Characterization of Spatio-temporal Trends in Long-term Rainfall of Three Weather Stations in Benin: Implications for Agricultural Decision Making.

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Abstract A better understanding of rainfall variability and trends is vital for agricultural production systems. This study evaluates the spatio-temporal variability and trends in annual, seasonal and daily rainfall in Benin. Daily rainfall data for the 1970-2016 period measured at three weather stations (Savè, Malanville, and Tanguiéta) were obtained from the Benin National Weather Agency. Descriptive statistics, standardized anomaly of rainfall (SAR) and rainfall intensity were used to analyze rainfall variability. For rainfall trends analysis, we tested for auto-correlation and used the Mann-Kendall and Modified Mann-Kendall tests for non-auto-correlated and auto-correlated data, respectively. Trend magnitude was estimated using Sen’s slope. Globally a moderate-to-high seasonal rainfall and low variability of yearly rainfall were observed. The SAR indicated more than 50% of the years in the studies period experienced dry years. Between 1970 and 2016, a significant 20 % increase was observed in the yearly rainfall in Tanguiéta whereas no significant trends were observed in Malanville (10% increase) and Savè (0.6% decrease). The general rainfall increase observed during the post-monsoon season (October to November) in the three weather stations potentially increases flood frequencies during the harvest period of some crops, which can reduce crop yields. The changes in the pre-monsoon season (March to May) and monsoon season (June to September) were not globally uniform and can have positive/negative impact on agriculture, certainly when no adaptation strategies are applied. These findings are essential to the resilience building and climate risk management in agriculture which is largely dependent on weather conditions.
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Characterization of Spatio-temporal Trends in Long-term Rainfall of Three Weather Stations in Benin: Implications for Agricultural Decision Making. | Research Square window.SnipcartSettings = { analytics: { enabled: false } }; (function() { var accessVector = localStorage.getItem('access_vector') || ''; window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || []; if (accessVector) { window.dataLayer.push({ user: { profile: { profileInfo: { snid: accessVector } } } }); } })(); (function(w,d,s,l,i){w[l]=w[l]||[];w[l].push({'gtm.start':new Date().getTime(),event:'gtm.js'});var f=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],j=d.createElement(s),dl=l!='dataLayer'?'&l='+l:'';j.async=true;j.src='https://www.googletagmanager.com/gtm.js?id='+i+dl;f.parentNode.insertBefore(j,f);})(window,document,'script','dataLayer','GTM-K279D39R'); Browse Preprints In Review Journals COVID-19 Preprints AJE Video Bytes Research Tools Research Promotion AJE Professional Editing AJE Rubriq About Preprint Platform In Review Editorial Policies Our Team Advisory Board Help Center Sign In Submit a Preprint Cite Share Download PDF Research Article Characterization of Spatio-temporal Trends in Long-term Rainfall of Three Weather Stations in Benin: Implications for Agricultural Decision Making. Moudjahid Akorédé WABI, Wouter Vanhove, Rodrigue Idohou, Achille Hounkpèvi, and 2 more This is a preprint; it has not been peer reviewed by a journal. https://doi.org/ 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1140845/v1 This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License Status: Under Review Version 1 posted 3 You are reading this latest preprint version Abstract A better understanding of rainfall variability and trends is vital for agricultural production systems. This study evaluates the spatio-temporal variability and trends in annual, seasonal and daily rainfall in Benin. Daily rainfall data for the 1970-2016 period measured at three weather stations (Savè, Malanville, and Tanguiéta) were obtained from the Benin National Weather Agency. Descriptive statistics, standardized anomaly of rainfall (SAR) and rainfall intensity were used to analyze rainfall variability. For rainfall trends analysis, we tested for auto-correlation and used the Mann-Kendall and Modified Mann-Kendall tests for non-auto-correlated and auto-correlated data, respectively. Trend magnitude was estimated using Sen’s slope. Globally a moderate-to-high seasonal rainfall and low variability of yearly rainfall were observed. The SAR indicated more than 50% of the years in the studies period experienced dry years. Between 1970 and 2016, a significant 20 % increase was observed in the yearly rainfall in Tanguiéta whereas no significant trends were observed in Malanville (10% increase) and Savè (0.6% decrease). The general rainfall increase observed during the post-monsoon season (October to November) in the three weather stations potentially increases flood frequencies during the harvest period of some crops, which can reduce crop yields. The changes in the pre-monsoon season (March to May) and monsoon season (June to September) were not globally uniform and can have positive/negative impact on agriculture, certainly when no adaptation strategies are applied. These findings are essential to the resilience building and climate risk management in agriculture which is largely dependent on weather conditions. Agricultural Engineering Climate change rainfall biometeorology risk management agriculture adaptation Full Text Cite Share Download PDF Status: Under Review Version 1 posted Reviewers invited by journal 28 Dec, 2021 Editor assigned by journal 07 Dec, 2021 First submitted to journal 06 Dec, 2021 You are reading this latest preprint version Research Square lets you share your work early, gain feedback from the community, and start making changes to your manuscript prior to peer review in a journal. As a division of Research Square Company, we’re committed to making research communication faster, fairer, and more useful. We do this by developing innovative software and high quality services for the global research community. Our growing team is made up of researchers and industry professionals working together to solve the most critical problems facing scientific publishing. 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