Allocating the Remaining Global Carbon Budget: A Human Rights-Based Approach on the basis of the Right to Sustainable Development.

Allocating the Remaining Global Carbon Budget: A Human Rights-Based Approach on the basis of the Right to Sustainable Development. | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Allocating the Remaining Global Carbon Budget: A Human Rights-Based Approach on the basis of the Right to Sustainable Development. Pablo Blasco, Olga Alcaraz, Bàrbara Sureda This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-4470257/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract Although the adoption of the Paris Agreement has promoted worldwide climate action, much more is needed. Equity plays a pivotal role not only to increase climate action worldwide, by convincing others to contribute with their fair share, but also it assesses the needs and rights of people worldwide from a moral and justice standpoint. The concept of equity appears in official and agreed documents of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and Paris Agreement, however it lacks a standardized framework and methodology. The present study aims to promote a human rights based approach to climate change by operationalizing the equity concept, focusing on the right to sustainable development. The operationalization of this is obtained through the application of the Right to Sustainable Development Model (RSDM), comprising past countries' GHG emissions, present economic status, sustainability level and future climate vulnerabilities. The dimensions of the RSDM allows to calculate emissions allocations of the remaining global carbon budget for 1.5°C and 2°C temperature goals for 185 countries, addressing both emissions reduction and the developmental needs of certain nations while fostering sustainable development. The results obtained allow for a better understanding of the past, present and future inequalities that countries have faced, are facing and will face, clearly delineating the division between developed and developing countries. Furthermore, the outcome of the model highlights that under a climate regime that prioritizes the right to sustainable development, developed countries' current emissions would exceed the levels consistent with their assigned quotas, thereby occupying an atmospheric space that rightfully belongs to other countries and further exacerbating global climate change, which, in turn, will disproportionately affect countries around the world. Prioritizing equity in global climate negotiations and decisions is crucial. Actionable frameworks are needed to ensure countries fulfillment of their right to sustainable development. This study presents a comprehensive model for assessing this dimension, emphasizing the imperative of centering climate action on the principles of equity and a human rights based approach. Equity Climate Justice Carbon Budget Right to Sustainable Development Emissions allocation and Development Space Full Text Cite Share Download PDF Status: Posted Version 1 posted You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. Also discoverable on Platform About Our Team In Review Editorial Policies Advisory Board Help Center Resources Author Services Accessibility API Access RSS feed Manage Cookie Preferences © Research Square 2026 | ISSN 2693-5015 (online) Privacy Policy Terms of Service Do Not Sell My Personal Information {"props":{"pageProps":{"initialData":{"identity":"rs-4470257","acceptedTermsAndConditions":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"archivedVersions":[],"articleType":"Research Article","associatedPublications":[],"authors":[{"id":320178458,"identity":"ca32d4e2-fec1-407f-bfd6-fb363bc8f658","order_by":0,"name":"Pablo Blasco","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya: Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Pablo","middleName":"","lastName":"Blasco","suffix":""},{"id":320178459,"identity":"ca1a3e00-9a15-4bbe-aa18-fa9fc793d1f6","order_by":1,"name":"Olga Alcaraz","email":"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAZAAAAAyAQMAAABI0h/eAAAABlBMVEX///8AAABVwtN+AAAACXBIWXMAAA7EAAAOxAGVKw4bAAAA7UlEQVRIiWNgGAWjYDACdjBpAeF8gFAG+LUwg0kJMMk4g2QtzDzEaOFnZr/4gaFGQp5/9uHHn23b7sgzsDdvk8CnRbKZp1iC4ZiE4YxzaQbGuW3PDBt4jpXh1WJwmCdBgoFNIoHhDINBcm7b4QQGiRwzQlqSfzD8k0iQP8P+4bAlSIv8G0Ja2I9JMLZJJBic4TFsZgTbwoNfC9AvbBaJfRKGG8/wFDP2nHtm2MaTVmyBTws/e/vjGx++2cjLnWHf/OFH2R15fvbDG2/g08LAwGPAkIDgHWBgw68cBNgfIPMOENYwCkbBKBgFIw4AAGqGQaq+WoZyAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1648-7805","institution":"Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya","correspondingAuthor":true,"prefix":"","firstName":"Olga","middleName":"","lastName":"Alcaraz","suffix":""},{"id":320178460,"identity":"90e63b0e-3985-4f3f-a7bd-9eb234056d84","order_by":2,"name":"Bàrbara Sureda","email":"","orcid":"","institution":"Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya: Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya","correspondingAuthor":false,"prefix":"","firstName":"Bàrbara","middleName":"","lastName":"Sureda","suffix":""}],"badges":[],"createdAt":"2024-05-24 05:59:45","currentVersionCode":1,"declarations":"","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-4470257/v1","doiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4470257/v1","draftVersion":[],"editorialEvents":[],"editorialNote":"","failedWorkflow":false,"files":[{"id":61805847,"identity":"ec47ffe0-3570-4be0-b8ee-e7232df3e085","added_by":"auto","created_at":"2024-08-05 19:10:09","extension":"pdf","order_by":1,"title":"","display":"","copyAsset":false,"role":"manuscript-pdf","size":601850,"visible":true,"origin":"","legend":"","description":"","filename":"Blindedmanuscript.pdf","url":"https://assets-eu.researchsquare.com/files/rs-4470257/v1_covered_9fe577f7-4375-4dbb-adba-d8c383a81c96.pdf"}],"financialInterests":"","formattedTitle":"Allocating the Remaining Global Carbon Budget: A Human Rights-Based Approach on the basis of the Right to Sustainable Development.","fulltext":[],"fulltextSource":"","fullText":"","funders":[],"hasAdminPriorityOnWorkflow":false,"hasManuscriptDocX":false,"hasOptedInToPreprint":true,"hasPassedJournalQc":"","hasAnyPriority":false,"hideJournal":true,"highlight":"","institution":"","isAcceptedByJournal":false,"isAuthorSuppliedPdf":true,"isDeskRejected":"","isHiddenFromSearch":false,"isInQc":false,"isInWorkflow":false,"isPdf":true,"isPdfUpToDate":true,"isWithdrawnOrRetracted":false,"journal":{"display":true,"email":"[email protected]","identity":"researchsquare","isNatureJournal":false,"hasQc":true,"allowDirectSubmit":true,"externalIdentity":"","sideBox":"","snPcode":"","submissionUrl":"/submission","title":"Research Square","twitterHandle":"researchsquare","acdcEnabled":true,"dfaEnabled":false,"editorialSystem":"","reportingPortfolio":"","inReviewEnabled":false,"inReviewRevisionsEnabled":true},"keywords":"Equity, Climate Justice, Carbon Budget, Right to Sustainable Development, Emissions allocation and Development Space","lastPublishedDoi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-4470257/v1","lastPublishedDoiUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4470257/v1","license":{"name":"CC BY 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"},"manuscriptAbstract":"\u003cp\u003eAlthough the adoption of the Paris Agreement has promoted worldwide climate action, much more is needed. Equity plays a pivotal role not only to increase climate action worldwide, by convincing others to contribute with their fair share, but also it assesses the needs and rights of people worldwide from a moral and justice standpoint. The concept of equity appears in official and agreed documents of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and Paris Agreement, however it lacks a standardized framework and methodology.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe present study aims to promote a human rights based approach to climate change by operationalizing the equity concept, focusing on the right to sustainable development. The operationalization of this is obtained through the application of the Right to Sustainable Development Model (RSDM), comprising past countries' GHG emissions, present economic status, sustainability level and future climate vulnerabilities. The dimensions of the RSDM allows to calculate emissions allocations of the remaining global carbon budget for 1.5\u0026deg;C and 2\u0026deg;C temperature goals for 185 countries, addressing both emissions reduction and the developmental needs of certain nations while fostering sustainable development.\u003c/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe results obtained allow for a better understanding of the past, present and future inequalities that countries have faced, are facing and will face, clearly delineating the division between developed and developing countries. 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