories. 21 , 22 , 45 Importantly, these findings held across African, Hispanic/Latino, and European ancestry groups. This represents a significant advance, as most prior studies have focused exclusively on individuals of European descent, limiting generalizability. Our results demonstrate that, when derived from well-powered multi-ancestry GWASs, 35 – 37 PRSs can show consistent associations with suicide-related outcomes across ancestries. This supports the broader goal of ensuring equity in the application of emerging genomic tools. From a theoretical standpoint, our findings extend the stress-diathesis model of suicidal behavior by providing empirical evidence for a diathesis that is at least partly genetic, measurable through polygenic scores, and not entirely dependent on the presence of diagnosed psychiatric disorders. This genetic liability may act through intermediate phenotypes, such as affective instability, impaired emotional regulation, impulsivity, or cognitive and behavioral traits that cut across traditional diagnostic boundaries. 46 – 49 Future research should investigate how these mechanisms unfold over time and interact with environmental stressors. Clinically, our findings raise important questions about how to improve suicide risk assessment. Individuals without formal psychiatric diagnoses may still harbor elevated risk due to inherited vulnerability. At the same time, even among those with psychiatric conditions, genetic risk may help explain differences in outcomes. Although current PRSs are not yet ready for clinical use— due to modest effect sizes and ongoing concerns about cross-ancestry portability—they may eventually contribute to multidimensional risk models that integrate genetic, clinical, and environmental information. Several limitations should be noted. First, the All of Us cohort, while diverse, is not nationally representative, 9 , 50 and the opt-in nature of the Emotional Health and Well-Being survey may have introduced selection bias, 11 , 51 potentially contributing to the higher observed rates of suicide-related experiences. Second, the cross-sectional nature of our data limit causal inference and precludes temporal analyses of psychiatric diagnoses and suicide-related outcomes. Third, the overlap between SI and core symptoms of major depression may have inflated observed associations. Fourth, while we found no significant PRS-by-diagnosis interactions, our study may have been underpowered to detect such interactions, particularly for outcomes with lower base rates like SA. Finally, our reliance on self-reported lifetime diagnoses may have introduced recall bias. In summary, our study represents an important step toward precision psychiatry for suicide prevention by demonstrating that genetic vulnerability contributes to suicide risk beyond what is captured by current diagnostic categories and key socioeconomic risk factors across ancestrally diverse populations. These results challenge purely diagnostic models of suicide risk and highlight the need for integrated approaches that combine genetic, clinical, and social dimensions of vulnerability. Future research should aim to refine transdiagnostic risk models, enhance the clinical utility of PRS across diverse populations, and uncover the mechanistic pathways linking genetic predisposition to suicidal behavior. Data Availability All data produced in the present work are contained in the manuscript. Author Contributions PHL and BTS had full access to the All of Us data and take responsibility for the integrity and accuracy of the data analysis. PHL and RCK led the conceptualization and design of the study, contributed to data acquisition, analysis, and interpretation, and drafted the manuscript. DYJ, JMG, and BTS were involved in data visualization, statistical analyses, interpretation, and drafting of the manuscript. RCK, RTL, JWS, MKN, JMG, and YHL were involved in critical interpretation of the data and drafting of the manuscript. All authors critically reviewed and participated in the editing of the manuscript for important intellectual content. Conflict of Interest Disclosure Authors declare no conflicts of interest related to this work. Funding/Support PHL was partially supported by NIMH (R01 MH119243) and by the Department of Psychiatry, Massachusetts General Hospital. RTL was supported by NIMH (R01 MH115905, K24MH136418). Role of the Funder/Sponsor The funder had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication. Data Sharing Statement The All of Us Research Program data used in this study are available to authorized researchers through the All of Us Research website ( https://allofus.nih.gov ). Detailed information of all outcome and predictor variables obtained from the All of Us Research Program data are provided in eTable 1 . For GWAS summary statistics from the PGC are available to the researchers through the website ( https://pgc.unc.edu/for-researchers/download-results/ ). We provided the detailed download link and study information in eTable 2 . Acknowledgements We gratefully acknowledge All of Us participants for their contributions, without whom this research would not have been possible. We also thank the National Institutes of Health’s All of Us Research Program for making available the participant data release (v8) examined in this study. The All of Us Research Program is supported by the National Institutes of Health, Office of the Director: Regional Medical Centers: 1 OT2 OD026549; 1 OT2 OD026554; 1 OT2 OD026557; 1 OT2 OD026556; 1 OT2 OD026550; 1 OT2 OD 026552; 1 OT2 OD026553; 1 OT2 OD026548; 1 OT2 OD026551; 1 OT2 OD026555; IAA #: AOD 16037; Federally Qualified Health Centers: HHSN 263201600085U; Data and Research Center: 5 U2C OD023196; Biobank: 1 U24 OD023121; The Participant Center: U24 OD023176; Participant Technology Systems Center: 1 U24 OD023163; Communications and Engagement: 3 OT2 OD023205; 3 OT2 OD023206; and Community Partners: 1 OT2 OD025277; 3 OT2 OD025315; 1 OT2 OD025337; 1 OT2 OD025276. 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