Modeling Impact Of Climate Change On DengueTransmission Dynamics In Ethiopia

Modeling Impact Of Climate Change On DengueTransmission Dynamics In Ethiopia | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Article Modeling Impact Of Climate Change On DengueTransmission Dynamics In Ethiopia Abraham Girma, Getachew Teshome, Bewketu Teshale This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-6256025/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Published Journal Publication published 30 Sep, 2025 Read the published version in Scientific Reports → Version 1 posted 7 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract This study investigates the impacts of climate variables on dengue transmission dynamics using an advanced deterministic Sh Eh Ih R h− Sm Em Im type of model that incorporates climate related entomological parameters. Key findings indicate that temperature and rainfall significantly influence dengue transmission by affecting mosquito behavior and life cycles. Sensitivity analysis identifies crucial parameters such as the biting rate and contact rate, which significantly contribute to disease spread. Moreover, we examined all mosquito related climate based parameters that enable us to identify the region that more affected and regions exhibit varying environmental conditions and outcomes, with Somali showing the most favorable conditions for dengue transmission. Our results underline the importance of managing mosquito populations through environmental controls, such as improved drainage and waste management, to mitigate dengue outbreaks in affected communities. Biological sciences/Computational biology and bioinformatics Earth and environmental sciences/Climate sciences Health sciences/Health care Physical sciences/Mathematics and computing Dengue transmission Impact of Climate Aedes aegypti Vector-born disease Full Text Additional Declarations No competing interests reported. Cite Share Download PDF Status: Published Journal Publication published 30 Sep, 2025 Read the published version in Scientific Reports → Version 1 posted Reviewers agreed at journal 04 Apr, 2025 Reviewers agreed at journal 04 Apr, 2025 Reviewers invited by journal 29 Mar, 2025 Editor assigned by journal 29 Mar, 2025 Editor invited by journal 28 Mar, 2025 Submission checks completed at journal 28 Mar, 2025 First submitted to journal 18 Mar, 2025 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. 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